2024 ZiPS Projections: Baltimore Orioles

For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Baltimore Orioles.

Batters

If you’ve looked at the depth chart or glanced down at the projections — if you haven’t, this is a weird article to be reading — you ought to be impressed with just how much offensive talent the O’s have. Of course, some spots are brighter (catcher, third base) than others (first base), but there’s really no gaping hole anywhere in this lineup. This reflects the success the team has had developing offensive prospects in recent years. While practically none of the players picked up in the 2018 selloff have worked out all that well, the Elias-era front office has a great record with minor league hitters. The O’s had our top prospect in 2022 (Adley Rutschman) and 2023 (Gunnar Henderson, though ZiPS had him second to Corbin Carroll), and Jackson Holliday, currently no. 1 on The Board, looks to be the heavy favorite to be the top prospect in 2024. Heck, it’s not outside the realm of possibility that someone like Coby Mayo or Samuel Basallo ends up the top prospect in 2025! The O’s eke out a few more wins than the depth chart here simply because of their depth; players like Mayo, Joey Ortiz, Colton Cowser, and Connor Norby all project to be positive contributors without an obvious place to lock up playing time right now. It’s only a slight exaggeration to say that I’d rather have a lineup of all the Orioles who don’t make their team’s 25-man roster out of spring training than all the Washington Nationals who do!

The Ryans O’Hearn and Mountcastle project as the weakest part of the lineup, but offense is in short supply in free agency, and I don’t expect Baltimore to make any changes here. It was always extremely unlikely that the Orioles would return to being one of the league’s payroll heavy hitters, but comments from John Angelos suggest that they’re not even going to be a middle class team, with spending more in line with Tampa Bay or Pittsburgh. If the least valuable parts of your offense project for a wRC+ around 110, you have bigger needs elsewhere. Before anyone calls shenanigans on some of the top comps, Mike Scioscia broke into the majors as a really good hitter before his radiation poisoning and Grady Hatton was a really good hitter when he was young, too. But when your top prospect gets two Hall of Famers in his top three comps, plus a third player who ought to be a Hall of Famer, you shouldn’t be too greedy.

This is one of the best offensive teams in baseball. While that’s never a guarantee of success, it’s a great place to start!

Pitchers

While the O’s have developed a lot of hitters, they haven’t had the same luck with pitchers outside of Grayson Rodriguez. Very few of the large stable of no. 4-ish starter prospects they had a few years ago really developed further, with Kyle Bradish and Dean Kremer being the primary success stories. Suspicions surrounding the pitching are what held Baltimore back in the ZiPS projections last year, and while the computer has come around on a number of pitchers, Bradish most notably, it’s still a rotation that’s begging for one high-end starter in free agency. I’d love to see the O’s go after Shōta Imanaga in any case; he’s gotten a lot less press than Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but he should come cheaper and there’s a lot to like about him. Plus, he’s a fly ball lefty whose weakness is being occasionally gopher ball-prone, and Camden Yards these days is very friendly for that type of pitcher.

Some of the Bradish gain is counteracted by ZiPS’ crush on Kremer being a bit more chaste than last year, but the rotation is at least acceptable so long as they don’t have poor luck with injuries. The team had been pretty lucky until late in the season when Félix Bautista went on the IL, where he’ll stay in 2024 thanks to Tommy John surgery. The bullpen ranked second in team WAR in 2023, but nearly 40% of that total was Bautista. If the O’s stand pat on the overall accomplishments of their 2023 ‘pen, they might regret it.

So how do the O’s look right now? You can add up the depth chart numbers (despite my warnings) and get them right around 90, and the current ZiPS sim has them at around 92 wins, the best record in the division. But that number will be revised as the winter progresses, and if teams like the Jays make any big additions and the O’s don’t, this standing could erode somewhat, despite the depth. It’s tempting to consider Baltimore’s 101 win-total in 2023 to be the team’s “starting point,” but that’s a path to disappointment, as a team exceeding its Pythagorean record and playing well in extra-innings/one-run games isn’t very predictive. Nor is it explained by bullpen quality; the r-squared between ‘pen quality, best reliever quality, and best three-reliever quality and Pythag/extra-innings/one-run game record is under 0.05 historically. And even then, the O’s don’t project to have as good a bullpen next go-around, thanks to the loss of Bautista. And no, projection misses aren’t predictive of future projection misses, even for very young or very old teams (since the projection systems already factor in age).

