FanGraphs Baseball

Members-Only Game Thread: LCS – Oct 12, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the LCS games today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Dodgers play the Brewers and the Guardians play the Rays! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Poll results have 0 faith in the Dodgers' bats to disappoint

Even after losing Game 1, Fangraphs has the Dodgers at 53% to beat the Brewers (and an implied 76% to beat whoever comes out of the AL). Surely this is crazy right? Even with the Dodgers rotation? More likely the Dodgers win 4-of-6 than the 103 win Brewers win 3-of-6?

Having a 53% of taking at least 4-of-6 implies ~60% of winning for each game. 60-40 is an awful lot for a single baseball game and all its randomness. The Dodgers had a 61% win rate against all teams. Surely you expect that to be more than a single percentage point lower against the strongest opponent?

I've been meaning to ask, is the poll question for the game, or for the series?

Welcome everyone! I'm excited we get two games tonight. We got some polls today, including the SP poll I wish I had yesterday with Misiorowski not getting through the 5th.

Game.

Thanks Sean, and thank you as always for hosting these chats, excited to talk baseball for the next 8 hours!

Thank you all for being here (these chats would be quite lame otherwise) and being Members.

I think it makes sense when you line up the pitching matchups, especially with the Miz looking vulnerable (though projections probably don't take it into account). The Brewers are essentially doing a long opener into bullpen game for games 3 and 4 while the Dodgers get Snell and Glasnow, not to mention that the Dodgers have a deeper bullpen.

Is it just me or did MLB somehow manage to time these games to get the lowest possible ratings? I live on the west coast and I’m going to completely miss the Dodger game and probably miss half or more of the Guardians game before I get home from work.

I'm guessing MLB is about as happy about this as you are.

These broadcast schedules for the LCS are setup and released in August.

If the Dodgers lose this series, how much falls on Ohtani? He's been underperforming for awhile now

Isn't this the part of the movie where the superhero loses his powers and you have to find a way to prevail anyway?

Man, he really has lost his powers 🙁

Interestingly, this is the only two-game day that has the Dodgers-Brewers playing the early game.

Also hi

brutal

Seems weird that they wouldn’t be able to talk to the networks and get consensus on moving game times. A 6pm EDT start for CLE vs. TBR and 8pm EDT start for LAD vs. the amoral deviants should work for everyone.

perhaps because it's a holiday for some?

You know what, I didn’t even consider that. I don’t get it off so I wasn’t thinking of it. You’re almost certainly right.

i think it's my first time off, to be sure

I don't think TBS wants to lose a prime time game.

I'm not off with the holiday. No one tell my boss I'm here!!

Random thought: how fascinating would it be to see these two managers switch dugouts and have to manage the other team

This is a fun thought. I think Roberts could manage the Brewers, but I don't know if Murphy's schtick would fly with the Dodgers' superstar roster

Where do you think Roberts ranks on all-time managers list? My personal feeling is that managers pretty much never add victories (even Francona couldn’t make the Reds a winner), but they absolutely can remove them (early-2000s Cubs eg). Roberts seems to be able to at least keep the egos all pointed in the right direction.

I think he's one of the best there is. I think his job is significantly more difficult than it seems, beyond just the egos. It's also the expectations the team has every year, the mixing and matching his lineup requires, the dealing with injuries, etc. He also is the best around at criticizing his guys publicly and privately when they need it. He doesn't coddle

He also has more press personnel to manage on a daily basis, just due to the media market

Yes, and from my experience (only covering him on the road), he's very good at that compared to other major market managers/head coaches I've covered

One thing that this (bad) camera angle does show really well is Yamamoto’s step back as part of his delivery

I'm gonna see Brice Turang in my nightmares

It is Spooky Season

Lol Contreras checked his challenge

Got me. I thought he committed to it.

How did he hit that?

Smoltz describing competitive two-strike pitches as “putting pressure on the umpire” was a very interesting way to put it, gotta give him credit where it’s due

For all his [many] faults, Smoltz is a good pitching analyst

Some players described it to me earlier this year with ABS similarly, oddly as a reason to hold onto challenges for later in the game. I thought that was funny but didn't think that would last as a strategy

seeing yamamoto give up any runs in the postseason feels strange

Given all of your flair, this must be an incredibly exciting development for you.

And immediately thereafter Smoltz makes me roll my eyes by saying the art of pitching is declining

It's hard to imagine Tampa or Cleveland going toe-to-toe with either of these teams (especially Cleveland), this kinda feels like the de facto World Series. At least it's the two best teams this year

Been having severe gastric issue the past few days, But at least I have baseball to watch while I am in the hospital. It make my day!

Hope you get better soon!

Does anybody like Smoltz?

I actually think he did a pretty good job in last year's World Series when he was enjoying the baseball in a fantastic series. And he's good at breaking down pitching mechanics. But 95% of the time he's either making things up, complaining about the modern game, or both.

Tangential, but I muted the pregame because I'm tired of the Yankees and Red Sox players.

Does he have high approval? Not even trying to hate, but how has he held on to the top job for so long while being so obviously ill-equipped to everyone who watches?

But I'm slightly indifferent to Smoltz. There have been a few times, though.

he's putting up ba'athist party numbers in front of older gen x/boomer focus groups

idea for poll: who are the most and least likable teams left in the playoffs?

Maybe we don't need the "least likable team?" 😆

doth thou protest too much? (actually think dodgers are underrated in their likability)

Compared to the Yankees team that ruined baseball, the Dodgers are extremely likable.

Let me see if I can build out a ranked choice poll.

not having A-Rod helps.

I mean, on a player-by-player basis it’s hard to be less likable than these Brewers. I realize I’m heavily biased, but almost all of them come off as classless jerks. Contreras, Miz, and Uribe in particular.

this is my main *gulp* pro-dodgers argument – all their top talent and stars are nearly lovable (shohei, betts, freeman, yamamoto, teo, etc.) personally i dont like will smith and max muncy but thats about it really

Agree on Smith, he just never seems to be having any fun. Muncy however is kind of a lovable weirdo.

Dodgers are doing a good job of making these Brewers starters throw a lot of pitches. Could pay dividends down the line this series even if they aren't putting up big runs scored totals yet

i really like JRAM

glasnow and snell are a hoot

I don’t know if there’s a bigger delta between perception and reality than Snell. He looks like he should be selling meth behind a 7-11 in Redding CA, but by all accounts (specifically from Eno) he’s a wonderful guy.

totally agree. i didn't think he'd be someone i'd find compelling. turns out he's just a video-gaming rapper bro down to get weird with adolescent humor.

i of course am the self appointed Mayor of Jo Island, so its gonna be hard for me not to say the Guardians are the most likable with Jo and Jram. but i think its actually closer across the 4 teams than one might have assumed

JRam is probably my favorite non-Cub in the game (assuming Scherzer retires). And I like him a fair bit more than most of the current Cubs.

Where does Yamamoto rank among all time Japanese baseball players already?

already 11th in all time bWAR just in front of angels legend Shigetoshi Haegawa. more seriously, everyone in the top 5 has played for almost 10 years, hes on year 3. i think hes got a good chance of being top 3

but right at this moment, maybe 5 thor 6th?

As a frequent radio listener, Tom Hamilton is my most likable Guardian. I’d be really conflicted as to which broadcast to tune into if it came down to Guardians and Brewers

I think Nicole Kidman should do one of these sincere prose ads

We come here to find out how many days there are in October

Heartbreak does feel better in a ballpark

Back to the manager swap question: Doc would do fine with the Brewers. The Dodgers would beat Murph to death with hammers by Memorial Day

WOW!!

Nice catch Sal

my annual reminder that Sal Frelick exists and can blow my mind

Does that count as smallball? /joke

The smallness of the ball is inversely proportional to payroll

Tommy and Mookie are playing diminutive ball

why would you even try that

Me, watching on the couch after recently dropping the remote while trying to turn up the volume: Bauers should've caught that

good thing for the Brewers it's Ohtani up here (/s)

Shohei seems so compromised (injury) that I want JDP to start…which is wild

I kind of want that, both because JDP's approach has been fun to watch and because I would love to see pinch-runner Ohtani

I've felt that JDP is such a weird fit on this roster. Is his defense really bad enough that he's completely unplayable in a corner outfield? If so he almost has to get traded or improve considerably. The dude can hit!

I have a feeling the Dodgers will move Teoscar over the offseason

I get he's Shohei but at what point do they have that uncomfortable conversation if he doesn't show up somewhat in this series? If ohtani's 3 for 23 with 11 Ks after this series and the Dodgers move on, do you really sit him down and tell him he's coming off the bench in the world series? probably not

I think that will be difficult and they will have to take a beating value wise.

is that a spike lee thing? do the right thing?

Why is this game on so early!?

the simple solution is for the dodgers to move off of shohei. simple solution is to trade him back to the angels (unbiased take)

I really enjoyed David Hamilton when he was on the Red Sox. Jus ta little more offense and would have been a very good player.

what is the reflector on the forehead of the catcher's mask? i've never seen a catcher pull down a visor?

Solar panel to charge the pitchcom

Turang is going to get quite a bit of down ballot MVP votes. I see him around 5th-7th overall.

Think I'd have him around 3rd

got curious and saw the Vegas o/u on this game is 6.5. Maybe an overreaction to all the low-scoring games this year, this game could blow the lid off that

>2 base runners
> nice catch to prevent damage
time for yamamoto to throw the ball away on a pick off

Almost!!

He almost did lol!

i am nostradamus

When I first saw ABS in AAA there were several pitcher challenges. Yamamoto wanted to challenge ball 4 to Turang so badly but they are as rare as a unicorn.

who benefits more from having to go to the bullpen early? id assume brewers?

is that woman with the spiral notebook the famous front row amy?

Yamamoto proved he has a rubber arm in last year's WS but at 70+ through 3 he isn't long for this game.

