2023 ZiPS Projections: Boston Red Sox
For the 18th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the first team to go this year is the Boston Red Sox.
Batters
The Red Sox finished fourth in the American League in runs scored in 2022, but there’s no denying that removing Xander Bogaerts and J.D. Martinez from the roster is a giant hit for the team to take. They may replace the missing value (if not all of it), but it’s a roster with a lot of work to do to be an elite unit. The projections see the offense as being driven mostly by Rafael Devers and Trevor Story, with Story getting quite the bullish projection. Having Triston Casas on the team would be helpful on average, and he has far more upside than either Eric Hosmer or Bobby Dalbec, but as of right now, the team will unfortunately be able to find quite a lot of playing time for the latter two, at least as the roster currently stands.
The floor on the offense is probably fairly high, so I wouldn’t expect them to be as bad as, say, the 2022 Detroit Tigers even if they trade Devers in the offseason, which isn’t an impossibility. ZiPS sees Boston having a good number of stopgappish players who are likely to be well above replacement but unlikely to push the team toward the pennant, players like Ceddanne Rafaela, the recently acquired Hoy Park, Jarren Duran, Connor Wong, and Enmanuel Valdez. I may be underselling Rafaela with this description because if his defense is as good as the scouting indicates, he becomes far more interesting. As a +3 defender in center, ZiPS sees him peaking as a bit above average for a few years, but if he turns out to be a Gold Glover, he hits enough that he could be Devon White.
I’m not exactly sure what the Red Sox will do this winter. Both a medium-sized investment in retooling the roster or some selling off is possible, and in either case, the lineup will look very different in April.
Pitchers
I wouldn’t call ZiPS “all in” on Brayan Bello, but as with Shane Bieber‘s 2018, the computer saw Bello’s debut in the majors as quite convincing despite the high ERA. ZiPS sees nothing in Bello’s record that deserved a .404 BABIP. In fact, given that position players used as pitchers historically have BABIPs in the .330 range, nobody ever really ought to be a .400 BABIP pitcher. I’m leaving Garrett Whitlock’s usage where it is right now, but ZiPS projects him with an ERA of 4.09 and an ERA+ in the 110 range as a starter, which is where he’s likely to end up. After just 11 starts in three seasons, the Red Sox would likely be overjoyed to get 16 starts from Chris Sale at the projected performance.
The team shouldn’t have much confidence in getting a ton of innings from Sale or James Paxton (six starts in three seasons). Some clarity on Tanner Houck’s role in the spring could provide needed reinforcements to the rotation. With so many questions about injuries and roles, the Red Sox really need to add a bit more certainty to the starting corps, more than Nick Pivetta possibly leading the team in innings pitched as a nondescript fourth starter. But as I’ve noted above, I’m legitimately unsure what direction the team is actually going to go this winter. The bullpen is serviceable but unexciting, though ZiPS remains the biggest fan of Joely Rodríguez around. What the bullpen is really missing is some heft on the top end. There is a veritable boatload of relievers projected with an ERA+ within five points of 100, which I’ll just call the Kaleb Ort Cloud.
The farm system is much improved, but as with the hitters, ZiPS just doesn’t see many pitchers in the system who could make a real difference when just talking about 2023. Eternal prospects like Connor Seabold still look more like depth than anything else, and the projections are unconvinced by Bryan Mata unless he can shake off another walk or two per nine.