This is a very good team. The question is whether ownership is willing to invest enough for the Orioles to really find their ceiling.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Adley Rutschman B 26 C 578 497 77 132 34 1 18 69 72 88 2 1
Gunnar Henderson L 23 3B 640 561 103 146 27 7 26 93 68 158 12 4
Cedric Mullins L 29 CF 571 515 70 133 27 4 17 68 45 113 23 6
Jackson Holliday L 20 SS 610 538 86 137 23 6 11 70 69 141 12 6
Jordan Westburg R 25 2B 546 493 74 123 27 3 17 71 42 138 8 2
Anthony Santander B 29 RF 607 549 78 141 33 1 28 88 47 130 3 1
Coby Mayo R 22 3B 597 528 69 122 29 2 19 81 56 164 3 1
Austin Hays R 28 LF 543 499 74 132 30 2 18 68 36 127 4 2
Joey Ortiz R 25 SS 469 434 59 107 22 3 8 54 28 94 6 2
Ramón Urías R 30 3B 404 364 46 92 19 1 10 47 31 100 2 1
Colton Cowser L 24 CF 517 443 74 104 20 1 13 67 59 152 7 3
Jud Fabian R 23 CF 516 453 55 91 18 2 16 57 53 184 14 5
Connor Norby R 24 2B 586 534 78 132 24 3 17 75 41 142 7 4
Jorge Mateo R 29 SS 394 365 53 85 18 4 9 42 20 100 27 6
Ryan Mountcastle R 27 1B 553 503 66 130 23 1 23 79 40 132 3 1
Heston Kjerstad L 25 RF 534 487 69 123 22 4 14 71 31 119 3 2
Adam Frazier L 32 2B 505 459 59 117 21 3 7 50 35 68 9 5
Ryan O’Hearn L 30 1B 387 356 48 91 15 1 18 60 25 95 3 1
Daz Cameron R 27 CF 441 398 54 93 19 1 11 56 31 116 14 4
Kyle Stowers L 26 RF 444 395 50 92 17 1 18 62 40 136 3 2
Lewin Díaz L 27 1B 480 436 58 103 20 1 18 65 35 110 1 1
Josh Lester L 29 3B 492 458 59 106 21 2 20 70 28 140 2 1
Samuel Basallo L 19 C 467 428 57 96 18 3 15 61 34 108 5 3
Aaron Hicks B 34 CF 321 277 41 66 9 1 8 31 42 74 5 1
Maverick Handley R 26 C 291 255 30 53 9 1 5 30 26 85 5 1
Hudson Haskin R 25 CF 346 304 38 70 13 2 6 46 21 97 8 3
James McCann R 34 C 286 263 29 62 11 0 7 30 16 76 3 1
Ryan McKenna R 27 CF 278 246 38 53 10 1 7 30 24 87 6 2
Greg Cullen L 27 3B 252 216 20 48 8 1 3 24 30 61 2 1
Max Wagner R 22 3B 477 429 61 91 17 3 9 49 37 138 13 4
Sam Hilliard L 30 CF 364 327 47 67 12 2 14 40 34 125 9 1
Terrin Vavra L 27 LF 232 205 30 49 9 1 3 25 21 50 3 1
Ramón Rodríguez R 25 C 218 199 18 49 8 0 2 19 14 31 1 1
Meibrys Viloria L 27 C 294 256 29 54 11 0 5 30 33 86 1 1
Anthony Bemboom L 34 C 221 198 22 43 6 1 4 19 19 53 1 1
Ben DeLuzio R 29 LF 315 286 38 63 10 4 4 29 20 95 10 4
Silas Ardoin R 23 C 378 334 33 64 11 0 5 32 40 135 3 3
José Godoy L 29 C 259 239 28 57 8 0 5 28 16 57 1 1
Cadyn Grenier R 27 SS 414 360 43 72 15 2 4 36 42 128 7 3
Mark Kolozsvary R 28 C 188 168 20 30 7 0 4 20 12 69 1 1
Shayne Fontana L 27 LF 373 330 41 75 12 2 6 41 31 88 9 3
Elio Prado R 22 CF 431 389 46 86 12 3 7 45 28 98 5 5
Collin Burns L 24 SS 245 225 28 48 7 1 2 21 14 56 7 1
Billy Cook R 25 RF 465 429 46 91 15 3 13 55 25 140 15 2
Connor Pavolony R 24 C 149 130 14 23 4 1 2 11 15 55 1 1
Dylan Beavers L 22 RF 520 468 56 108 26 4 7 53 45 129 13 6
Joseph Rosa B 27 SS 333 298 35 63 12 2 3 30 27 101 7 2
Gilbert Lara R 26 SS 299 286 22 63 11 1 4 26 9 88 1 1
Randy Florentino L 23 C 211 192 23 42 6 0 3 17 14 48 1 1
Tim Susnara L 28 C 178 161 13 29 5 0 3 17 13 65 0 1
John Rhodes R 23 LF 441 398 49 84 17 3 8 46 35 122 6 1
Frederick Bencosme L 21 SS 463 424 48 103 15 3 2 36 33 75 12 4
Jacob Teter L 25 1B 332 303 26 65 15 0 5 30 25 98 1 1
Donta’ Williams L 25 CF 388 339 43 66 14 1 4 34 39 119 12 6
Zach Watson R 27 CF 335 313 34 63 11 2 7 34 13 112 9 2
TT Bowens R 26 1B 343 312 35 60 11 1 7 35 26 123 1 1
Anthony Servideo L 25 SS 350 315 29 50 10 0 2 22 30 152 4 3

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA RC
Adley Rutschman 578 .266 .362 .447 125 .181 .292 5 4.8 .350 81
Gunnar Henderson 640 .260 .344 .472 126 .212 .318 5 4.5 .350 95
Cedric Mullins 571 .258 .322 .425 107 .167 .301 5 2.9 .322 78
Jackson Holliday 610 .255 .341 .381 103 .126 .326 0 2.7 .319 75
Jordan Westburg 546 .249 .317 .420 105 .170 .314 4 2.6 .320 68
Anthony Santander 607 .257 .321 .474 119 .217 .289 -1 2.3 .339 85
Coby Mayo 597 .231 .315 .402 99 .170 .299 2 2.0 .313 68
Austin Hays 543 .265 .319 .441 110 .176 .322 4 1.9 .326 72
Joey Ortiz 469 .247 .296 .366 85 .120 .298 6 1.6 .290 49
Ramón Urías 404 .253 .323 .393 100 .140 .323 3 1.6 .314 47
Colton Cowser 517 .235 .335 .372 99 .138 .327 -2 1.5 .314 58
Jud Fabian 516 .201 .287 .355 79 .155 .296 9 1.4 .283 51
Connor Norby 586 .247 .305 .399 96 .152 .307 -2 1.3 .305 68
Jorge Mateo 394 .233 .277 .378 81 .145 .297 4 1.3 .283 46
Ryan Mountcastle 553 .258 .313 .445 110 .187 .307 0 1.2 .324 71
Heston Kjerstad 534 .253 .313 .400 98 .148 .308 5 1.2 .310 62
Adam Frazier 505 .255 .315 .359 89 .105 .286 1 1.1 .297 56
Ryan O’Hearn 387 .256 .307 .455 110 .199 .300 1 0.9 .324 51
Daz Cameron 441 .234 .298 .369 86 .136 .303 2 0.9 .292 48
Kyle Stowers 444 .233 .311 .418 102 .185 .307 1 0.8 .315 53
Lewin Díaz 480 .236 .298 .411 96 .174 .276 6 0.8 .305 54
Josh Lester 492 .231 .278 .417 92 .186 .289 0 0.8 .296 54
Samuel Basallo 467 .224 .285 .386 86 .161 .266 -4 0.7 .290 49
Aaron Hicks 321 .238 .340 .365 98 .126 .297 -5 0.6 .314 36
Maverick Handley 291 .208 .300 .310 72 .102 .291 2 0.6 .277 25
Hudson Haskin 346 .230 .314 .345 85 .115 .318 0 0.6 .295 36
James McCann 286 .236 .288 .357 80 .122 .306 0 0.5 .283 28
Ryan McKenna 278 .215 .291 .350 79 .134 .303 2 0.5 .283 27
Greg Cullen 252 .222 .327 .310 81 .088 .296 2 0.4 .290 23
Max Wagner 477 .212 .285 .329 72 .117 .291 4 0.4 .273 44
Sam Hilliard 364 .205 .283 .382 84 .177 .282 -2 0.4 .289 38
Terrin Vavra 232 .239 .320 .337 85 .098 .303 2 0.3 .295 23
Ramón Rodríguez 218 .246 .296 .317 72 .070 .283 0 0.2 .273 19
Meibrys Viloria 294 .211 .310 .313 76 .102 .297 -3 0.2 .281 25
Anthony Bemboom 221 .217 .290 .318 71 .101 .277 0 0.2 .271 19
Ben DeLuzio 315 .220 .284 .325 71 .105 .316 7 0.1 .271 30
Silas Ardoin 378 .192 .283 .269 57 .078 .304 4 0.1 .254 27
José Godoy 259 .238 .290 .335 75 .096 .294 -2 0.0 .276 24
Cadyn Grenier 414 .200 .294 .286 64 .086 .298 0 0.0 .266 33
Mark Kolozsvary 188 .179 .262 .292 55 .113 .274 2 0.0 .251 13
Shayne Fontana 373 .227 .307 .330 79 .103 .292 2 0.0 .286 37
Elio Prado 431 .221 .291 .321 72 .100 .278 1 0.0 .274 39
Collin Burns 245 .213 .270 .280 55 .067 .275 1 -0.2 .248 19
Billy Cook 465 .212 .265 .352 71 .140 .283 5 -0.2 .269 44
Connor Pavolony 149 .177 .275 .269 54 .092 .288 -1 -0.3 .250 10
Dylan Beavers 520 .231 .300 .348 82 .118 .304 0 -0.4 .285 54
Joseph Rosa 333 .211 .288 .295 65 .084 .309 -4 -0.4 .264 28
Gilbert Lara 299 .220 .251 .308 56 .087 .304 1 -0.4 .245 23
Randy Florentino 211 .219 .271 .297 60 .078 .277 -4 -0.6 .253 16
Tim Susnara 178 .180 .253 .267 46 .087 .280 -2 -0.6 .236 11
John Rhodes 441 .211 .283 .329 72 .118 .284 0 -0.8 .271 39
Frederick Bencosme 463 .243 .300 .307 71 .064 .291 -11 -0.8 .272 43
Jacob Teter 332 .215 .274 .314 65 .099 .300 2 -0.9 .261 27
Donta’ Williams 388 .195 .289 .277 61 .083 .287 -4 -1.0 .259 32
Zach Watson 335 .201 .240 .316 55 .115 .289 -4 -1.2 .243 26
TT Bowens 343 .192 .262 .301 58 .109 .291 -1 -1.5 .252 25
Anthony Servideo 350 .159 .238 .210 27 .051 .298 -6 -2.3 .208 18