What an at bat!

bauers is making yamamoto work, and also muncy work (chasing down foul balls). genius move

Do pitchcom replacements count as a mound visit? They should

Blatant stalling like this especially.

They do not and I strongly suspect pitchers feign a pitch com issue to get a break/mound visit pretty frequently

the pitch calling device failing on the 414th pitch of this at bat might be strategic…

I see what you did there

That solar panel failed!

Our SP IP poll isn't looking great.

That was an incredibly exciting walk

major

Are we sure swear words aren't allowed in this chat? (/s)

This matchup is what we come to see and Yelich wins.

That walk was huge.

this is the least yamamoto game he's pitched in awhile… sign..

I love these lead changes.

Man this series has the juice!

Wow, what an inning

(Just a reminder, you can delay the chat using the cog/gear icon in the top right corner. If you a lot of latency on your streaming source.)

Same number of outs as his game 7 relief appearance…in a start

Wow

We had Yamamoto Med: 6, Mean: 6 1/3, Real: 2 2/3.

I know what everyone is thinking after that hit…why is Yelich's captain C squeezed in above the Nike logo when there's plenty of room on the other side?

I think this Brewers team is the best Dodgers postseason opponent in quite awhile

I got home from work 20 minutes ago but I feel like a lot has already happened since then

Would it be exaggerating to call that a career-defining hit for Yelich? There's something magical about the team captain guy whose prime was years ago becoming the guy who steps up.

do you throw Roki for multi innings?

A 36-pitch 2/3 of an inning for Yamamoto

18 pitches per out.

This game, and potentially series, changes a lot if Teoscar or Muncy catch one of those foul balls

Turang could have had called strike 3 in both at bats if ump/or Will Smith had made the call. All 3 runs have scored because of those.

Or Yamamoto who clearly indicated he wanted to challenge but apparently is not given the opportunity.

have the dodgers struck out in this game? i'm probably jinxing something by asking, but…

Ohtani struck out in the first

Ohtani struck out

Wow, this is my first time seeing Sasaki's clown glove. I do not like it

That is pretty wild

It looks like he stole it from Bernie Brewer himself

Is it the same as the massive red glove Gausman had at the end of the season? I’m at work and can’t look.

muncy is best fielding gnome in baseball and gardening history

Even if they don’t hold on to this lead, really fun to see such resiliency from MIL. Will really make LAD earn it

Just got here. What's everybody talking about? Baseball?

my goodness

Bulworth, actually

Small ball!

Alright, it's been fun everybody.

Henderson should only be throwing the ball toward home plate.

i guess i guessed right about Henderson. 4+ is the same as 4IP. certainly didn't guess right about YY going 7

Pitchers throwing to 1st is an adventure in and of itself.

This game is drunk already

So all 3 Dodgers runs are the result of Henderson's throwing errors/wild pitches

"watching baseball" – jon bois

baseball rules

I would like to see a stat on the percentage of bad throws pitchers make on bunt attempts.

sometimes I idly wonder how well a strategy of "bunt to the pitcher every time" would go

We were high on Logan Henderson too. Mean 4.45, Median 5, and actual 4+.

We were influenced by yesterday. Had that game been higher scoring we would have expected a messier game today.

do Roki and May count to the SP innings?

Who is starting Game 3?

Gasser for the Brewers.

I'd think about an IBB here

That fist-pump was incredible

SMOL BOL

Didn't seem that close, but you get two challenges in the postseason.

You gotta try

That last angle shows the foot on the plate. Looks safe to me.

As much as I think of the production quality as cheap, the ACC football review system with the audio between the ref and the command center is great to learn about their process.

I want to know what these umps are talking about. And see the relevant angles, just not just multiviewers in their room.

I’m guessing this won’t be the last lead change tonight

Are you at the game again?

Unfortunately not. I’ll be back Sunday if it goes that long

is smoltz thinking of Weird Science?

I don't understand the earned run rule. Henderson has three ERs. But the errors influenced more than one run, yes?

Pretend like the error hadn't occurred and it was just a groundout. Tucker scoring is considered earned, because he likely advances to third on the grounder to Henderson, then scores on Mookie groundout.

what is a baseball

i'm still supposed to be doing thermo homework. i am pretty bad at this student thing

entropy?

All I know is you're not allowed to have perpetual motion machines.

first week on cycles! i love me some heat engine

imho one of the great skills of academia is learning when to delegate time to doing your homework and when not to (im just advocating for baseball really)

it's due in 2 hours, i'm afraid i'm well and truly cooked

then another greak skills of academia is to face the music and accept failure

At least you can measure and calculate how much you are cooked.

ΔHvap of a millvillemeltdown is… not very high as it turns out

Does any part of the glove count for the tag? Like the strings? Or just the main body of the glove?

oh hello ichiro, big fan of your work. i heard about the statue though, what a shame

Strings don't count.

Yep.

This game already feels like it's been 3 games

BAAANG

Every team should have a Contreras brother.

What a fun game! One of my favorite ballparks to watch on TV.

the Rays lab scientists are building the Contreras cloning machine as we speak

i think yama having such trouble this time out is enough of an indictment of like. "grr starting pitchers these days" like

This was the first year since 2022 that Willson had more fWAR than William. On the other hand William looks really good right now. Who would you rather have next year?

Sorry, I'm too busy coming up with names for the 28 other Contreras brothers. Willton, Willbur, Willgernon, Willnando…

willyer for extra confusion

angels would be the team to end up with the Wilbur…

Willenium

I tried to get tickets to this game from his brother Willcall

willsmith

Willians?

Willt Chamberllain

la tortuguita!!!

There is only one Willians.

and he's a stud, illo

is he in npb? i feel like i heard he was playing in npb

Looks like only until 2023. Since then Astudillo has played in Mexico and Venezuela.

I covered Willians Astudillo' major league debut when the Twins were playing the Cubs at Wrigley during a crazy weekend heatwave on Saturday, June 30, 2018. He only entered the game because multiple Twins left the game due to heat illness. He replaced Eddie Rosario in LF and later had to move to CF when Max Kepler left the game. He started the next game at 3B.

Willians Astudillo is the perfect Immaculate Grid answer for Twins/center field

I was at this game! Miserably hot

That whole weekend and the days after were also brutal

My friend and I were at the Lincoln Park zoo a couple days before the game and it was a survival battle just to find shade. It was a dangerous few days

if the rubberiest-armed guy, known for having rubber arm, cannot do the thing where his arm is rubber for 5 innings in the post season, maybe the hitters have just gotten better to the point where 200ip is just not that common anymore

And also, would William have a similar hitting resurgence to Willson's if he quit catching?

also, like, huge credit to the brewers, but still.

@Baumann This has got to be the headline of your gamer.

oi, i don't work for free

i want press box cookies

Matt didn't get any!

They were gone! Such a tragedy.

I left the stadium at 3:15 AM after filing my column, and stil no cookies. I was destraught

this was Yankee Stadium not Am Fam? (I feel weird calling it that, I didn't even get the name right on my first try.)

That first pitch looks like the best one Frelick will get in this AB.

As I was saying.

this would be a good time for a ball to hit a bag or some such nonsense

welp

Ohtani looks unwilling or unable to pull the ball. Surprised they're not going inside more often.

thanks Tom, I forgot which band did "Hey Jude"

Wings?

recently learned that if you get "Hey Jude" stuck in your head, your head will never fade the outro

paul mccartney is riffing "jooo-jooo-da-joo-da-jooo-joooo-da-" into oblivion

Yeesh Ohtani looks really rough.

Boo hoo

tbh to my untrained eye he seems like he's… not having fun this year

idk if it's a pain thing or a home life thing (having young kids can do things, so i hear) but i'm just used to ohtani displaying a bit more joie de vivre

Can we all just take half an hour and have a neutral third party put on some PFPs before we restart the game?

I do love a good interference call.

tough night for pick off throws

Walk to get to the guy who hit the home run? Interesting…

Yeah that was dumb

Well, that IBB didn't really work out.

I wonder if this series gets William over the hump to become the most famous Contreras brother

i remember being excited for sean murphy (he of the ass hbp) to join a larger-market team but man. will the younger really is a helluva ballplayer huh

Will Vaughn pinch hit for Yeli after Bauers?

I can't fully accept William until he gives back one of the l's his family stole for Willson. Either Willson has to be Wilson or he has to be Wiliam.

consider that two Ls make a W and When you're a Will* Contreras You Gotta Win

Well Willson is on the Red Sox this year, so the 2 straight L's must have been contagious

i think i may be a bit delirious

this is stressful

The entire brewers postseason has been played within 2 runs up or down.

Dodgers offense is iceeeee cold

abner uribe one of the better name tools in the league. ratings, 20-80?

This may seem harsh, but I'm only at a 60 because it doesn't scan all that well.

i was gonna give 65, it's certainly unique/outlier but as a package i'm not selling the farm for it

Hey, at least that one Polymarket commercial shows that parlays don't always hit

in an ad for 20-combo bets

wild

Betting site ads = 1950 commercials for cigarettes.

i'm going to put one cent on a 10^23 leg parlay and pray

you're gonna want to do your thermodynamics homework too, just in case

hey, chances of me hitting are better than (checks paper) the air in my room configuring itself such that half of it is vacuum

I like those odds!

The WS starts on mol day!

That was about two inches away from a hospital stay.

They're calling it the most Brewers hit in the history of the Brewers.

I am loving how pissed off Pat Murphy looks during this game.

He should be pissed. Wind sprints for the entire team after the game. Should be a 5-1 laugher.

i think pat murphy would only be happy if his team literally never made an out

I just don't care for gambling. I'll put something down if see a real +EV opportunity, like I did two over/unders this year, putting a tidy sum on over 72.5 for Twins and over 69.5 for Cardinals. But I don't get any adrenalin rush for gambling; I don't care apart from making the numbers in my account go up

But the dizzying highs! The nauseating lows! You're missing out.