The “start of the winter” ZiPS projections have the Red Sox at 82 wins, but that could deteriorate quickly, as most of the rest of the division is likely to be aggressive in the winter. This team has a lot of holes, and I’m not sure they’re going to fill most of them.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | L | 26 | 3B | 659 | 596 | 103 | 173 | 42 | 2 | 33 | 112 | 54 | 125 | 4 | 3 |
Xander Bogaerts | R | 30 | SS | 622 | 550 | 87 | 161 | 37 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 60 | 115 | 6 | 1 |
Trevor Story | R | 30 | SS | 518 | 463 | 75 | 118 | 29 | 3 | 21 | 72 | 44 | 142 | 16 | 3 |
Enrique Hernández | R | 31 | CF | 465 | 413 | 61 | 104 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 57 | 41 | 91 | 1 | 1 |
Alex Verdugo | L | 27 | LF | 601 | 547 | 78 | 162 | 38 | 2 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 85 | 3 | 2 |
J.D. Martinez | R | 35 | DH | 559 | 500 | 73 | 136 | 34 | 2 | 20 | 72 | 51 | 136 | 0 | 1 |
Enmanuel Valdez | L | 24 | 2B | 525 | 472 | 64 | 117 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 74 | 38 | 129 | 4 | 2 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | R | 22 | CF | 528 | 489 | 69 | 123 | 26 | 7 | 15 | 76 | 20 | 128 | 14 | 4 |
Hoy Park | L | 27 | 3B | 447 | 386 | 55 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 53 | 50 | 112 | 10 | 3 |
Triston Casas | L | 23 | 1B | 414 | 352 | 54 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 58 | 51 | 92 | 2 | 1 |
Connor Wong | R | 27 | C | 384 | 356 | 40 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 21 | 111 | 5 | 2 |
Jarren Duran | L | 26 | CF | 527 | 483 | 71 | 121 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 67 | 34 | 140 | 20 | 5 |
Reese McGuire | L | 28 | C | 292 | 266 | 29 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 57 | 1 | 1 |
Christian Arroyo | R | 28 | 2B | 289 | 266 | 33 | 71 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 15 | 56 | 3 | 1 |
David Hamilton | L | 25 | 2B | 493 | 451 | 59 | 106 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 122 | 32 | 6 |
Rob Refsnyder | R | 32 | RF | 337 | 294 | 42 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 33 | 88 | 2 | 1 |
Nick Sogard | B | 25 | 3B | 434 | 382 | 49 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 38 | 88 | 9 | 3 |
Alex Binelas | L | 23 | 3B | 463 | 409 | 55 | 92 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 59 | 38 | 151 | 3 | 1 |
Abraham Almonte | B | 34 | LF | 349 | 301 | 51 | 75 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 44 | 83 | 4 | 2 |
Niko Kavadas | L | 24 | 1B | 503 | 418 | 51 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 65 | 180 | 0 | 1 |
Phillip Sikes | R | 24 | RF | 360 | 317 | 41 | 72 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 30 | 121 | 8 | 1 |
Ronaldo Hernández | R | 25 | C | 432 | 406 | 41 | 102 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 62 | 15 | 95 | 1 | 2 |
Eric Hosmer | L | 33 | 1B | 482 | 441 | 48 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 66 | 35 | 85 | 2 | 2 |
Johan Mieses | R | 27 | RF | 331 | 293 | 38 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 52 | 28 | 93 | 3 | 1 |