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Adley Rutschman Mike Scioscia Ted Simmons Bill Freehan
Gunnar Henderson Grady Hatton Yoán Moncada Bill Madlock
Cedric Mullins Eric Byrnes Kevin Kiermaier Coco Crisp
Jackson Holliday Bobby Grich Arky Vaughan Alan Trammell
Jordan Westburg Frank Bolling Robert Sagers Robby Thompson
Anthony Santander Mickey Rocco Greg Walker Frank Kellert
Coby Mayo James Darnell Mark Naehring Bill Melton
Austin Hays Stefen Romero Tommy Cruz Rod Allen
Joey Ortiz Rafael Ramirez Jose Pagan Frank Johnson
Ramón Urías Jack Heidemann Kermit Wahl Ernest Riles
Colton Cowser Domingo Santana Rick Monday Ken Singleton
Jud Fabian Mike Hart Evan Chambers Steve Lyons
Connor Norby Josh Rutledge Eugenio Suárez Josh Barfield
Jorge Mateo Greg Gagne Chris Basak Scott Kingery
Ryan Mountcastle Mat Gamel Renato Núñez Dick Sisler
Heston Kjerstad Bill Roman Jim Mooring Frank Johnson
Adam Frazier Marlon Anderson Don Blasingame Dave Cash
Ryan O’Hearn Scott Hairston Micah Hoffpauir Jerry Lynch
Daz Cameron Jake Marisnick Delwyn Young Lane Adams
Kyle Stowers Bobby Prescott Jon Knott Benjamin Downs
Lewin Díaz Razor Shines Jerry Lomastro Scott Thorman
Josh Lester Mark Saccomanno Russ Davis Greg Jelks
Samuel Basallo Steve Nicosia Charlie Moore Jerry Moses
Aaron Hicks Willie Harris F.P. Santangelo Chad Curtis
Maverick Handley Ben Amaya Jeff Farnham Duane Gustavson
Hudson Haskin Michael Lang Rich Barnwell Chad Hinshaw
James McCann Dixie Howell Al Todd Bob Schmidt
Ryan McKenna Norm Roberts Tillman Pugh Earl Robinson
Greg Cullen Horace Porter Rich Paz Ed Jurak
Max Wagner Jose Ortiz Rob Sasser Tyler Goeddel
Sam Hilliard Louie Meadows Clyde Mashore B.J. Upton
Terrin Vavra Debs Garms Tommie Martz Al Spangler
Ramón Rodríguez Billy Alvino Sal Agostinelli Roly de Armas
Meibrys Viloria Luke Carlin Jose Lobaton Tom Lundstedt
Anthony Bemboom Paul Bako Russ Nixon Matt Treanor
Ben DeLuzio Darren Ford Ramon Gomez Scarborough Green
Silas Ardoin Dallas Tarleton Don Werner Mike Rose
José Godoy Adrian Nieto John Sevcik Roger Hansen
Cadyn Grenier Nolan Fontana Anthony Granato Anderson Machado
Mark Kolozsvary Jeff Hearron Gary Tremblay Tom Gregorio
Shayne Fontana Rick Prieto Mark Payton Brett Nommensen
Elio Prado Rick Colzie Ed Yacopino Ransel Melgarejo
Collin Burns Jason McConnell Pedro Blanco Offerman Collado
Billy Cook Anthony Sanders John Ramistella Steve Blomberg
Connor Pavolony Michael Shepston Bryan Graves John Harrell
Dylan Beavers Kory DeHaan Alberto Rodriguez Gary Thomasson
Joseph Rosa Rolando Gomez Darrel Chaney Eric Stamets
Gilbert Lara Kevin Rios Al Quintana Chase Jensen
Randy Florentino Kenny Miller Pete Bazan Michael Uremovich
Tim Susnara Clemente Alvarez Steven Lerud Kerry Baker
John Rhodes Shane Gunderson John Garofalo Jim McArdle
Frederick Bencosme Omar Infante Andrés Blanco Omar Obregon
Jacob Teter Jerry Kudajeski Al Corbeil Stephen Hunt
Donta’ Williams Joey Zellner Ricky Strickland Jim Essian
Zach Watson T.J. Steele Travis Becktel Jono Brooks
TT Bowens Daniel Berg Mark Threlkeld Robert Burrows
Anthony Servideo Seth Bynum Brian Wilson Chad McClanahan

