2023 ZiPS Projections: Toronto Blue Jays
For the 18th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and today’s team is the Toronto Blue Jays.
Batters
When you look at Toronto’s lineup, there isn’t much to complain about. ZiPS disagrees with Steamer on some of the individual players, but the overs and unders are pretty even, meaning that ZiPS thinks this will be as potent a run-scoring squad as Steamer does. Among the most notable projections? Many of the worries ZiPS had about Matt Chapman were resolved in 2022, while my system is a bit concerned about Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s output after his Statcast data dropped back down to its 2020 levels. It’s still the projection of an All-Star first baseman, but it’s distinctly behind last year’s and certainly well off 2021’s elite performance.
Still, there are a couple of things to gripe about. Slowly transitioning George Springer to right field is a good idea given his age, and with Kevin Kiermaier signed, they’re at least moving him for an excellent defensive center fielder. Kiermaier has his own injury concerns, but there’s nothing keeping Springer from getting plenty of time in center as the Plan B. I think Springer is moving because the Jays have an option and the team is considering his health, as he’s actually held up very well defensively out there. But left field still projects as a “meh” position. ZiPS has never been a Gurriel fan, and the system agrees with Statcast that his 2022 batting average was a bit inflated; the loss of power is also very concerning. I’d love to see the Jays take a stab at a better option here, though players have been coming off the board quickly.
This might be heresy, but I think the Jays are nearing the point where they either need to commit to Gabriel Moreno as the starting catcher, with Alejandro Kirk as the mostly-DH who catches 45 games a year, or explore trading Moreno for another need, whether it’s another bat in the outfield or a starting pitcher. Now, they shouldn’t trade him just to trade him, but the Blue Jays can win now. A little “Après moi, le déluge” would be welcome here instead of just hanging onto Moreno indefinitely as the future option. Only Dippin’ Dots gets away with a future that never seems to come.
I’d also like the Jays to figure out their second base/utility situation. Increasingly, I wonder whether Whit Merrifield being on the 2023 roster even makes much sense; I’d rather have Santiago Espinal, Cavan Biggio, or Addison Barger starting at second. And the Jays have plenty of utility options. Not including Orelvis Martinez, who has real upside, Toronto has a billion one-WAR infielders in the minors, like they obtained a slightly blemished mold from the Joey Wendle factory.
Pitchers
There’s another big ZiPS/Steamer disagreement at the top of the rotation, as Steamer is lukewarm on Manoah and ZiPS is all-in. Among pitchers with 100 projected innings who are likely to be on a major league roster, Manoah is the third-largest ZiPS/Steamer ERA disagreement among the teams I’ve run (3.43/4.11). Incidentally, the others are Patrick Corbin (5.11/4.38) and Stephen Strasburg (3.74/4.50). In fifth place, going in the other direction, is Yusei Kikuchi (4.49/3.93). I appreciate ZiPS showing some personal loyalty to me; I’m going to carry that Kikuchi breakout pick before 2022 all the way to my grave!
Even if you subscribe to ZiPS’ more optimistic Manoah projection, it still feels like the Jays need another starter. Yes, a José Berríos bounce-back season could be in the works, but can you really bank on that? If you pick up another good starting pitcher and Berríos is awesome, it’s not like your team is going to suffer from too much awesomeness, a plague that has hurt exactly zero teams ever. But if Berríos repeats 2022 and you don’t get a boost from somewhere else, you may end up scrambling for pitching all year. ZiPS is a fan of Ricky Tiedemann — a really big fan — but he’s certainly a risk. He has just 18 professional starts and isn’t stretched out to throw more than four-inning specials. If the Yankees are really in on Carlos Rodón, the Blue Jays should be willing to beat nearly any non-crazy offer they make!
The bullpen has a solid if unspectacular projection, and they almost can’t help but have better health as a group than they did in 2022. Another depth piece would be helpful, maybe another lefty, though ZiPS gives a pretty good projection to Matt Gage. I know everyone always thinks they need more relief pitching, but I think one more bat and a starting pitcher are the priorities over more relief help.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Chapman | R | 30 | 3B | 614 | 530 | 85 | 125 | 26 | 2 | 30 | 85 | 70 | 171 | 2 | 2 |
George Springer | R | 33 | CF | 522 | 458 | 80 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 26 | 78 | 53 | 100 | 9 | 2 |
Bo Bichette | R | 25 | SS | 666 | 618 | 97 | 173 | 37 | 1 | 26 | 100 | 42 | 139 | 16 | 6 |
Alejandro Kirk | R | 24 | C | 489 | 427 | 52 | 114 | 23 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 54 | 57 | 0 | 1 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | R | 24 | 1B | 654 | 582 | 93 | 165 | 30 | 1 | 34 | 106 | 65 | 103 | 6 | 2 |
Santiago Espinal | R | 28 | 2B | 451 | 413 | 48 | 111 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 33 | 66 | 6 | 5 |
Danny Jansen | R | 28 | C | 299 | 264 | 40 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 28 | 58 | 1 | 1 |
Addison Barger | L | 23 | 3B | 517 | 475 | 62 | 116 | 25 | 1 | 20 | 85 | 33 | 129 | 4 | 3 |
Davis Schneider | R | 24 | 2B | 402 | 356 | 46 | 79 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 39 | 116 | 5 | 1 |
Cavan Biggio | L | 28 | 2B | 421 | 356 | 56 | 80 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 58 | 110 | 6 | 1 |
Kevin Kiermaier | L | 33 | CF | 337 | 309 | 41 | 71 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 84 | 10 | 3 |
Orelvis Martinez | R | 21 | SS | 500 | 458 | 53 | 100 | 21 | 1 | 24 | 85 | 31 | 160 | 3 | 2 |
