Mark Hoffman / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
In a different universe – perhaps one in which Junior Caminero fielded William Contreras’ two-out bouncer in the top of the fifth inning and fired to first base rather than second – Chandler Simpson’s stunning, self-obliterating catch in the second inning would have been the lasting memory of Game 3, and maybe the entire 2026 World Series. In service of the sublime, Simpson hurled himself into the left-field wall with such furor that he may have literally altered the stadium. And somehow, just before impact, he hauled in a baseball and, and just after impact, he kept hold of it. The catch saved a run, but not the game. It will go down as a footnote, a highlight that we’re at first delighted by and eventually accustomed to. But it deserves its own life and its own lore. I have made notes about the various small pieces of this play that can and should delight us for years to come.
Everybody Froze
For just a moment, everybody froze. The umpire and the catcher followed the ball as they always do. Sal Frelick finished his backswing and, as if caught halfway into doing the splits, held his bat out in front of him like a lightsaber while he tried to decide whether the ball would stay fair or slice foul. Freddy Peralta has never allowed a home run down the left-field line at Tropicana Field, but he clearly knows all about the short corner, which specializes in allowing 90-mph pokes like Frelick’s to leak out of the field of play. Peralta kept his head down, facing toward first base for just a split-second before curiosity got the best of him. Frelick finally decided the ball would stay fair and started running.
The Looming Wall
It’s hard to even see, but this is my favorite part of the play. This is Simpson, already at full speed by the time the broadcast cuts to the high home camera, gauging his distance to the wall. It’s his one and only chance to take his eye off the ball, to consider his own safety, to run the numbers. He has to figure out whether he can make the catch, whether he should pull up and play the ball off the wall. He does it so far from the wall, and you have to imagine that he did not like any of the answers he got. But he made the catch anyway. He didn’t slow down at all. He leapt for the ball and he crashed into the wall face first and he held onto the ball and he got it into the infield. He checked the wall, saw that the only way to catch the ball was to crash into it at full speed, and just went ahead and did it anyway.
This catch was no miracle. It was many, many flavors of wonderful, but it happened because Simpson quite simply looked at the wall and decided that he was willing to crash into it. Read the rest of this entry »
Hello everybody. Good sports day today, Serie A is going already, some League Cup to follow. AFL, of course, and apparently another baseball game of modest import tonight. Should be fun. Let's get to it.
Darren Knowles
Thanks for the chat! Thoughts on Zion Rose? Eric mentioned wanting to see Zion Rose try some CF—any idea if the Royals plan to try that out?
Brendan Gawlowski
I liked Rose and agree that it'd be interesting to see him in CF. Not sure yet if the Royals are going to explore that, it's on my list to ask when I get to their system.
ADoctolero
What's your take on Buster Posey essentially hand-waving away any potential injury to a Giants pitcher in the name of improving their stuff? They definitely need to do that as an organization, but I'm not sure it's the best idea to say out loud to the media that they're going to push guys to a breaking point and oh well if they break.
Brendan Gawlowski
Do you have a link?
Nickname (required)
What do you make of Tai Peete's AFL? Is he in the Cardinals T10 ? Is he a future T100 guy?
Brendan Gawlowski
Obviously he's crushing it in Arizona. He's a guy I'm rooting for, but I don't think a whole lot has changed about him or the profile. He's a high risk player with a lot of swing and miss risk on spin and big upside if it all clicks. Top 10 in the system, everyday projection for me as a scout… Does that translate to the Top 100? Instinct is no, but we'll see how it shakes out.
BKhipsterball
Do you miss ash bats? The sound of contact just doesn't hit the same anymore
Brendan Gawlowski
I miss the aesthetic, too. If the league ever decides to get serious about making it easier to hit the ball but harder to hit it over the fence, ash bats could have a role to play.
dshtern1
Enjoyed Eric's writeup of Dax Kilby. Who do you like more between Dax and Yostin Pena in the Yankees system and why?
Brendan Gawlowski
Dax. In part because I think Dax is perfectly fine at short.
eccentricatlfan
Pretty sure I haven’t asked it yet (and apologies if I have), but for Deyvison De Los Santos, is there much to be read into his contact rate improvement at AAA, or is this just improvements from repeating the level and that there’s not really a meaningful change in his profile at the plate?
Brendan Gawlowski
It's up a little bit, but 73% for a bat-only guy in his sophomore year of AAA isn't great. Still projects as a bench bat/Asia masher.
mbushskbum
I am so enthused to see the Brewer – Rays WS (although as a Reds fan watching the Brewers success is a bit painful). I admire both organizations for combining Analytics, Scouting, and Player Development attached to a clear organizational philosophy. I think the Cardinals are well on their way to similar success. My Reds – well….. How to you evaluate combining those three arms and organizational philosophy. Is one more important than another in your view or is organizational philosophy that is most important supported by the three arms of success?
Brendan Gawlowski
I don't really think about it in terms of one being more important than the others, you have to do all of it to be competitive, particularly if you can't spend your way out of lousy PD/scouting. The consequences for being complete dogshit analytically are enormous in a way that they don't seem to be for having the worst scouting/dev staffs, so in that sense… It's important not to be awful there. But at this point, I don't think the gap between the sixth and twenty-fourth best group analytically is all that big.
Eh, his comments seem fine. Everybody understands that this is where the game is at right now.
romananthonyglazer
I was surprised that Franklin Primera was not on the top 100 given his amazing performance so far on every level. What is there to be concerned about in Franklin's profile other than being in Single A
Brendan Gawlowski
His approach and long swing are going to be stress tested by better pitching/more velocity and he's not super projectable. I suspect he'll be a pick to click.
Nils
How do you know when a ranked prospect just has an off year vs a complete change in valuation? Thinking how Francisca went from a 45 here after the '24 season to not even a 35+ last year to now right back to 45 again.
Brendan Gawlowski
It can be tricky, and also hard to communicate what a down year means. Oftentimes when this happens, a player's ceiling doesn't change, but his odds of reaching it go down. That can shift a player down from an FV perspective.
Brendan Gawlowski
I would also say… Without placing a value judgment on it, because I think you can argue for either approach… I think Eric is more inclined to move a player's FV, and I'm more inclined to let things play out over a long period. These are tendencies rather than absolutes, but something to keep in mind as you read our lists this cycle.
romananthonyglazer
If Kristian Campbell was a prospect right now, what fv do you think he would have and what would change?
Brendan Gawlowski
40+ and glad I don't have to commit to that.
Rollie's Mustache
What would be the minor league level equivalency of AFL pitching quality? I see B-ref shows 5.85 ERA, 10K/9 and 6.5BB/9 as league averages. Is that like Cal League caliber? Or worse, Complex-type competition? Or is there no direct comparison here? Thx Brendan.
Brendan Gawlowski
It varies so much, the KBO isn't a bad comparison in that sense, from an overall talent perspective. The walk rates are very much of the complex, though.
BKhipsterball
Sell high on Gasser in dynasty after last night?
Brendan Gawlowski
If someone's willing to buy him as more than a no. 4, sure
millvillemeltdown
how controllable are diet/sleep/etc in the minor leagues? my understanding is the conditions are much worse which makes me suspect there are a lot of gains being left on the table
Brendan Gawlowski
Conditions are way better than they were 10 years ago. Some teams do a better job than others of procuring good housing/providing healthy meals, but even the worst are here are doing a lot more than was common in the early-mid 2010s.
Brendan Gawlowski
Of course, you're still dealing with teenagers and early 20 somethings and like everyone else at that age, a lot of them… will eat, drink, or sleep sub-optimally. That's just life.
jk0924
Why were you so low on Cam Cannarella and Brandon Compton? They both had a wrc+ of 149 and 156, and Cannarella is a consensus top 100 prospect on every other list in baseball. Are you guys going to change there grades for upcoming season?
Brendan Gawlowski
I think the reasons are clear from their writeups… It's fine to disagree. They both performed so well after publication that I definitely want to give them a fresh look, certainly possible that I was light, it happens. Cannarella's defense in particular is something that I agonized over at the time. The reputation didn't match the tape, but the tape is also not as good/reliable as the eye test in person. It's possible that if I saw him in the park, I would've felt differently.
WarrenJ
What's the next experimental rule in the AFL? Having the outfielders wear a ball and chain?
Brendan Gawlowski
I think the experimentation is broadly fine. I kind of liked watching outfielders need to go back on the ball. I'd tweak it so that they don't have to sit practically on the foul line, see what that looks like.
canderson20
Have any of the A's arms at the fall league caught your eye? I know Richardson has struck everyone out but I'm wondering if that's a blip or more to look forward to of him
Brendan Gawlowski
You named the one.
riibett
Hey Brendan! Eric said in his chat Briggs McKenzie looked like diet MadBum, what have your thoughts on him been?
Brendan Gawlowski
Should we just sneak peak a full blurb here?
Brendan Gawlowski
Why not
Brendan Gawlowski
McKenzie received Atlanta’s biggest bonus in the 2025 draft, signing for a cool $3 million. A year of pro instruction and weight training have worked wonders, as McKenzie has filled out considerably and added a few ticks of velocity. After operating either side of 90 mph this time last year, he now sits 92-94 while touching a little higher, and he could have more growth ahead of him.
McKenzie is an athletic and projectable lefty with a clean, if long, arm swing and a deceptive delivery. That motion helps his stuff and pitchability play up, and they’re already quite good to begin with. He can move his fastball up and to both sides of the plate, and run his long and tight sweeping breaking ball on and off the dish as well. His fading CH is inconsistent but flashed above average a few times during my look at him in the AFL.
The southpaw was only in Arizona because injuries took a big bite out of his 2026 campaign. He threw just 26 innings during the regular season, and at one point was on the 60 day IL with nerve irritation in his pitching elbow. While that sounds a little scary, he is back on the mound and looked no worse for wear in the Fall League. Projecting outward, McKenzie has mid-rotation traits. He has sufficient velocity and seems likely to develop the command. And while his arsenal is still a little lean, there’s plenty of time for him to add a second breaking ball or a two seamer. While we want to see more length and durability, and perhaps another tick on the gun, before we consider bumping him onto our Top 100 list, I anticipate he has another gear and he’ll be a Pick to Click for me this winter.