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Adley Rutschman .291 .386 .500 146 6.2 .241 .336 .403 109 3.5
Gunnar Henderson .284 .374 .533 148 6.2 .234 .319 .419 106 3.0
Cedric Mullins .283 .347 .475 126 4.3 .231 .297 .371 87 1.5
Jackson Holliday .282 .373 .427 122 4.1 .229 .313 .343 85 1.2
Jordan Westburg .275 .344 .469 124 3.8 .226 .292 .368 84 1.1
Anthony Santander .282 .347 .539 143 4.0 .231 .296 .417 98 0.7
Coby Mayo .258 .340 .453 119 3.5 .204 .286 .346 77 0.5
Austin Hays .293 .343 .489 128 3.1 .236 .291 .389 89 0.5
Joey Ortiz .271 .324 .410 103 2.7 .224 .274 .326 70 0.7
Ramón Urías .281 .352 .450 122 2.6 .226 .296 .347 78 0.5
Colton Cowser .264 .364 .423 121 2.9 .207 .311 .329 82 0.5
Jud Fabian .227 .311 .401 96 2.5 .176 .261 .304 59 0.1
Connor Norby .273 .332 .450 115 2.6 .223 .281 .353 76 -0.2
Jorge Mateo .259 .304 .437 104 2.3 .206 .251 .334 63 0.3
Ryan Mountcastle .283 .334 .498 127 2.4 .231 .285 .396 90 -0.1
Heston Kjerstad .283 .342 .452 119 2.6 .225 .286 .354 79 0.0
Adam Frazier .282 .341 .399 104 2.1 .228 .290 .322 71 0.0
Ryan O’Hearn .280 .330 .507 129 1.9 .226 .276 .399 88 -0.1
Daz Cameron .258 .325 .416 106 1.9 .206 .268 .319 64 -0.4
Kyle Stowers .255 .333 .479 123 2.0 .206 .287 .363 82 -0.2
Lewin Díaz .261 .327 .464 118 2.1 .210 .269 .359 76 -0.3
Josh Lester .255 .298 .475 114 2.1 .209 .253 .370 76 -0.2
Samuel Basallo .250 .313 .450 106 1.9 .197 .256 .337 67 -0.6
Aaron Hicks .270 .370 .418 118 1.4 .209 .308 .313 77 -0.2
Maverick Handley .235 .331 .362 92 1.3 .177 .271 .266 53 0.0
Hudson Haskin .262 .338 .392 104 1.4 .203 .284 .297 65 -0.3
James McCann .262 .317 .406 102 1.2 .207 .264 .314 63 -0.2
Ryan McKenna .243 .317 .402 99 1.1 .188 .261 .303 59 -0.3
Greg Cullen .249 .355 .349 97 1.0 .192 .299 .270 62 -0.1
Max Wagner .237 .310 .369 90 1.6 .188 .258 .285 54 -0.6
Sam Hilliard .234 .315 .452 109 1.5 .181 .255 .328 62 -0.6
Terrin Vavra .263 .343 .383 104 0.8 .209 .289 .295 65 -0.3
Ramón Rodríguez .282 .331 .363 94 0.8 .208 .259 .273 52 -0.4
Meibrys Viloria .239 .341 .361 95 0.8 .181 .282 .268 54 -0.6
Anthony Bemboom .253 .323 .373 93 0.7 .187 .258 .270 50 -0.4
Ben DeLuzio .249 .313 .370 92 0.9 .197 .258 .279 53 -0.6
Silas Ardoin .225 .312 .312 77 1.1 .165 .251 .229 38 -0.8
José Godoy .276 .329 .389 101 0.9 .210 .265 .294 59 -0.5
Cadyn Grenier .226 .320 .332 83 1.0 .168 .264 .248 46 -0.9
Mark Kolozsvary .212 .296 .349 79 0.5 .149 .229 .241 34 -0.6
Shayne Fontana .253 .337 .378 100 0.9 .197 .278 .290 60 -0.9
Elio Prado .250 .318 .370 93 1.1 .196 .264 .282 55 -0.9
Collin Burns .244 .300 .324 74 0.4 .184 .242 .245 39 -0.8
Billy Cook .239 .290 .400 91 0.9 .188 .241 .307 55 -1.2
Connor Pavolony .209 .304 .323 76 0.1 .150 .246 .226 37 -0.7
Dylan Beavers .255 .323 .386 99 0.6 .206 .273 .308 67 -1.4
Joseph Rosa .241 .316 .336 82 0.3 .184 .260 .255 47 -1.2
Gilbert Lara .250 .278 .347 74 0.3 .194 .225 .268 37 -1.1
Randy Florentino .256 .312 .353 83 0.1 .183 .242 .249 39 -1.1
Tim Susnara .214 .292 .324 70 0.0 .151 .220 .225 24 -1.1
John Rhodes .236 .308 .367 87 0.1 .184 .255 .284 52 -1.9
Frederick Bencosme .274 .332 .345 90 0.4 .215 .274 .268 52 -1.9
Jacob Teter .239 .298 .353 81 -0.2 .188 .243 .274 46 -1.6
Donta’ Williams .223 .316 .318 79 -0.1 .170 .262 .239 44 -1.8
Zach Watson .229 .267 .365 73 -0.4 .173 .213 .276 36 -2.0
TT Bowens .215 .287 .347 74 -0.8 .166 .234 .259 39 -2.2
Anthony Servideo .188 .269 .251 46 -1.5 .129 .211 .171 11 -3.0

Batters – Projected Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Adley Rutschman .263 .367 .430 .267 .359 .456
Gunnar Henderson .245 .333 .436 .269 .350 .493
Cedric Mullins .243 .310 .401 .264 .327 .435
Jackson Holliday .240 .323 .370 .260 .348 .385
Jordan Westburg .251 .328 .433 .248 .307 .408
Anthony Santander .259 .330 .471 .256 .317 .475
Coby Mayo .231 .318 .394 .231 .313 .407
Austin Hays .268 .327 .458 .263 .314 .431
Joey Ortiz .251 .309 .374 .243 .287 .360
Ramón Urías .248 .325 .390 .256 .321 .395
Colton Cowser .227 .328 .347 .239 .339 .386
Jud Fabian .203 .298 .360 .199 .281 .352
Connor Norby .250 .314 .412 .245 .300 .390
Jorge Mateo .241 .289 .404 .228 .269 .362
Ryan Mountcastle .263 .323 .464 .256 .307 .435
Heston Kjerstad .242 .304 .373 .257 .317 .413
Adam Frazier .239 .297 .321 .260 .320 .371
Ryan O’Hearn .234 .286 .390 .262 .314 .473
Daz Cameron .238 .304 .390 .230 .293 .354
Kyle Stowers .228 .305 .389 .236 .314 .435
Lewin Díaz .229 .287 .396 .240 .303 .418
Josh Lester .223 .269 .391 .237 .285 .434
Samuel Basallo .213 .271 .361 .229 .290 .395
Aaron Hicks .241 .340 .379 .237 .339 .358
Maverick Handley .213 .309 .352 .204 .293 .279
Hudson Haskin .233 .314 .353 .227 .314 .338
James McCann .242 .300 .385 .233 .281 .343
Ryan McKenna .220 .301 .367 .212 .283 .336
Greg Cullen .221 .329 .294 .223 .326 .318
Max Wagner .216 .293 .327 .210 .280 .330
Sam Hilliard .202 .279 .383 .206 .285 .382
Terrin Vavra .234 .319 .313 .241 .321 .348
Ramón Rodríguez .250 .302 .330 .243 .292 .306
Meibrys Viloria .202 .309 .310 .215 .310 .314
Anthony Bemboom .206 .282 .286 .222 .293 .333
Ben DeLuzio .230 .296 .338 .211 .273 .313
Silas Ardoin .195 .299 .273 .189 .273 .267
José Godoy .224 .272 .318 .247 .299 .344
Cadyn Grenier .194 .294 .279 .244 .295 .341
Mark Kolozsvary .184 .262 .303 .174 .262 .283
Shayne Fontana .209 .290 .309 .236 .316 .341
Elio Prado .229 .300 .319 .216 .285 .322
Collin Burns .208 .269 .278 .216 .271 .281
Billy Cook .211 .268 .354 .213 .263 .350
Connor Pavolony .179 .292 .304 .176 .262 .243
Dylan Beavers .217 .287 .326 .236 .305 .357
Joseph Rosa .213 .294 .291 .211 .284 .298
Gilbert Lara .227 .261 .333 .214 .242 .286
Randy Florentino .203 .250 .288 .226 .281 .301
Tim Susnara .170 .250 .255 .184 .254 .272
John Rhodes .217 .294 .329 .207 .276 .329
Frederick Bencosme .226 .284 .298 .250 .307 .310
Jacob Teter .205 .260 .284 .219 .280 .326
Donta’ Williams .183 .277 .250 .200 .295 .289
Zach Watson .203 .243 .315 .200 .238 .318
TT Bowens .200 .280 .317 .186 .247 .287
Anthony Servideo .157 .235 .180 .159 .239 .221