Just kidding. I don't gamble either, so I can't back that up.

Maybe you should start betting the brewers over.

feels disloyal to zips

Ashby for Ohtani or does Megil come in?

Oh, good, baseball stats filtered by lunar phase. Can we get some "mothers' basement" jokes ready while we're at it?

Is this a splits leaderboard request?

Goodness no! Just a reaction to a Google ad.😆

Thank you Red Sox

I'm on the Rays-Guards game tonight, so I'm likely done chatting for the night. Nice to be with everybody!

Hamilton is not throwing away his shot

Related to Billy Hamilton?

Squeeze!

COME ON SQUEEZE BUNT

or base hit, that's good too

wow. this brewers team

How many do the Brewers have to get for their closer to sit down? 2 more? 3 more?

More. Day off tomorrow.

Bauers pushing for that NLCS MVP award

I honestly thought this would be a tight, well-played game.

I’m happy with this rock fight.

Finally!

Daaaaaaaaaaang!

Pages with a pretty casual-looking basket catch on that fly ball. Did he get a bad read and have to basket catch it?

So yesterday we were talking commercials, today I’m hoping we can talk about the proliferation of bad haircuts

I miss the playoff mountain-man beards.

Brandon Marsh got knocked out in the wild card round.

It used to be that every team had a guy who looked like he had strong opinions on who really ran the banks. Shame.

I, too, would wipe Biberty off my windshield

Here in Canada I'm watching ads for Konto Furniture and an Italian grocery store in Calgary.

Might as well leave Ashby in there to face the pitcher

Leaving Ashby in to face Will Smith? I guess it's Ashby's game until someone reaches?

brutal. gg

I'll watch nothing but Biberty ads if it means I dont have to see these political ads (I live in Texas, so just imagine)

Governor Bovernor? Senator Benator? Congressman Bongressman?

Congressman Bongressman would have my vote

As a guardians, I love the TB sac bunt. But even 12 year old Billy Heywood in 1994 wouldn't have done that.

Love seeing America be introduced to this wonderful bullpen I've been watching all season

ChiSox be like “maybe we dodged a bullet”

I just switched over to Guardians/Rays…and I missed something.

Listening to the ALCS on radio while I watch soccer practice, anyone have a rec on which team’s broadcast is better?

Cleveland's broadcaster is a recent Hall of Fame honoree.

Tom Hamilton is the absolute best! His calls reverberate over the airwaves like none other.

I find the Cleveland play-by-play guy to be an acquired taste.

Rays radio guys are excellent

I just logged in to say I hope the Dodgers keep losing purely since I think it will improve the odds of an earlier post-lockout start to baseball next year. (And Dodgers suck)

It is rare to see the batter surprised when the umpire has tot ell him he was hit by the pitch.

Getting clipped in the loose part of the jersey on a 1-2 count is good living

A Yankees-free ALCS is a breath of fresh air too. Baseball is so good. I wish there was more.

International leagues?

I am not above watching some Caribbean winter league when I can find it.

The TBS app crashed for like 1 minute with one runner on, and now the bases are loaded??

I was watching on the Spanish network.

I cheated on the poll because it was already 2-0 when I saw Sean had posted the new one. Sorry.

Someone answered the pitcher IP poll for Henderson as he was being pulled.

Mesa Jr just showing off with that throw. Cannon.

Lineup thoughts: 1. Vilade cleanup is Very Rays. 2. I don't think I would have batted Rocchio after Bailey and Halpin with 184 career ABs. 3. Bottom half is light on both sides.

Guards getting surprisingly good swings.

Petey Halpin sounds like a baseball name from the deadball era.

Why do catchers not put their throwing hand in a fist behind their back the way I was taught in Little League centuries ago, to prevent taking a foul tip off the hand?

I was wondering about thay. The answer to all such questions is "framing," but I don't see the advantage in this case.

His nickname should be Second Halpin' (this might only to be funny to me because I'm fat)

That looked painful! My hand hurts now.

No one has ever been happier catching a routine low leverage foul pop than Jose Ramirez just now.

You know a throw is good when they show multiple angles of a cutoff throw that didn't even produce a tag play. I gasped out loud at that throw

(little delayed on the reaction, I had to get to my phone)

Hi Ben!

Can I just say how much better this chat is than MLB Discord? Holy cow.

Is there an official MLB Discord? I know there are a bunch of places that have them.

Yes, and there are chats for each game.

Hi Sean! Just dropping in briefly, I have dinner plans tonight, but I had to say something about that throw

I watched a ton of Victor Mesa Jr. tape for fielding bible voting this year. He's electric, but I don't think I saw a throw that good

It's not quite playoff Randy, but really fun debut-into-postseason-success arc

It's not too late for him to do some pushups and eat some chicken.

I can't articulate why, but Brian Anderson is easily a top 5 pbp announcer imo. He's just… really good? (Benetti, Davis, Cohen, Shulman up there too)

Joe Davis? I find him utterly forgettable. But all those other guys are great. Shulman and Benetti are elite.

It's so weird that there's a big puff of dirt every time a ball lands in the outfield.

I think it's little pieces of rubber, or something like that.

Used to be rubber, the new turf is a mix of coconut husk and sand apparently.

Yup. Having played a lot of soccer on turf like that, I can tell you that those little pieces of rubber get in your shoes and stick to your socks forever.

Oh, artificial turf!

I thought the field was just perpetually wet!

That’s only when Brandon Marsh is playing.

The Manual is a pretty good nickname. No Second Halpin, though.

It's a good nickname except that it implies he's not Automatic

Why was Espino warming up without his hat?

I see this surprisingly often. I wonder if it's because somebody's busy putting the PitchCom in their hat.

This reminds me of when I was in high school and I used to help coach my little cousin's little league team and one of his teammates hated wearing his hat. He'd be standing in the outfield mid game and just take it off, then would demand that we show him where in the rule book it said that he had to wear a hat when we'd ask him to put it back on. And like… we definitely didn't have a rule book handy nor knew where the hat clause is so it was hard to argue with this 11 year old.

I think that's exactly it. But the number of times a reliever comes into the game and motions to the ump before throwing a pitch that he can't hear anything leads me to believe they are not very skilled at doing this.

Wow, Cleveland's defensive positioning cards are enormous. They're the size of bingo cards.

printing my defensive positioning cards in dyslexia fonts (legitimately not terrible idea)

All the ads for Google Cloud "insights" are such overfitted small sample nonsense that if I were in charge of buying web services for some big company I'd go with AWS instead.

Agreed! Did we learn nothing from Fire Joe Morgan?

Anyone want to go in with me on FireJohnSmoltz.com? IP reboots are all the rage these days…

Smoltz has improved, I think. I used to find him unlistenable, and now I think he's ok. Curious what others think.

The biggest thing for me is how he constantly positions his aesthetic preferences (contact, small ball, yada yada) as facts of good strategy.

He's a good analyst. But if he gets going, his back-in-my-day nonsense is a killer.

If Smoltz isn't hating on something about the modern game by the 2nd inning I start to worry that he's been replaced with AI.

Also that he will without fail start talking about “slow heartbeat” by the third inning.

Jose Ramirez is great, but his green glove is terrible. Your glove should either be brown, black, or your team's color.

Wait, the Rays have a tank of rays at their ballpark? How did I not know that?

I am dumbfounded that you didn't know that. The team was the Devil Rays for years and there have been rays in the tank since the franchise was first organized.

Yeah it's the one fun thing the Trop is known for

What causes a comment to get hung up in review?

Weird website urls.

That url is available for purchase.

Juuust a bit outside.

It seems like a decade ago when Daniel Espino was the #1 pitching prospect in the game. Then his arm fell off and the doctors had a tough time reattaching it.

I know this is the whole “Ship of Theseus” problem, Bur How many surgeries before we admit a player is just fundamentally different? Where is the line? We surely can or will just invent a better ligament. Wouldn’t that be a huge issue?

Can't wait for a fight over PEL clauses (performance enhancing ligaments) when the CBA is up in 2032.

I didn't know Rasmussen was allowed to give up a run

Speaking of players whose career has been disrupted more than once by injury, Chase deLauter certainly fits that template.

Wait. Is it possible for a park to be difficult to go opposite field regardless of which side of the plate you hit?

i think it is harder to go oppo *in general* because the spin doesn't help you as much. don't know if there's an "uphill both ways" way to do it though…

Got that most likable and least likable poll. You'll probably have to refresh this page / reload this page for it to work.

Did you invent that ranking thing just for this poll? We will have to think about other things you can do with it.

That worked. When I first saw it with the checkboxes I thought it was a trick question.

i'm still shocked that someone thinks the miz gives bush league vibes… he's literally a small, 6'6 child chewing a wad of gum the size of my fist and throwing harder than anyone in history. he rips packs of pokemon on road trips.

Yeah, it was a good suggestion, so I made it tonight. It can do ranked choice voting, too, and that's like rounds eliminating the lowest vote getting. This is just an MVP-style voting with 4,3,2,1 points given out.

But yes, I want to have it used for a lot more things!

I'm going to reuse that poll through out the week.

It would be insane for any pitcher to drop that bunt on purpose to try to get two.

Really proud of Ramírez for sniffing the baseball just now. I think he read my article.

I, for one, am a fan of Ramirez’s glove. It’s Christmasy!

We need a poll on whether Ramirez's green glove is good or bad.

Bye bye Walls

Everly Brothers deep cut.

I am such a big fan of Ramirez that he could play with a cesta and I wouldn't complain.

I think it's bad but it's Jose Ramirez so he's earned the right to have a mismatched glove

Funky glove colors are an inalienable right.

Did Bazzana forget how many outs there were for a moment? Or did he think he had time to get the third out at second and then think better of it?

Thought he could beat the runner.

I like Abner Uribe’s electric blue model too.

