Effectively Wild Episode 2509: Won’t Stand for It

EWFI
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please visit our Patreon.

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about a Donald Trump claim about Shohei Ohtani, José Caballero’s battle with MLB about his pre-pitch routine, Yandy Díaz spurning ABS, James Wood’s impressive results with a seemingly suboptimal approach, whether the Nats would be better off if they hadn’t traded pitching prior to the season, David Rubenstein’s Orioles optimism, and Corbin Carroll’s triples pace. Then (1:04:45) they talk to EW listener Jacob Redmon, who found himself at the center of a viral video this week when he was slapped by a man who objected to his staying seated during the National Anthem, about how the incident developed, what the video didn’t show, and what he took from the experience. Finally (1:57:33), Ben talks to Kenny Lofton about his exclusion from the Hall of Fame, his Cooperstown-caliber career, and his outlook for induction.

Audio intro: Harold Walker, “Effectively Wild Theme
Audio outro: Xavier LeBlanc, “Effectively Wild Theme

Link to Trump on Ohtani
Link to Trump on Kershaw
Link to White House visit recap
Link to EW on Trump’s baseball career
Link to Caballero video 1
Link to Caballero video 2
Link to Caballero video 3
Link to Caballero comments
Link to Caballero article 1
Link to Caballero article 2
Link to Caballero article 3
Link to Caballero article 4
Link to Caballero article 5
Link to Caballero article 6
Link to “violation” comment
Link to CloseCallSports video 1
Link to CloseCallSports video 2
Link to Stanky draft episode
Link to Crizer on Yandy
Link to Yandy article 1
Link to Santana article
Link to MLBTR on Santana
Link to Yandy article 2
Link to batting team challenges
Link to Sam on bad challenges
Link to BP piece on Wood
Link to EW on Wood in 2025
Link to Nats WAR leaders
Link to team hitting WAR
Link to team pitching WAR
Link to Rubenstein quote
Link to Rubenstein quote thread
Link to Carroll triples fact
Link to triples park factor
Link to “55 burgers” ITYSL sketch
Link to National Anthem
Link to slap video
Link to Lucy Dacus tweet
Link to Lucy Dacus shirt
Link to Wednesday concert
Link to Chavez video
Link to Cubs statement
Link to EW Episode 2189
Link to 2022 Hoerner homer
Link to “third place” wiki
Link to Ben on the Hall of Fame
Link to Lofton highlights video
Link to Lofton playoffs video
Link to CF JAWS leaders

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FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: July 25, 2026

Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Controversy surrounding José Caballero’s pre-pitch routine struck twice in the Bronx this week, with the first time prompting the benches to clear and the second causing unnecessary confusion. In the eighth inning of the Yankees’ 8-5 win over the Pirates on Monday night, Caballero did what he usually does — he dug into the batter’s box and didn’t look up at the pitcher until there were eight seconds left on the pitch timer. The idea is to disrupt the pitcher’s rhythm. Pittsburgh reliever Dennis Santana took exception to Caballero’s tactic — which, again, he has done many, many times for the last four seasons — and yelled at him after getting him to ground into a double play. The benches emptied, and the Pirates complained to MLB about it.

Turns out, the griping worked. After the game, the league told the umpires to more strictly enforce the rules requiring batters to engage with the pitcher with no fewer than eight seconds left on the clock. Instead of warning the batter, and then calling an automatic strike for a repeat violation, the umpires were directed to assess a strike to Caballero for attempting to deceive the pitcher, no matter how much time was left on the pitch timer. Both Caballero and the Yankees claim the league did not notify them about the change. As crew chief Adrian Johnson told a pool reporter after, “He’s been warned all season. We were instructed not to warn him. We were instructed to violate him. That’s what it is. It’s a violation.” Along with Johnson’s poor phrasing, the sudden change in enforcement is quite jarring and, in my opinion, inappropriate. If what the Yankees said is true — that the league didn’t tell them about the change — then I think this is an overstep by MLB to single out a player. Caballero accused the umpires and the league of “picking on” him. But even if MLB did give the Yankees and Caballero the heads up, I think the escalated enforcement is an incorrect interpretation of the rule. I love that Caballero uses the pitch clock to his advantage; pitchers can hold the ball and run down the clock to zero, so why shouldn’t batters be allowed to wait their full allotted time before engaging with the pitcher? Moreover, I also don’t know how Caballero is deceiving the pitcher by doing something he does so frequently. He’s certainly trying to annoy the opposing pitcher, but that’s not deception — that’s good gamesmanship.

Anyway, that’s the last you’ll read about Caballero in this week’s mailbag. Instead, we’ll be answering your questions about Esmerlyn Valdez’s heater, Gunnar Henderson’s woes against fastballs, how to fix the Angels, and whether anyone will break Jesse Orosco’s record for games pitched. But first, I’d like to remind you that this mailbag is exclusive to FanGraphs Members. If you aren’t yet a Member and would like to keep reading, you can sign up for a Membership here. It’s the best way to both experience the site and support our staff, and it comes with a bunch of other great benefits. Also, if you’d like to ask a question for an upcoming mailbag, send me an email at mailbag@fangraphs.com. Read the rest of this entry »


When Will the Athletics Be Truly Competitive Again?