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Kyle Bradish R 27 10 8 3.71 29 29 155.3 137 64 17 54 148
Dean Kremer R 28 9 7 3.86 29 28 154.0 147 66 17 48 132
Grayson Rodriguez R 24 7 6 4.07 28 28 141.7 126 64 19 44 153
Félix Bautista R 29 7 2 2.61 59 0 62.0 39 18 7 22 93
Tyler Wells R 29 6 6 4.20 32 20 113.7 97 53 17 36 103
Jack Flaherty R 28 7 7 4.52 25 23 127.3 117 64 18 55 131
Cade Povich L 24 8 9 4.43 25 25 113.7 105 56 15 50 115
DL Hall L 25 4 4 4.01 34 14 76.3 64 34 10 37 96
John Means L 31 5 5 4.24 17 17 85.0 81 40 13 22 63
Cole Irvin L 30 7 9 4.58 28 22 131.7 140 67 21 29 96
Garrett Stallings R 26 7 8 4.54 25 19 111.0 116 56 15 31 86
Bruce Zimmermann L 29 5 6 4.56 24 20 106.7 114 54 16 32 90
Yennier Cano R 30 3 2 3.67 66 0 68.7 64 28 8 22 64
Justin Armbruester R 25 5 5 4.67 24 22 106.0 107 55 14 40 82
Alex Pham R 24 3 4 4.50 24 16 88.0 86 44 12 37 76
Chayce McDermott R 25 6 7 4.67 23 18 98.3 87 51 13 54 105
Trey McGough L 26 4 4 4.60 19 14 76.3 81 39 10 24 52
Kyle Brnovich R 26 3 3 4.45 17 14 64.7 62 32 9 21 58
Keegan Akin L 29 3 3 4.09 29 7 61.7 59 28 8 18 65
Jean Pinto R 23 3 3 4.76 24 19 85.0 84 45 12 38 71
Ryan Watson R 26 4 5 4.70 29 11 82.3 85 43 11 31 65
Peter Van Loon R 25 5 5 4.60 19 12 60.7 60 31 8 23 53
Seth Johnson R 25 3 4 4.55 16 12 57.3 58 29 9 24 56
Antonio Velez L 27 4 4 4.60 20 8 58.7 63 30 8 14 41
Ryan Long R 24 5 6 4.80 24 11 86.3 89 46 12 32 64
Mike Baumann R 28 5 5 4.48 45 6 72.3 68 36 9 32 68
Tucker Davidson L 28 4 5 4.71 28 12 80.3 78 42 11 33 75
Trace Bright R 23 4 4 4.93 24 20 91.3 84 50 13 50 90
Brandon Young R 25 3 3 4.70 16 15 53.7 56 28 8 20 43
Noah Denoyer R 26 2 3 4.63 22 6 56.3 54 29 8 27 54
Danny Coulombe L 34 4 3 4.11 51 0 46.0 44 21 7 17 49
Keagan Gillies R 26 3 3 4.08 30 1 35.3 32 16 5 13 37
Austin Voth R 32 2 3 4.80 33 8 60.0 61 32 9 23 57
Jacob Webb R 30 3 3 4.30 59 1 60.7 54 29 8 24 67
Cionel Pérez L 28 3 3 4.31 61 1 54.3 51 26 6 25 50
Nick Vespi L 28 3 3 4.18 43 0 47.3 45 22 6 16 45
Jorge López R 31 4 5 4.67 47 6 69.3 69 36 9 27 64
Connor Gillispie R 26 4 6 5.14 23 12 89.3 94 51 14 38 63
Jake Lyons R 25 3 5 4.98 19 7 56.0 59 31 8 25 44
Ryan Hennen L 26 2 2 4.18 21 0 32.3 31 15 4 9 28
Conner Loeprich R 26 2 3 4.75 28 3 53.0 55 28 7 19 41
Bryan Baker R 29 4 4 4.37 56 0 55.7 50 27 7 25 54
Shintaro Fujinami R 30 5 7 4.97 40 8 76.0 68 42 9 46 80
Darwinzon Hernández L 27 2 2 4.95 32 3 36.3 29 20 5 24 46
Dillon Tate R 30 2 3 4.71 45 0 49.7 47 26 6 17 38
Jensen Elliott R 27 2 4 5.10 23 2 42.3 49 24 6 13 23
Houston Roth R 26 4 7 5.32 22 7 71.0 75 42 11 37 55
Nathan Webb R 26 2 3 5.03 23 2 39.3 38 22 6 22 38
T.J. McFarland L 35 3 3 4.65 40 0 50.3 52 26 6 18 38
Carlos Tavera R 25 3 5 5.54 19 14 65.0 64 40 10 47 57
Nolan Hoffman R 26 1 2 4.79 32 0 41.3 44 22 5 13 27
Mychal Givens R 34 2 4 5.02 39 1 37.7 36 21 6 20 36
Ryan Conroy R 27 3 4 5.15 25 3 50.7 53 29 7 26 42
Dylan Heid R 26 3 3 4.81 27 0 39.3 36 21 5 24 41
Ignacio Feliz R 24 3 4 5.47 24 5 54.3 52 33 8 34 51
Joey Krehbiel R 31 2 2 4.87 42 0 44.3 44 24 6 20 35
Tyler Burch R 26 2 3 5.03 27 0 39.3 42 22 6 16 28
Ofreidy Gómez R 28 2 3 5.55 27 5 47.0 46 29 7 31 43
Kade Strowd R 26 2 2 5.09 29 0 46.0 46 26 7 23 40
Cole Uvila R 30 2 3 5.26 34 0 39.3 41 23 6 22 34
Morgan McSweeney R 26 2 2 5.18 37 0 41.7 41 24 6 24 35
Xavier Moore R 25 1 2 5.83 24 1 29.3 26 19 4 25 32
Kyle Dowdy R 31 4 5 5.04 36 0 55.3 55 31 8 31 49
Nick Richmond R 26 1 2 5.68 22 0 25.3 27 16 4 14 18
Wandisson Charles R 27 3 5 5.26 35 0 39.3 36 23 6 28 41
Dan Hammer R 26 1 4 6.98 21 3 38.7 36 30 6 43 39