I know I’m asking this on the every stat is available site but is Carson Williams that much worse than Walls right now? Rays seem to think he’s not ready to go C Montgomery for them w a 30 HR/220k season.

Blue is a Brewers color tho.

Not that blue!

does jram get a pink glove now 🙂 i hope he does 🙂

We have an entirely new ballgame!!

Ah yes. Noted slugger Patrick Bailey.

Huh. Just checked and surprised he had 10 this year in just 345 PA. That's one more than Vlad Jr!

Sorry Blue Jays fans

Wow

clutch is a skill, this is known

I don't see what's so hard about hitting Rasmussen if Patrick Bailey can do it.

Patrick Bailey, AL Kiké Hernandez.

This is why the Guardians traded for Bailey.

has bailey even seen a postseason before

Maybe on tv

"Do you know the postseason? " "….I know of it."

More Scott Pilgrim references.

every time i have a hunk of a really good bread in my hand, i take a big bite and scream around it "BREAD MAKES YOU FAT!?!"

speaking of, my roommates just made some incredible bread. i'm over the moon with the crumb texture.

Thought Rays were going to run away with this thing the way they handled Griffin in the first, but he settled in nicely. Aces not doing their usual seems to be a theme in this round. Is it possible that hitters on top teams are catching up to the pitchers?

I'm always suspicious of tipping with starts like Yamamoto's today where he got just 4 whiffs.

LA had Miz’s grips whenever they were on 2nd yesterday. Helped foul off pitches but he was still Miz :shrug:

We need an article on the most shocking long home runs/hard hit balls of the season. Bailey's HR just now, Bryson Stott's 464 foot jack earlier this year…

i don't know how i'd optimize it but i want to see, like, minimum bat speed, maximum tank, optimally squared up and backspun and pulled

@Sean if you're implementing changes based on this chat, maybe a show results button for polls? Could cut down on the votes in the who will win polls after there's already been scoring.

I could do that. Though I don't think responding later is necessarily bad…like it's tied right now.

oh did i miss the most and least likable team vote

Yes and no. I shipped that about 20 minutes ago, but you can still respond!

it says "This question is unavailable" fwiw

You might need to reload the page.

Ope, that worked thanks!

I watched Cam Booser pitch for Worcester a couple of years ago as a 32 year old never-will-be and here he is in a high leverage situation in the ALCS at 34. "Don't give up, don't ever give up".

It's weird seeing a Rays series where the other team has more Lowes

Not sure that slide got him there faster.

slide was for style not for speed

aura farming, slidemaxxing, dirtmogging, etc.

Maybe he expected a bad throw and a swipe tag?

Is there a way for new polls to trigger a message? When you add polls mid chat, it can be hard to notice right away unless someone points it out

i think sean has been manually doing that, idk if it necessarily wants to be automated? could be wrong, i have been somewhat tuned out/foggy

I've thought of making them louder. Like I can have it expand on its own or have NEW! tag in bright red on it.

And yeah, I did send a message about the ranked likability poll.

i am strongly considering logging off, walking into the forest, and calling it a night

my top two likable are the bottom 2 vote getters …….

You know what? Ramirez should use a green bat too. That would be awesome.

Players Weekend allowing hitters to use funky looking bats is delightful . Ernie Clement's pencil bat is 80 grade.

not because the baseball has been bad but i should probably take care of myself and my deliverables

good night all, the forest beckons

Question for the Fangraphs writers who are way smarter than me: would it be fair to say there's a little Vlady Guerrero, Sr. in Jose Ramirez? It's been on my mind since Jose hit that homer not even a foot off the ground

as a huge vladdy sr fan, i feel like theres some similarities, but i always thought vladdy's approach was a little wild whereas JRam is under control

but maybe i was too young and its just nostalgia

You could run a Baseball Savant query, filter for chase/waste pitches on contact and xwoba (or stat of choice) to maybe get a rough idea of guys like Vlad Sr?

Nice outcome for the infield positioning

Wow I did not realize the 2B was standing there off the bat

Contact play on now?

Man on 3rd – one out, you go on anything on the ground.

These pitching decisions are interesting. Cash not going with his A relief team yet

It's very funny that MLB is running a pro-salary cap ad talking about how small market teams can’t compete during the Rays vs Guards ALCS

They have zero feel

THE GUARDIANS ARE UNSTOPPABLE

0-2 and he gets a pitch in the zone? Not good.

It'd be hilarious if Bailey went yard again here.

Successful catcher ABS challenge after a backpick!

I don’t understand that defensive playcall on that Lowe at bat

Like playing in or the way they shifted? I thought it was standard for the situation.

Shift was standard for sure but both MI’ers were way in on the grass. If they’re playing normal thats a soft lineout to SS

Gotcha. Seymour isn't a ground ball pitcher either so I get your point. It's the Rays so I'm assuming the percentages still say that's the best alignment given all variables.

Yea it just felt like peak getting too cute with it

Playing the MI way in on nothing but pitches above the zone??

Many events in this game.

Cedriiiiiic

If Mesa were to go long and tie the game here his bat flip might hit a roof ring.

Alas.

Cedric Mullins against a tough lefty is just the match-up the Guardians would want so………boom. Nobody ever said it better than the late John Sterling.

Who wants to be the millionaire, ask the audience was the true #1 lifeline… The poll tonight says 91% think the Rays will win. I thought wisdom of the crowd was king?

There's a decent chance we get a central division team to the World Series for the first time since 2016

To paraphrase a great philosopher "It ain't over till it's over".

Woah.

Oh nooooo

Oh this is bad

oh no

oh no

Ouch.

Edit: Oh no

Oh no

Shoulder to the ribs and pretty solid contact.

Wow what an epic miscommunication

Whew!

Honestly feels like that could've ended way worse

Caminero could still be compromised. He has to be hurting.

I don't understand the Rays decisions this game: Aranda bunting in the first, Ras going back out for the 7th, where is Kevin Kelly (one of the best Rays relievers all year), using a rusty Tyler Walls and Cole Sulser in a tight game.

Anyone else think this new “oooh, we’ve got two strikes on the batter” sirens and whistles etc. thing has gotten a little out of hand?

Generally yes but it is the post

Welp.

Challenge here but where was he going? [Edit: never mind.]

I was rooting for the White Sox and now I'm rooting for the Rays, but Jose Ramirez getting hot at the right time is pretty cool to watch

I think this is getting overturned

A good Ramirez is so much fun!

His loyalty to Cleveland when he could have left for a lot more money has endeared him to me.

If he left the bag he was pushed off?

The Guardians can win the World Series, they still won’t be the best team in baseball.

To me, the Dodgers' creakiness, particularly Ohtani's, show what a contingent definition that is. The Dodgers are the best team in general, but they don't seem like the best team right now.

Good point

Baseball is so wonderfully unpredictable!

I suppose…or it’s gonna give me a heart attack.

These pitches in the dirt are really disappointing.

I'm lightly rooting for the Rays, but still disappointed he didn't get that triple.

Ramirez seems to be enjoying himself

I did not expect this.

14 hits. That feels like a lot of hits! #analytics

And I really don’t get Cade Smith here. Why give the Rays extra looks at him, plus put inning on his arm?

You'd have to have him warming anyway to back up whoever else you brought in.

Yeah, Vogt’s refusal to adapt to changes in leverage is a surprising postseason storyline.

Eventually this guy is gonna get tired from pitching so much

Good night, folks!

Or not

G'night!

Game’s over, guys. You don’t have to talk into your gloves now.

It's just a defense against Jomboy

I guess he was already up before the insurance runs, but still

I like baseball.

Great chat everyone! See everyone tomorrow!


We Are Witnessing Jackson Chourio Become a Captial-S Superstar

Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

During Game 1 of the National League Championship Series, as Milwaukee’s effervescent 22-year-old Jackson Chourio stood in for his fifth-inning at-bat and calmly studied Tarik Skubal’s dominating posture from sixty feet, six inches away, the television broadcast flashed a graphic on the screen.

It showed that, at that point in the postseason — already Chourio’s third — the young Venezuelan outfielder was 3-for-5 with runners in scoring position and 0-for-13 without. While, of course, the Brewers would like a little more all-around production from their bright-eyed, bushy-tailed phenom, those three hits were about as stirring as they could be. The first was a two-run home run off Robbie Ray in Game 1 of the NLDS that both tied the game in the bottom of the third inning and supplied Milwaukee’s first runs of the playoffs, clearing a hefty mental checkpoint for a team that’s struggled to score in October. The second was his two-out, two-strike rocket off Mason Miller to walk off Game 2 and give the 2026 Division Series its signature moment. The third was an RBI single off Bradgley Rodriguez in Game 4 that put the Brewers ahead en route to a series win. Three hits — one off a former Cy Young winner, another against the most dominant reliever to emerge in years — all of which drove in huge runs, and all of which furthered Chourio’s case as one of the game’s true superstars. Read the rest of this entry »


Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 10/12/26

Read the rest of this entry »


Arizona Fall League Pitcher Scouting Notebook

Jarlin Susana Photo: Reinhold Matay-Imagn Images

I’m rolling out a bunch of notes from my recent trip to Arizona. Last week, I wrote about some of the top hitters in the Arizona Fall League, as well as a few backfields standouts for the Royals, Giants, and Padres. Today, we’ll dive into some of the pitchers from the AFL.

Jarlin Susana, RHP, Nationals

Susana has one of the strongest arms in professional baseball. The big righty sits 101-103, and generates it with a low-to-moderate effort delivery. For all its velo, Susana’s fastball doesn’t have bat-missing shape, and even the Fall Leaguers he faced were generally able to get the bat on the ball. His feel for release was off to start the game, and he frequently missed up early in the outing. Hitters couldn’t barrel it in the zone, though, and that will likely continue to be the case for Susana as long as he’s able to live anywhere near that velocity band.