Jose Peraza | R | 29 | 2B | 298 | 276 | 31 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 12 | 41 | 3 | 2 |
Yu Chang | R | 27 | 2B | 301 | 272 | 36 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 23 | 83 | 1 | 1 |
Ryan Fitzgerald | L | 29 | 3B | 472 | 420 | 46 | 96 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 61 | 33 | 127 | 3 | 4 |
Stephen Scott | L | 26 | C | 390 | 338 | 45 | 77 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 91 | 3 | 1 |
Marcelo Mayer | L | 20 | SS | 415 | 366 | 47 | 83 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 40 | 132 | 7 | 1 |
Franchy Cordero | L | 28 | 1B | 409 | 363 | 52 | 89 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 37 | 133 | 6 | 2 |
Tommy Pham | R | 35 | LF | 548 | 482 | 69 | 119 | 25 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 58 | 131 | 11 | 3 |
Max Ferguson | L | 23 | SS | 488 | 421 | 65 | 84 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 47 | 55 | 150 | 23 | 3 |
Nick Yorke | R | 21 | 2B | 416 | 381 | 49 | 89 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 106 | 5 | 4 |
Devlin Granberg | R | 27 | CF | 372 | 336 | 44 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 55 | 22 | 75 | 4 | 1 |
Narciso Crook | R | 27 | RF | 401 | 365 | 44 | 86 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 64 | 27 | 129 | 7 | 3 |
Elih Marrero | B | 26 | C | 267 | 237 | 25 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | 71 | 7 | 2 |
Bobby Dalbec | R | 28 | 1B | 446 | 400 | 49 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 69 | 36 | 144 | 3 | 1 |
Nathan Hickey | L | 23 | C | 322 | 265 | 35 | 61 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 96 | 0 | 1 |
Grant Williams | L | 27 | 3B | 226 | 214 | 25 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 34 | 5 | 2 |
Christin Stewart | L | 29 | LF | 413 | 362 | 44 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 40 | 130 | 3 | 1 |
Travis Shaw | L | 33 | 1B | 306 | 270 | 27 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 85 | 0 | 1 |
Cam Cannon | R | 25 | 3B | 327 | 305 | 31 | 72 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 15 | 62 | 3 | 2 |
Christian Koss | R | 25 | SS | 496 | 455 | 54 | 109 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 64 | 22 | 134 | 7 | 3 |
Jeter Downs | R | 24 | SS | 442 | 394 | 54 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 61 | 35 | 137 | 11 | 4 |
Jaylin Davis | R | 28 | CF | 417 | 370 | 53 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 55 | 36 | 137 | 4 | 3 |
Matthew Lugo | R | 22 | SS | 534 | 493 | 63 | 116 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 66 | 25 | 126 | 9 | 4 |
Wilyer Abreu | L | 24 | CF | 511 | 444 | 60 | 98 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 57 | 161 | 11 | 6 |
Deivy Grullón | R | 27 | C | 291 | 265 | 27 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 39 | 21 | 104 | 0 | 1 |
Corey Rosier | L | 23 | LF | 432 | 380 | 62 | 87 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 39 | 100 | 18 | 4 |
Kole Cottam | R | 26 | C | 297 | 268 | 25 | 61 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 99 | 0 | 2 |