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Kyle Bradish 155.3 8.6 3.1 1.0 8.2% 22.6% .281 110 3.93 91 2.8
Dean Kremer 154.0 7.7 2.8 1.0 7.4% 20.3% .290 106 4.03 94 2.6
Grayson Rodriguez 141.7 9.7 2.8 1.2 7.4% 25.8% .289 101 3.90 99 2.0
Félix Bautista 62.0 13.5 3.2 1.0 8.9% 37.7% .262 157 2.84 64 1.9
Tyler Wells 113.7 8.2 2.9 1.3 7.7% 22.0% .258 98 4.42 102 1.3
Jack Flaherty 127.3 9.3 3.9 1.3 10.0% 23.8% .290 91 4.54 110 1.2
Cade Povich 113.7 9.1 4.0 1.2 10.1% 23.3% .292 92 4.40 108 1.1
DL Hall 76.3 11.3 4.4 1.2 11.2% 29.1% .297 102 4.05 98 1.1
John Means 85.0 6.7 2.3 1.4 6.2% 17.8% .269 97 4.64 103 1.1
Cole Irvin 131.7 6.6 2.0 1.4 5.2% 17.3% .292 89 4.69 112 1.0
Garrett Stallings 111.0 7.0 2.5 1.2 6.5% 18.1% .297 90 4.38 111 1.0
Bruce Zimmermann 106.7 7.6 2.7 1.4 6.9% 19.5% .306 90 4.50 111 0.9
Yennier Cano 68.7 8.4 2.9 1.0 7.6% 22.1% .290 112 4.00 90 0.8
Justin Armbruester 106.0 7.0 3.4 1.2 8.7% 17.8% .290 88 4.73 114 0.8
Alex Pham 88.0 7.8 3.8 1.2 9.5% 19.5% .289 91 4.60 110 0.8
Chayce McDermott 98.3 9.6 4.9 1.2 12.3% 24.0% .287 88 4.61 114 0.7
Trey McGough 76.3 6.1 2.8 1.2 7.3% 15.7% .293 89 4.58 112 0.7
Kyle Brnovich 64.7 8.1 2.9 1.3 7.6% 21.0% .288 92 4.48 109 0.7
Keegan Akin 61.7 9.5 2.6 1.2 6.9% 25.0% .305 100 3.76 100 0.7
Jean Pinto 85.0 7.5 4.0 1.3 10.1% 18.8% .288 86 4.90 116 0.6
Ryan Watson 82.3 7.1 3.4 1.2 8.6% 18.0% .296 87 4.69 115 0.5
Peter Van Loon 60.7 7.9 3.4 1.2 8.7% 20.1% .294 89 4.56 112 0.5
Seth Johnson 57.3 8.8 3.8 1.4 9.5% 22.1% .304 90 4.70 111 0.5
Antonio Velez 58.7 6.3 2.1 1.2 5.6% 16.3% .297 89 4.45 112 0.4
Ryan Long 86.3 6.7 3.3 1.3 8.5% 17.0% .291 85 4.80 117 0.4
Mike Baumann 72.3 8.5 4.0 1.1 10.1% 21.5% .291 91 4.40 109 0.4
Tucker Davidson 80.3 8.4 3.7 1.2 9.5% 21.6% .295 87 4.51 115 0.4
Trace Bright 91.3 8.9 4.9 1.3 12.0% 21.6% .285 83 5.04 120 0.4
Brandon Young 53.7 7.2 3.4 1.3 8.5% 18.3% .296 87 4.88 115 0.4
Noah Denoyer 56.3 8.6 4.3 1.3 10.8% 21.5% .293 88 4.73 113 0.3
Danny Coulombe 46.0 9.6 3.3 1.4 8.6% 24.9% .301 100 4.28 100 0.2
Keagan Gillies 35.3 9.4 3.3 1.3 8.6% 24.3% .287 101 4.19 99 0.2
Austin Voth 60.0 8.6 3.5 1.4 8.7% 21.7% .304 85 4.56 117 0.2
Jacob Webb 60.7 9.9 3.6 1.2 9.3% 25.9% .293 95 4.10 105 0.2
Cionel Pérez 54.3 8.3 4.1 1.0 10.5% 21.1% .292 95 4.34 105 0.2
Nick Vespi 47.3 8.6 3.0 1.1 7.9% 22.3% .293 98 4.08 102 0.2
Jorge López 69.3 8.3 3.5 1.2 8.9% 21.1% .302 88 4.57 114 0.1
Connor Gillispie 89.3 6.3 3.8 1.4 9.6% 15.9% .288 80 5.36 125 0.1
Jake Lyons 56.0 7.1 4.0 1.3 10.0% 17.5% .298 82 4.99 122 0.1
Ryan Hennen 32.3 7.8 2.5 1.1 6.6% 20.6% .287 98 4.15 102 0.1
Conner Loeprich 53.0 7.0 3.2 1.2 8.1% 17.4% .296 86 4.61 116 0.1
Bryan Baker 55.7 8.7 4.0 1.1 10.3% 22.3% .283 94 4.40 107 0.0
Shintaro Fujinami 76.0 9.5 5.4 1.1 13.4% 23.3% .292 82 4.70 121 0.0
Darwinzon Hernández 36.3 11.4 5.9 1.2 14.7% 28.2% .282 83 4.99 121 -0.1
Dillon Tate 49.7 6.9 3.1 1.1 8.0% 17.8% .277 87 4.62 115 -0.1
Jensen Elliott 42.3 4.9 2.8 1.3 6.9% 12.2% .301 80 5.07 125 -0.1
Houston Roth 71.0 7.0 4.7 1.4 11.4% 16.9% .295 77 5.41 130 -0.2
Nathan Webb 39.3 8.7 5.0 1.4 12.1% 20.9% .294 81 5.14 123 -0.2
T.J. McFarland 50.3 6.8 3.2 1.1 8.2% 17.4% .297 88 4.55 114 -0.2
Carlos Tavera 65.0 7.9 6.5 1.4 15.2% 18.4% .289 74 5.76 135 -0.2
Nolan Hoffman 41.3 5.9 2.8 1.1 7.2% 15.0% .293 86 4.68 117 -0.2
Mychal Givens 37.7 8.6 4.8 1.4 11.9% 21.4% .288 82 5.25 122 -0.2
Ryan Conroy 50.7 7.5 4.6 1.2 11.3% 18.3% .303 80 5.23 126 -0.2
Dylan Heid 39.3 9.4 5.5 1.1 13.6% 23.2% .295 85 4.81 117 -0.2
Ignacio Feliz 54.3 8.4 5.6 1.3 13.6% 20.4% .289 75 5.56 133 -0.3
Joey Krehbiel 44.3 7.1 4.1 1.2 10.2% 17.9% .286 84 4.92 119 -0.3
Tyler Burch 39.3 6.4 3.7 1.4 9.1% 15.9% .293 81 5.19 123 -0.3
Ofreidy Gómez 47.0 8.2 5.9 1.3 13.8% 19.1% .291 74 5.79 136 -0.3
Kade Strowd 46.0 7.8 4.5 1.4 11.1% 19.2% .291 81 5.19 124 -0.4
Cole Uvila 39.3 7.8 5.0 1.4 12.1% 18.7% .302 78 5.26 128 -0.4
Morgan McSweeney 41.7 7.6 5.2 1.3 12.6% 18.4% .287 79 5.32 127 -0.4
Xavier Moore 29.3 9.8 7.7 1.2 17.6% 22.5% .289 70 5.61 142 -0.4
Kyle Dowdy 55.3 8.0 5.0 1.3 12.3% 19.4% .294 81 5.21 123 -0.4
Nick Richmond 25.3 6.4 5.0 1.4 11.8% 15.1% .291 72 6.02 139 -0.4
Wandisson Charles 39.3 9.4 6.4 1.4 15.1% 22.2% .288 78 5.44 128 -0.4
Dan Hammer 38.7 9.1 10.0 1.4 21.7% 19.7% .288 59 7.06 170 -0.9