Jeremy Fox
There are orgs that are good at getting their young pitchers to add velocity, and orgs that are good at teaching their young pitchers new pitches. But are their orgs that are good at improving command?
Brendan Gawlowski
Boston was the first org that came to mind. Seattle's had some success here, too.
Darren Knowles
How does the Royals' Brooks Bryan look for Surprise? Thanks!
Brendan Gawlowski
Powerful. 35+/40 area as a thumper from the left side.
drummer66
What have you seen from Padres prospects in the Arizona Fall League? Specifically, Alex McCoy, Ty Harvey and Winyer Chourio. Francis Pena, too.
Brendan Gawlowski
McCoy and Harvey were the most interesting of the group. McCoy's power might just be an 80, that gives him a path to value even if he's pretty flawed everywhere else. Harvey's a good athlete behind the plate, like the bat speed. Suspect he'll stay in the Top 10 of that system even after a rough year in the Cal League. Says something about both him and SD's system.
millvillemeltdown
do you ever think about how traits/tools fit into a team context while scouting? eg. the arraez fit with the phillies, or like how a prospect might add defensive value to a poor defensive major league team
Brendan Gawlowski
All the time, usually more from a developmental context than immediate team need.
drplantwrench
considering his hot run, whats preventing arjun nimmala from taking the next step up the T100 rankings and/or FV rating?
Brendan Gawlowski
That he might not be a shortstop.
dashrockwell
Assuming the Red Sox get Franklin Arias in the lineup relatively near the beginning of 2027 (if there's a 2027), what's a reasonable expectation for him next year? Does his peak look something like Michael Young's good years with the Rangers? His EV numbers seem more "average to plus" than "25+ homers on the reg"
Brendan Gawlowski
Arias is a better defender. The dream here is Lindor Lite.
Phil
Re: changes to FV, how much of that difference with Eric (I understand it's a friendly disagreement) is scouting philosophy vs journalistic philosophy? Seems like player development is hard to report, because you can't just keep running articles that say, "still waiting to see how this plays out long-term." The internet wants content!
Brendan Gawlowski
I don't even know if it's a disagreement, more of an initial instinct. I don't know if there's a "right" answer to how sensitive FV should be to performance, it's so context specific.
Brendan Gawlowski
And you can find examples where both approaches were justified. Like, Hartman was sending signals right away this spring that he was a different guy than he was in '25. Moving quickly was the right answer there. Meanwhile, Ethan Salas had a rough couple years but the tools never really changed…
drplantwrench
follow up q, is it arjun's defense then? is it range/technique/arm?
Brendan Gawlowski
Range just okay, he's not that quick, footwork doesn't look great, can scatter his throws when he's not lined up well. Love the hands, growing chance it all plays better at third.
war2d2
Brendan! Piggybacking on the Posey question (I’ve not seen those quotes either): at what point do you think it becomes a question of morality about pitcher injuries? I’m speaking as a father of a 12yo who A) plays baseball, B) has 99th percentile velo for his age, and C) can’t hit a lick. As a dad I’d really prefer he was a position player, but his path forward (at least to HS /JuCo, or university if he makes it that far) is almost certainly tied to his arm. I realize teams aren’t coercing players against their will to go to Driveline and gain velo only to blow out, but at some point does a front office become (if not legally at least morally) culpable when they tell a kid “you’d be a real prospect if you just threw a little harder”?
Brendan Gawlowski
Complicated question, no easy answers, but very different context in the professional game versus teenage ball. At your son's age, the focus should be on having fun. Run screaming from anyone who wants to max out a 13 year old's stuff plus, or who wants to throw him all the time.
Brendan Gawlowski
For the professionals, it's a different equation. There are a lot of risks inherent to being a professional athlete, and for a pitcher, subjecting your arm to a greater risk of injury in the search of better stuff is part of the equation. That said, I do think teams should feel some moral obligation to lower their injury rates, and I think players should be educated about which teams tend to get their guys hurt, and which do a better job keeping them healthy.
Brendan Gawlowski
There's also a competitive angle here, too. At a certain point, you have enough injuries that you're doing something wrong. Like, Miami's injury rate is counter productive.
Matthew Rosenbaum
How has Charles Davalan looked at second in the AFL?
Misio improving his walk rate from 13.4% to 14.4% to 11.8% to 6.6% since 2023 is an XX% outcome ??
Brendan Gawlowski
97.54th
war2d2
I pulled him from travel ball and only have him in Little League (juniors) because I didn’t like the vibes I was getting. Maybe I’m costing him long term but like you said, I want him to have a great time and make a lot of happy memories.
Brendan Gawlowski
Be wary of teams that play in a lot of tournaments. They're fun, but unless the team is bringing a ton of pitching and has a responsible coach, the good ones can get run into the ground.
eccentricatlfan
One other question: quite a bit has been made about the Rays as of late and how they’ve utilized their sinkers, especially cases where pitchers are able to tunnel them effectively with their four-seamers. If this becomes part of the next big trend where teams try to develop this with their pitchers, which orgs particularly stand out as the best suited towards using this strategy?
Brendan Gawlowski
The usual suspects.
ADoctolero
I guess as optics go, I would have liked to see something like, "we're going to do everything we can to keep our guys healthy through this process," rather than, "no one is gonna get in trouble for pushing a guy so hard he breaks."
Brendan Gawlowski
Personally, I thought Posey hit his marks there. I also don't care that much about optics. What people do is more important than what they say, which is in turn more important than how the media/social media perceives what they say.
Domingo Ayala
How do ash bats make it easier to hit the ball?
Brendan Gawlowski
They don't (at least as far as I'm aware, I suspect we'll learn more about bats and bat technology in the future) but my understanding is that they don't hit the ball as hard so, in a world where it's easier to hit but you don't want the homer rate to explode, their use could theoretically help maintain balance. Speculation on speculation here.
Brian Martin
Dax Kilby follow up—what should the defense development Plan A be? Play him at SS as long as he can kinda handle it? Or switch to an easier position now to speed his path to the majors?
Brendan Gawlowski
I would just play him at SS. I thought he looked like a 50/55 type there and spoke to two scouts who felt similarly. I've also heard that at least one team has him graded that way based strictly on their defensive metrics, for what that's worth.
Brendan Gawlowski
Now, maybe he grows off of it, or maybe he'd be so good in center that you could justify moving him there based on that. But just from what I've seen, I wouldn't be in any hurry to move him.
BKhipsterball
You had Angel de los Santos as a long term pick to click. How we feeling about him now?
Brendan Gawlowski
Similarly! Better than my other two year dart throw guess.
Phil
How repeatable is the Bauersaissance, really? Even if you accept that MIL is better at post-prospect development, that doesn't mean they can Bauersify any equivalent hitter who's bouncing around the league. How do they know who they cam help? Is it initially luck–they just have to get a guy and see? Can they predict it? Or is it totally luck and I'm giving them too much credit even for Bauers himself?
Brendan Gawlowski
Can they reliably turn a 40 into a 60? Probably not. Do I think they can turn 35+/40 types into 45's more often than most other teams? Yes.
fishnchips
How did Salas look to your eyes in his callup time in September/playoffs? Any shading to his grades based on his MLB looks?
Brendan Gawlowski
He looked great. He's (obviously) much closer to actualizing the future grades than he was a year ago and the 55 future power looks low since he's 20 years old and basically already there.
Brendan Gawlowski
He's a great prospect.
Brendan Gawlowski
I saw Eric said he'd put him in the top 5 in his last chat and, yeah, that seems about right.
Big Fan
So….can you confirm that you're working on the Atlanta list?!?!
Brendan Gawlowski
I'm 98% done with it.
benae
Favorite non top 100 LHP in the milb as of today and why?
Brendan Gawlowski
Two for the price of one. Justin Lamkin's a fun watch as a pitchability guy who can kind of toy with hitters. I'm very interested in monitoring Kash Mayfield's development with Detroit.
Fangraphs Man
Eric seems to slightly revised his confidence in Bonemer's bat upwards- do you agree with this? Is there a path to him being an all star level LF even if he's a LF?
Brendan Gawlowski
He's scary, I think toward the bottom of the Top 100 is the right place to slot in the guy with a scary swing and limited defensive value… but also a lot of power and pretty good barrel feel.
benae
Any prospects that you love but you have worries that they are majorly blocked by the current big league club around their debut?
Brendan Gawlowski
No, talent pushes its way through eventually. The closest thing to this was River Ryan w/LAD.
Big Fan
You mentioned a few weeks ago that you were working on lists. Can you share what we should expect over the next month or two?
Brendan Gawlowski
99.87% done with Toronto, close to that with Atlanta, ~90% done with Boston. After that I might start on Texas… From there, no plans. I'll try to keep folks informed on a rolling basis where possible. The two things that kind of push a system up or down are the number of potential T100 guys (higher priority to do quickly) and the teams who have a lot of talent coming up from the DSL (these get pushed back on the off chance we can get a meaningful look in the spring).
Brendan Gawlowski
Eric has done that for a few years now and it makes a ton of sense.
benae
Does Seth Hernandez have major reliever risk long term or are you a believer in his ability to be a starter 5+ years from now?
Brendan Gawlowski
Every pitcher has some reliever risk, but Hernandez's is about as low as can be for a teenage flamethrower. He's really good.
Salty
non-prospect related, but what do you make of Victor Mesa's season? Just a late-bloomer or did he really benefit from change of scenery/team better at player development?
Brendan Gawlowski
Little of column A, little of column B. He looks like a good player going forward. Curious to see if he gets much ROY consideration.
benae
Do you think that Dzierwa has ace potential? If not, who in the MILB do you think currently has that no. 1 ceiling?
Brendan Gawlowski
Good pitching prospect, but ace is a little hot there. Seth Hernandez and Ryan Sloan might be the only two I'd project as aces right now.
RAH
Can David Sandlin establish himself in the CWS rotation next year?
Brendan Gawlowski
Yes.
jgcrocke
I’ve seen some notes from Arizona recently about the outfield positioning rules they’re testing, which seem to effectively boost doubles and (especially) triples. Any thoughts on types of prospects who would look better/worse to you under those rules, if adopted at MLB? Just a boost to fast corner outfielders or would it impact hitting grades as well?