Susana worked with two breaking balls. He used an occasional upper-80s slider, usually just as a way to get hitters off his primary secondary, a mid-80s sweeper. There aren’t a lot of guys who can get 15 inches of break on an 85-mph sweeper, but few pitchers have Susana’s arm talent. Read the rest of this entry »


Postseason Manager Report Card: Craig Stammen

David Frerker-Imagn Images

While his season ended with a sour taste, having been bounced from the playoffs by the Brewers in the NLDS, it’d be hard to argue that Craig Stammen’s first season as Padres skipper was anything but a success, with 91 wins plus a Wild Card series victory over the Cubs. Now that his season is over, I’m back to the grade book to give Stammen a report card for his postseason performance in the six games he managed.

I’ll once again remind you, as Ben Clemens also will for his report cards for the AL managers, that I care about process and not results here. It’s easy to say, “That was a great move because it worked,” or “That was a bad move because it failed,” but managers obviously can’t know the results of their decisions as they’re making them. I’ve tried my best to transport myself back to the moment of each decision — taking into account the pitches, innings, and plate appearances that led up to it — while ignoring its outcome.

Before we get into the grades, I’ll also re-reiterate that while these are ostensibly manager report cards, there’s a much larger group of people behind the manager that helps to inform his decisions. Before the game, that includes discussions with the front office, which provides the reams of data that every manager has at his disposal during play. During the game, he’s getting feedback from his coaching staff and players on their levels of health and readiness. It really does take a village to get through a baseball game, and realistically, the praise and scorn doesn’t belong to the manager alone. Read the rest of this entry »


Postseason Managerial Report Card: Aaron Boone

Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

Every October, FanGraphs grades each playoff manager. We focus on their in-game decisions, because a lot of the most important parts of the job – things like keeping players ready to go and making sure relievers understand their roles so they know when they might be deployed – aren’t always visible to us from the outside looking in. A lot of what managers do never reaches the public eye. These report cards focus on the remainder of their decisions, the ones that come when the lights are bright and the game is on the line.

We attempt to evaluate those decisions based on process, not results. A pitching change isn’t necessarily bad because the reliever who comes in gets shelled, or good because he gets out of a jam. That’s not to say it can’t be a bad decision – if you bring in a mop-up man in a high-leverage spot, or let your righty specialist face Ben Rice, you made the wrong call. But we’re interested in the before, in what we could expect to happen when a manager makes a pitching change or calls on a pinch-hitter. It isn’t good to completely ignore results, but it’s also bad to fixate on them, and it’s my hope that our report cards strike the right balance.

Earlier this month, Jon Becker wrote up the four managers who lost in the Wild Card round. This week, we’re adding the Division Series losers to the mix. First up: Aaron Boone and the Yankees. Read the rest of this entry »


2026 ALCS Preview: Rays Face Guardians in Battle of the Tight Budgets

Kim Klement Neitzel and Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Rebounding from two sub-.500 seasons, the Rays won an American League-high 98 games, and took home their first AL East title since 2021. They followed that with an impressive three-game Division Series sweep of the Yankees, highlighted by Drew Rasmussen’s 7 2/3 no-hit innings in Game 1, a contact frenzy that exposed the Yankees’ shoddy infield defense and hastened ace Cam Schlittler’s exit in Game 2, and a timely two-run homer by rookie Victor Mesa Jr. in Game 3. That sweep marked the Rays’ first postseason series victory since 2020, when they outlasted the Astros in a seven-game ALCS to claim their second pennant in franchise history. After bowing to the Dodgers in that World Series, they made the playoffs in each of the next three seasons but went just 1-7 in those games, including a 2022 Wild Card Series sweep by the Terry Francona-managed Guardians. Rays manager Kevin Cash and designated hitter Yandy Díaz are the only principals left from the 2020 pennant-winners. This really is a new era in Tampa Bay baseball.

For their part, the Guardians spent a good chunk of the summer drafting behind the upstart White Sox in the AL Central race before sneaking into first place in mid-September and finishing one game ahead of their rivals at 85-77. They came from behind again versus Chicago during the ALDS, becoming the fourth team to lose the first two games of a five-game series at home but win three straight elimination games to capture the series. After being called upon to close out Game 4 with a four-run lead (a bit of overkill), Gavin Williams threw 5 2/3 innings of one-hit ball and struck out 12 on just one day of rest, while José Ramírez shook off an injury-related slump to homer in Games 4 and 5; his two-run shot off an ankle-high pitch in the finale was all the scoring Cleveland needed. Against the whiff-prone White Sox, Guardians pitchers set and then broke the postseason strikeout record for a nine-inning game, with 19 strikeouts in Game 3 and then 21 in Game 5. This is Cleveland’s third straight trip to the postseason under manager Stephen Vogt, and its second time to the ALCS in that span; the Guards lost to the Yankees in 2024.

Particularly given the contrast between the big-spending Dodgers and the more frugal Brewers in the NLCS, expect much to be made of an ALCS matchup featuring the teams ranked 29th and 28th in payroll, with Cleveland ($87 million) slightly outspent by Tampa Bay ($90 million). Both are ultra resourceful teams whose front offices are among the game’s most analytically inclined, though they’re built differently, with the Guardians heavily reliant on homegrown talent, while the Rays have largely leaned on smart trades to fill out their roster. In fact, deals with the Guardians brought the Rays Díaz in 2018 and third baseman Junior Caminero in ’21, the latter when he was an 18-year-old coming off his professional debut in the Dominican Summer League. Read the rest of this entry »


It’s Brewtal Out There: Milwaukee Takes Game 1

Mark Hoffman / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

MILWAUKEE — A year ago, the Dodgers came to Milwaukee as the lower seed in the NLCS and blew the doors off the Brewers. Milwaukee scored four runs, total, in a four-game sweep. Both teams’ rosters have evolved, and individual players have changed for better (Jacob Misiorowski) or worse (Shohei Ohtani), but what could possibly be so different this time around? As Dan Szymborski wrote in his series preview, teams that get beat in a playoff series are 17-28 all-time when afforded a rematch the following year. Teams that get swept are 0-5.

Well, at least one thing’s different: The Brewers aren’t going to get swept this time. They checked off the hardest item on their to-do list — beat Tarik Skubal — right away, with a 2-1 win at a sold-out American Family Field. Misiorowski made hard work of his 4 1/3-inning stint, but some terrific infield defense allowed him to escape with a single run on the board, and a solo homer by Brice Turang preceded an RBI single by Luis Lara an inning later. After another four innings, the Brewers had taken Round 1. Read the rest of this entry »


Members-Only Game Thread: NLCS – Dodgers vs Brewers – Oct 11, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the NLCS game today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Dodgers play the Brewers! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Hi everyone!

Hey Jon!

Hello from the press box at AmFam

I just wanted to wish you both good luck, we're all counting on you

How's the press box food up there, Baumann?

It's the voucher-and-fend-for-yourself system, unfortch

at the workout day yesterday they did have pizza in the media dining room, which saved me from a hypoglycemic emergency, as I hadn't eaten anything since I left for the airport at 7 a.m.

Checking in from section 419. Go Brewers! Sad to miss out on EW chat

They had a real bald eagle flapping by the Dodgers dugout. It's funny to think about how we imbue this animal with such weighty symbolic meaning and you look at one and it's clearly just thinking "Fish?"

How is Milwaukee? It’s one of the few cities I haven’t been to.

Is that why Mike Trout won’t play in an LCS?

I love Milwaukee. I love just about every medium-sized Midwestern city and even within that context Milwaukee is one of my favorites

Is Pittsburgh on that list

I like Pittsburgh, the thing is if you stay there for more than a day you start running into Steelers fans and it ruins the vibe for me

find that most football fans of a particular city are not actually urbanites

Pittsburgh is most definitely on my list. PNC Park from the Clemente Bridge is locked in my memory for eternity.

This chat box tech is a major upgrade from the one i saw during the wild card games. Well done folks and thank you!

I know we get a marquee SP matchup every October, but this one feels extra fun

What in the world is this camera angle, respectfully

major league play!!!!

Is this angle a Fox thing, not a a MIL park thing?

I think just a FOX thing

Usually a good angle there

Is this angle a Fox thing, not a a MIL park thing?

Not a fan of this new score bug either

I feel like the networks still think this is better for the average viewer.

Perhaps this is more of question to ask the Baseball Savant people, but I think it's inevitable that we get "arm velocity" data from pitchers. It's fascinating to me what the relationship between pitch velocity is with arm velocity + torque. Do we (royal we) understand mechanically everything about how pitch velocity is generated?

Part of last night's chat included over-used baseball cliches. I would like to add "Tailor-made double play" to that list.

Just for you, I'm going to call that a "bespoke" double play in my gamer tonight

And I would add to that: "[Pitcher] struggles in the first inning"… yes, the highest scoring inning on average across all games

Jon has used bespoke non-stop in our dev meetings.

The Polymarket commercial clearly used The Wolf of Wall Street in-office party scenes, with the marching band and all, as inspiration, and I think that's more on the zone that they think it is

this guy said "on the zone"

I did, and I'm leaving it as is

Also, hi

Lara in RF. Thats some serious OF defense for the Brewers tonight.

Hi Matt 🙂

Matt saw Digger today, everyone

Guys, go see Digger. It's very good. Don't let the haters prevent you from having a great time

I'm already iffy on Inarritu so i've been hesitant

I am also iffy on Iñárrritu, but this is different. If I came in blind, without knowing who made it, my best guess would've been Wes Anderson.

ah! the other guy im iffy on lol. But I am happy to hear that someone enjoyed it. It's done so poorly which is a shame

Don't mean to be a hater. But I went from being an angsty teen loving Rushmore and Tenenbaums to absolutely hating French Dispatch. I can't watch anymore

It's also a baseball movie

You will not see two plays that look the same on the scoresheet yet look so different in real life as the 4-3 groundouts in the top and bottom of the first inning

Tonight we find out how much the Brewers will regret not getting Skubal for themselves, but, man, what a pitching matchup!