Gabriel Moreno | R | 23 | C | 322 | 294 | 38 | 77 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 21 | 55 | 3 | 1 |
Damiano Palmegiani | R | 23 | 3B | 486 | 433 | 62 | 99 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 85 | 36 | 129 | 2 | 1 |
Whit Merrifield | R | 34 | 2B | 583 | 537 | 75 | 135 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 65 | 36 | 95 | 19 | 5 |
Spencer Horwitz | L | 25 | 1B | 475 | 421 | 56 | 102 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 60 | 47 | 95 | 3 | 2 |
Samad Taylor | R | 24 | 2B | 345 | 308 | 45 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 29 | 98 | 16 | 5 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | R | 29 | LF | 496 | 457 | 57 | 123 | 29 | 1 | 14 | 69 | 30 | 92 | 3 | 4 |
Leo Jimenez | R | 22 | SS | 293 | 249 | 38 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 24 | 66 | 3 | 2 |
Tanner Morris | L | 25 | 3B | 393 | 345 | 41 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 41 | 86 | 1 | 2 |
Vinny Capra | R | 26 | SS | 322 | 291 | 37 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 24 | 71 | 4 | 2 |
Otto Lopez | R | 24 | 2B | 486 | 443 | 56 | 112 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 56 | 33 | 89 | 11 | 6 |
John Aiello | B | 26 | 1B | 345 | 309 | 34 | 72 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 25 | 94 | 2 | 3 |
Rafael Lantigua | R | 25 | 2B | 486 | 447 | 56 | 103 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 112 | 9 | 7 |
Nathan Lukes | L | 28 | CF | 420 | 383 | 45 | 95 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 81 | 8 | 2 |
Josh Kasevich | R | 22 | SS | 126 | 116 | 15 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 |
Alan Roden | L | 23 | RF | 114 | 97 | 14 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 1 |
Chavez Young | B | 25 | CF | 343 | 310 | 38 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 97 | 13 | 3 |
Zac Cook | L | 25 | CF | 376 | 329 | 47 | 62 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 77 | 21 | 157 | 7 | 3 |
Zach Britton | L | 24 | C | 318 | 275 | 37 | 55 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 111 | 3 | 1 |
Cade Doughty | R | 22 | 2B | 125 | 113 | 17 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 1 |
Nick Podkul | R | 26 | 1B | 266 | 233 | 25 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 76 | 3 | 1 |
Steward Berroa | B | 24 | CF | 327 | 295 | 42 | 59 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 103 | 22 | 5 |
Raimel Tapia | L | 29 | LF | 458 | 429 | 52 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 24 | 83 | 11 | 3 |
Stevie Berman | R | 28 | C | 234 | 203 | 19 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 62 | 1 | 1 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | L | 33 | RF | 405 | 367 | 39 | 72 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 29 | 104 | 4 | 3 |
Bradley Zimmer | L | 30 | CF | 308 | 268 | 40 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 111 | 12 | 4 |
Michael Turconi | L | 24 | SS | 108 | 94 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 1 |
Adrian Pinto | R | 20 | SS | 213 | 187 | 34 | 43 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 38 | 10 | 4 |
Yoshi Tsutsugo | L | 31 | 1B | 357 | 309 | 36 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 42 | 98 | 0 | 1 |
LJ Talley | L | 26 | 1B | 406 | 372 | 38 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 28 | 95 | 5 | 1 |
Logan Warmoth | R | 27 | RF | 397 | 353 | 42 | 72 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 34 | 135 | 10 | 4 |
Eric Stamets | R | 31 | SS | 258 | 234 | 25 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 84 | 5 | 1 |
Cam Eden | R | 25 | CF | 334 | 304 | 33 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 22 | 118 | 16 | 3 |
Luis De Los Santos루이스 | R | 25 | SS | 444 | 416 | 43 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 20 | 116 | 3 | 3 |
Riley Tirotta | R | 24 | 3B | 277 | 251 | 27 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 101 | 5 | 3 |
Robert Robertis | L | 20 | LF | 158 | 149 | 18 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 41 | 2 | 1 |
Phil Clarke | L | 25 | C | 325 | 290 | 34 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 59 | 1 | 1 |
Gabriel Martinez | R | 20 | LF | 373 | 346 | 42 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 22 | 76 | 2 | 1 |
Cullen Large | B | 27 | RF | 470 | 423 | 43 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 54 | 37 | 137 | 3 | 2 |
Glenn Santiago | R | 22 | LF | 198 | 183 | 21 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 57 | 2 | 2 |
Dasan Brown | R | 21 | CF | 351 | 318 | 45 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 20 | 122 | 11 | 6 |
Alex De Jesus | R | 21 | 3B | 507 | 458 | 53 | 92 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 61 | 46 | 186 | 1 | 1 |
Tyler Keenan | L | 24 | 3B | 219 | 197 | 15 | 35 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 85 | 0 | 1 |
Rainer Nunez | R | 22 | 1B | 474 | 449 | 49 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 14 | 66 | 19 | 124 | 0 | 1 |
PK Morris | L | 24 | 1B | 387 | 346 | 34 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 135 | 1 | 1 |
Miguel Hiraldo | R | 22 | 2B | 452 | 424 | 46 | 89 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 50 | 23 | 134 | 14 | 4 |
Garrett Spain | L | 22 | RF | 330 | 300 | 32 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 107 | 4 | 3 |
Hugo Cardona | R | 23 | SS | 207 | 187 | 21 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 87 | 11 | 4 |
Chris Bec | R | 27 | C | 171 | 153 | 14 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 5 | 2 |
Will Robertson | L | 25 | LF | 337 | 310 | 35 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 20 | 112 | 1 | 2 |
Karl Ellison | R | 28 | C | 169 | 157 | 8 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 74 | 0 | 1 |
Andres Sosa | R | 25 | C | 267 | 221 | 31 | 45 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 28 | 75 | 2 | 1 |
Kekai Rios | R | 26 | C | 233 | 213 | 18 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 74 | 0 | 1 |