Brendan Gawlowski
Speed in the outfield becomes imperative. Fourth outfielders with wheels and contact skill but not a ton of pop would get a lot more valuable.
Brendan Gawlowski
As would groundball pitchers, I suspect.
clydethedog
Charlie Condon and Josue De Paula have to get an early look in 27 correct?
Brendan Gawlowski
De Paula for all practical purposes has arrived. I don't know exactly how the Dodgers sort out the roster, and I can't guarantee that the answer is JDP is in the Opening Day lineup and stays there for 155 games, but he'll play a ton. Condon I would think is about ready to go but, as I said last week, Colorado's approach with him raises questions that require further investigation.
Phillip Denny
In retrospect, why didn't Ashby get developed as a starter? Was it health, command, a little of both?
Brendan Gawlowski
He… did? He even made 19 big league starts in '22.
Phillip Denny
If you were the Brewers and decided not to bring Bauers back, what would your confidence level be of 1B shaking out to be some combination of Vaughn/Fischer/Burke?
Brendan Gawlowski
Vaughn definitely part of the solution. Burke/Fischer have a shot to grow into a role there in 2027 but I are probably not part of the Opening Day plan. You're probably either committing to playing Vaughn there every day or looking for a Nate Lowe type to platoon.
hofstrascott20
Have you seen Ramcell Medina of the Royals at all recently. He seemed like a guy you were intrigued on a year or two ago, but his power hasn't really shown up at all in games like it was projected it might. Thanks a lot.
Brendan Gawlowski
Stock down, didn't hit much on the complex. Raw power was 30 grade.
Broken Bat
Curious about high rated prospects making it into Show in last 2-3 years but still young enough to bloom maybe this year; Based upon your evaluations, give us 2-3 position player guys you still think just need more time. Love the chats.
Brendan Gawlowski
Cam Smith might have another gear. Amador showed signs of life at the end of the year. For a deep shot, I'd like to see Max Muncy get a healthy year…
clydethedog
when it comes to fast risers who end up getting shots in the MLB (Leo Bernal this year, Michael Harris in the past), can we chalk this up to the club identifies something they like more than the public?
Brendan Gawlowski
Sometimes yeah. Sometimes its just org philosophy to push quickly. I wouldn't throw Bernal into that category though, he's moved at about a level per year.
daml91
Crazy to think the presumptive WS champions have the #1 prospect in the game knocking on the door. What is the plan with Made in 2027 if you're the Brewers? Start at AAA? What if he signs a contract extension? Does he supplant Pratt who has been leaky in the postseason at SS?
Brendan Gawlowski
What's crazy is that this has happened a few times in recent memory. Langford was ranked second and was the Opening Day starter for the defending champs, and then Roki was the top guy on the 100 prior to the 2025 season.
Brendan Gawlowski
As for the plan on Made, no need to rush, AAA would be just fine out of the gate.
scotth855
Looking back at the Cubs farm post their 2020-2023 rebuild, they had a top 5 (maybe even #1 farm system) that produced basically PCA, Busch, and nobody else. How much of that was an entire industry miss, overvaluation of a big market team's prospects, or just regular prospect hit/miss cycle?
Throughout the playoffs, the Brewers have blitzed past their opposition so quickly that their bullpen management has felt like an afterthought. The Rays, meanwhile, have subsisted on having their starters work deep while keeping their bullpen relatively fresh. Those two trends haven’t played much of a role in the World Series yet, and they might not; the Brewers are on the verge of a sweep, after all, and a 10-1 rout yesterday left the leverage arms in both ‘pens fresh. But with tonight’s Game 4 pitting Griffin Jax against a yet-to-be-announced Brewers opener, relievers are squarely on the menu, so let’s review how each ‘pen stacks up in terms of rest and familiarity.
Brewers Bullpen
MIL Pitcher/TBR Hitter Matchups, 2026 World Series
The Brewers went to the same pattern twice to open the World Series: Abner Uribe for the top of the lineup, then Aaron Ashby afterwards for a longer stint. I don’t know the exact size of the reliever familiarity effect, but it definitely isn’t zero, and with a full bullpen game, the Brewers will have to think through their matchups carefully to minimize how many looks at the same guy they’re giving the opposition. Read the rest of this entry »
Good afternoon, folks! Welcome to what will be my final chat of the 2026 baseball season, as we're somewhere from one to four games away from the World Series wrapping up.
Jay Jaffe
That escalated quickly last night, didn't it? The Brewers eight-run fifth inning turned the series from a still-competitive one to a steamrolling in the making. Given the uncertainty of the upcoming offseason, I wouldn't mind a longer series, but I don't blame Brewers fans for being over the moon right now.
Jay Jaffe
Anyway, yesterday I wrote about Rays catcher Liam Hicks and two plays from Game 2 that loomed large — and then he didn't even get into Game 3 because the Brewers started lefty Robert Gasser. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/liam-hicks-has-been-a-fine-catch…
Jay Jaffe
Before I dig in, a reminder that to submit a question, you have to be logged into your FanGraphs user account (a paid membership isn't necessary but thank you if you're among our subscribers). And a quick announcement of some upcoming dates of interest:
Jay Jaffe
The Contemporary Baseball Era Committee ballot for Managers, Executives and Umpires will be announced on Monday, November 2, with the results announced on Sunday, December 6. |
The dates for the BBWAA ballot are Monday, November 16 and Tuesday, January 1
Jay Jaffe
Our site is dark for election day, November 3, so in all likelihood my first look will come the day after that. And now, on with the show.
crew87
Excellent article on Liam Hicks. Do you have a sense of why he didn't play yesterday?
Jay Jaffe
Hicks really scuffled against left-handed pitching this season (.192/.274/.231, 45 wRC+) where the righty-swinging Nick Fortes was basically platoon-neutral, hitting 252/.315/.361(91 wRC+) against lefties.
brewballsandstrikes
If the Brewers break out the brooms once again tonight, where do you think their 2026 postseason run ranks among the all-time great playoff performances?
Jay Jaffe
I'm working on a piece to answer that question 😉
Alex Remington
The Rays baserunning has seemed as error-prone as the 2006 Tigers' pitcher fielding – it's not the only reason they've lost, as the offense has been disastrously thin too, but for a team that's scored 7 runs in three games, it's been pretty amazing to watch them get 3 CS AND get thrown out at home from short left field! Are there any similar baserunning collapses like this that you can remember?
Jay Jaffe
I don't have a comprehensive answer for this but just last fall, Addison Barger was doubled off second base to end Game 6 and then Isiah Kiner-Falefa got a poor jump and failed to slide into home plate in the bottom of the ninth in Game 7. Those plays loom quite large given the outcome of the series.
Jay Jaffe
I suppose it's unsporting to pile on the 1991 Braves for Ron Gant getting pulled off first base by the Twins' Kent Hrbek in Game 2 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MiraekmCNv4) but Lonnie Smith's subsequent failure to score from second on a Terry Pendleton double in the eighth inning of a scoreless Game 7 was a huge gaffe in what became a 1-0 Twins win in 10 innings (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MiraekmCNv4)
Anonymous Member #46
What will it take for Tampa Bay to win four straight and take the World Series?
Jay Jaffe
A decision by the Brewers to move back to Seattle and return to being the Pilots. Given a likely territorial dispute with the Mariners, I don't see this getting wrapped up by first pitch tonight at 8ish pm ET.
Jay Jaffe
Beyond that, I think it will take some Gashouse Gorilla-like rallies by the Rays, but I'm not holding my breath.
grandbranyan
Since Murphy took over in 2024, Brewers hitters have scored the most runs in each of the RISP and Two Out splits. Over that same time frame Brewers pitchers have the lowest wOBA and fewest runs allowed in each of the RISP and Two Outs splits. Is this as close as we might get to seeing something like a manager's influence on his team's mindset / level of determination showing up in the stats?
Jay Jaffe
I wouldn't lay it all on Murphy so much as crediting it as an organizational philosophy and manifestation involving both the pitching side and the hitting side. Coaches and front offices need to find the right players and supplement them with the right instruction and data to pull that off.
Jay Jaffe
It's still damn impressive and, assuming the Brewers do take the series at some point, it will be quite the organizational accomplishment.
triplesandtea
How is Brooklyn these days?
Jay Jaffe
Autumn in Brooklyn is lovely. Recently I joined Citi Bike so I can now bike around Prospect Park as an exercise option, and seeing the leaves change color is a nice little treat that I associate with that.
drplantwrench
both the devil rays and brewers have fantastic jerseys. when is the fangraphs article about wearing a great jersey influencing win probability coming out?
Jay Jaffe
I thought Monday's Devil Rays throwback jersey was quite silly. As the D-Rays, they never won more than 70 games, and reached that mark just once. The franchise's exorcism of the Devil coincided with their sudden rise to relevance in 2008, when they won their first pennant. Why they would want to invoke the bad old days is absolutely beyond me.
On the other hand I generally love the Brewers' uniforms, with the powder blues being my favorites
StuShea
What strategy do you see the mets adopting for 2027? Do they run this back? Thanks.
Jay Jaffe
I absolutely can't see them running back this year's squad. We'll see what happens with Bo Bichette's player option — and the CBA's tax penalties, sigh — but I suspect they'll make an effort to lean into the youth movement even if it means eating some salary.
Andrew G
With the potential bookends of WBC title and WS have other players had the year(s) that Contreras and Chourio have had?
Jay Jaffe
I believe that Alex Bregman and Luke Gregerson in 2017, via Team USA and the Astros, are the only ones to do it thus far.
kcglaser
I know in my heart that Yelich isn't going to make the HOF. Let's say he has 5 more mid seasons and somehow gets to 2500 hits and 300 HR – that still won't do it, will it? Especially if they're at DH?
Jay Jaffe
I don't see that as likely to be enough. He had big ssons of 7+ bWAr in 2018 and '19 but otherwise hasn't had a single 5.0-WAR season (4.9 in 2016) and then nothing else above 3.8.
tjcook87
Who’re you most looking forward to appearing on the ballot? Who do you wish to get a look that you’re least certain will appear? I think for the latter, I would want Bill White to come back for a second look, but I’m not optimistic there’ll be room for him to get a fair shake in voting.