Caleb Hamilton | R | 28 | C | 301 | 262 | 31 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 34 | 99 | 2 | 1 |
Tyler Dearden | L | 24 | LF | 392 | 343 | 42 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 121 | 0 | 1 |
Roberto Ramos | L | 28 | 1B | 318 | 280 | 31 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 119 | 0 | 1 |
Wil Dalton | R | 25 | LF | 298 | 271 | 29 | 53 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 18 | 101 | 3 | 2 |
Joe Davis | R | 26 | DH | 353 | 329 | 35 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 13 | 81 | 0 | 1 |
Hudson Potts | R | 24 | 1B | 376 | 346 | 36 | 76 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 20 | 119 | 1 | 1 |
Izzy Wilson | L | 25 | RF | 365 | 330 | 43 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 30 | 122 | 10 | 4 |
Pedro Castellanos | R | 25 | 1B | 473 | 440 | 53 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 64 | 16 | 101 | 2 | 2 |
Tyler Esplin | L | 23 | RF | 247 | 224 | 25 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 75 | 1 | 1 |
Blaze Jordan | R | 20 | 3B | 513 | 472 | 48 | 118 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 67 | 29 | 118 | 2 | 1 |
Tyler McDonough | B | 24 | CF | 473 | 437 | 46 | 88 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 167 | 9 | 3 |
Nick Decker | L | 23 | LF | 294 | 262 | 34 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 26 | 127 | 4 | 2 |
Alex Erro | B | 25 | LF | 278 | 256 | 29 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 67 | 2 | 2 |
Gilberto Jimenez | B | 22 | RF | 432 | 408 | 46 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 13 | 120 | 10 | 7 |
Player | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | .290 | .354 | .534 | 135 | .243 | .320 | -4 | 4.2 | .373 |
Xander Bogaerts | .293 | .365 | .469 | 124 | .176 | .340 | -2 | 4.0 | .359 |
Trevor Story | .255 | .325 | .467 | 111 | .212 | .323 | 7 | 3.4 | .337 |
Enrique Hernández | .252 | .325 | .416 | 99 | .165 | .297 | 11 | 2.4 | .321 |
Alex Verdugo | .296 | .349 | .444 | 113 | .148 | .332 | 4 | 2.2 | .341 |
J.D. Martinez | .272 | .342 | .468 | 116 | .196 | .337 | 0 | 1.6 | .345 |
Enmanuel Valdez | .248 | .307 | .432 | 97 | .184 | .305 | -1 | 1.3 | .317 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | .252 | .288 | .425 | 90 | .174 | .312 | 3 | 1.3 | .305 |
Hoy Park | .241 | .330 | .376 | 91 | .135 | .317 | 3 | 1.3 | .310 |
Triston Casas | .256 | .352 | .440 | 113 | .185 | .309 | 1 | 1.2 | .343 |
Connor Wong | .258 | .304 | .435 | 97 | .177 | .343 | -2 | 1.2 | .317 |
Jarren Duran | .251 | .308 | .406 | 91 | .155 | .329 | 0 | 1.2 | .309 |
Reese McGuire | .267 | .314 | .383 | 88 | .117 | .327 | 3 | 1.0 | .304 |
Christian Arroyo | .267 | .317 | .425 | 98 | .158 | .312 | 2 | 1.0 | .320 |
David Hamilton | .235 | .295 | .359 | 76 | .124 | .305 | 4 | 1.0 | .287 |
Rob Refsnyder | .262 | .343 | .422 | 106 | .160 | .345 | 0 | 0.8 | .334 |
Nick Sogard | .249 | .322 | .343 | 80 | .094 | .311 | 3 | 0.8 | .296 |
Alex Binelas | .225 | .291 | .401 | 85 | .176 | .314 | 1 | 0.7 | .300 |
Abraham Almonte | .249 | .345 | .449 | 113 | .199 | .306 | -4 | 0.7 | .344 |