Estiven Machado | B | 20 | SS | 399 | 372 | 34 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 25 | 122 | 3 | 2 |
Trevor Schwecke | R | 25 | 1B | 360 | 330 | 34 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 24 | 122 | 2 | 4 |
Kellin Deglan | L | 31 | C | 162 | 148 | 13 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 57 | 1 | 1 |
Player | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Chapman | 614 | .236 | .331 | .462 | 118 | .226 | .289 | 10 | 4.3 | .341 |
George Springer | 522 | .262 | .345 | .491 | 130 | .229 | .283 | 5 | 4.2 | .357 |
Bo Bichette | 666 | .280 | .327 | .469 | 119 | .189 | .325 | -4 | 3.9 | .341 |
Alejandro Kirk | 489 | .267 | .352 | .426 | 116 | .159 | .279 | 6 | 3.7 | .339 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 654 | .284 | .359 | .514 | 140 | .230 | .294 | -5 | 3.5 | .371 |
Santiago Espinal | 451 | .269 | .324 | .378 | 96 | .109 | .306 | 8 | 2.0 | .307 |
Danny Jansen | 299 | .235 | .315 | .443 | 109 | .208 | .250 | 3 | 1.9 | .326 |
Addison Barger | 517 | .244 | .300 | .427 | 100 | .183 | .294 | 3 | 1.8 | .312 |
Davis Schneider | 402 | .222 | .303 | .393 | 93 | .171 | .291 | 5 | 1.6 | .304 |
Cavan Biggio | 421 | .225 | .338 | .371 | 98 | .146 | .297 | 0 | 1.6 | .315 |
Kevin Kiermaier | 337 | .230 | .291 | .369 | 83 | .139 | .294 | 11 | 1.6 | .287 |
Orelvis Martinez | 500 | .218 | .280 | .426 | 93 | .207 | .277 | -2 | 1.4 | .303 |
Gabriel Moreno | 322 | .262 | .320 | .388 | 97 | .126 | .302 | 2 | 1.5 | .310 |
Damiano Palmegiani | 486 | .229 | .305 | .418 | 99 | .189 | .281 | -4 | 1.2 | .313 |
Whit Merrifield | 583 | .251 | .298 | .378 | 87 | .127 | .286 | -1 | 1.0 | .293 |
Spencer Horwitz | 475 | .242 | .322 | .380 | 95 | .138 | .291 | 4 | 0.8 | .309 |
Samad Taylor | 345 | .231 | .304 | .386 | 91 | .156 | .305 | -1 | 0.8 | .301 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 496 | .269 | .319 | .429 | 106 | .160 | .311 | -3 | 0.8 | .322 |
Leo Jimenez | 293 | .225 | .331 | .333 | 87 | .108 | .291 | -1 | 0.7 | .301 |
Tanner Morris | 393 | .229 | .319 | .316 | 79 | .087 | .291 | 3 | 0.7 | .287 |
Vinny Capra | 322 | .244 | .308 | .371 | 89 | .127 | .304 | -2 | 0.7 | .298 |
Otto Lopez | 486 | .253 | .309 | .343 | 82 | .090 | .309 | 0 | 0.5 | .287 |
John Aiello | 345 | .233 | .310 | .375 | 90 | .142 | .309 | 4 | 0.4 | .302 |
Rafael Lantigua | 486 | .230 | .288 | .340 | 75 | .110 | .293 | 4 | 0.4 | .277 |
Nathan Lukes | 420 | .248 | .305 | .358 | 85 | .110 | .301 | -3 | 0.4 | .291 |
Josh Kasevich | 126 | .250 | .302 | .319 | 74 | .069 | .279 | 2 | 0.3 | .276 |
Alan Roden | 114 | .237 | .333 | .309 | 82 | .072 | .278 | 3 | 0.3 | .289 |
Chavez Young | 343 | .213 | .283 | .316 | 67 | .103 | .290 | 3 | 0.2 | .267 |
Zac Cook | 376 | .188 | .283 | .343 | 74 | .155 | .317 | 0 | 0.2 | .279 |
Zach Britton | 318 | .200 | .305 | .345 | 82 | .145 | .306 | -7 | 0.1 | .291 |
Cade Doughty | 125 | .230 | .304 | .407 | 96 | .177 | .296 | -3 | 0.0 | .311 |
Nick Podkul | 266 | .197 | .291 | .309 | 68 | .112 | .270 | 6 | 0.0 | .271 |
Steward Berroa | 327 | .200 | .273 | .322 | 66 | .122 | .285 | 0 | 0.0 | .264 |
Raimel Tapia | 458 | .259 | .298 | .371 | 86 | .112 | .307 | 0 | 0.0 | .290 |
Stevie Berman | 234 | .207 | .300 | .335 | 77 | .128 | .272 | -5 | -0.1 | .284 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | 405 | .196 | .265 | .316 | 62 | .120 | .251 | 11 | -0.1 | .257 |
Bradley Zimmer | 308 | .194 | .290 | .302 | 66 | .108 | .305 | -1 | -0.1 | .269 |
Michael Turconi | 108 | .234 | .324 | .287 | 73 | .053 | .280 | -3 | -0.1 | .280 |
Adrian Pinto | 213 | .230 | .316 | .337 | 83 | .107 | .279 | -7 | -0.2 | .292 |
Yoshi Tsutsugo | 357 | .220 | .311 | .375 | 89 | .155 | .285 | 0 | 0.1 | .301 |
LJ Talley | 406 | .218 | .276 | .331 | 69 | .113 | .271 | 8 | -0.2 | .267 |
Logan Warmoth | 397 | .204 | .285 | .312 | 67 | .108 | .311 | 5 | -0.2 | .268 |
Eric Stamets | 258 | .184 | .253 | .286 | 50 | .103 | .267 | 2 | -0.3 | .241 |
Cam Eden | 334 | .201 | .266 | .316 | 62 | .115 | .302 | -1 | -0.3 | .258 |
Luis De Los Santos | 444 | .219 | .261 | .334 | 65 | .115 | .284 | -1 | -0.4 | .260 |
Riley Tirotta | 277 | .199 | .271 | .315 | 63 | .116 | .310 | 0 | -0.4 | .259 |
Robert Robertis | 158 | .228 | .266 | .336 | 67 | .107 | .302 | -1 | -0.5 | .262 |
Phil Clarke | 325 | .224 | .302 | .307 | 71 | .083 | .269 | -9 | -0.6 | .274 |
Gabriel Martinez | 373 | .246 | .295 | .376 | 86 | .130 | .291 | -5 | -0.6 | .292 |
Cullen Large | 470 | .217 | .289 | .324 | 71 | .106 | .307 | 2 | -0.7 | .272 |
Glenn Santiago | 198 | .208 | .258 | .306 | 57 | .098 | .285 | 0 | -0.8 | .248 |
Dasan Brown | 351 | .201 | .274 | .296 | 60 | .094 | .309 | -3 | -0.8 | .257 |
Alex De Jesus | 507 | .201 | .274 | .319 | 65 | .118 | .310 | -3 | -0.8 | .264 |
Tyler Keenan | 219 | .178 | .247 | .279 | 47 | .102 | .294 | -1 | -0.8 | .235 |
Rainer Nunez | 474 | .238 | .272 | .381 | 80 | .143 | .299 | -1 | -0.8 | .281 |
PK Morris | 387 | .191 | .269 | .315 | 63 | .124 | .282 | 4 | -0.9 | .259 |
Miguel Hiraldo | 452 | .210 | .252 | .328 | 60 | .118 | .287 | -3 | -0.9 | .253 |
Garrett Spain | 330 | .197 | .267 | .293 | 57 | .097 | .287 | 2 | -0.9 | .251 |
Hugo Cardona | 207 | .171 | .243 | .251 | 39 | .080 | .306 | -4 | -1.0 | .225 |
Chris Bec | 171 | .183 | .269 | .229 | 42 | .046 | .262 | -7 | -1.1 | .232 |
Will Robertson | 337 | .200 | .261 | .342 | 67 | .142 | .280 | -2 | -1.1 | .265 |
Karl Ellison | 169 | .134 | .190 | .242 | 20 | .108 | .235 | -1 | -1.1 | .192 |
Andres Sosa | 267 | .204 | .327 | .339 | 87 | .136 | .289 | -21 | -1.3 | .301 |
Kekai Rios | 233 | .197 | .262 | .277 | 51 | .080 | .287 | -9 | -1.3 | .243 |
Estiven Machado | 399 | .202 | .256 | .263 | 46 | .062 | .297 | -3 | -1.4 | .233 |
Trevor Schwecke | 360 | .197 | .258 | .303 | 56 | .106 | .292 | -1 | -1.7 | .249 |
Kellin Deglan | 162 | .196 | .259 | .297 | 55 | .101 | .295 | -15 | -1.7 | .248 |
Player | Hit Comp 1 | Hit Comp 2 | Hit Comp 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Matt Chapman | Mike Schmidt | Troy Glaus | Darrell Evans |