Jay Jaffe
I suspect that White receiving the Buck O'Neil Award this past summer may mean he won't be on the ballot, and certainly won't be particularly well positioned if some combination of Bruce Bochy, Dusty Baker, Lou Piniella, Joe West, Dave Dombrowski, Billy Beane, and Theo Epstein are all on there (which isn't to say they will all be on there). I'll be most excited for Baker's appearance given the way the baseball world came around on him during his final years managing.
grandbranyan
If the Brewers finish things off today with an 11 W – 1 L postseason and the first ever eight game LCS/WS sweep (on top of their 103 regular season wins) did we just witness a Top Ten single season ever? Looks like other WS winners with at least 114 combined wins have been 1998 NYY (125), 2018 BOS (119), 2022 HOU (117), 1986 NYM (116), 1970 BAL (115), 1975 CIN (115), 1909 PIT (114), 1927 NYY (114), 2009 NYY (114), and 2016 CHC (114).
Jay Jaffe
Good question, one I'll try to address in the aforementioned piece.
crew87
If you're Kevin Cash, what's your pitching plan for game 4 and 5? Game 4 is a kitchen sink game, and then figure out Game 5 when it comes, but would you even consider Rasmussen for either game?
Jay Jaffe
Well, as we heard early in last night's game, the original plan was to go with Nick Martinez for Game 5. I suspect they stick with that because bringing Rasmussen back on three days of rest, after throwing 89 pitches in Game 2, isn't likely to boost their odds, paritcularly when going up against Misiorowski.
tjcook87
In a hypothetical Game Six/Game Seven scenario, what former Brewers would most hype up the crowd for a first pitch? How loud a response would CC Sabathia generate, for example?
Jay Jaffe
Well, they went with their Hall of Famers Robin Yount and Bud Selig before Game 1, and Paul Molitor before Game 2. If you're thinking in terms of franchise icons, the next in line is probably Ryan Braun. In terms of other recent icons, Prince Fielder certainly spent a lot longer in Milwaukee than Sabathia, who's really much more associated with the Yankees now that he's got the Hall of Fame plaque, the Yankee Stadium plaque, and the retired jersey number. Stars from the 1982 team would include Cecil Cooper and Gorman Thomas. I don't have a great feel for who would generate the loudest response but I think fans would be happy to see any or all of them, though I strongly suspect this series won't get back to Milwaukee.
Eshan Mehere
brian cashman has to be in the HOF conversation no? I mean 29 consecutive winning seasons is ridiculous. also is there any chance milwaukee sells high on garrett mitchell
Jay Jaffe
For sure, eventually. Cashman is too young to be placed on the ballot while still active. A manager has to be 65 or older and 6 months into retirement to be eligible, while an exec has to be 70 or older (can still be active).
drplantwrench
Do you think the crowd being mostly/substantially brewers fans points to the unhealthy state of baseball fandom in tampa bay?
Jay Jaffe
not particularly. The more lopsided a series, the less likely fans of that team are to shell out hundreds or thousands of dollars per ticket. I'd say this is more a commentary on the enthusiasm of Brewers fans willing to travel and to pay big bucks.
tjcook87
Ew Joe West
Jay Jaffe
Indeed.
ResumeMan
Someone in Ben's chat yesterday said they hope the "45 degree rule" on checked swings that's being tested in the minors doesn't get adopted in MLB because "it will advantage the hitters." But the hitters *need* advantages, they're totally outclassed right now. If this rule can shave off a few K's and also give them a split-second more time to commit, all to the good. If that results in too many dingers, maybe then you can soften the ball.
Jay Jaffe
While I haven't done any research on the leagues that have experiemented with it, a 45-degree rule sounds quite reasonable AND I think could slightly nudge offense upward while lowering strikeout rates without forcing pitchers to do something like throwing from a longer distance (which I think will lead to them throwing harder to chase velocity nonetheless)
grandadmiralbraun
With Joey Ortiz basically becoming that "well-rounded offensive player with great defense" that the FG prospect write-up foretold and three years of team control, does he become a possible trade-candidate for the Brewers to replenish parts elsewhere (similar to the Durbin deal with Boston)? The Brewers have Pratt locked up thru 2033 and Jesus Made seemingly ready….
Jay Jaffe
At some point, he's probably trade fodder, but I don't know that a move will be imminent. Made had an excellent season in Double-A at age 19 but I'm not sure that the Brewers need to bulldoze their roster to find a spot in the infield for him on Opening Day 2027. Having a veteran like Ortiz could be quite helpful when it's time to break him in.
war2d2
Jay! I don’t really have a question, just a feeling of existential dread about my, like, third-most-hated team winning the WS heading into what will probably be a long, cold winter. Baseball has been a welcome crutch for me in what has been one of the more difficult years of my adult life, and I’m both sad to see it go and sad to see the season end this way. Any recommendations for staving off the darkness in the winter months?
war2d2
I realize now that sounded a lot more ominous than I intended; I’m not in any peril, and fall/winter are usually the seasons I’m most comfortable in. Just feeling bereft is all.
Jay Jaffe
There are a million books, TV shows, and movies out there that you probably haven't gotten to yet that can fill the void. Just to throw some TV series out there, lately my wife and i have been streaming Slow Horses, The Night Manager, The Gentlemen, The Lowdown, The Diplomat, Shoresy, Rivals, Shrinking, and Great British Bakeing Show. We loved Widow's Bay, and and I just found an SCTV archive on Netflix
Fun-Hating Dork
The secondary market in Milwaukee during Games 1 and 2 was apparently so nutso that it was legit cheaper to fly to Tampa, get a hotel and go to Game 3.
Jay Jaffe
That's wild!
Alex Remington
Why wasn't Simpson subjected to the concussion protocol after ramming full speed into the wall?
Jay Jaffe
That's a good question. I imagine since he didn't appear impeded after making the play, the Rays didn't send their training staff out to check on him. I don't know for sure but I suspect somebody at least checked on him in the dugout or clubhouse after he came in. He sounded fine during his brief in-game interview with Ken Rosenthal.
Given the possibility of lingering effects, I do imagine (and hope) that the Rays staff is keeping an eye on him.
Alex Remington
"it's unsporting to pile on the 1991 Braves for Ron Gant getting pulled off first base by the Twins' Kent Hrbek in Game 2" – It is indeed, as that was unsportsmanlike conduct for which Hrbek should have been either warned or ejected! Alex Rodriguez was criticized far more for slapping Bronson Arroyo's glove. Hrbek pulling Gant off the bag was, *at best*, a bush league play; to my eyes, insofar as he was trying *successfully* to get one over on the umps, it was outright cheating, no more licit than the hidden ball trick and quite a bit less charming.
Jay Jaffe
File this under World Series Plays That Would Have Been Affected by a Replay Challenge.
Bud Smith
Kyle Harrison is quite close to spending the entire postseason on the active roster, yet never appearing in a game. Can you recall any other cases of that happening?
Jay Jaffe
I can't think of any offhand. Crowd, got any nominees?
daml91
Who you got for WS MVP right now? Seems very close to me between Chourio and Contreras.
Jay Jaffe
Yeah it's down to those two, I think. Chourio is 8-for-14 with a double, 2 RBI, 3 steals, and one big assist (the Hicks play), Contreras is 7-for-13 with 3 RBI, 3 caught stealing (in 7 attempts) and god knows how many successful challenges behind the plate. Either would be a reasonable choice but I can see Contreras getting it on the basis of handling the pitching staff.
Jay Jaffe
OK, i just created a poll on that MVP question which published at the top of the chat, please vote if. you're still around.
JustinPBG
Chris Turner (backup C) played zero innings for the 2000 Yankees. So it's probably backup catchers
Jay Jaffe
Regarding the rostered players who didn't play in the postseason. Backup catcher makes sense.
Grandpaboy
Two O/U questions. (1) Skubal signing date: 11/15 (2) Total deal $400m. What say you?
Jay Jaffe
I've got the Skubal capsule for our upcoming Top 50 Free Agents list, but I've only given these questions brief thought. My hunch is that his lack of a robust 32-start platform season and the impending lockout both keep him shy of $400 million, and if he signs before the lockout it will be in the final week. Like November 30ish
rbetzel
There had been whispers of Stephen Vogt interviewing in SEA (since then, they've been shot down). But it would seemingly require that he be traded to SEA. This got me thinking… what kind of return could a club expect for a manager? Cash? How do you unambiguously quantify a manager's contribution to a team?
Jay Jaffe
Well, we've seen a few trades of managers in the 21st century. The Rays acquired Piniella and infielder Antonio Pérez rom the Mariners in exchange for outfielder Randy Winn — a 3-4 win player at his peak _ in October 2002. The White Sox acquired a couple of scrubs for Ozzie Guillen in September 2011, and the Blue Jays acquired Mike Aviles for David Carpenter and manager John Farrell in October 2012. The Winn return was widely viewed as an overpay, so I'd say that future returns aren't going to be guys who leave very big impacts even if it's a very good manager like Vogt.
michaelgarman
Not exactly what the question is asking but Charlie Silvera won six World Series rings with the Yankees ('49-'53 and '56) and only appeared in a single game (1949 G2). Backup catchers again
Jay Jaffe
notable, though those World Series didn't include additional rounds of playoffs.
Jeremy Fox
The '82 Brewers were Harvey's Wallbangers. What should the nickname of this Brewers team be? Pat's Bats seems too, uh, pat.
Jay Jaffe
Nothing alliterative or rhyming with Pat or Murph(y) comes to mind for me. Whatever it is, the bar is very high to beat Harvey's Wallbangers
souldougie
Do you have any personal baseball "Mandela Effects"? For me, I could've sworn Harvey Kuenn was a hall-of-famer (not that I think he deserves it necessarily), to the point where I thought I remembered seeing a plaque for him in my book about the HOF I had as a kid.
Jay Jaffe
Once in awhile I get confused about which popular 19th century players are in and which aren't, guys like Jack Glasscock, Bill Dahlen, and Tony Mullane, but I always figure it out before I have to go look it up. I know from recent experience that I tend to lump Roger Clemens and Pete Rose in with their Hall of Fame teammates whe I'm reeling off a list, then of course I have to go back and re-engineer those sentences.