Dennis Lee-Imagn Images

They might still play in a minor league ballpark, but things were looking up for the Sacramento-ish Athletics coming into the 2026 season. The franchise hadn’t had a winning record (and typically hasn’t even been close) since 2021, with their last stretch of playoff relevance ending after the COVID-shortened 2020 season. The 2025 A’s only went 76-86, but an offensive core of Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers, Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom, and Jacob Wilson seemed to give the club a good chance to score runs this year. The A’s entered the season with 21.4% playoff odds, their best in some time.

The team’s most plausible breakout scenario involved leaning on a good offense while cobbling together just enough pitching to keep from being on the short end of a bunch of slugfests. The A’s were even confident enough to be on the other side of a salary dump for once, picking up Jeff McNeil over the winter. Unfortunately, things haven’t gone exactly to plan. The A’s are 43-59 entering play on Friday. The offense has been middling, and though they’ve gotten a few promising pitching performances from J.T. Ginn, Hogan Harris, and Gage Jump, the staff has more holes than a wheel of Emmentaler after a run-in with a shotgun. Read the rest of this entry »


Bradgley Rodriguez Is the Padres’ Next Indomitable Reliever

Jordan Godfree-Imagn Images

Fifty-one weeks ago, the San Diego Padres traded a king’s ransom in prospects to the Athletics in exchange for depth starter JP Sears and hard-throwing relief ace Mason Miller.

Ordinarily, I would’ve abhorred such a move. The top prospect who went the other way, Leo De Vries, came in at no. 6 overall in the Preseason Top 100 Prospects list, and in my mind there’s no more overrated commodity in baseball than team control for a reliever. What the Phillies gave up for two and a half years of Jhoan Duran, immense a haul as it seemed at the time, was a fraction of what four and a half years of Miller cost.

Still, I kind of got it. Read the rest of this entry »


Pre-Trade Deadline Top 100 Prospects Chat

2:00
Brendan Gawlowski: Hello everybody

2:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Hello from a dangerously hot Arizona where there is thankfully an off day before ACL playoffs begin.

2:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Though tomorrow’s forecast high is 115 so just delaying the inevitable.

2:01
Brendan Gawlowski: We made another list, as I’m sure you’re all aware.

2:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks for coming to our joint chat about it

2:01
Brendan Gawlowski: Eric, would you say we had more daylight guys here than on the offseason list?

Read the rest of this entry »


Trade Deadline Prospects Guide: Atlanta Braves

Owen Murphy Photo: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

As we approach August, now is a good time to take a fresh look at the farm systems of some of the clubs we expect to be buyers at the trade deadline. These teams are both contending for a playoff berth and in clear need of a significant upgrade, the kind that will likely require parting with a top farmhand or two. We’ll begin today with the Atlanta Braves. In tandem with an evaluation of the team’s needs and deadline posture, we’ve updated Atlanta’s Top Prospect list to account for the graduations of Didier Fuentes and JR Ritchie, incorporate the new draftees, and reflect a number of promising developments on the farm. If you were solely to evaluate a farm system by its performance relative to expectations, the Braves have a case for the top spot in the league, and that newfound depth looms as a key factor in the club’s playoff push.

The Situation
For a while, the Braves seemed poised to boat race the NL East. The club went 40-20 over the first two months of the season and built a 10-game lead over the Phillies. The Mets, also projected to be strong contenders in the division, languished even less threateningly in dead last. Read the rest of this entry »


2026 Trade Value Series Chat

12:00
Ben Clemens: Hey everyone. Welcome to the chat.

12:01
Ben Clemens: I’m going to let the queue fill up with just a few more questions because I got a late start on posting this, but I’m going to be ready to go in a few minutes.

12:01
Ben Clemens: In the meantime, a good rule of thumb in these discussions is that I’m going to end up answering questions about a lot of players. But probably not about the same player many times, if that makes sense

12:02
Ben Clemens: So plan on long answers to some of these, longer than my normal chat format for sure.

12:03
Ben Clemens: And of course, if you’re not asking a question about trade value, I think you’ve found the wrong place. I have a weekly chat on Mondays that is a great place for all kinds of off-topic stuff, or baseball-related but not trade value related

12:03
Ben Clemens: This particular chat is supposed to be about this article series that I just spent weeks and weeks making. So yeah, not answering your question if it’s like, how bout them Cards. we can talk about that later

Read the rest of this entry »


The Early Shift: Gunned Down

Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

Hello. While on paternity leave, I kept a journal about baseball and my daughter, who is not named Derek Jr., but who will henceforth be referred to as Derek Jr. You can read all of the entries here.