Niko Kavadas | .218 | .337 | .414 | 102 | .196 | .326 | -2 | 0.6 | .330 |
Phillip Sikes | .227 | .304 | .391 | 87 | .164 | .340 | 5 | 0.6 | .302 |
Ronaldo Hernández | .251 | .284 | .414 | 86 | .163 | .299 | -4 | 0.6 | .299 |
Eric Hosmer | .286 | .340 | .431 | 107 | .145 | .331 | -3 | 0.6 | .332 |
Johan Mieses | .232 | .313 | .420 | 96 | .188 | .294 | 1 | 0.5 | .319 |
Jose Peraza | .264 | .307 | .388 | 87 | .123 | .296 | 1 | 0.5 | .302 |
Yu Chang | .239 | .303 | .397 | 88 | .158 | .315 | 0 | 0.5 | .304 |
Ryan Fitzgerald | .229 | .292 | .381 | 80 | .152 | .304 | 3 | 0.5 | .293 |
Stephen Scott | .228 | .311 | .367 | 83 | .139 | .289 | -4 | 0.4 | .298 |
Marcelo Mayer | .227 | .305 | .385 | 85 | .158 | .323 | -6 | 0.4 | .300 |
Franchy Cordero | .245 | .319 | .433 | 101 | .187 | .350 | -2 | 0.4 | .324 |
Tommy Pham | .247 | .332 | .394 | 96 | .147 | .312 | -4 | 0.4 | .319 |
Max Ferguson | .200 | .297 | .302 | 63 | .102 | .300 | 1 | 0.3 | .270 |
Nick Yorke | .234 | .286 | .362 | 74 | .129 | .298 | 3 | 0.2 | .282 |
Devlin Granberg | .256 | .319 | .384 | 89 | .128 | .314 | -6 | 0.2 | .308 |
Narciso Crook | .236 | .302 | .411 | 90 | .175 | .330 | 0 | 0.2 | .309 |
Elih Marrero | .215 | .288 | .287 | 57 | .072 | .303 | 3 | 0.2 | .259 |
Bobby Dalbec | .223 | .297 | .425 | 92 | .203 | .292 | 0 | 0.1 | .311 |
Nathan Hickey | .230 | .335 | .419 | 103 | .189 | .316 | -14 | 0.1 | .328 |
Grant Williams | .257 | .283 | .308 | 60 | .051 | .306 | 5 | 0.1 | .260 |
Christin Stewart | .232 | .318 | .423 | 98 | .191 | .315 | -5 | 0.1 | .320 |
Travis Shaw | .219 | .305 | .378 | 84 | .159 | .280 | 2 | 0.0 | .299 |
Cam Cannon | .236 | .285 | .328 | 66 | .092 | .288 | 3 | 0.0 | .271 |
Christian Koss | .240 | .285 | .374 | 76 | .134 | .316 | -5 | -0.1 | .285 |
Jeter Downs | .213 | .287 | .371 | 76 | .157 | .288 | -6 | -0.1 | .288 |
Jaylin Davis | .219 | .297 | .370 | 79 | .151 | .312 | -4 | -0.1 | .292 |
Matthew Lugo | .235 | .279 | .359 | 71 | .124 | .297 | -3 | -0.2 | .278 |
Wilyer Abreu | .221 | .314 | .358 | 82 | .137 | .317 | -8 | -0.2 | .298 |
Deivy Grullón | .223 | .280 | .396 | 80 | .174 | .320 | -7 | -0.2 | .292 |
Corey Rosier | .229 | .307 | .339 | 75 | .111 | .296 | 1 | -0.2 | .287 |
Kole Cottam | .228 | .292 | .351 | 73 | .123 | .345 | -5 | -0.3 | .282 |
Caleb Hamilton | .202 | .295 | .344 | 72 | .141 | .290 | -6 | -0.3 | .283 |
Tyler Dearden | .227 | .306 | .367 | 81 | .140 | .321 | -3 | -0.6 | .295 |
Roberto Ramos | .211 | .297 | .364 | 78 | .154 | .325 | -1 | -0.6 | .292 |
Wil Dalton | .196 | .258 | .328 | 57 | .133 | .287 | 4 | -0.6 | .258 |
Joe Davis | .237 | .275 | .386 | 76 | .149 | .280 | 0 | -0.7 | .286 |
Hudson Potts | .220 | .266 | .379 | 72 | .159 | .301 | 2 | -0.7 | .278 |
Izzy Wilson | .215 | .284 | .367 | 74 | .152 | .305 | -2 | -0.7 | .285 |
Pedro Castellanos | .255 | .291 | .382 | 80 | .127 | .310 | -1 | -0.8 | .291 |
Tyler Esplin | .210 | .273 | .290 | 53 | .080 | .311 | 2 | -0.8 | .252 |
Blaze Jordan | .250 | .299 | .383 | 83 | .133 | .312 | -15 | -0.9 | .296 |
Tyler McDonough | .201 | .259 | .300 | 51 | .098 | .311 | 4 | -0.9 | .247 |
Nick Decker | .176 | .259 | .298 | 51 | .122 | .310 | 1 | -1.2 | .249 |