Jay Jaffe
Ok folks, that's it from me this week. No chat for me next week as we'll be dark for election day. Please go vote! And enjoy the rest of the World Series, if you can.
Jay Jaffe
Looks like Contreras is winning World Series MVP poll by a 2-to-1 margin. Not sure if I have to close it separately or not. If not, I'll keep it open for those who come across the transcript
Thanks for stopping by!
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent seasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating a contract crowdsourcing project, with the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowd to better understand and project the 2026-27 free agent market.
In recent years, we’ve added a few features to these ballots based on reader feedback. You now have the option to indicate that a player will only receive a minor league contract, or won’t receive a contract at all. If there is a player option, team option, or opt out in a player’s contract, you’ll be able to indicate whether you think he will remain with his current team or become a free agent. Statistics are prorated to full season values where noted. Unless otherwise indicated, the projected WAR figures are from the first cut of the 2027 Steamer600 projections.
Below are ballots for 11 of this year’s free agents — in this case, a group of relievers. Read the rest of this entry »
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent seasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating a contract crowdsourcing project, with the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowd to better understand and project the 2026-27 free agent market.
In recent years, we’ve added a few features to these ballots based on reader feedback. You now have the option to indicate that a player will only receive a minor league contract, or won’t receive a contract at all. If there is a player option, team option, or opt out in a player’s contract, you’ll be able to indicate whether you think he will remain with his current team or become a free agent. Statistics are prorated to full season values where noted. Unless otherwise indicated, the projected WAR figures are from the first cut of the 2027 Steamer600 projections.
Below are ballots for nine of this year’s free agents — in this case, a group of first basemen and designated hitters. Read the rest of this entry »
ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — Pat Murphy, face stern and wide as ever, stepped forward and cupped his hands to his ears to signal a replay challenge.
With runners on first and second and two out in the top of the fifth inning of Game 3 of the World Series, William Contreras had just topped a ball to third. Instead of making a throw across the diamond, Junior Caminero went the short way for the force at second.
Caminero’s got a big arm, and Contreras is a catcher, but still — the Rays third baseman was on the move and off-balance after spinning to grab the ball. With two outs, Christian Yelich was running on contact, but the 34-year-old doesn’t run like he used to. Might as well go next door. It was a bang-bang play, but second base umpire Dan Bellino called Yelich out. Read the rest of this entry »
The first two games of the World Series were each decided by one run. By one measly run on Friday night and one measly run on Saturday night, the Rays found their backs against the wall. Erase a baserunning blunder here or a defensive lapse there, and the series could have been tied, or even 2-0 in favor of Tampa Bay rather than Milwaukee. Such things can haunt a team. In Game 3 on Monday night, the Brewers relieved the Rays of those would’ves, could’ves, and should’ves with a 10-1 thrashing that left no room for doubt. It was kind of like taking somebody’s mind off a scraped knee by punching them in the throat.
Lefty Robert Gasser, fresh off his first fullish major league season, continued his sparkling postseason run. Gasser went six innings, allowed just two baserunners, and because one was erased by a double play and the other on a caught stealing, he faced just 18 batters. If you’re keeping score at home, that’s the fewest batters you can face over six innings. Jackson Chourio, continuing his bid for World Series MVP and household name status, racked up four base hits, all of them hit 99 mph or harder. But singling out individual Brewers misses the larger point. All nine hitters in the Milwaukee starting lineup reached base. Eight of them had base hits. Eight of them had at least one hard-hit ball. Eight of them had at least one RBI. All nine of them scored. They outhit the Rays, 16-3.
The Rays started former Brewer ace Freddy Peralta, and for short while, it looked like he might give his old team fits and give the Rays a chance to climb back into the series. But a wild fifth inning put an end to that particular revenge fantasy. The Brewers led by so much that they emptied the bench to make sure everybody got to hit. They led by so much that they put in Brandon Woodruff, whose shoulder had kept him out since the Fourth of July, to pitch the ninth. The Brewers lead the series 3-0, and as we all know, that makes them the 44th team in AL/NL history to go up 3-0 in a seven-game series. Forty-two of the previous 43 went on to close the deal. In other words, history says the Brewers have a 97.67% chance of raising the trophy, while the Rays have just a 2.33% chance of snatching it from their yeasty, hoppy hands. Read the rest of this entry »
Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the World Series game today. Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual staff Q&A chats, your messages will be posted immediately.
Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.
bob
It's 6:46?
Sean Dolinar
7:47 here.
bob
Was awaiting the fellow members with greater knowledge to arrive and impart Baseball Knowledge.
Benny The Jet
Busy weekend, mostly missed the first two games, but it is extremely good to be back!
Michael Baumann
Good news: The series doesn't start until the home team loses, so you didn't miss anything!
Michael Baumann
I think Rays fans get a really hard ride and I will straight up fight anyone who talks bad on the Trop but getting Jon Gruden to narrate the hype video is not awesome for the Rays
Michael Baumann
You think Dick Vitale wouldn't have done that if they'd called?
g4
I don't know hockey but there had to be a Lightning available and willing
Michael Baumann
I think Nikita Kucherov is still drunk from the parade a couple years back
millvillemeltdownedited
i have been kind of rooting for milwaukee but i am kind of hoping for them to win it at home
Sean Dolinar
How is the Trop? That's one of the few parks that I haven't been to.
bosoxforlife
Simply awful , but I hate all indoor baseball, and I think Ty France agrees with me.
lzfreak
It's not just the indoor part, it's just so… empty and soulless in much of the facilities. The concourse has no personality or energy. Ray tank is kinda cool though
drplantwrench
Glory Days came up on shuffle, good vibes
raregokus
This was the only mildly obscene set of flair I could come up with
Matt Martell
Who is the Baywatch reboot for?
drplantwrench
horny people?
raregokus
People of the land. The common clay of the new west. You know, morons.
brewersbibliophile
The same people who got excited 40 years ago for it, and haven’t matured at all
bob
Chourio will ….?
Michael Baumann
Sean can you ban anyone who badmouths the Trop? It's intimate and unique and has great food and really easy fan access, and for all its bland architecture and confused iconography it is instantly recognizable. When it's gone, baseball will be poor and less interesting for it, and I will not stand to have its virtues slandered by those who are either ignorant or have no taste
Matt Martell
How is your press box seat?
Sean Dolinar
Sure can! I also miss Three Rivers often.
raregokus
Frankly we need more stadiums with unique and stupid ground rules, not fewer. Long live the Trop
Michael Baumann
I think PNC is wild overrated but I understand that this is a minority opinion and don't mind it remaining so. Hating the Trop is just too easy and evinces an outlook on life, liberty and baseball that I don't enjoy living alongside
Sean Dolinar
I might not do your ban bidding after you said that about PNC Park.
Kenny
Y'all know that the Oakland Coliseum, pre-Mt. Davis, was the best ever, right?
bob
Been there.
bob
Great summary!
Michael Baumann
I guess I can't stop anyone from begging for a restomod Camden Yards clone surrounded by luxury condos and a strip mall, anchored by a steakhouse with a player's name on it, it's a free country. But I won't let the tyranny of the boring go unchallenged
brewersbibliophile
Since 2000, 11 teams have gone up 2-0 in the World Series. All 11 went on to win, only 2001 Yankees and 2019 Astros forced it to go beyond Game 5
Sean Dolinar
Are you TRYING to jinx yourself?
brewersbibliophile
I have tickets to game 6 and 7, so kinda?
drplantwrench
The Tyranny of the Boring is my band name
Matt Martell
Maybe I overestimate Chandler Simpson's speed, but I think he should've caught Yelich's bloop
Brian Reinhart
that challenge was a Ben batsignal
Sean Dolinar
Another bad challenge.
Sean Dolinar
Another bad *early* challenge.
Brian Reinhart
ohh, Taylor Walls' Devil Ray colored socks are so good
raregokus
I know it's garish as hell but it's my favorite color scheme any major US sports team has had
Anonymous Member #46
Smoltz explaining the leniency of umpires east and west was fascinating. Does the data back it up? The way he was talking made me think he had the numbers but didn't want to lose the casuals.
danodea
I am sick and tired of John Smoltz
raregokus
I hadn't seen Contreras in a while before the playoffs, when did he change where he holds his hands pre-swing? Used to be instantly recognizable but now he's doing something more conventional
Michael Baumann
OK I need to get out of here before I miss even more of the game berating our paying customers
alden
Joe Davis try not to say “fastball freddy” challenge
drplantwrench
if we're not paying to be berated at by baseball minds, then i dont know what my moneys going to
raregokus
I figured getting yelled at by Baumann was an MVP level perk, he's out here just giving away the goods
Brian Reinhart
looking at Vilade batting 2nd, Williamson batting 5th, etc. and frantically pulling up platoon splits to try to understand the Devil Ray Magic
docgooden85
St Petersburg consistently choosing the Devil Rays jerseys is Metal AF
danodea
Former Indianapolis Indian Ryan Vilade
wenz
Maybe the answer to competitive balance is for MLB to force the Dodgers to hire Smoltz as their POBO or manager
raregokus
Can't believe I've never thought of trying to Harrison Bergeron the Dodgers, it's genius
Anonymous Member #46
Williamson is fifth so that Hicks can hit for him the moment the Brewers bring in a righty. It's bait.
alden
Generally not a huge fan of batting order discourse but I’m trying hard to understand why third is the best spot for Simpson
lzfreak
Simpson 3rd vs a lefty is certainly a choice
docgooden85
I hope this means Caminero told them he hates hitting 3rd, but even if so, there have to be better options. Maybe they're leaning into how often the 3 hole comes up with 2 outs and nobody on in the 1st? And Caminero doesn't make enough contact to bat 2nd? I would just bat Caminero 3rd.
jonmberra
Smoltz is so annoying.
drplantwrench
well that should quiet the simpson at 3rd haters
docgooden85
That was probably his average exit velocity
alden
Steve Stone for world series broadcast when
Anonymous Member #46
Shoutout to Davy on that play.
raregokus
Damn, Davy's article from today is instantly proven prescient
alden
Holy crap Davy is prophetic
danodea
Big yikes, Chandler
wenz
Sucks that he got tagged out, but that play makes me want to see just how fast Simpson could go on a Slip N Slide
jonmberra
I don’t think I’ve ever seen such a cleanly stolen Bose turn into an out because the runner was simply going too fast still.
drplantwrench
chandler simpson this inning was that Mike F tweet
drplantwrenchadmin edited
"Check this s**t out motherf**ker [I slide one foot out from under me and fall on my ass, its not clear what kind of move I was trying to do]"
raregokus
Maybe it's just me, but batting Ryan Vilade 2nd is way more egregious than batting Simpson 3rd
Crapshoot
I get Simpson is absurdly fast but man I wonder if you just let Caminero hit there
wenz
Oh my god
raregokus
Holy crap what a catch
Crapshoot
WHAT A CATCH WOW
Sean Dolinar
He just flew through the air.
jonmberra
Holly Chandler Simpson
Benny The Jet
Wow
lzfreak
Chandler Simpson can fly
Francoeursteinadmin edited
Holy s**t! I hope he’s okay
Matt Martell
That was awesome
Jim H
Quite the wall face plant, amazing catch.
wenz
I would literally die if I hit the wall like that
bosoxforlife
Sensational. Seldom do you see a player hit the wall much harder than that.
raregokus
I actually expected him to go through the wall Wile E. Coyote style.