George Springer | Carlos Beltrán | Harry Hooper | Billy Southworth |
Bo Bichette | Hanley Ramirez | Freddie Lindstrom | Asdrúbal Cabrera |
Alejandro Kirk | Mike Scioscia | John Stearns | Joe Mauer |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Eddie Murray | Rusty Staub | Albert Pujols |
Santiago Espinal | Todd Haney | Lenny Harris | Marty Barrett |
Danny Jansen | John Wockenfuss | Ed Kirkpatrick | Curt Blefary |
Addison Barger | Don Money | Jedd Gyorko | Carney Lansford |
Davis Schneider | Pat Tabler | Billy Consolo | Doug DeCinces |
Cavan Biggio | Colin Walsh | Lance Blankenship | Max Muncy |
Kevin Kiermaier | Eric Bullock | Ed Stroud | Bubba Morton |
Orelvis Martinez | Mark Reynolds | Joe Lis | Tommy Murray |
Gabriel Moreno | Russ Nixon | Joe Mauer | Mickey O’Neil |
Damiano Palmegiani | Von McDaniel | Ed Sprague | Luis Iglesias |
Whit Merrifield | Luis Aparicio | Steve Sax | Horace Clarke |
Spencer Horwitz | Jim Frey | Conor Jackson | Rob Ryan |
Samad Taylor | Antonio Perez | Brett Auerbach | Darnell Sweeney |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Austin Dean | Bob Kennedy | Walt Williams |
Leo Jimenez | Mitchell Tolman | Jake Thrower | Matt Hunt |
Tanner Morris | Scott Campbell | Rich Paz | Kevin Riggs |
Vinny Capra | Lou Collier 클리어 | Tzu-Wei Lin | Mike Baxes |
Otto Lopez | Roy Clark | Alejandro Machado | Blake Schmit |
John Aiello | Herbert Perry | Josh Workman | Adam Brown |
Rafael Lantigua | Andy Stankiewicz | Mike Buskey | Andy Burns 번즈 |
Nathan Lukes | Steve Hovley | Devan Ahart | Rocky Coyle |
Josh Kasevich | Gabriel Santana | Sergio Guerrero | Edgar Caceres 캐세레스 |
Alan Roden | Douglas McCracken | Junior Ruiz | Ray Shoup |
Chavez Young | Todd Donovan | William Ray | Candy Harris |
Zac Cook | Andrew Dyes | Wayne Redmond | Quinn Stewart |
Zach Britton | Trey Ford | Danny Goodwin | Greg Kobza |
Cade Doughty | Ted Lepcio | Doug DeCinces | Enmanuel Paulino |
Nick Podkul | Joe Cronin | Joseph Lorenz | Freddie Hailey |
Steward Berroa | Josh Flores | Brian Seever | Julio Martinez |
Raimel Tapia | Russ Snyder | Endy Chavez | Josh Anderson |
Stevie Berman | Griff Erickson | Gary Allenson | Vinny DiFazio |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | James Murphy | Jackie Bradley | Stephen Cardullo |
Bradley Zimmer | Chris Powell | Sebastien Boucher | Glen Barker |
Michael Turconi | Charles Garrett | Li Ning | Alden Carrithers |
Adrian Pinto | Chris Burke | Otto Lopez | Jemel Spearman |
Yoshi Tsutsugo | Joe Lutz | Pat Dodson | Matt Skole |
LJ Talley | Erich Weiss | Danny Diekroeger | Austin Davidson |
Logan Warmoth | Rich Barnwell | Doug Carpenter | Dan Carroll |
Eric Stamets | Donald Alfano | Al Weis | Frank Kremblas |
Cam Eden | Mike Conner | Nino Spatafore | Ted Taylor |
Luis De Los Santos | Jeff Bannon | Victor Rosario | Mike Tyson |
Riley Tirotta | Kevin Connacher | Kris Goodman | Dale Soderholm |
Robert Robertis | Matt Sheely | Alex Hernandez | Daryl Rutherford |
Phil Clarke | Todd Takayoshi | Jeff Reed | Orlando Mercado |
Gabriel Martinez | Roger Williams | Brian Horwitz | Richard Wissel |
Cullen Large | Jaycob Brugman | Jameson Fisher | Johan Limonta |
Glenn Santiago | Ronald Castillo | Daryl Rutherford | Hunter Jones |
Dasan Brown | Sam Houston | Bubba Thompson | Morris Nettles |
Alex De Jesus | Jim Bishop | Tim Norrid | Drew Ward |
Tyler Keenan | Elijah Trail | Greg McClain | Montrell Marshall |
Rainer Nunez | Dave Hall | Kendrys Morales | Ken Kraynak |
PK Morris | Todd Mensik | Matt Rizzotti | Jason Layne |
Miguel Hiraldo | Tony Thomas | Pedro Santana | Wayne Busby |
Garrett Spain | Luis Zambrana | Matt Hobbie | Frank Baldanza |
Hugo Cardona | Frank Taveras | Henry Encarnacion | Hector Tiburcio |
Chris Bec | Mike Napoli | Dennis Pelfrey | Kole Zimmerman |
Will Robertson | Fred Carter | A.J. Leday | Dave Vetsch |
Karl Ellison | Jorge Meran | Ryan Budde | Tom Gregorio |
Andres Sosa | David Rolls | Pete Gonzalez | Duane Gustavson |
Kekai Rios | Tim Redman | J.C. Boscan | Eric Sim |
Estiven Machado | Adrian Marin | Matt Tuiasosopo | Scott Sizemore |
Trevor Schwecke | Cito Culver | Ramon Jimenez | Chris Emanuele |
Kellin Deglan | Tim Edge | Joe Siddall | Don Bryant |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Chapman | .262 | .353 | .523 | 139 | 5.8 | .214 | .307 | .409 | 98 | 2.9 |
George Springer | .286 | .368 | .545 | 150 | 5.4 | .242 | .319 | .431 | 110 | 2.9 |
Bo Bichette | .307 | .356 | .526 | 141 | 5.7 | .254 | .302 | .416 | 99 | 2.2 |
Alejandro Kirk | .292 | .381 | .480 | 137 | 4.9 | .239 | .324 | .378 | 97 | 2.5 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .314 | .390 | .573 | 163 | 5.5 | .258 | .332 | .453 | 117 | 1.7 |
Santiago Espinal | .295 | .350 | .416 | 112 | 2.9 | .245 | .301 | .339 | 80 | 1.1 |
Danny Jansen | .260 | .343 | .506 | 130 | 2.7 | .210 | .290 | .389 | 89 | 1.2 |
Addison Barger | .268 | .326 | .486 | 122 | 3.2 | .221 | .274 | .373 | 81 | 0.5 |
Davis Schneider | .246 | .327 | .447 | 112 | 2.5 | .196 | .279 | .338 | 71 | 0.4 |
Cavan Biggio | .250 | .366 | .423 | 117 | 2.5 | .196 | .308 | .321 | 76 | 0.5 |
Kevin Kiermaier | .258 | .317 | .421 | 103 | 2.4 | .204 | .260 | .318 | 64 | 0.8 |
Orelvis Martinez | .247 | .313 | .490 | 117 | 2.9 | .191 | .252 | .373 | 72 | 0.1 |
Gabriel Moreno | .292 | .350 | .432 | 116 | 2.3 | .234 | .291 | .340 | 76 | 0.6 |
Damiano Palmegiani | .254 | .332 | .476 | 119 | 2.4 | .203 | .282 | .374 | 81 | 0.1 |
Whit Merrifield | .275 | .324 | .419 | 103 | 2.2 | .225 | .275 | .335 | 69 | -0.4 |
Spencer Horwitz | .268 | .348 | .428 | 113 | 1.8 | .216 | .296 | .334 | 76 | -0.3 |
Samad Taylor | .252 | .327 | .433 | 109 | 1.6 | .205 | .279 | .337 | 72 | 0.1 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | .296 | .348 | .479 | 127 | 2.1 | .243 | .293 | .382 | 88 | -0.4 |
Leo Jimenez | .249 | .356 | .374 | 103 | 1.3 | .200 | .307 | .293 | 71 | 0.2 |
Tanner Morris | .253 | .346 | .353 | 93 | 1.4 | .203 | .291 | .277 | 59 | -0.2 |
Vinny Capra | .265 | .331 | .415 | 106 | 1.3 | .219 | .282 | .328 | 71 | 0.0 |