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Kyle Bradish Sonny Gray Tim Hudson Justin Verlander
Dean Kremer Marcus Stroman Roberto Hernandez Johnny Cueto
Grayson Rodriguez Mat Latos José Berríos Kevin Appier
Félix Bautista Rich Gossage Trevor Hoffman Cody Allen
Tyler Wells Phil Collins Jesse Flores Mark Portugal
Jack Flaherty Kevin Gross Roger Pavlik Joey Jay
Cade Povich Chris Seddon 세든 Jalen Beeks Jarrod Washburn
DL Hall Caleb Ferguson Jonathan Sanchez William Glane
John Means Donovan Osborne Tyler Anderson Art Nehf
Cole Irvin Scott McGregor Clayton Richard Mitchell Lambson
Garrett Stallings Lindsey Caughel Terry Doyle Cisco Carlos
Bruce Zimmermann David Huff 허프 Glen Perkins Kei Igawa
Yennier Cano Alex Colomé Braden Looper Sam Dyson
Justin Armbruester Larry Pashnick Jeanmar Gómez Dan Houston
Alex Pham Michael Lorenzen Jeff Samardzija George Bechtold
Chayce McDermott Matt Magill Jake Faria Steve Renko
Trey McGough Derek Manning Pat Underwood Frank Bork
Kyle Brnovich Tim Hallgren Mitch Lukevics Frank Brosseau
Keegan Akin Adam Morgan Lester Clinkscales Bob Lacey
Jean Pinto Will Inman Gerald Alexander Kent Hunziker
Ryan Watson Rick Kirsten Joel Davis Eric Thompson
Peter Van Loon J.R. Graham Milt Wilcox Bill Dillman
Seth Johnson Dave Meyer Bob Giggie Nick Krsnich
Antonio Velez Luke Sommer Casey Harman Trevor Enders
Ryan Long Kevin Mlodik Fredy Deza Luke Robertson
Mike Baumann J.C. Gutierrez Drew VerHagen Hank Mason
Tucker Davidson Bob Hendley Rick Krivda Bob Buchanan
Trace Bright Reggie Harris Bill Risley Keyvius Sampson 샘슨
Brandon Young John Hannon Robert Gill Tim Dell
Noah Denoyer Austin House Marcelino Dominguez Travis Lakins
Danny Coulombe Joey Eischen Pedro Feliciano Brian Duensing
Keagan Gillies Art Martinez Jim Bryant Jim Donohue
Austin Voth Gary Glover 글로버 Jim Owens Mike Harkey
Jacob Webb Mace Brown Cliff Politte Tom Sturdivant
Cionel Pérez James Pazos Jeff Calhoun Bob McClure
Nick Vespi Jesse Carlson Graeme Lloyd Donnie Hart
Jorge López Alfredo Simon Joe Biagini Buck Farmer
Connor Gillispie Barrett Astin Jesus Tinoco Josh Hodges
Jake Lyons Bernard Belan Wascar Serrano Paul Moviel
Ryan Hennen Erasmo Ramirez Mark Mesewicz Courtney Mitchell
Conner Loeprich John Green Freddie Davis Henry Villar
Bryan Baker Matt Albers Logan Ondrusek Marvin Freeman
Shintaro Fujinami John Pacella José Álvarez Tyler Pearson
Darwinzon Hernández Bill Bayne Don Shaw Leyson Septimo
Dillon Tate Rob Scahill Bob Bowman Braden Looper
Jensen Elliott Raul Mercado Adam Cimber Jeremy Halpin
Houston Roth Brian Dupra Johendi Jiminian John Kuchno
Nathan Webb David Carpenter Seth Overbey Darren Balsley
T.J. McFarland Ken Lehman Fred Baczewski Chad Zerbe
Carlos Tavera John Papa Al Schmelz Marvin Freeman
Nolan Hoffman Greg Washburn Dick Bokelmann Kurt Yacko
Mychal Givens Matt Karchner Ricky Bottalico Emil Kush
Ryan Conroy Jose Vargas Kyle Crist Jefri Hernandez
Dylan Heid Hector Nelo Ed Riley Fred Wenz
Ignacio Feliz Mike Hermanson Myles Smith Chris Sinacori
Joey Krehbiel Georges Maranda Cal Koonce Mike Fornieles
Tyler Burch T.J. Burton Edgar Garcia Billy Biggs
Ofreidy Gómez Daniel Turpen Joe Valentine Jose Ortega
Kade Strowd Derek Diaz Angel Nesbitt Domingo Guzman
Cole Uvila Juan Sandoval B.J. Litchfield Douglas Gentry
Morgan McSweeney Marcel Lachemann Oswaldo Pacheco Jack Lazorko
Xavier Moore Harvey Mattingly Mike Barba Darren Hall
Kyle Dowdy T.J. Beam Tim Corcoran Mike Walker
Nick Richmond John Brown Rich Grife William Gerhardt
Wandisson Charles Chris Perry Jeff Ames Ysmael Carmona
Dan Hammer Yoel Espinal Alvin Brown Jeff Soptic