Matt Martell
This game absolutely rules
Francoeurstein
The Trop is rocking!
docgooden85
That was like Wile E. Coyote running into the tunnel painted on the wall. Wow. Ouch.
Crapshoot
I have no idea how the hell he stood up after that – I'm pretty confident they would be picking up my carcass from the dent it left in the wall
Anonymous Member #46
I'm still down and I was watching on TV
docgooden85
rare i didn't see yours, i type slow
raregokus
Hard not to think of Looney Tunes after that
Jim H
That catcher throw would've been more impressive if Chandler hadn't just happened. Timing is everything.
Francoeurstein
Does anyone actually enjoy coaches/players being interviewed mid game? Who is this for?
AdvantageSchneider
His family to see he isn’t hurt.
docgooden85
(outdated answer) to see if La Russa is slurring his words yet in the 3rd inning
raregokus
I was just typing almost exactly this. The only one that was ever worth watching was Freddie Freeman during spring training that one time. 99% of the time they're cringe inducing
carsonmiller
Leave that kind of stuff for the all star game
Sean Dolinar
I was saying this yesterday during the NFL games. They don't tell me anything and are really pointless.
Jeremy Fox
Every time I see Chourio hit I can't believe he ever makes an out. Somehow it seems like every swing is a great swing.
Jeremy Fox
Bauers looked like he wanted to go back and keep hitting. He's had so many long at-bats he's forgotten what short ones are like.
raregokus
This would be a great time for the hidden ball trick
raregokus
That wouldn't have happened if they'd done the hidden ball trick
Brian Reinhart
guytappingforehead.gif
Brian Reinhart
wow a lot happened there
drplantwrench
PLAY GLORY DAYS
lzfreak
Lotta outs on the bases in this series/game
Brian Reinhart
the secondhand embarrassment I felt knowing that the ball would also bounce between my feet for 10 seconds
raregokus
If I had to reach between my legs and slightly behind myself like that, I would 1000% fall on my ass
docgooden85
time never moves slower than this moment
bosoxforlife
The Rays are very lucky the Brewers had a TOOTBLAN.
Anonymous Member #46
That needs to be an error. Bauers held up before the ball was muffed.
raregokus
lol nope! In fact Mesa got an assist! Enjoy your earned run Freddy!
docgooden85
Smart by Mesa Jr to pretend to mess that up just to bait the runner /s
alden
Tony La Russa comment made me think of 3 nights in August. Good book. I want to read it again now. Also just found out same author Bissinger wrote the mosquito bowl which is being turned into a movie rn
Jim H
That Contreras bloop is an easy out in the OF alignment experiment in the AFL now, IMO, since corner OFs are positioned in and close to the lines.
raregokus
I hate that. It's going to kill doubles down the line too. Not a fan.
Jim H
I also saw Kilby drop an 8 iron deep fly on the warning that only a double due to the alignment. Saw three games of it live.
Jeremy Fox
It also feels really weird to make the outfielders stand in designated spots but allow the infielders to shift (within limits). I worry that the AFL OF positioning rule would be a slippery slope to forcing all fielders to stand in designated spots.
jonmberra
I know the games have been kind of close but it just feels like the Brewers are always going to win/
Jim H
I have that same annoying feeling, and I hate it.
HappyFunBall
That how destiny works
lzfreak
Having watched them this postseason I have to say this feels like a really, really good and complete team. One of the best of the decade. If they win this series they'll be more than deserving as a champion.
raregokus
Yeah the universe is definitely pulling for the Brewers. Everything 50/50 is going their way
Jim H
I don't care if they win, I just don't want 4 games.
Jon Becker
I am fascinated by Contreras preemptively putting his hand towards his helmet to challenge before the call even happens. I'm sure it's just to be ready but I do wonder if it goads the umpire into a strike call, too
Phil
I can't remember if it was Ceddanne Rafaela or Wilyer Abreu this year who was so determined to challenge he challenged a call that went his way.
alden
I noticed this too, if I was home plate ump or opposing coach/manager I would say something, can’t really be having him possibly influencing ump’s calls like that. not hating tho I love how aggressive Contreras is with his challenges
Jon Becker
(also hi)
Brian Reinhart
Contreras' slow nod when he won the challenge was so, so satisfying
Brian Reinhart
absolutely a GIF
Crapshootedited
Smoltz is an idiot – I have no idea who his fanbase is anymore. It's just so regressive
Jon Becker
I do think Smoltz was right about that challenge, tbh
Crapshoot
in the sense that the upside wasn't worth it?
Jon Becker
Yeah. It was really really close, not an egregious call by the umpire, and it's Taylor Walls up by two runs with nobody on
Sean Dolinar
I actually don't mind it if the catcher is THAT good at it.
bosoxforlife
Even if he was right that is still a terrible challenge.
danodea
I would pay $100 to get Smoltz off the broadcast and replace him with almost anyone else
millvillemeltdown
would you pay smoltz that $100?
danodea
Does he need it?!
Jeremy Fox
Here in Canada we have different announcers. Sportsnet has their own broadcast team for the WS.
Brian Reinhart
it's Votto'clock
Sean Dolinar
How are they?
raregokus
Please don't give him a chance to rub it in
Alan Sherman
At least for me in Canada, the play-by play is Dave Flemming who I love. Looks like his color man may be Ryan Spilborghs, who apparently does Rockies radio now?
bosoxforlife
Spilborghs is a regular on MLB radio.
Jeremy Fox
So far this definitely feels like a series between a 100+ win team by Pythag or BaseRuns in the stronger league, and a 88-90 win team by Pythag or BaseRuns in the weaker league.
Brian Reinhart
(unless the series is in OOTP)
raregokus
Is it too much to ask for the OOTP version of that same matchup (when you're controlling the 100 Pythag win team) for the next few games?
raregokus
what the hell I can't believe I got beaten to the punch on the OOTP reference
BryanB
Hello yall! Finally joining, great game so far.
Sean Dolinar
Called that a swing.
BryanB
Deep breath, Coop
Dave from DC
The tradition of, shall we say, old-school announcers is what it is, but what is shocking about Smoltz is how many of his sentences are literally tautological. I wish I could remember the example from game 2 that had me chuckling–something about value being valuable.
Phil
You just gotta say what you gotta say, you know? Those who played the game, played the game, and they understand that it is what it is and it's gonna be what it's gonna be.
BryanB
Reminds me of the basketball scene from Bedazzled
raregokus
At least twice a game he'll start a metaphor and completely lose the thread halfway through, then just babble until the PBP guy saves him
Dave from DC
Agreed
jtrichey
Watching this series I return to the thought that the American League was really terrible this year. I think if the Brewers and the Rays were in the same division, the Brewers would be 15 games better than the Rays. The Rays might be the 6th or 7th best team in the NL.
Sean Dolinar
It's weird to me to think of NL being so strong.
sadtrombone
The Rays were probably something like the 4th – 6th best team in baseball this year but the AL was so bad they looked like juggernaut. Sometimes the underdog wins anyway but
BryanB
Brewers not playing small ball today?
alden
imo smoltz has drastically improved his attitude on the broadcast toward modern baseball over the last few years but it still feels like he’s doing it begrudgingly
BryanB
I still think there should be a Fangraphs announcer at all games to insert hella random stat facts
Phil
Didn't Meg do some AFL games or something like that?
jtrichey
Like how players do on their bobblehead day?
Jeremy Fox
Rays BLEPH- is 73.2
danodea
Contreras for WS MVP?!
Crapshoot
Contreras NAILING every challenge is just watching someone who is a step function above at something just nailing it
raregokus
It's the obvious disdain that really makes it.
Sean Dolinar
Wow.
GammaDraconis
@Sean Dolinar: How do I get post-season games to show up in a player's game log?
I thought that was a bad decision to challenge. I was wrong.
Jim H
Agree it was a bad one…for mortals
bosoxforlife
It was still a bad challenge. Too much risk in a low leverage situation.
AdvantageSchneider
Given the value of strikeouts it seems like a challenge that results in a k is almost always worth it.
Jeremy Fox
Contreras has been like this all season, he challenges way more often than anyone else, he's right more often than not, and he's right at only a slightly below-average rate. Why would he change now? Why should he? It's been working.
BryanB
Contreras clearly has the psychic old lady on his side
Brian547
The super obvious fake Jamacian?
danodea
I haven't thought about Miss Cleo in a very long time
alden
Peralta for Adam Lind trade keeps me up at night ngl
BryanB
Man I wish there was an election coming up.
Brian547
And now all Im thinking about is whether Miss Cleo actually did predict the grifting future and just try and start early with the… Whatever these idiots will literally believe anything bit.
Kenny
Every team of destiny is a small market Central Division team with an iconic fan favorite catcher who will be elected to the Hall of Fame as a result of their World Series performance in spite of their otherwise iffy case.