Otto Lopez | .278 | .338 | .383 | 100 | 1.6 | .227 | .286 | .303 | 67 | -0.5 |
John Aiello | .258 | .335 | .424 | 111 | 1.3 | .205 | .284 | .328 | 73 | -0.3 |
Rafael Lantigua | .252 | .311 | .377 | 89 | 1.4 | .206 | .264 | .307 | 60 | -0.5 |
Nathan Lukes | .278 | .333 | .403 | 103 | 1.3 | .226 | .280 | .315 | 67 | -0.6 |
Josh Kasevich | .286 | .335 | .370 | 97 | 0.6 | .219 | .270 | .277 | 54 | 0.0 |
Alan Roden | .273 | .368 | .354 | 104 | 0.6 | .207 | .307 | .270 | 66 | 0.0 |
Chavez Young | .240 | .308 | .361 | 83 | 0.9 | .185 | .257 | .277 | 50 | -0.5 |
Zac Cook | .218 | .309 | .395 | 93 | 1.1 | .161 | .260 | .289 | 53 | -0.7 |
Zach Britton | .223 | .331 | .404 | 103 | 0.9 | .170 | .275 | .294 | 61 | -0.7 |
Cade Doughty | .259 | .332 | .474 | 120 | 0.4 | .204 | .281 | .357 | 75 | -0.3 |
Nick Podkul | .224 | .320 | .359 | 87 | 0.7 | .169 | .263 | .267 | 51 | -0.5 |
Steward Berroa | .226 | .300 | .377 | 87 | 0.8 | .171 | .244 | .282 | 48 | -0.8 |
Raimel Tapia | .290 | .326 | .414 | 107 | 1.2 | .236 | .271 | .326 | 68 | -1.1 |
Stevie Berman | .236 | .330 | .389 | 99 | 0.6 | .179 | .268 | .287 | 57 | -0.6 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | .224 | .295 | .369 | 83 | 1.0 | .171 | .241 | .271 | 44 | -1.0 |
Bradley Zimmer | .224 | .322 | .357 | 88 | 0.7 | .170 | .266 | .260 | 49 | -0.8 |
Michael Turconi | .261 | .351 | .314 | 88 | 0.1 | .206 | .297 | .254 | 57 | -0.4 |
Adrian Pinto | .265 | .347 | .395 | 104 | 0.4 | .204 | .288 | .287 | 62 | -0.7 |
Yoshi Tsutsugo | .243 | .340 | .424 | 107 | 1.0 | .190 | .280 | .320 | 66 | -0.9 |
LJ Talley | .247 | .304 | .386 | 90 | 0.9 | .192 | .249 | .286 | 52 | -1.0 |
Logan Warmoth | .233 | .311 | .360 | 86 | 0.7 | .176 | .257 | .268 | 48 | -1.2 |
Eric Stamets | .213 | .283 | .343 | 72 | 0.4 | .154 | .223 | .239 | 30 | -0.9 |
Cam Eden | .228 | .293 | .367 | 81 | 0.6 | .174 | .242 | .278 | 45 | -1.1 |
Luis De Los Santos | .245 | .284 | .374 | 83 | 0.6 | .195 | .237 | .290 | 47 | -1.4 |
Riley Tirotta | .227 | .296 | .368 | 84 | 0.3 | .176 | .244 | .271 | 45 | -1.0 |
Robert Robertis | .254 | .295 | .383 | 87 | -0.1 | .205 | .241 | .296 | 51 | -0.8 |
Phil Clarke | .254 | .332 | .351 | 91 | 0.2 | .192 | .272 | .263 | 54 | -1.3 |
Gabriel Martinez | .271 | .318 | .423 | 104 | 0.3 | .219 | .270 | .333 | 68 | -1.5 |
Cullen Large | .242 | .314 | .363 | 90 | 0.3 | .189 | .258 | .281 | 53 | -1.7 |
Glenn Santiago | .237 | .291 | .361 | 80 | -0.2 | .183 | .230 | .263 | 40 | -1.2 |
Dasan Brown | .224 | .298 | .342 | 78 | 0.0 | .174 | .248 | .257 | 42 | -1.5 |
Alex De Jesus | .227 | .301 | .369 | 84 | 0.3 | .177 | .248 | .275 | 48 | -2.0 |
Tyler Keenan | .203 | .270 | .323 | 64 | -0.4 | .150 | .222 | .235 | 28 | -1.3 |
Rainer Nunez | .259 | .294 | .426 | 96 | 0.2 | .212 | .246 | .330 | 59 | -2.0 |
PK Morris | .215 | .294 | .366 | 81 | 0.0 | .167 | .245 | .274 | 47 | -1.7 |
Miguel Hiraldo | .233 | .276 | .366 | 76 | -0.1 | .186 | .229 | .285 | 43 | -2.0 |
Garrett Spain | .224 | .296 | .338 | 76 | -0.1 | .170 | .240 | .244 | 38 | -1.7 |
Hugo Cardona | .198 | .275 | .293 | 58 | -0.5 | .143 | .217 | .207 | 19 | -1.5 |
Chris Bec | .215 | .307 | .272 | 63 | -0.6 | .153 | .237 | .192 | 23 | -1.5 |
Will Robertson | .229 | .293 | .394 | 88 | -0.2 | .175 | .235 | .292 | 47 | -1.9 |
Karl Ellison | .165 | .226 | .312 | 48 | -0.5 | .111 | .164 | .197 | 2 | -1.5 |
Andres Sosa | .231 | .356 | .394 | 108 | -0.6 | .172 | .300 | .285 | 65 | -2.0 |
Kekai Rios | .227 | .294 | .319 | 71 | -0.7 | .169 | .234 | .236 | 33 | -1.8 |
Estiven Machado | .225 | .284 | .299 | 62 | -0.5 | .179 | .231 | .230 | 31 | -2.1 |
Trevor Schwecke | .222 | .283 | .347 | 74 | -0.8 | .175 | .234 | .265 | 40 | -2.3 |
Kellin Deglan | .227 | .291 | .351 | 78 | -1.2 | .171 | .229 | .252 | 37 | -2.1 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alek Manoah | R | 25 | 13 | 8 | 3.43 | 30 | 30 | 181.0 | 142 | 69 | 20 | 51 | 177 |
Tim Mayza | L | 31 | 5 | 3 | 3.62 | 63 | 1 | 49.7 | 43 | 20 | 5 | 16 | 46 |
Jordan Romano | R | 30 | 5 | 3 | 3.64 | 58 | 0 | 59.3 | 48 | 24 | 8 | 21 | 70 |
Kevin Gausman | R | 32 | 12 | 7 | 3.66 | 29 | 28 | 162.3 | 152 | 66 | 22 | 33 | 184 |
Anthony Bass | R | 35 | 4 | 3 | 3.68 | 62 | 0 | 58.7 | 50 | 24 | 8 | 20 | 59 |
Erik Swanson | R | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3.76 | 48 | 4 | 55.0 | 47 | 23 | 8 | 16 | 62 |
Adam Cimber | R | 32 | 7 | 5 | 3.80 | 69 | 0 | 64.0 | 62 | 27 | 7 | 14 | 48 |
Matt Gage | L | 30 | 3 | 2 | 3.86 | 50 | 0 | 51.3 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 19 | 51 |
Hyun Jin Ryu 류현진 | L | 36 | 9 | 6 | 3.93 | 21 | 21 | 116.7 | 119 | 51 | 17 | 25 | 93 |
Brandon Eisert | L | 25 | 4 | 3 | 4.01 | 41 | 3 | 60.7 | 56 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 62 |
Yimi Garcia | R | 32 | 5 | 4 | 4.04 | 57 | 0 | 55.7 | 47 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 54 |
Ricky Tiedemann | L | 20 | 7 | 5 | 4.12 | 24 | 24 | 94.0 | 79 | 43 | 11 | 41 | 103 |
Adrian Hernandez | R | 23 | 3 | 3 | 4.13 | 41 | 1 | 52.3 | 43 | 24 | 7 | 27 | 62 |
Ryan Boyer | R | 26 | 2 | 1 | 4.22 | 27 | 0 | 32.0 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 35 |
David Phelps | R | 36 | 1 | 1 | 4.22 | 52 | 1 | 49.0 | 45 | 23 | 5 | 25 | 47 |
Zach Pop | R | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4.23 | 55 | 0 | 61.7 | 60 | 29 | 7 | 20 | 51 |
Julian Merryweather | R | 31 | 3 | 2 | 4.24 | 33 | 2 | 34.0 | 33 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 34 |
Hayden Juenger | R | 22 | 6 | 5 | 4.25 | 40 | 20 | 89.0 | 80 | 42 | 12 | 37 | 87 |
Ross Stripling | R | 33 | 7 | 6 | 4.25 | 29 | 22 | 114.3 | 114 | 54 | 19 | 26 | 97 |
Trevor Richards | R | 30 | 5 | 4 | 4.31 | 50 | 7 | 77.3 | 66 | 37 | 13 | 33 | 89 |
Foster Griffin | L | 27 | 4 | 3 | 4.34 | 32 | 10 | 74.7 | 72 | 36 | 8 | 30 | 63 |
José Berríos | R | 29 | 9 | 9 | 4.38 | 29 | 29 | 166.3 | 162 | 81 | 26 | 41 | 152 |
Nate Pearson | R | 26 | 4 | 4 | 4.41 | 25 | 14 | 65.3 | 57 | 32 | 11 | 29 | 75 |
Trent Thornton | R | 29 | 4 | 4 | 4.41 | 43 | 7 | 85.7 | 83 | 42 | 13 | 33 | 78 |