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Kyle Bradish .234 .309 .361 .229 .293 .384 3.9 1.7 3.16 4.29
Dean Kremer .238 .310 .365 .251 .302 .408 3.4 1.5 3.40 4.41
Grayson Rodriguez .229 .292 .384 .236 .298 .398 3.1 1.0 3.49 4.69
Félix Bautista .173 .250 .306 .177 .254 .315 2.9 0.9 1.81 3.70
Tyler Wells .212 .268 .352 .236 .304 .435 2.1 0.5 3.70 4.88
Jack Flaherty .248 .336 .416 .229 .313 .396 2.2 0.1 3.88 5.29
Cade Povich .236 .324 .354 .241 .322 .418 2.0 0.2 3.86 5.12
DL Hall .205 .290 .318 .230 .329 .405 1.8 0.2 3.37 4.93
John Means .235 .283 .388 .250 .302 .439 1.6 0.5 3.78 4.83
Cole Irvin .265 .313 .404 .267 .311 .468 1.8 0.3 4.06 5.16
Garrett Stallings .282 .339 .450 .246 .289 .409 1.8 0.2 3.96 5.19
Bruce Zimmermann .263 .302 .415 .269 .328 .455 1.6 0.1 4.01 5.29
Yennier Cano .250 .314 .395 .234 .297 .383 1.4 0.0 3.12 4.50
Justin Armbruester .268 .344 .443 .247 .315 .399 1.4 0.1 4.23 5.24
Alex Pham .253 .326 .418 .247 .318 .414 1.5 0.2 3.91 4.98
Chayce McDermott .253 .348 .434 .211 .317 .356 1.5 -0.3 4.08 5.44
Trey McGough .258 .311 .361 .271 .323 .469 1.1 0.1 4.09 5.15
Kyle Brnovich .235 .308 .387 .258 .322 .439 1.1 0.2 3.91 5.04
Keegan Akin .230 .275 .311 .253 .309 .446 1.2 0.2 3.41 4.87
Jean Pinto .229 .325 .333 .270 .340 .492 1.1 0.0 4.25 5.26
Ryan Watson .258 .343 .430 .263 .318 .423 1.0 -0.1 4.20 5.35
Peter Van Loon .259 .339 .438 .246 .314 .389 0.9 0.0 4.04 5.24
Seth Johnson .238 .319 .410 .273 .341 .463 0.9 0.0 3.95 5.23
Antonio Velez .268 .303 .408 .270 .318 .448 0.8 0.0 4.06 5.26
Ryan Long .246 .326 .398 .276 .328 .465 1.0 -0.2 4.28 5.39
Mike Baumann .236 .331 .382 .248 .316 .408 1.0 -0.2 3.93 5.30
Tucker Davidson .231 .324 .363 .257 .325 .441 0.9 -0.3 4.12 5.55
Trace Bright .232 .352 .378 .245 .336 .436 1.1 -0.3 4.35 5.51
Brandon Young .255 .327 .388 .270 .336 .478 0.7 0.0 4.19 5.24
Noah Denoyer .245 .342 .408 .248 .324 .421 0.7 -0.3 4.10 5.40
Danny Coulombe .235 .297 .353 .252 .323 .468 0.9 -0.4 3.19 5.33
Keagan Gillies .250 .324 .391 .222 .288 .417 0.6 -0.1 3.38 4.97
Austin Voth .270 .339 .459 .246 .314 .413 0.8 -0.3 4.04 5.59
Jacob Webb .225 .316 .373 .238 .306 .408 0.8 -0.6 3.53 5.46
Cionel Pérez .232 .316 .391 .248 .331 .383 0.7 -0.4 3.63 5.12
Nick Vespi .250 .314 .375 .242 .303 .417 0.6 -0.3 3.40 5.07
Jorge López .266 .349 .461 .243 .321 .368 0.8 -0.5 3.98 5.47
Connor Gillispie .277 .356 .488 .254 .332 .413 0.7 -0.5 4.62 5.72
Jake Lyons .277 .357 .426 .254 .328 .443 0.5 -0.3 4.53 5.59
Ryan Hennen .237 .293 .368 .250 .309 .420 0.4 -0.2 3.45 5.06
Conner Loeprich .250 .324 .385 .272 .328 .456 0.5 -0.3 4.20 5.45
Bryan Baker .223 .315 .362 .244 .321 .412 0.6 -0.6 3.64 5.31
Shintaro Fujinami .239 .363 .387 .228 .329 .376 0.8 -0.9 4.14 5.95
Darwinzon Hernández .174 .333 .283 .233 .364 .433 0.4 -0.6 4.01 5.96
Dillon Tate .260 .348 .429 .235 .299 .383 0.3 -0.6 4.05 5.54
Jensen Elliott .289 .349 .500 .281 .333 .427 0.1 -0.4 4.59 5.74
Houston Roth .266 .367 .461 .265 .343 .445 0.4 -0.8 4.71 6.07
Nathan Webb .271 .378 .486 .229 .323 .386 0.1 -0.6 4.45 5.89
T.J. McFarland .231 .282 .385 .281 .358 .438 0.2 -0.7 3.92 5.74
Carlos Tavera .256 .382 .416 .248 .359 .442 0.3 -0.7 5.03 6.32
Nolan Hoffman .284 .361 .446 .253 .303 .407 0.1 -0.5 4.31 5.33
Mychal Givens .276 .391 .517 .227 .317 .375 0.2 -0.6 4.23 5.91
Ryan Conroy .258 .348 .464 .269 .369 .404 0.2 -0.6 4.51 5.89
Dylan Heid .243 .369 .400 .235 .330 .395 0.1 -0.6 4.17 5.61
Ignacio Feliz .274 .402 .432 .224 .336 .414 0.1 -0.8 4.93 6.23
Joey Krehbiel .250 .349 .389 .255 .325 .441 0.1 -0.7 4.20 5.70
Tyler Burch .274 .354 .493 .262 .330 .417 -0.1 -0.6 4.57 5.78
Ofreidy Gómez .259 .400 .481 .243 .358 .388 0.1 -0.8 4.93 6.57
Kade Strowd .261 .363 .477 .247 .330 .398 0.0 -0.8 4.55 5.84
Cole Uvila .254 .361 .423 .271 .351 .471 0.0 -0.8 4.56 6.25
Morgan McSweeney .270 .379 .459 .236 .330 .404 -0.1 -0.8 4.63 6.01
Xavier Moore .250 .418 .462 .217 .342 .350 -0.1 -0.8 5.06 6.96
Kyle Dowdy .247 .360 .376 .258 .345 .460 0.0 -1.0 4.42 5.99
Nick Richmond .280 .390 .480 .255 .361 .451 -0.3 -0.7 5.19 6.65
Wandisson Charles .247 .382 .452 .231 .344 .385 -0.1 -0.9 4.55 6.25
Dan Hammer .235 .435 .441 .247 .421 .420 -0.6 -1.6 6.10 8.59

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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EonADS
4 months ago

Latos might look weird for Rodriguez, but he was worth 4 WAR at 23, 3 WAR at 24, and 5 WAR at 25. I honestly forgot how good he was when he was young. Injuries really killed his career.

Tyler Anderson as a comp for Means is also a sneaky nice comp. 2 WAR at 31 and 4 at 32. Considering Means is coming back from injury, that’s actually pretty nice. (Osborne not playing his Age 31 season makes that comp a weird one, though I guess it makes sense as he was always injured).