He would have cost them too much. The Brewers understand where to put their money and their prospects.

There's the cost in prospects and there's the cost in World Series opportunities.

Tomorrow would be more indicative because it would have cost Hendo.

Ohtani hitting weak grounders in the batting cage doesn't inspire confidence.

If Miz had existed towards the beginning of the foundation of baseball and was out there sitting 100+, what are the odds that he would have been accused of witchcraft?

We really need less ump cam mid-pitch

Miz isn't looking too sharp in the early going.

I wonder if we'll eventually learn that early challenges are good because they correct a bad zone for the rest of the game

I can barely make out the fake zone but a couple of those pitches looked good.

I wonder if LCS/World Series umps are more likely to have a tight zone in the playoffs than they do themselves in the regular season.

I can't see the umps changing anything, with all the scrutiny in the ABS era. Which, it is still remarkable how good most of those umps are.

(comment didn't thread right)

Does the poll refer to who will win this game or who will win the series? I am fascinated that it is leaning MIL (I voted that way but felt I was going out on a limb).

Is this an unusually low percentage of whiffs on Misiorowski's stuff? It seems that way to me.

What an at-bat from Tucker here

I assumed series and went Dodgers, game, I'd probably have picked the Brewers till the Dodgers scored.

Need to remember that I can reply on these things rather than just post.

It is for the game.

I assumed it was for the game.

They are sorta getting there by talking about all the foul balls but the broadcast hasn't really said anything about Miz being down a lot of fastball carry today (not that I really expect them to)

What would cause vert to be worse while maintaining velocity? Mechanics, wrist torque, something else?

Spin axis, which I believe is largely about hand position

Hello, baseball friends. My daughter is asleep, so I am watching the game and making mini waffles for dinner.

Leggo my Eggo!

I thought the umpires were better earlier in the year but when they realized the hitters were being told not to challenge they are back to calling a lot of balls strikes.

The runners on 2B are doing a lot of signaling

Pages does this fairly often

Teoscar was too.

Broadcast hasn't said a single thing about that either

Tailor made double play

brb going to the store to get mini waffles now

That was a disjointed as hell double play

Could've gone wrong three different times

I mean, I have more than enough batter over here.

— Dave Roberts making a lineup

Pocket pancakes or bust

I forgot about that! How can he not win MoY?

and by get mini waffles i mean edit Jay's ALCS preview for tomorrow

I'm trying not to get hyperbolic, but that janky-ass double play could end up being the turning point in the series

You have it in writing. You can reference this in Game 5/6.

Acuña Kalshi commercial oh BROTHER

I think Jake Bauers uses his walk up music to put the defense to sleep

Getting out of that with only one run is a massive swing

Enrique has lost several steps since his youth, but did he swing by CVS on his way to first?

He had to get mini waffles

Update: Mini waffles are so good. I'm so happy I did this.

Wait do you have a mini waffle maker?

Or were these frozen

I'm really asking, I'm sitting directly behind the storage point for the folded-up press box window so anything that happens to the right of second base I'm hearing about secondhand

The possibly superior syrup ratio cannot be worth the fourfold increase in cook time.

Waffles are great with pure New England maple syrup straight from the Sugar House.

We all need to acknowledge that @brewersbibliophile is at the game and participating in this chat. Our Members are the best

Legend.

I feel like I should be told to put my phone away

We'll tell you what commercials you're missing so you get the full experience.

Kalshi, followed by DraftKings, followed by whatever Sydney Sweeney is selling I assume

I need to ship a mobile apupdate. Need to finish it first. But it makes this easier.

WOW

These are from scratch. I would love it if they were regular waffles, but we don't have a regular waffle maker. We have this tiny one that makes heart-shaped mini waffles that my wife got for her friend's bachelorette party a few years ago. So I get one tiny waffle every 90 seconds or so, and I am constitutionally incapable of waiting and eating a bunch of waffles at once. I just eat them as soon as they come out.

Waiting to build up a bunch at once would defeat the point. Fresh waffles should be eaten fresh.

Making tiny heart-shaped mini waffles with batter made from scratch is the most Davy Andrews activity I've ever heard of

I…cannot argue with that.

not until the single comes out about this

This might be more of a mailbag question, but am I correct in assuming that, by Fangraphs playoff odds, the Dodgers in this series are the most favored lower-seeded team ever?

I don't know about that, but the number PECOTA spit out for this series is one I did not think it was possible for a projection system to produce in any series, let alone in favor of the road team in a series against a 103-win team

That's definitely something we could compile. Might have to join a few things to get the dates rights for series start dates.

I will be happy to answer it if somebody else is doing all the work.

Fox LOVES to talk about pitcher extension and stride length. I wonder why that's the one metric they care so much about.

It's a metric that's easy to showcase on TV

No doubt, but I think you could make cool graphics for a bunch of Statcast measurements.

Freddie wasn't ready (for that 2 strike pitch)

Camera angle made that curve look like a changeup

i'm just hearing Alec Guinness' voice in my head… "Lara"

See, Matt? This is the good stuff

This is very good

we need to tell him got get balalaikas for his entrance music

Why do they keep showing drone shots from behind the lights, it's utterly pointless

Been a part of the Brewers broadcast all season

Incredible challenge for Contreras the Younger there

I just did an internet search on "Front Row Amy" and the back stop seats at American Ball Park. $245 per seat. 81 games. About $20,000 per season. This is my math contribution to Fangraphs this year.

Would it have been possible for Skubal to win a Cy Young if he had compiled a great resume between the two leagues?

CC came close in 08… I believe Rick Sutcliff did it, though they only count stats in one league or the other

I think it would be nearly impossible because the AL and NL Cy Youngs are voted upon separately, and while he was excellent, he wasn't overwhelming in his stint in either league.

Sutcliffe's numbers did have a pretty massive contrast between AL and NL, which helped his cause.

And Dwight Gooden got screwed because Sutcliffe went 16-1 with about 2/3 the innings of Gooden

Thanks Jay! Think the bigger question is probably whether a pitcher could get enough volume these days in half a season, plus I'm not even sure if <100 innings of ~1.00 ERA pitching would be enough with the resistance to giving the Cy to relievers

With starters getting less and less innings, I could see someone like Sabathia getting the Cy Young if they have a run like he had in ‘08

Hey folks, just popping in here for a bit

You're a pop-in guy?

Derek Jeter doesn't need Polymarket's money. Classy! /s

The Brewers keep living up to their postseason reputation

I forgot Sutcliffe's 1984. Thanks Benny and nice catch

What in the world?

There's a slight flinch of Miz's front leg before he steps off

I don't understand what Miz did wrong.

Was that called a balk?

That's a great call

Yes, called a balk

Made me think of an interesting question: what's the fewest games a pitcher could start and win the Cy Young if they somehow literally threw a perfect game every start? Like Brenden Fraser in The Scout, 27 up, 27 down, 27 Ks… would 3 be enough?

That's 27 perfect innin\gs, I feel like you'd need a couple more games?

However many Eric Gagne had when he won his Cy Young.

Send it to the Mailbag!

wow, that's a break for the Dodgers, Teoscar is not the guy I want stealing a base

Miz's front leg moved first. He began to lift his front leg slightly, the equivalent of a false start in football.

Send him back out for the fifth, or no?

I doubt it. It isn't like he is lights out tonight.

Guessing they go with Patrick

A wild Charlie Berens has appeared!

Turang!

Swear word!

!

Szymborski touted Turang in the spring and he was spot on.

I guess I'd have been surprised if you told me the Dodgers would get the first hit with runners in scoring position in this series while the Brewers chalked up the first homer

Can’t predict baseball, Suzyn

Re: favored lower seed. This isn't exhaustive, but THIS isn't the most lopped sided. Because the Dodgers happen to face the Brewers in the NLCS quite often as the lower seed.

Wow. That's pretty extreme.

Also, I had no ides the Astros were favored in the ALCS. The Benintendi series.

I did wonder about last year.

ready-to-wear double play!

Now, these are saved from the previous night and we could have updated depth charts the day of.

Thanks, Sean! Very interesting.

But these three match ups are by far the most extreme from my quick search.

Also think it's amazing that the Brewers have played the Dodgers three times in the NLCS as the higher seed.

They’re bound to win one of them, right?

nice vaguely remembering that 2018 side. Yelich and Lorenzo Cain! and Hader!

I remember that team for Jhoulys Chacin haha

@brewersbibliophile: past performance is not indicative of future results

I remember getting a jump scare when some kids named Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, and Freddy Peralta were starting play-off games… I was expecting Jhoulys Chacin, Wade Miley, and Chase Anderson lol

All Brewers fans will remember that Brandon Woodruff hit a home runoff Kershaw in that 2018 series

is it odd to say that the 2018 LAD squad was more "home-grown" or "diamonds in the rough," led by Grandal and Muncy; than the 2018 MIL team that had acquired Yelich and Cain?

Has anybody watched that show Doc? The one where the doctor has amnesia but is somehow allowed to keep practicing medicine? Seems like a flawed conceit, right?

DL Hall sounds like someone who writes obnoxious Slate articles

Did you read the one where the guy reached out to all the commenters who were mean to him and asked why?

I did read that one. There was a couple that met in the comments.

I keep thinking DL Hall is the famous poet who wrote the book Dock Ellis In the Country of Baseball, but that was Donald Hall. I think it's because my favorite high school teacher was DL and his real name was Donald.

Wait, they fell in love through hating on that one writer?

I am not sure it was his stories specifically. But hating on Slate, yes.

Let me just say this right now: If anybody falls in love during this chat and ends up getting married, I will bake your wedding cake.

full sized? or mini heart shaped?

Full-sized cake, decorated on the outside with mini-heart waffles.