Jackson Rees | R | 28 | 2 | 2 | 4.42 | 30 | 1 | 38.7 | 37 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 43 |
Casey Lawrence | R | 35 | 7 | 6 | 4.46 | 26 | 20 | 111.0 | 118 | 55 | 18 | 21 | 82 |
Jimmy Burnette | L | 24 | 6 | 6 | 4.47 | 38 | 0 | 50.3 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 30 | 61 |
Mitch White | R | 28 | 4 | 4 | 4.48 | 26 | 17 | 96.3 | 96 | 48 | 12 | 31 | 82 |
Yusei Kikuchi | L | 32 | 7 | 6 | 4.49 | 27 | 21 | 110.3 | 106 | 55 | 18 | 48 | 113 |
Tayler Saucedo | L | 30 | 2 | 2 | 4.57 | 31 | 3 | 45.3 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 20 | 42 |
Sean Rackoski | R | 28 | 3 | 3 | 4.65 | 33 | 0 | 40.7 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 30 |
Eric Yardley | R | 32 | 2 | 2 | 4.70 | 40 | 0 | 44.0 | 46 | 23 | 5 | 17 | 29 |
Nick Fraze | R | 25 | 3 | 4 | 4.77 | 16 | 13 | 66.0 | 68 | 35 | 10 | 16 | 48 |
Bowden Francis | R | 27 | 7 | 8 | 4.84 | 29 | 21 | 102.3 | 100 | 55 | 18 | 39 | 96 |
Sem Robberse | R | 21 | 5 | 7 | 4.86 | 23 | 22 | 103.7 | 110 | 56 | 15 | 40 | 71 |
Sean Mellen | L | 25 | 2 | 3 | 4.88 | 32 | 4 | 55.3 | 54 | 30 | 9 | 28 | 52 |
Matt Peacock | R | 29 | 5 | 5 | 4.90 | 31 | 7 | 68.0 | 77 | 37 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
Anthony Kay | L | 28 | 4 | 5 | 4.93 | 19 | 14 | 69.3 | 68 | 38 | 11 | 35 | 65 |
Braden Scott | L | 25 | 3 | 5 | 4.94 | 33 | 0 | 58.3 | 53 | 32 | 9 | 32 | 61 |
Trent Palmer | R | 24 | 3 | 4 | 4.94 | 18 | 18 | 71.0 | 66 | 39 | 10 | 35 | 67 |
Thomas Hatch | R | 28 | 6 | 7 | 4.98 | 24 | 20 | 108.3 | 113 | 60 | 18 | 35 | 85 |
Hagen Danner | R | 24 | 1 | 2 | 5.05 | 27 | 0 | 35.7 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 28 |
Yosver Zulueta | R | 25 | 3 | 4 | 5.05 | 22 | 13 | 57.0 | 50 | 32 | 9 | 28 | 59 |
Jimmy Robbins | L | 25 | 2 | 3 | 5.12 | 19 | 13 | 65.0 | 63 | 37 | 11 | 28 | 63 |
Paxton Schultz | R | 25 | 5 | 7 | 5.14 | 22 | 18 | 89.3 | 95 | 51 | 15 | 40 | 71 |
Nick Allgeyer | L | 27 | 5 | 6 | 5.16 | 27 | 15 | 90.7 | 95 | 52 | 16 | 39 | 70 |
Kyle Johnston | R | 26 | 4 | 5 | 5.19 | 38 | 7 | 69.3 | 73 | 40 | 11 | 34 | 54 |
Parker Caracci | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.19 | 38 | 0 | 43.3 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 25 | 37 |
Alejandro Melean | R | 22 | 4 | 5 | 5.20 | 21 | 14 | 72.7 | 77 | 42 | 12 | 33 | 56 |
Luis Quinones | R | 25 | 4 | 4 | 5.21 | 18 | 15 | 65.7 | 58 | 38 | 10 | 43 | 70 |
Joey Murray | R | 26 | 5 | 6 | 5.25 | 18 | 17 | 82.3 | 82 | 48 | 17 | 37 | 80 |
Andrew Bash | R | 26 | 6 | 7 | 5.25 | 28 | 5 | 73.7 | 79 | 43 | 11 | 32 | 47 |
Adam Kloffenstein | R | 22 | 4 | 6 | 5.33 | 24 | 23 | 103.0 | 106 | 61 | 15 | 56 | 83 |
Mike Ellenbest | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5.35 | 25 | 3 | 35.3 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 19 | 29 |
Graham Spraker | R | 28 | 3 | 5 | 5.55 | 28 | 6 | 58.3 | 60 | 36 | 12 | 30 | 53 |
Brody Rodning | L | 27 | 2 | 3 | 5.60 | 22 | 0 | 27.3 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 25 |
Marcus Reyes | L | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5.60 | 28 | 1 | 45.0 | 50 | 28 | 8 | 22 | 31 |
Sergio Romo | R | 40 | 1 | 1 | 5.61 | 39 | 0 | 33.7 | 36 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 31 |
Gabriel Ponce | R | 24 | 2 | 4 | 5.76 | 33 | 1 | 50.0 | 49 | 32 | 9 | 31 | 47 |
Thomas Ruwe | R | 27 | 1 | 2 | 5.76 | 26 | 0 | 29.7 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 28 | 33 |
Derek Holland | L | 36 | 1 | 2 | 5.85 | 29 | 4 | 40.0 | 43 | 26 | 9 | 20 | 36 |
Fitz Stadler | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 6.20 | 21 | 6 | 49.3 | 54 | 34 | 11 | 31 | 44 |
Jol Concepcion | R | 24 | 3 | 5 | 6.56 | 30 | 3 | 48.0 | 49 | 35 | 9 | 42 | 41 |
Player | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alek Manoah | 181.0 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 7.0% | 24.3% | .256 | 124 | 3.83 | 80 | 3.9 |
Tim Mayza | 49.7 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7.8% | 22.3% | .277 | 118 | 3.70 | 85 | 0.7 |
Jordan Romano | 59.3 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 8.6% | 28.7% | .278 | 117 | 3.81 | 85 | 0.8 |
Kevin Gausman | 162.3 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5.0% | 27.6% | .307 | 117 | 3.31 | 86 | 3.0 |
Anthony Bass | 58.7 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 8.2% | 24.2% | .271 | 116 | 3.99 | 86 | 0.7 |
Erik Swanson | 55.0 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 7.1% | 27.6% | .283 | 113 | 3.72 | 88 | 0.7 |
Adam Cimber | 64.0 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.3% | 18.2% | .284 | 112 | 4.01 | 89 | 0.6 |
Matt Gage | 51.3 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 8.7% | 23.4% | .288 | 111 | 3.91 | 90 | 0.4 |
Hyun Jin Ryu | 116.7 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5.1% | 19.1% | .291 | 108 | 4.15 | 92 | 1.8 |
Brandon Eisert | 60.7 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 7.5% | 24.3% | .293 | 107 | 3.86 | 94 | 0.6 |
Yimi Garcia | 55.7 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 7.5% | 23.7% | .264 | 106 | 4.16 | 95 | 0.4 |
Ricky Tiedemann | 94.0 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 10.3% | 25.8% | .282 | 104 | 4.11 | 97 | 1.3 |
Adrian Hernandez | 52.3 | 10.7 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 11.8% | 27.1% | .281 | 103 | 4.24 | 97 | 0.3 |
Ryan Boyer | 32.0 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 7.2% | 25.2% | .289 | 101 | 4.12 | 99 | 0.2 |
David Phelps | 49.0 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 11.5% | 21.7% | .292 | 101 | 4.28 | 99 | 0.2 |
Zach Pop | 61.7 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 7.6% | 19.5% | .291 | 101 | 4.29 | 99 | 0.2 |
Julian Merryweather | 34.0 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.5% | 23.3% | .298 | 101 | 4.21 | 99 | 0.2 |
Hayden Juenger | 89.0 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 9.7% | 22.8% | .281 | 100 | 4.30 | 100 | 1.1 |
Ross Stripling | 114.3 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5.5% | 20.4% | .285 | 100 | 4.35 | 100 | 1.5 |
