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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: Instructional League Tour

12:03
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning, all. I’ll start today by encouraging you to help our friends in Puerto Rico if you have the means to do so. Let’s chat.

12:03
Nick: Can you shed any light on what’s wrong with Maikel Franco? His peripherals are normal (except a low-BABIP). It’s it really just bad luck or is there a mechanical issue?

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Just based on the Phillies games I’ve seen he’s not a very good ‘Baseball Player’ which is to say he makes poor approach decisions at the plate that lead to bad contact when he’s making it. Was it yesterday or the day before he swung 2-0 with the team down two in the ninth inning? You need a baserunner in that situation and should be taking a strike. It wouldn’t surprise me if, upon deeper analysis, you were to find the quality of his contact suffered because his approach is just bad.

12:06
Dan: Luis Garcia of the Nats seemed to show decent bat skills. Could he maybe start the year in Hagerstown?  What is his development looking like?

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: I have no idea. I like Garcia but that will be probably be largely determined by how he looks next spring.

12:06
Mr. Sunshine: Who are your favorite prospects (<131 AB) to stash or keep for early-mid season MLB returns in fantasy next year?

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How Big Is Too Big for Shortstop?

When examining the 2018 draft’s collection of top high-school shortstops, one is confronted with three vastly different physical entities in Santiago HS (CA) SS Brice Turang, Montverde Academy (FL) SS Nader De Sedas, and North Broward Prep (FL) infielder Xavier Edwards.

Edwards is explosive. A plus-plus runner with good hands and enough arm for the left side of the infield, he also possesses gap-to-gap power. He’s performed, in games, against elite pitching and might be my first pick among all 2018 high schoolers if we were picking teams for a game of sandlot ball tomorrow. He’s also a slight 5-foot-9 and 155 pounds.

De Sedas is a switch-hitting hammer who was being covered in his native Panama when he was just 13 years old. He moved to Florida late in adolescence and has shown big raw power from both sides of the plate, as well as feel to hit in games despite having adopted switch-hitting somewhat recently. But while De Sedas has premium arm strength and is smooth for his size, he’s also rather big. At a listed 6-foot-2, 192 pounds, De Sedas is already larger than Manny Machado (6-foot-3, 185) and Evan Longoria (6-foot-2, 170) were when coming out of high school.

Finally, there’s Turang. Lean, rangy, and acrobatic, he also features a plus arm. He’s instinctive, procedurally advanced, and a potential plus defender at short, but he may have limited, one-dimensional offensive impact.

As with any prospect, I’ve attempted to project the future defensive value of the three players mentioned here. Because of their vastly different builds, however, I became curious about the physical makeup of major-league baseball’s current shortstops and how the upcoming draft class — especially De Sedas, who belongs near the top of the class if he can stay at short — fits among them.

To address my curiosity, I began compiling not only the current heights and weights of the league’s shortstops but also their heights and weights at age 17 — or, roughly the age at which each of them was either drafted or signed out of Latin America. I then expanded my criteria to include all players who had recorded at least 450 innings at shortstop during the last three seasons. I also calculated both current BMI and also BMI at age 17 — as well as changes in height, weight, and BMI during that span.

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat 9/19

11:31
Eric A Longenhagen: Hola from Tempe, where instructional league is on the horizon. Let’s chat

11:32
TJ: Has Jake Cave earned big league playing time for a non NYY team next year?

11:32
Eric A Longenhagen: Perhaps, might take the right organizational fit for him to find at-bats but he has hit well this year.

11:34
Oklahomabrave: If the Braves make a trade this offseason which prospect would you make the case they should sell high on due to peaking value and unlikelyness of taking the next step

11:34
Eric A Longenhagen: Pending a chhange in opinion based on what I see in the AFL, Riley.

11:34
TJ: Do we see someone else going the Padres route this year and stashing rule v draftees on their bit league roster in 2018?

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 9/12

12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Howdy, all. Let’s get right to it…

12:02
GPT: Hey, you saw a bunch of AZL Giants baseball last week, thoughts on Seth Corry and Diego Rincones, and anybody else who might make the next Giants prospect list?

12:05
Eric A Longenhagen: Corry is a bit of a project. Body, velocity and breaking ball all look the part but he has 30 command right now. Rincones has some feel to hit but the tools are middling, he lacks physical projection. He needs to hit a lot to profile, though I did speak with someone who thinks he will. Izzy Munguia is a fun little sparkplug who I’ve liked in CF and I think he has above avg bat speed. Jake Gonzalez and Heliot Ramos are obvious ones and I’ve written about Camilo Dovall.

12:05
Chris: Do you think Glasnow will be different this go around?

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: He’s objectively different but I don’t know if he’ll be much more effective. I hope so, though I’ve always been skeptical about the strikes ever coming. I guess we’ll see. He’s 24 now, I think?

12:06
Bork: Any September call ups really standing out to you so far?

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: We Live Inside a Dream

12:03
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning, everyone. I had two ESPN Insider pieces go up yesterday and today, so head over there if you’re interested in checking those out. Let’s chat…

12:03
Tommy N.: Has your outlook on Joey Lucchesi improved this year? What do you think he can be?

12:04
Eric A Longenhagen: Yes, he went from being an honorable mention on the Padres list to a high-probability 40 for me, a likely backend starter.