I'm against shows that just say what they are. Doc. FBI.

The Office?

Chris Taylor-made double play!

Bailin' out the Miz

A Fred Astaire classic.

Like I've never watched the show, but Harlan Coben's Final Twist is a good name for a tv show

Cliche alert! That was The Pitcher's Best Friend".

I also don't like the name Sheriff Country because fire country is a thing, but like everywhere has sheriffs. It makes as much sense as Police Country or Government Country

Where does "Severance" rate on the Szym TV show name scale?

The show's fine but I want better names!

I don't want a burger from Burger. I don't want a car called The Vehicle.

except for legit ethnic diaspora restaurants. I was once sent by a Beijing-origin pal to a peking duck restaurant called Tasty Duck. It was fantastic.

So Miz looks like Lars Ulrich's grandson, right?

I need to check the archives, but is Skubal's butt getting a little bigger every year while the rest of him stays the same size?

what a bum

Do we archive butt size now?

Statcast has a metric called xwoButt

LARACIOUS

SpectacuLARA.

yowza

I mean like videos

Though I bet statcast has ass size somewhere

dang that's way better

I'm sure Baumann will top us both.

I thought that was a terrible spot to bunt, so of course it immediately works out.

Of course! Everyone here at Fangraphs knows the sacrifice is a terrible play.

Sacrificing with your number 7 hitter generally feels odd though

They key question for a bunt is already what is the probability that the hitter gets a bunt hit. The calculus for a bunt changes wildly in that case

something like a 10% beating out rate on a sac bunt makes it pretty plausible in most base/out situations

Ron Johnson ran the numbers way back, but I dont' have them at the moment

Nor do I want to do that when there's a game on!

An error is as good as a bunt hit, and also comes up pretty often with a fast runner.

This game already has had more offense than I expected.

Muncy had murder in his eyes after that

No run support and bad D behind him… Skub could've just stayed in Detroit for that

All part of the process to lead to him returning to Detroit in the offseason. Trust the process

Smoltz said that has to be a hit… That does NOT have to be an hit. Should've been an error

Things that are not errors in 2026: errors

As long as you make incompetence look like it was a hard play, you'll get the hit

Muncy overran the ball. Definite error

Ooh, Contreras wanted to challenge there.

I love a good challenge-that-turns-into-a-helmet-adjustment.

My conspiracy theory is that MLB has instructed official scorers to give out hits more liberally to exaggerate the effect of the shift on BABIP

It's not like Muncy made some spectacular dive and it caromed off his glove, he was there, ran past it, and shoudl have had it

I don't believe MLB is competent enough to successful execute a conspiracy successfully

It's not like they are the NBA

Huh, weird, there's a guy in a dark suit and sunglasses with an MLB league credential coming up behind me, let's see what he wants

Don't look at the flashy thing!

It’s @brewersbibliophile

I mean, the actually did collusion by having Peter Ueberroth gather them in a room and yell at them. And then GMs would actually tell agents "those deals you got last time are not available anymore"

..and that was the last time anyone heard from or saw Michael Baumann.

omg. stop looking at skubal's butt!

Ever since I saw Rookie of the Year and heard "Pitcher's got a big butt!" it's an impossible thing that you are asking of me

I mean, pitcher butts are the center of the screen

that ad oh my

Putting Cal Raleigh in an ad about screening for colon cancer is very smart

I did my Cologuard recently!

Oh my god please tell me someone else just saw the Albert Pujols/Cal Raleigh Cologuard butt commercial

It was harder than I thought because I kept thinking about that Cologuard Saturday Night Live commercial.

I did it and was glad to realize that you remove the receptacle from the box.

The whole box was in the bathroom and I just kept imagining it telling me to "Unleash"

Did he say free-peat?

Related to both that commercial and DIGGER — John Goodman says "a** cancer" multiple times

Capsule review of Digger, please.

I think that means "more askance"

I used asterisks so Sean wouldn't have to approve a comment with a** cancer in it

outrageous. Radiohead doesn't fly

Oh dang, since we're just regular chatterers, we can't self-ignore censorship things

I sometimes drop an F bomb in my chats

I don't know why my initial thought was that f bombs were farts but it was and it's time for me to take a vacation and just shut off what's left running around in the cobweb-filled skull on my shoulders.

Andy Pages needs to thicken his mustache, the mustache beard thickness ratio is too low

Truck commercials are real turnoffs to me. They're all like TRUCKS ARE FOR SERIOUS ADULT WORK THINGS, and I don't want to do any of that

They don't make commercials for trucks that people use for actual serious adult work things.

GET A TRUCK DAN

Go Bratwurst!

So…uh…is Mike dead?

Does Appelman carry worker's comp insurance?

See, Vesia has a proper ratio. A mustache should be thick enough that it looks like it could hold up the beard if it had to be used as a handle

How does his butt to body ratio look?

I'll be the judge of that!

If a food place wants to sponsor a thing in a broadcast, it should also have the possibility of earning free food from viewers

I wish I had the confidence of a home crowd thinking they know what a balk is when it’s not called on the other team

You have about 1/40000th of that confidence, so that's *something*.

If someone held me a gunpoint and demanded I explain a balk, they'd find my corpse

Every time you think you know all the balk reasons there's some other thing

OH THE PITCHER RUBBED HIS BELLY WITHOUT ITCHING HIS ASS THATS ACTUALLY A BALK

I’m glad there’s no balks in trucking or I’d be leading the world in them!

This will be the next frontier of video review, after they do it to check swings. Did the knee cross the midpoint of the body? Did the foot move more than 45 degrees towards home? Instant balk.

I hope they bring the check swing review to MLB with the same way they are testing it in the minors/AFL. It is going to completely break the brains of so many people how far you are allowed to "go" with the way it's written. I want to see the chaos.

Hey, we can say ass

HAS the world embraced Bills mafia?

So far not disappointed

They didn't ask Christopher Walken insane, they just filmed him normally

I was really upset back in the day when I found that Andy Ashby and Alan Ashby weren't related after thinking they were for like 15 years

They need a brain chip that checks intention and then they can time it against where the pitch was

I don’t think I’ve seen a single checked swing get called a swing in these playoffs.

PCA had one in the wild card round that made him quite upset

Ah yes of course

Can you request ABS after a check swing apeal?

or ABS on a throw down to 2nd? i sometimes wonder if strikes are more often called balls on a throw down

Nope. You need to meet the "time" requirement after the pitch.

You can ABS on steals, and those calls are more erratic than average.

So would you have to appeal the check swing after the ABS challenge effectively? Simultaneously?

You need to challenge the pitch within the allotted time. It's out there, but I've seen the hitter and catcher both challenge the same pitch because they both understood the situation at hand and knew they needed to get it in before the decision was made and did or didn't go their way.

tap head with one arm, point to the other ump with your other arm

I just turned the game on TV after following on gamecast while doing other things, and saw the Polymarket win probability plot at the start of the inning. So I just came here to ask, like, what the f— are we doing here man?

Not sure what you’re asking.

What are doing here? Trying to ruin the lives of people for profit!

We're the sucker fans paying for those graphs.

I believe he's asking why MLB/Fox thinks it's ok to push gambling on us and also why a gambling site's betting activity would be used rather than traditional win probability

I'm anti-gambling in general, but after seeing some of the "probabilities" they've been advertising I'm almost tempted lol

Boy he sure likes to pitch low!

Yes, it's best to hit it over the wall NO MATTER WHO the centerfielder is

Works against everyone except the legendary Pete Grows-Armslong.

I miss the zoom-zoom commercials. I don't have a Mazda just for not dying, which is kinda boring

Not dying is a good point in favor of a product. On the other side, are you going to trust ChatGPT to tell you how to sail a boat while at sea?

I wouldn't trust ChatGPT to spell Szymborski correctly.

Every time I see that commercial I just think that those poor old ladies would be found drifting away three days later

I just have trouble caring either way

One of nice things about getting older is you can care about a lot fewer things

Very true

I can't wait until I'm the age when I can not care that someone tweeted something stupid at me and not feel required to get into a stupid fight

Same

My kid is playing Maddon on the big TV. He’s winning 70-0. He is mechanically disassembling whoever it is he’s playing, taking no joy in the violence wrought upon his foe. At the same time, there is no sense of shame, no sense of remorse. Does gravity apologize to the steelworker who decided this was the day he wouldn’t use a safety harness? He just scored again. And a conversion. It’s 78-0. I’m watching the NLCS on my phone. I’m not sure he’s even having fun. A pick-6. It’s now 86-0.

I suggest we turn on the game. He scores again, 93-0. A moment, two moments later he says “no.” He scores again. it’s 101-0. I wonder if he knows how much I love him.

Funny enough, I think I lost my last game of Madden 86-0

he's just showing you where replacement level is

He says he's going to try a "weird" play. They all look weird to me. His player breaks away and high-steps the last 20 yards. My son holds his controller up and high-steps in place in front of the TV that isn't playing the NLCS.

He was so small not so long ago, and now he's a dozen years old and bigger than his mom. I want to watch the NLCS. I'm just watching him. I try to remember what he looks like now, commit it to memory, so when he changes in the morning and wakes up a different person I'll remember the boy that he was, high-stepping in front of the TV that isn't playing the NLCS. He scores again.

Hey Doug, the Grokipedia biography of me is peak.

atGrok is this true

"Daniel John Szymborski (born June 19, 1978) is an American baseball analyst and sabermetrician renowned for developing the ZiPS (Zebulon Igor Projection System) projection system, "

To quote Maxwell Smart. "Missed it by THAT much."

"Szymborski graduated from high school in 1996 and demonstrated early independence by self-financing much of his college education through physically demanding construction work, including digging ditches"

Digger Dan Szymborski????