Trevor Richards | 77.3 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 10.0% | 27.0% | .277 | 99 | 4.39 | 101 | 0.5 |
Foster Griffin | 74.7 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 9.3% | 19.4% | .291 | 98 | 4.26 | 102 | 0.7 |
José Berríos | 166.3 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5.9% | 21.9% | .289 | 97 | 4.28 | 103 | 1.9 |
Nate Pearson | 65.3 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 10.1% | 26.2% | .282 | 97 | 4.52 | 103 | 0.7 |
Trent Thornton | 85.7 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 8.9% | 21.1% | .288 | 97 | 4.57 | 103 | 0.6 |
Jackson Rees | 38.7 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 8.2% | 25.3% | .297 | 96 | 4.37 | 104 | 0.1 |
Casey Lawrence | 111.0 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4.5% | 17.7% | .292 | 96 | 4.49 | 105 | 1.2 |
Jimmy Burnette | 50.3 | 10.9 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 13.4% | 27.2% | .287 | 95 | 4.42 | 105 | 0.0 |
Mitch White | 96.3 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 7.5% | 19.8% | .296 | 95 | 4.10 | 105 | 1.0 |
Yusei Kikuchi | 110.3 | 9.2 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 10.0% | 23.4% | .294 | 95 | 4.67 | 105 | 1.0 |
Tayler Saucedo | 45.3 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10.0% | 21.0% | .289 | 93 | 4.54 | 107 | 0.2 |
Sean Rackoski | 40.7 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 8.8% | 16.5% | .294 | 92 | 4.68 | 109 | -0.1 |
Eric Yardley | 44.0 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 8.8% | 15.0% | .293 | 91 | 4.88 | 110 | -0.1 |
Nick Fraze | 66.0 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5.7% | 17.1% | .286 | 89 | 4.67 | 112 | 0.5 |
Bowden Francis | 102.3 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 8.8% | 21.7% | .287 | 88 | 4.97 | 113 | 0.7 |
Sem Robberse | 103.7 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 8.7% | 15.4% | .291 | 88 | 4.91 | 114 | 0.7 |
Sean Mellen | 55.3 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 11.3% | 21.1% | .290 | 87 | 5.07 | 114 | 0.0 |
Matt Peacock | 68.0 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 8.0% | 14.0% | .297 | 87 | 5.12 | 115 | 0.2 |
Anthony Kay | 69.3 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 11.3% | 21.0% | .292 | 86 | 5.11 | 116 | 0.3 |
Braden Scott | 58.3 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 12.4% | 23.6% | .286 | 86 | 5.02 | 116 | -0.3 |
Trent Palmer | 71.0 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 11.0% | 21.1% | .284 | 86 | 4.91 | 116 | 0.4 |
Thomas Hatch | 108.3 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 7.5% | 18.2% | .291 | 86 | 4.99 | 117 | 0.6 |
Hagen Danner | 35.7 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 10.3% | 17.0% | .283 | 85 | 5.09 | 118 | -0.2 |
Yosver Zulueta | 57.0 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 11.1% | 23.4% | .275 | 84 | 5.19 | 118 | 0.2 |
Jimmy Robbins | 65.0 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 9.8% | 22.1% | .289 | 83 | 5.21 | 120 | 0.2 |
Paxton Schultz | 89.3 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 10.0% | 17.7% | .296 | 83 | 5.19 | 120 | 0.4 |
Nick Allgeyer | 90.7 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 9.7% | 17.4% | .288 | 83 | 5.39 | 121 | 0.2 |
Kyle Johnston | 69.3 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 10.8% | 17.1% | .294 | 82 | 5.39 | 122 | -0.1 |
Parker Caracci | 43.3 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 12.4% | 18.3% | .291 | 82 | 5.25 | 122 | -0.4 |
Alejandro Melean | 72.7 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 10.1% | 17.2% | .294 | 82 | 5.29 | 122 | 0.1 |
Luis Quinones | 65.7 | 9.6 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 14.3% | 23.3% | .281 | 82 | 5.24 | 122 | 0.2 |
Joey Murray | 82.3 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 10.2% | 22.1% | .288 | 81 | 5.42 | 123 | 0.2 |
Andrew Bash | 73.7 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 9.7% | 14.2% | .288 | 81 | 5.45 | 123 | -0.2 |
Adam Kloffenstein | 103.0 | 7.3 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 11.8% | 17.5% | .294 | 80 | 5.33 | 125 | 0.2 |
Mike Ellenbest | 35.3 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 11.9% | 18.1% | .295 | 80 | 5.42 | 125 | -0.2 |
Graham Spraker | 58.3 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 11.4% | 20.1% | .289 | 77 | 5.76 | 130 | -0.3 |
Brody Rodning | 27.3 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 12.6% | 19.7% | .286 | 76 | 5.90 | 131 | -0.3 |
Marcus Reyes | 45.0 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 10.7% | 15.0% | .296 | 76 | 5.62 | 131 | -0.4 |
Sergio Romo | 33.7 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 8.1% | 20.9% | .292 | 76 | 5.56 | 132 | -0.4 |
Gabriel Ponce | 50.0 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 13.6% | 20.6% | .288 | 74 | 5.77 | 135 | -0.6 |
Thomas Ruwe | 29.7 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 19.3% | 22.8% | .299 | 74 | 5.95 | 135 | -0.4 |
Derek Holland | 40.0 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 11.0% | 19.9% | .296 | 73 | 5.93 | 137 | -0.3 |
Fitz Stadler | 49.3 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 13.4% | 19.0% | .301 | 69 | 6.27 | 145 | -0.5 |
Jol Concepcion | 48.0 | 7.7 | 7.9 | 1.7 | 17.9% | 17.4% | .288 | 65 | 6.76 | 154 | -0.9 |
<
Player | Pit Comp 1 | Pit Comp 2 | Pit Comp 3 | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alek Manoah | Frank Sullivan | Matt Cain | Lon Warneke | 4.9 | 2.8 | 2.98 | 3.96 |
Tim Mayza | Tug McGraw | Mike Stanton | Gary Wayne | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.96 | 4.25 |
Jordan Romano | Cody Allen | Jeff Reardon | Todd Worrell | 1.5 | -0.1 | 2.74 | 4.81 |
Kevin Gausman | Shane Reynolds | Mike Mussina | Paul Derringer | 4.1 | 1.7 | 3.00 | 4.45 |
Anthony Bass | Dick Tidrow | Dave Veres | Santiago Casilla | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.92 | 4.71 |
Erik Swanson | Claude Raymond | Mark Huismann | Steve Reed | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.02 | 4.91 |