12:04
Gary: How do you project someone like Joey Wentz? Looks like a great season on paper, but reportedly not with great velocity. With a guy who has shown better velo in HS, what are the chances it takes a jump?

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Most guys never throw harder than they do in high school. You’re pitching more and toeing the rubber with less rest than you were in high school. Wentz wasn’t all that projectable, physically, in high school and velo peaks and valleys. I think he’ll be fine because the curveball and changeup will both be very good, but I wouldn’t expect him to have an elite fastball or anything like that.

12:06
Jonathon: Is there a good way to reach out to companies you want to work for as a junior in college?

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Scouting the Tigers’ Return for Justin Verlander

Detroit acquired a trio of prospects from Houston last night in exchange for Justin Verlander. Two of those prospects appeared on our updated Astros top-10 list and will likely occupy a similar place in Detroit’s improving system. Before we examine the state of the Tigers’ minor-league talent, however, let’s talk about the three young men who were just traded for one of this century’s best right-handed pitchers.

The centerpiece of this package is 19-year-old Venezuelan righty Franklin Perez. Perez began the year with three dominant starts in High-A before he was shelved for a month with knee soreness. His results have been mixed but generally positive since his late-May return. Despite a few hiccups, Perez was promoted to Double-A in July and has struggled with strike-throwing at times while missing fewer bats than he did in A-ball. But ultimately, we’re talking about a 19-year-old who, despite initially training in Venezuela as a third baseman, has already pitched his way to Double-A and who, when healthy and rested, shows an ability to locate and sequence four quality big-league offerings.

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Arizona Fall League Roster Highlights

The Arizona Fall League just announced its rosters for the 2017 season. These are subject to change for any number of reasons, and a combination of promotions, injuries, and trades will likely impact who arrives and who doesn’t between now and October 10th, when the Fall League’s seven-week season gets underway.

For the uninitiated, the Arizona Fall League is a developmental league featuring six teams, each of which are assigned players from five parent MLB clubs. This league has been a fleeting but well-lit stage for many of MLB’s top talents, including Mike Trout, Bryce Harper, Gerrit Cole and dozens others. The league is heavily scouted and players sent here often debut in the majors the following season. With that as introduction, below are my thoughts on the prominent/interesting prospects headed to the desert in October.

Glendale Desert Dogs
(CLE, CHW, LAD, PHI, PIT)

Glendale’s pitching staff has a few notable names, led by Pirates RHP Mitch Keller, who’ll pick up the summer innings he dropped in June due to a back strain. Keller has one of the best fastball/curveball combinations in the minors, but the changeup might be his developmental focus here in Arizona. Also on Glendale’s staff is hard-throwing Pirates LHP Taylor Hearn who came to Pittsburgh from Washington as part of last year’s package for Mark Melancon. He hasn’t thrown since July 13th, when he struck out a career-high 10 hitters in 4.2 innings for High-A Bradenton. He was put on the disabled list with an oblique strain two days later. Hearn has had several injuries throughout his career. He suffered from a strained UCL in high school and had a screw put in his elbow as a college freshman after suffering two humeral fractures. When healthy, Hearn sits 94-97 and throws a hard slider. Phillies lefty Elniery Garcia, whose velocity spiked into the mid-90s late last year and who was (coincidentally!?!) busted for Boldenone in April, missed 80 games this year. His fastball has been in the 89-93 range lately.

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: Fall League Roster Release

3:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Hi everyone, Fall League roster reaction piece has been filed and hopefully I’ll have a link for you during this chat. Let’s get into it…

3:02
Tommy N.: What do you think of Enyel De Los Santos? He seems to get lost in the Padres’ stacked pitching group.

3:02
Eric A Longenhagen: I like him, well-rounded stuff and strike-throwing ability. #4/5 type of starter. Wrote him up here: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs/daily-prospect-notes-725/

3:02
JT: What’s your take on Buxton’s recent surge?

3:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Told you so?

3:03
Eric A Longenhagen: I hope this surge is a sign of things to come for him, and that people will look to this as an example of why patience with prospects is important

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat 8/22

12:31
Eric A Longenhagen: Hi, everyone. I sending something to Cistulli and will begin momentarily….

12:34
Eric A Longenhagen: Okay, apologies.

12:34
Eric A Longenhagen: Let’s begin.

12:34
Mike: SSS, but seems like Aramis Ademan is holding his own in A ball. Thoughts on him?

12:35
Eric A Longenhagen: I really like him. Good frame, athleticism, smooth defensive actions at short. Has doubles power right now but might grow into a bit more. That might mean he moves off of short and over to second but I still think there’s a potential everyday player there even if that’s the case.

12:35
Kevbot034: Walker Buehler, Fernando Romero, Jack Flaherty and Brent Honeywell…who do you think we see this September? And any have a shot at starting next year in the rotation?

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Summer Top-100 Prospects

Below is an updated summer top-100 prospect list. Above are links to the top-10 lists for teams in each of the six divisions. Those include notes on why some of these prospects have moved up or down on their respective org list. For detailed scouting information on individual players, check out the player’s profile page, which may include tool grades and/or links to Daily Prospect Notes posts in which they’ve appeared this season. For detailed info on players drafted or signed this year, check out our sortable boards. The preseason top-100 list is available here.

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