May 21
So Jose Siri made the coolest play I’ve seen in a while. He’s on the Angels now, a fact I had missed entirely, even though I now realize I saw him pinch-running against the A’s just two nights ago. When you think about Jose Siri, you think of great center field defense (and one million strikeouts), but that great center field defense usually comes in the form of great jumps and fantastic athletic catches. Tonight, however, he racked up an out with a combination of savvy and a perfect, powerful throw. A’s right fielder Carlos Cortes hit a routine single back up the middle. There was nothing notable about that whatsoever, but the Angels must have a scouting report that says Cortes likes to take aggressive turns when he singles. Whoever wrote it deserves a raise.

Siri played the ball normally right up until the moment when he didn’t. He intercepted it at a slow jog. It looked like he wasn’t taking the threat of Cortes going for a double seriously, but what he was actually doing was baiting Cortes, while also allowing the slow route to let him field the ball with his momentum still pushing him to his left, toward first base. That way, when he came up firing behind Cortes, he was able to got everything he had behind the throw. First baseman Nolan Schanuel was clearly in on it too. He lurked in foul territory, out of view of both Cortes and the first base coach so as to avoid arousing any suspicion, then popped back onto the field in time to catch the throw and apply the tag.

Read the rest of this entry »


Pete Alonso Talks Hitting

Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Pete Alonso is known as a slugger, and for good reason. Now in his eighth major league season — and first with the Baltimore Orioles — the 31-year-old first baseman has 285 home runs and a .511 slugging percentage to go with a 132 wRC+ over 1,111 career games. His right-handed stroke produced 53 round-trippers in 2019, and he also boasts single-season totals of 45, 40, 38, and 37. Only in the truncated COVID campaign has he finished with fewer than 30.

It would be unfair to pigeon-hole the University of Florida product, and erstwhile New York Met, as simply a slugger, though. That’s especially true when it comes to Alonso’s approach at the plate, as well as his overall understanding of the craft. While the term “student of hitting” is arguably overused, it fits Baltimore’s top basher to a T.

In the latest installment of our Talks Hitting series — now 125 deep — Alonso addresses his self identity, the subtle adjustments he’s made over the years, and the studious manner in which he attacks pitchers. Our conversation took place at Fenway Park over the weekend.

———

David Laurila: How would you define yourself as a hitter?

Pete Alonso: “I’d like to consider myself a line drive hitter that has strength, puts up really good professional at-bats, and can spoil pitches. I can kind of set traps. Ultimately, I’m a line drive hitter with strength.”

Laurila: You’re generally viewed as a power hitter. Do you like that label?

Alonso: “I love the label. Power is based on results. If you hit a ton of home runs and a ton of doubles, consistently, you’re a power hitter. It doesn’t matter what your physical stature looks like. If you get the power results, then you’re a power hitter.

“Honestly, I’m just trying to hit a hard line drive. That’s really all it is. Hit a hard drive, and not necessarily out in front. I’m better at just meeting the ball where it’s pitched and putting a swing on that. I’m not trying to produce power. I’m just trying to produce pure contact. I think chasing and producing pure contact is the best thing anyone can do. All good things happen on the sweet spot of the bat.”

Laurila: You mentioned setting traps. Can you elaborate on that? Read the rest of this entry »


2026 Trade Value: Nos. 1-10

William Navarro-Imagn Images

As is tradition at FanGraphs, we’re using the lead-up to the trade deadline to take stock of the top 50 players in baseball by trade value. For a more detailed introduction to this year’s exercise, as well as a look at the players who fell just short of the top 50, be sure to read the Introduction and Honorable Mentions piece, which can be found in the widget above.

For those of you who have been reading the Trade Value Series the last few seasons, the format should look familiar. For every player, you’ll see a table with the player’s projected five-year WAR from 2027-2031, courtesy of Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections. The table will also include the player’s guaranteed money (exclusive of any signing bonus), if any, the year through which their team has contractual control of them, last year’s rank (if applicable), and then projections, contract status, and age for each individual season through 2031 (assuming the player is under contract or team control for those seasons, or has a player or vesting option). Last year’s rank includes a link to the relevant 2025 post. Thanks are due to Sean Dolinar for his technical wizardry. At the bottom of the page, there is a grid showing all of the players who have been ranked up to this point.

A note on these rankings: At the top of the list, I’ve tried to group like with like, but that’s not always possible when you’re talking about the very best couple of players in baseball. I’ve noted this in the text, but there’s one tier of players today where I think all three have roughly equal value, and another where I feel strongly that the top guy is the best of the bunch. I’ll note the places where I disagreed meaningfully with the people I spoke with in calibrating this list, and I’ll also note the players whose value my contacts disagreed about. As I mentioned in the Introduction and Honorable Mentions piece, I’ll indicate tier breaks between players where appropriate, both in their capsules and bolded in the table at the end of the piece. Read the rest of this entry »