Adam Cimber | Phil Regan | Joe Beggs | Dan Otero | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.10 | 4.86 |
Matt Gage | Larry Bradford | Mike Stanton | Archie McKain | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.08 | 4.71 |
Hyun Jin Ryu | Eppa Rixey | Jim Kaat | Warren Spahn | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3.41 | 4.60 |
Brandon Eisert | Scott Stewart | Mark Lee | Chris Limbach | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.20 | 4.99 |
Yimi Garcia | Jeff Reardon | Roy Face | Bruce Sutter | 1.0 | -0.2 | 3.27 | 4.96 |
Ricky Tiedemann | Scott Elbert | Juan Oramas | Larry Jaster | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.48 | 4.90 |
Adrian Hernandez | Jeff Cornell | Pete Ladd | Joe Valentine | 0.7 | -0.2 | 3.54 | 5.00 |
Ryan Boyer | Bruce Thompson | Steve Kealey | Charles Giddens | 0.5 | -0.2 | 3.38 | 5.49 |
David Phelps | Tim Worrell | Jason Grimsley | Al Worthington | 0.7 | -0.4 | 3.28 | 5.86 |
Zach Pop | Ryan Webb | Don Bessent | Todd Coffey | 0.6 | -0.2 | 3.49 | 5.19 |
Julian Merryweather | Randy Moffitt | Brian Omogrosso | Bill Faul | 0.5 | -0.1 | 3.57 | 5.24 |
Hayden Juenger | Lerrin LaGrow | Rich Gossage | Paul Cave | 1.7 | 0.4 | 3.72 | 4.91 |
Ross Stripling | Don Robinson | Frank Lary | Merrill Kelly 켈리 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 3.61 | 4.86 |
Trevor Richards | Buzz Capra | Ray Narleski | Joaquin Benoit | 1.2 | -0.2 | 3.56 | 5.38 |
Foster Griffin | Jim Shellenback | Joe Kraemer | Johnnie Seale | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.80 | 5.10 |
José Berríos | Don Drysdale | Homer Bailey | Kevin Gausman | 2.8 | 0.8 | 3.90 | 5.02 |
Nate Pearson | Jim Donohue | Logan Kensing | Steve Ridzik | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.72 | 5.38 |
Trent Thornton | Bill Atkinson | Jim Coates | Ed Rakow | 1.1 | -0.1 | 3.86 | 5.16 |
Jackson Rees | Joel Peralta | Scott Wright | James Morrison | 0.5 | -0.3 | 3.65 | 5.29 |
Casey Lawrence | Dutch Leonard | Juan Marichal | Kevin Tapani | 1.8 | 0.4 | 3.93 | 5.13 |
Jimmy Burnette | Kevin Siegrist | Wesley Wright | Kim Seaman | 0.5 | -0.4 | 3.79 | 5.22 |
Mitch White | Joe Biagini | Jack Egbert | Art Ditmar | 1.5 | 0.3 | 3.93 | 5.21 |
Yusei Kikuchi | Brian Givens | Bill Flynt | William Bustle | 1.8 | -0.1 | 3.90 | 5.40 |
Tayler Saucedo | Erik Plantenberg | Steve Sinclair | Mike Mohler | 0.6 | -0.3 | 3.83 | 5.59 |
Sean Rackoski | Richie Barker | Rafael Rodriguez | Cary Hiles | 0.2 | -0.4 | 4.13 | 5.41 |
Eric Yardley | Jesus Castillo | Jason Karnuth | Hipolito Pichardo | 0.2 | -0.4 | 4.16 | 5.37 |
Nick Fraze | Tim McNamara | Robert Weisenberg | Dave Ford | 0.9 | 0.1 | 4.23 | 5.43 |
Bowden Francis | Rich DeLucia | Steve Blass | Chuck Dobson | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4.27 | 5.43 |
Sem Robberse | Dick Baney | Stu Pomeranz | Fernando Arroyo | 1.2 | 0.1 | 4.43 | 5.34 |
Sean Mellen | Scott Wiegandt | Kyle Fernandes | Bobby Seay | 0.5 | -0.5 | 4.27 | 5.63 |
Matt Peacock | Roman Colon 콜론 | Doug Sessions | Dick Coffman | 0.6 | -0.2 | 4.43 | 5.48 |
Anthony Kay | Jimmy Osting | Don Hood | Rich Kelley | 0.8 | -0.2 | 4.37 | 5.66 |
Braden Scott | Mike Mohler | Kevin Walker | Angel Torres | 0.3 | -0.8 | 4.22 | 5.73 |
Trent Palmer | Dan Opperman | Tom Kelley | Gerardo Garcia | 0.8 | -0.2 | 4.46 | 5.69 |
Thomas Hatch | Bob Milacki | Pep Harris | Dereck Rodriguez | 1.3 | -0.1 | 4.43 | 5.55 |
Hagen Danner | Jim Winn | Ron Kaufman | Bill Slack | 0.0 | -0.5 | 4.51 | 5.72 |
Yosver Zulueta | Les Tietje | Bill Faul | Dick Woodson | 0.7 | -0.3 | 4.42 | 5.93 |
Jimmy Robbins | Shawn Barton | Kent Murphy | Mike Jones | 0.7 | -0.3 | 4.56 | 5.84 |
Paxton Schultz | Juan Castillo | Robert Coe | Randy Niles | 0.8 | -0.2 | 4.71 | 5.74 |
Nick Allgeyer | Dave Fleming | Ben Braymer | Raymond Cordeiro | 0.8 | -0.4 | 4.61 | 5.75 |
Kyle Johnston | Chad Rogers | Francisco Rios | Mike Penney | 0.3 | -0.6 | 4.68 | 5.83 |
Parker Caracci | Jonathan Garcia | Aguedo Vasquez | John Ogiltree | -0.1 | -0.8 | 4.67 | 6.01 |
Alejandro Melean | John Denny | Jeff Hart | Trad Sobik | 0.7 | -0.3 | 4.66 | 5.69 |
Luis Quinones | John Purdin | Bill Faul | Terry Felton | 0.7 | -0.5 | 4.58 | 5.99 |
Joey Murray | Adbert Alzolay | Keith Creel | Bill Bivens | 0.8 | -0.5 | 4.67 | 6.04 |
Andrew Bash | Jim Bruske | Brett Sinkbeil | Douglas Gentry | 0.3 | -0.6 | 4.73 | 5.76 |
Adam Kloffenstein | Jeff Bumgarner | Bill Knoch | Dick Calmus | 0.7 | -0.6 | 4.90 | 5.93 |
Mike Ellenbest | Paul Thorp | MacKenzie King | Carlos Gonzalez | 0.1 | -0.5 | 4.69 | 6.28 |
Graham Spraker | Brady Lail | P.J. Francescon | Paul Thornton | 0.2 | -1.0 | 4.92 | 6.65 |
Brody Rodning | Steve Cates | Lou Vickery | Bert Cole | -0.2 | -0.5 | 4.98 | 6.61 |
Marcus Reyes | Martin Montano | Michael Heesch | Clint Chrysler | -0.1 | -0.8 | 4.93 | 6.31 |
Sergio Romo | Joe Borowski | Art Herring | Bob Porterfield | -0.1 | -0.8 | 4.63 | 7.12 |
Gabriel Ponce | Shelby McDonald | Evan Beal | Mark Ecker | -0.1 | -1.0 | 4.97 | 6.62 |
Thomas Ruwe | Dar Smith | David Wong | Jarrod Kingrey | -0.1 | -0.8 | 4.86 | 7.03 |
Derek Holland | John Curtis | Kris Regas | Mark Langston | 0.1 | -0.8 | 4.82 | 7.19 |
Fitz Stadler | Tyler Mark | Heath Bowers | Jeff Brewer | -0.2 | -1.0 | 5.54 | 7.02 |
Jol Concepcion | Jheyson Manzueta | Connor Kaden | Mark Hampton | -0.5 | -1.4 | 5.78 | 7.58 |
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2023 due to injury, and players who were released in 2022. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Norwegian Death Dixieland Bubblegum Ska-Funk band, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.22, above 2022’s level of offense but lower than other years. Pitchers who appear to have a fairly definite change in the majors from start-to-relief or vice-versa from these projections will receive reconfigured updates in the spring.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
“like they obtained a slightly blemished mold from the joey wendle factory” cracked me up