Also did not do that, I don't even like the outside if there's no beer or baseball

now, it would be awesome if my name was Zebulon Igor

I have some good news about something you can do about this

Perhaps they mean that you physically demanded that someone do construction work

I'm still disappointed my dad didn't want my name to be Alexander because i could have been Zander Zymborski

What do we think of Cooper Pratt?

His name sounds like a white shoe law firm.

He looks like a Cooper pratt.

It took me 30 years to get people to mostly spell my name right, I'm not starting from square one

88 mph sliders I can abide because it's almost a cutter and I can wrap my head around that. 88 mph sweepers, however, is where I draw the line. Science has gone too far.

MLB could run low on championship-less teams soon… Of the 5 teams to never win a World Series, two have a chance still this year, one was in the NLDS, one was in the ALCS last year, and one plays in Colorado

What's next, 100 mph splitters? Wait…

The nub on the top of the Brewers hat is the same color as the rest of the hat, but the nub on the Dodgers hat is a different color. I think I like the different nub color better

I think Dodgers pitchers generally have bigger butts than Brewers pitchers. Given the cities, shoudln't it be the opposite?

Junk in the trunk is the new market inefficiency.

the kardashians do live in LA

LA has the injections to make their butts bigger. Milwaukee has to rely on bratwursts.

Ryan Braun had -28.5 FLD as a rookie 3B. Do we think that if he came out or retirement right now that he could beat that playing a full season at 1B?

I wonder if ChatGPT is going to make up the answer to "Give me a chart of ass size by city"

That was NOT a strike. Bring on the AI umps.

Are there enough kardashians by now to skew it?

we are all kardashians

I don't endorse AEDs

People with big butts shoudl have to be tested to make sure they have high cholesterol

The Pujols Cologuard commercial seems to have infected Dan's brain

My brain was destroyed decades ago

Ever since I read that Luzardo’s glasses aren’t prescription I can’t trust any of these pitchers.

I don't trust any pitcher. They don't tell you what pitch they'll throw (except Greinke).

Andy and Alan! Aaron is Andy's nephew but not Alan relaetd

Now the other Andy/Alan pair, the Beneses, are releated

I know it's his jam, but trying to push Ashby for 1+ here seems like an unnecessary risk.

Any relation to Hal?

exactly my question!

Maybe institute a rule that you can’t have the same last name unless you’re related.

sorry endaround, I can't approve your link!

I didn't set up the chat

when he makes it an error it's a Cooper Pratfall

Not an issue-just link to Athletic piece about Aaron's uncle Andy

I HATE walks. Such a waste.

Every bit of that was stressful

how did that lady in teh state farm commercial only have the hail damage on ONE wall?

Their fraud unit is sleeping on the job

“Funny, these dents are all precisely 1/2 inch, almost like you went crazy with a ball-peen hammer.”

the other wall facing the same direction had no hail damage

I never want to see that Trolli commercial again

Let's give it a lil kick….. off of the airwaves

i have this year been subjected to a lot of mahjong gossiping

Are we all getting the same commercials?

i saw that hail damage / mahjong commercial. and the trucks and the mazda. i'm streaming on foxone

I’m on YoutubeTV, and all my commercials have been matching yours.

I knew Ohtani was hurt but I didn't realize he was THIS hurt… really does kind of change the way you look at LA's lineup if he's basically just Rowdy Telez with speed right now

Fast Rowdy Tellez sounds awesome and that’s Ohtani’s like 20% outcome. Amazing

There is a genuine argument for starting JDP over him. It won't happen, but it's an argument.

Ohtani being pinch-hit for in a big spot against a lefty feels… not impossible at least, which is crazy

The number of bad throws to first in the postseason has been epic.

I always like when food companies have commercials saying "you know that thing you've been eating for years? Well, we know it was %#@#, so we made it better now."

yeah, I stream it from foxone too

Chuuuurio

Lord give me strength I am arguing with someone that the Dodgers bullpen having the 9th ranked bullpen ERA =/= the Dodgers have the 9th ranked bullpen in the league.

Tanner Scott did not skip PFPs this week. That was smooth

I knew the Brewers were playing a different type of baseball, but 1950's style?

Guy who homered earlier in the game sacrifices… it isn’t the worst decision of the playoffs, but it’s something

Do you think he’s going to homer twice against a lefty?

Jon Smoltz is so so so happy with how the Brewers play. For a moment I think he briefly forgot that he hates modern baseball

I know you mean the sport but I am choosing to interpret this comment about the emo band to give it more layers.

Man with the KZone turned off this weird camera angle makes all the borderline pitches that are outside to lefties look like strikes.

Bauers…

Dodgers playing the numbers, or playing with fire?

WHAT.

“Maybe Mitchel surprises us”

It’s the smart decision statistically

This is a bonkers decision

Mookie my gosh. It's amazing that he looks like a real SS

Even if it works out, it's still wild

OK, let's commercial track. 1st one if the F1 commercial for HP self driving network.

Yup. Second is the Geico couch commercial.

Can’t wait to see how many times two intentional walks in the same inning pays off.

Not impressed with Mitchell.

2nd commercial for me is a Geico commercial

I mean, he scorched that ball up the middle

did he eat van gogh's ear as a chip?

SURE DID

3rd commercial is a Wendy's commercial

HP then Geico

Dave Roberts decided there wasn't going to be enough heat on him tomorrow for a play-off game, just had to do something about it

Quick, someone do the RE math of 2 out 123 with the platoon advantage versus 2 out 12- without it.

In that vein, I'm more interested in what the odds are of a scoreless inning are in both scenarios.

Whoever is doing to post game article, this would be a nice thing to see if it's readily available.

4th commercial is the kid gamers teaching their parents how to play DOTA (I think that's what this is) – AT&T commercial

Can confirm HP -> Geico -> Wendy's watching FoxOne on Fubo

then Wendy. then weird ATT gaming with your parents ad. that could be you, war2d2

I should be so lucky.

5th commercial is the nutrafol
6th commercial is a Harbor Freight commercial

FWIW Fangraphs win expectancy graph has it increasing the brewers odds from 86.5% to 87.9%

So, what did you do on Fangraphs? We listed the commercials.

Rigorously, with peer review!

We talked about the pitcher’s butts

"Hi, I'm Corey Seager. I'm a MLB SS, the better Seager, and the second-earliest balding man behind Michael Chilkis, and I'm here to talk about Nutrafol."

I recently realized the Seagers are the only pair of MLB brothers with 200+ HRs each and I definitely had not expected that.

Asses are one of the things that are universal to the human experiences

Opinions and…

Nobody challenges the pitch after the one they should have like Contreras. Auto tilt challenges

Did this crowd think they were going to win? Feels like they’ve been holding their breath from the first pitch

When you get your ass beat the first time around, you’re next as excited going into the second.

What would you do?

I wonder if being Joe's brother causes Dom DiMaggio to be really underrated in history

i was just rewatching The Last Goodbye, and Marlowe asks his bud to name the DiMaggios. And Joe was the one the guy forgot of the three. Oddball scripting!

You mean The Long Goodbye?

yes! too tense right now

Cmon man.

JDP could write a legend here if he does the thing….

Shook off to throw the curve he hadn’t executed all AB. Maddening

Better to throw it in the dirt apparently

Those curves under the zone set up a bottom rail FB really well. You just have to throw it.

JDP like most power lefties has a happy zone low and inside.

THATS what you throw Tucker 3-2

"No pressure kid. If you miss this, we lose."

For the love of God

Don’t GIVE them the game

Nothing better than when these games live up to the hype in October

Gameday says my TV feed is two pitches behind. I think that’s the sweet spot actually, I like being ready to watch a big moment.

Or not. Welp.

Back tomorrow for more entertaining interaction with the great fans and writers at Fangraphs.

Megill was pop on toast but made it

wow. low scoring with short outings by Cy Young starters. not what i imagined.

Finally, Jesus

What a game!

Baumann has the gamer tonight, so hopefully the MLB official didn't kidnap him

He’s on Bluesky, he’s just shunning us.

If you're the dodgers, your takeaway is you made their best pitcher work and you got somewhat into the bullpen. If you're the Brewers, your takeaway is you looked and felt like the better team innings 5-9.

2 judges had it a draw. 3rd gave a 10-9 advantage based on Ashby

Ah, yeah he skeeted 14 minutes ago

And we get two games tomorrow!

Do we get a Whopper or something now?

Never forget that they took away "Steal a Base, Steal a Taco" from you.

At least it wasn’t endless pharmaceutical and betting app commercials

OK, game over so I'm gonna go play Trails of Cold Steel II


Sunday Notes: D-backs Prospect Demetrio Crisantes Is Crushing It in the Desert

Demetrio Crisantes is off to a hot start in the Arizona Fall League. The 22-year-old second baseman has gone 8-for-20 with a triple and a pair of doubles for the Salt River Rafters. That hardly comes as a surprise. As our own Brendan Gawlowski wrote prior to the regular season, “Crisantes has a case as the best pure hitter in the D-backs system.”

The Tucson native’s track record largely backs up that opinion. Since being drafted in the seventh round by his home-state team in 2023 out of Nogales High School, Crisantes has slashed .312/.399/.473 with a 125 wRC+. Moreover, this past season he batted .296 with 10 home runs over 335 plate appearances between three levels, topping out at Triple-A. Notably, Arizona’s No. 3 prospect played all but the final two weeks as a 21-year-old.

Staying on the field has been an issue. Crisantes has undergone a pair of Tommy John surgeries — the first at age 15, the second two years later — and he has subsequently dealt with hamstring and shoulder injuries. That makes his stint in the desert especially meaningful. Eric Longenhagen put it this way in his Fall League preview:

“He has really hit when he’s been healthy, and how he looks in the AFL might help inform whether the D-backs feel comfortable trading Ketel Marte this offseason. He’s arguably the most important eval in the entire league.”

Asked for a self-assessment of his strengths as a hitter, Crisantes cited the plus contact skills described in Gawlowski’s scouting report. Read the rest of this entry »