BryanB
No finger wag?
alden
That boy nice
BryanB
Chourio + Contreras = Critical Cs
Brian547edited
Caibo Cids? Big stretch both VEN born
lzfreak
I think Chourio has the talent to win an mvp
Kenny
(Frantically trying to figure out whether Endy Rodriguez, Henry Davis, or Rafael Flores Jr. is up to the task.)
danodea
Endy would be great if he could simply stop being injured all the time
Sean Dolinar
We could turn this into Pirates chat real fast. But then everyone else will leave.
Kenny
(Yes, I already know the answer.)
Jeremy Fox
The way the Brewers bullpen has been pitching, this feels like it's 5-0.
Crapshootedited
I said it after Game 2, but I think this series will be a real test if seeing the same reliever a few times is an advantage (Im thinking Uribe vs Caminero as an example). I'm unaware of any great studies on the topic (seems like a cool fangraphs article topic) but my mental model is something like the 3rd time through the order penalty?
Brian Reinhart
little surprised there isn't a canonical article about this given how often it's discussed in the manager report card series.
lzfreak
Why Nick Martinez for multiple innings tonight? Don't they have enough real relievers to cover effectively after Peralta leaves?
Brian547edited
Maybe I am wrong but I thought the consensus on Chourio was that he is likely already at his peak? Not all young players improve toward their mid 20's
lzfreak
He improved a lot this year and is only 22. I have a hard time imagining this is his peak
Brian547
Trout was never better than he was at 22? Acuna? Heyward?
lzfreak
Sure it's possible. But he was a top prospect, in the majors at 20, and 4.6 war isn't as hard to top as those other guy's age 22 seasons
Jim H
I don't think he had an obvious peak this year. His high BABIP of .348 this year is suggestive he just had the kind of year that ends up being a peak year in retrospect, often. But I could never assume he isn't capable of more, even if the probability is 15%
Brian547edited
Don't get me wrong… dude is phenomenal at baseball… just not sure where the upside is for more? Could very easily hit for more power as he ages but feel like the rest will decline.
lzfreak
I think there's plenty of room to improve his approach. Probably some meat on the bone defensively too. I think he's got a 7 win season in there he can unlock
Jim H
There's some room to grow the walk rate if pitchers work around him due to more power.
Brian547
Oh ill take the under there… odds?
Matt Martell
I'd say Trout was at his best at 26. His two best WAR seasons were 20 and 21, but he was a better, more complete hitter in 2018-19, and I think that's the version I'd rather have on my team.
Brian547
This is fair I was just picking off the top of my head… There is surely a better example out there.
lzfreak
I'd take 3:1 on him having a 7 win season at some point haha
Brian547
Ok so we agree not likely
lzfreak
Yeah it's not a gimme but I think he has the talent to pull it off. Most guys don't, but he's in the class of guys who could make it happen is all I'm saying.
bosoxforlife
Julio Rodriquez is a better example of what you are trying to say IMHO.
lzfreak
Rodriguez could win an mvp too! These are young talented players who have some room for growth. I like Chourio's trajectory a little better but Rodriguez is great too
Brian547
Good call
sadtrombone
I don’t think there is any consensus at all about Chourio. There were only something like a dozen rookie position players younger than him this year. He’s 22 and could easily add another full grade of raw power and / or improve his swing decisions. Or he could not do those things, but I think chances are one of them happens.
Jeremy Fox
Peralta's never been a surgeon, but I wonder if he's getting a little tired and losing command because he's been throwing max effort.
bosoxforlife
Looks safe to me.
Sean Dolinar
Safe, but you gotta try something.
AdvantageSchneider
Second base didn’t give a great stretch on that.
Phil
Did not think we'd see Booser this early.
Jeremy Fox
Cheers for the overturn–how many Brewers fans are in the stadium?
bosoxforlife
Still a nice try by Caminero who is showing a lot more glove than he was given credit for.
Brian Reinhart
reminder that Ben Williamson is a Ray because of Dave Cameron and Jeff Sullivan
alden
The crew can do no wrong
Anonymous Member #46
Chandler Simpson's noodle arm is why Contreras could score there.
Phil
Is this series over? Man.
Anonymous Member #46
Is now.
Jeremy Fox
"They think it's all over…It is now!"
Sean Dolinar
This used to be an interesting WS.
Crapshoot
oof I feel for the Rays but the Brewers feel like the ultimate team of destiny right now
drplantwrench
GLORY DAYS
AdvantageSchneideredited
I and all of the over 50 Brewers fans needed this.
Thornton Melon
I'm a 49-year old Brewers fan and also needed this
Dave from DC
Brewers are team of destiny. I will be happy to see them win, but I was really hoping the Rays would bring one home after years of being so good with so little.
Anonymous Member #46
Ooh, we should get a Brandon Woodruff cameo later now.
sadtrombone
I agree, this is the perfect time to let him have his moment.
Jeremy Fox
Won't be for a while. Gasser's only thrown 44 pitches with 1 H and 0 BB, surely the Brewers will just ride him for a while.
Brian547
TB kinda BABIP'd CLE so I dont feel so bad about this
HappyFunBall
Well that got out of hand quickly
Deduno Abides
Nothing against Cam Booser, but maybe he wasn't the right guy to bring in?
Crapshoot
FWIW, having railed on Smoltz earlier, that line "it breaks you down" is where the announcers + context as a baseball player resonated
Benny The Jet
Groundball to 3B, groundball to SS, chopper in the hole, chopper down the line, 5 runs
Kenny
There is one thing that's still missing from the forthcoming "team of destiny" movie. Ex-MVP/Captain near the end of his career needs to hit an iconic homerun. I mean, tonight the man's got two hits, a walk, and a great overturned call after which he scored. But the scriptwriters are begging for a homerun in Game 4.
danodea
Vogelbach sighting
Brian547
Why are we hanging out Booser to dry here… I get the game is likely lost but, feels bad.
Phil
I thought the Brewers were better than the Rays. But I didn't think it would be like this. Amazing how the Rays' strengths–exploiting pitching matchups, defense, all the stuff around the edges–just seem to be kind of evaporating.
Brian547
Almost like a few games is a bad way of deciding which team is actually better?
HappyFunBall
Bring back the best of 9!
Phil
Well, yes. But I am still surprised.
sadtrombone
This is a thing that the Brewers do very well too, and has always evaporated for them in the playoffs as well. In the playoffs it’s hard to optimize because a lot of the scrubs you face in the regular season aren’t playing in a best of 7.
GammaDraconis
Only question now is whether the Brewers sweep again.
sadtrombone
It’s crazy to me that the Brewers have only lost one game this postseason. And aside from this one and one game against the Dodgers it hasn’t felt like any of them were one-sided.
JohnThacker
They have come from behind in nearly every game, it really is amazing.
lzfreak
Has Sulser been on this roster the whole time?
Nick Smith
Wait. I thought *you* brought him….
Jeremy Fox
Time to start googling "biggest blowouts in the WS"
Jeremy Fox
1936 WS, Yankees 18-4 over the Giants.
Crapshoot
Wait this genuinely has to be a record right for a WS Game? 7 straight 2 out hits?
Brian547edited
GTP returned this…The absolute maximum number of consecutive hits by one team in any single World Series inning is 6 consecutive hits. In 1908!!
alden
Ouch this is demoralizing for TB. Letting game 2 slip away is going to haunt them
lzfreak
Brewers could outscore the Packers from yesterday
danodea
good lord
danodea
At least I can go to bed at a reasonable time
bosoxforlife
I needed a good night's sleep.
Crapshoot
Ok this is a parody at this point no?
alden
oof
wenz
We going to see Woodruff tonight?
Brian Reinhart
can't wait for the Rasmussen/Martinez switcheroo 3000 word deep dive
Phil
Has there ever been a position player pitcher in a World Series game? Surely not, right?
Just googled it. Never in the WS. Twice in the postseason. Cliff Pennington in 2015 and Austin Romine in 2018, both in the 9th inning.
drplantwrench
we going see woodruff bat tonight?
Brian547
It was a fun question… Chat GTP thinks…The absolute maximum number of consecutive hits by one team in any single World Series inning is 6 consecutive hits. In 1908!
lzfreak
For any lurking Rays fans, they have an opportunity to have the largest comeback in WS history (I assume)
Jeremy Fox
Yup. Record comeback is from 8 runs down.
bosoxforlife
Game 4, 1929. The A's scored 10 in the 7th to overcome an 8-0 Cubs lead.
lzfreak
That's such a 1909-2015 Cubs thing to happen
Crapshoot
Contreras lol – is that the equivalent of stealing a base up 10?
lzfreak
Every Brewer in the starting lineup has outscored the Rays so far
Nick Smith
That's just mean.
alden
Gahdamn bill that is an ice cold challenge right there
wenz
That inning reminded me of the 2003 NLCS but without the controversy
alden
Through Ben Williamson all things are possible, so you can write that down
Phil
Brewers radio just confirmed that 7 straight 2-out hits is a WS record.
Alan Sherman
I have a old time book about the World Series (ends with Koufax in the 1960's) and the 1929 chapter is called The Big Inning
wenz
What's the book called?
bosoxforlife
Should Murphy let Gasser throw 100 pitches and give the bullpen a night off?
Anonymous Member #46
Until the score is within five or so, absolutely.
lzfreak
Unless he starts looking shaky or gets hurt I say let Gasser gas
Bud Smith
That, or maybe today is finally the day for Kyle Harrison
Brian547
Vogt would be bringing in Smith!
Jeremy Fox
At this rate Gasser won't need to throw 100 pitches because he's going to throw a Maddux.
Alan Sherman
Greatest World Series Thrillers by Ray Robinson
Phil
Woah, the 10-run inning in 1929 was a comeback from down 8-0. That is a lot more of a thing!
Alan Sherman
It's so old I have the copy from my dad's elementary school library, and also the copy from my own middle school library
lzfreak
I'm curious how we get multiple Ashby innings tonight
BryanB
Glad I was in the car with my daughter watching that together
Brian547
Very happy to read that and check your flair and see MIL and not TB!
bosoxforlife
I hope you weren't on the road driving!
Alan Shermanedited
Presumably they were sold for being outdated and my dad and I are big enough baseball dorks that we brought them home
Jeremy Fox
[guytappingheadinaRayscap.gif]: Don't have to face Ashby if you're down by 10.
alden
Been hearing an upsetting number of songs I love in commercials lately
Brian547
So at the end of the Chat GTP commercial, They all die on the boat right?
Anonymous Member #46
They boil away the seas with all the greenhouse gas emissions and walk to the smoldering remains of civilization.
Jeremy Fox
Worst shutout loss in WS history is 12-0. Yankees over Pirates, game 6, 1960.
Kenny
Proof that the Rays can still win, if you ask me.
alden
Smoltz and Davis sound like they don’t want to be there anymore
SadaharuWhoa
"I don't even want to be around anymore" -Carl Havoc
Brian547edited
"The hell with it, no one is listening anyway." Come on. We need a Uek ref
Alan Sherman
Another very curse- era cubs fact, from the book: The same pitcher was on the mound for the Cubs at the beginning of the Big Inning who gave up Babe Ruth's called shot in 1932: Charlie Root
Deduno Abides
1991: Carl Willis gave up a cycle in the 8th inning of a 14-5 loss.
Hazmat Corntail
I love that in that 8 run inning, the same guy (Bauers) somehow made the 2nd and 3rd outs of the inning. Baseball.
Nick Smith
He's getting teased mercilessly for that.
Anonymous Member #46
Kangaroo Court is going to come for his whole playoff share.
GammaDraconis
And did it the same way. Fly ball to Simpson.
Jeremy Fox
So, looking ahead, do 3-0 leads in the playoffs turn into sweeps any more or less often than you'd expect?
Brian547
Very surprisingly a strong YES… ~75% sweeps
Jeremy Fox
Brewers still running, wow.
Jeremy Fox
In the regular season, losses this big seem easy to shake off. It's just one weird game where nothing went our way, it happens, we'll get 'em tomorrow. In the WS, seems like it'd be harder to shake off.
Sonny L
Kevin Millar voice: “don’t let Tampa win one!”
Brian547
Time for picking Dave Roberts first in the vanquished opponents players/mangers draft?
GammaDraconis
Maybe Tampa should try a different jersey tomorrow
alden
Man Kevin Brown got so robbed of the ‘98 CY
Brian547
I pulled up the leaderboard and instantly went…"It must have been Maddux… nope Glavine???"
alden
Literally 100 more Ks and 25 fewer BB than Glavine. But of course Glavine got 20 Ws so everything else goes out the window
Crapshoot
haahahahaha
Crapshoot
Contreras man
Crapshoot
What can you even say anymore?
GammaDraconisedited
I get it. If William says it's a strike, it's a strike.
Crapshoot
Grant Brisbee used to have a great bit that we should just let Brandon Belt call his own balls and strikes and I think it needs to be updated to Contreras
BryanB
I’m gonna go on Kalshi and bet my life savings on the Rays.
Brian547
Life savings = 50 cents? Because then it may be a good investment…
lzfreak
Gasser making a hipster WS mvp case
Phil
Getting handshakes now.
GammaDraconis
Gasser is done? Darn. I wanted him to go for the shutout.
Marc Kartman
just joined. Huge Crew fan who moved to Milwaukee from So
alden
Let’s just all agree to award Vogey WS MVP regardless of the outcome of the series
Brian547
Ueker… its a bit too late but would be fun.
Phil
Is there a write-in space on the ballot?
Brian Reinhart
Gasser threw 90+ pitches eight times this season, including 100+ twice
Nick Smith
Somebody get Smoltz some coffee!
Brian547
Oh please NO!! Let him fade out!!
Jeremy Fox
I know nobody likes Smoltz, but it seems like WS blowouts must be hard for any announcing crew to call. If you're a local crew calling a regular season blowout, you can talk about nonsense just to pass the time. Can't do that in the WS.
alden
I wonder if John Kruk or Steve Stone are available to fill in for Smoltz the rest of the game?
Brian Reinhart
Joe Davis also decides to leave and it's Kruk & Keith for the remainder
Marc Kartman
SoCal in 1999 and lived there till 2016. Became a huge Brewers fan. Bought 3 full season tickets for next season so I could get WS tickets. It'll be a long commute from SoCal but it looks like it was worth it! Being at Game 1 with my wife and adult son was one of the most memorable experiences of my life. And we were at Dodger Stadium for game 4 too. Sports fandom can be heartbreaking until it isn't.
Phil
Cool to be at those games!
BryanB
I think you hang in there, keep repeating anything can happen, bring up the things ya’ll are
Brian547
As a CLE fan from the 90's I hated ATL, but liked Smoltz the player… Always thought he was fun. So the dislike for his announcing is kinda honest.
Phil
I kinda liked him as a person his one year in Boston, which was terrible. He was very frank in interviews.
No Pe
Seeing the NL representative perform like this against AL does feel very on brand for the 2026 season….
The chat did correctly call that at 2-0 the game felt over
BryanB
Already talking about tomorrow lol
alden
Fearsome 3 hole hitter Chandler Simpson
sadtrombone
Chandler Simpson is fun as they come but him only running a .331 BABIP and a .049 ISO gives the story away. He has no power at all.
Daclubbies
Bauer needs a hit, cmon..
Brian547edited
Can we get Contreras to pitch the 9th?
Daclubbies
Is that allowed?
Brian547
Strongly Strongly frowned upon but allowed!
alden
Milwaukee is probably too good to let this happen but I felt a weird premonition when Bauers struck out in the first that in that moment he turned into a pumpkin again and spent all of his good baseball playing ability
Jeremy Fox
The Rays trying to chase all sorts of tiny edges (and possibly overthinking it in the process) definitely hits different given how this series has played out so far. Saving your ace for game 2, sitting Aranda vs. a lefty, and batting Vilade second all come off as kind of sad when you're getting squashed.
DavidRifkin
Yung Gravy
Brian547
Getting billing over TOM CRUISE!
BryanB
Don’t even know who he is
Jeremy Fox
I want to see Contreras pitch just to see if his ABS challenge magic works from 60 feet away.
BryanB
Wait until he challenges his own pitch. Then the alternate reality opens.
Nick Smith
The human. Oracle.
alden
The Human Oracle? What are we doing here
Nick Smith
They are hurting for something to talk about, I guess?
BryanB
Are there non-human oracles?
alden
This is what I thought. I thought oracles were almost exclusively clairvoyant women getting high on gnarly volcanic sulfur fumes
Jeremy Fox
Are people riffing on US commercials that I can't see because I'm in Canada? Should I start riffing on Canadian commercials?
BryanB
I think the chat has spiraled
Nick Smith
Just commenting on what Smoltz, Davis and co. are yammering about.
Sean Dolinar
If it's about All Dressed chips, Pizza Pizza's garlic cream sauce or milk in a bag, then yes!
Brian547
Just because your election of stupidity is over does not mean you have to rub it in…
OnWI1933
Murph managing like it’s Little League. Everyone gets to play
A Salty Scientist
He better put Woody in.
Matt Martell
I would love to know what Tom Cruise thinks about The Trop
BryanB
Announcers have totally given up
Jeremy Fox
Does Pat Murphy still look pissed off?
BryanB
How do you tell?
Marc Kartman
fyi Gary Sanchez is the Brewers official position player closer.
alden
Joe Davis goes home and takes the edge off with a long, tall glass of almond milk with dodger blue food coloring
Brian547
Star Wars ref?
Marc Kartman
did you see the shot of Murph and Dickie V? I think they went to high school together.
Daclubbies
Cruise played a Mummy hunter and Reacher. Playing an Oracle in a 300 Movie wouldnt be stretch
Brian547edited
Grant Brizbee in his article on the commercials pointed out that he had no idea what the Sidney Sweeny commercial is advertising … He is right.. I still dont.
BryanB
Tanning lotion I think
Brian547
Modesty
Brian Reinhart
I actually think Pat should manage like little league now…let Woodruff take the 9th, make sure Drohan and Harrison are in the G4 plan
BryanBedited
I think the Rays didn’t use the right rum with Jobu
Brian547edited
Jobu will not forget this typo! Is very bad to misspell Jaboo's name… IS VERY BAD!
BryanB
What typo
BryanB
Commercials I never need to see again: HP, Liberty, T-Mobile
Brian547edited
My mom is legit offended by the one making fun of the people using the stairlift. Think its one of the insurance ones?
OnWI1933
Was it discussed why Cash didn’t bring in Baker after Peralta? He’s not pitched this Series so has to be rested. He’s their best reliever. High leverage situation
Brian547
I honestly think simpson may have thought… Screw that, im not diving again there
Jeremy Fox
I am in Calgary. I will trade you HP, Liberty, and T-Mobile commercials for Firehouse subs and the Ontario government.
Brian547
Deal
Crapshoot
Woodruff is warming up! Love that
Brian Reinhart
that'll leave Drohan and Harrison as the only two of 26 who haven't been used yet
OnWI1933
I think batters should have the choice of not accepting first on a HBP
BryanB
Strike zone bigger than the mascot
Brian547
Do we think that challenge was a bit of having a laugh by the rays?
Jeremy Fox
I know the Rays don't draw, but still shocked just how many Brewers fans there seem to be in the park tonight. It's the World Series!
BryanB
I mean ya kinda saw that coming
Anonymous Member #46
shhhhhhh
drplantwrench
thats just mean to woodruff
A Salty Scientist
Should have floated one Rowengartner-style
Sean Dolinar
We have at least one more of these tomorrow! Hopefully it's a more interesting game. Good night all!
The 2026 Arizona Fall League is three weeks old and I’ve now seen every team at least a handful of times. This means I’ve got a handle on a good bit of the league and also can start to identify what gaps I need to fill in during the second half of the slate.
I’ve updated the Fall League tab over on The Board to reflect what Brendan Gawlowski (during his week here in Phoenix) and I have assessed, using the “Trend” column to draw your focus to whose stock we think is moving (with the up or down arrows), who has popped onto our radar for the first time (with the “New” label), and who I still need to see more of (with the target) to feel comfortable assessing. We have not changed anyone’s FV grade because three weeks of looks is only a slice of the evaluation pie and our thoughts might yet change, though we have given interim grades to the “New” players.
Below I’m going to take you through my thoughts on the most notable names and movers from the six-team league. I’m writing as if you already know a bit about each player’s trajectory and background. If you don’t, go to The Board and read their full scouting report, as they tend to provide the 360-degree view of the player’s career.