Alex Erro | .230 | .283 | .297 | 58 | .066 | .305 | -4 | -1.4 | .259 |
Gilberto Jimenez | .228 | .258 | .311 | 53 | .083 | .313 | 4 | -1.6 | .249 |
Player | Hit Comp 1 | Hit Comp 2 | Hit Comp 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | Kyle Seager | Pete Ward | Manny Machado |
Xander Bogaerts | Dave Bancroft | Barry Larkin | Lou Boudreau |
Trevor Story | Ian Desmond | Dansby Swanson | Howie Shanks |
Enrique Hernández | Barry Morgan | Bill Virdon | Jack Daugherty |
Alex Verdugo | Whitey Lockman | Lloyd Waner | Frank Torre |
J.D. Martinez | Joe Brovia | Kevin Millar | Derrek Lee |
Enmanuel Valdez | Tom Brookens | Chase Utley | Trace Coquillette |
Ceddanne Rafaela | Allen Bowers | Brian Cole | Walt Bond |
Hoy Park | Don Eaddy | Dave Edler | Daniel Muno |
Triston Casas | Ken Cornell | Joe Cunningham | Joe Lahoud |
Connor Wong | Angel Pena | Chuck Goggin | Chris Widger |
Jarren Duran | Kory DeHaan | Ted Wilborn | Damon Buford |
Reese McGuire | Zane Chavez | Bob Barton | John Sevcik |
Christian Arroyo | Lenn Sakata | Jason Hardtke | Julio Gotay |
David Hamilton | Chone Figgins | Kevin Castleberry | Chase d’Arnaud |
Rob Refsnyder | Billy McMillon | Brian Myrow | Jesus Guzman |
Nick Sogard | Bob Nandin | Abraham Nunez | Larry Huff |
Alex Binelas | Mike Pagliarulo | Dwayne Peltier | Clete Boyer |
Abraham Almonte | Dexter Fowler | George Grantham | Chad Huffman |
Niko Kavadas | Otto Velez | Randy Bass | Christin Stewart |
Phillip Sikes | Sil Campusano | Garrett Whitley | Jordan Schafer |
Ronaldo Hernández | Josh Phegley | John Marzano | Rod Barajas |
Eric Hosmer | Sean Casey | Hal Morris | James Loney |
Johan Mieses | Scott Pinoni | Trey McCoy | Ed Putman |
Jose Peraza | Chin-lung Hu | Onix Concepcion | Nate Samson |
Yu Chang | Hunter Jobes | Peter Maris | Chris Woodward |
Ryan Fitzgerald | Tom Heintzelman | Chris Basak | Brian Guinn |
Stephen Scott | Eric Christopherson | Brad Gulden | Richard Hance |
Marcelo Mayer | Kelly Johnson | Tom Hayes | Frank Franchi |
Franchy Cordero | Tim Pyznarski | Brian Goodwin | Mike Derrick |
Tommy Pham | George Burns | Kosuke Fukudome | Gary Matthews |
Max Ferguson | Anderson Machado | Ronnie Retton | Jason McDonald |
Nick Yorke | Blaine Prescott | Dave Orndorff | Doug Saunders |
Devlin Granberg | Jason Martin | Cameron Perkins | Ryan Harvey |
Narciso Crook | Alonzo Powell | Mark Little | Braulio Castillo |
Elih Marrero | Bob Kappesser | Barry Winford | John Massarelli |
Bobby Dalbec | Chad Rupp | Jose Barrios | John Rabb |
Nathan Hickey | Jim Pagliaroni | Michael Ash | Ian Rice |
Grant Williams | Rayner Laya | Luis Gomez | Wilson Soriano |
Christin Stewart | Duane Walker | Chris Duncan | Ty Gainey |
Travis Shaw | Chris Parmelee | Eric Munson | Mike Jorgensen |
Cam Cannon | Ed Lavene | James Hatfield | Nate Samson |
Christian Koss | Johnnie LeMaster | Mariano Duncan | Jamie Saylor |
Jeter Downs | Joseph Edgley | Alex Kampouris | Bill Barrett |
Jaylin Davis | Brett Eibner | Dave Edwards | William Thomas |
Matthew Lugo | Teuris Olivares | Adeiny Hechavarria | Danny Richar |
Wilyer Abreu | Pepe Mangual | Derek Lee | Ray McDavid |
Deivy Grullón | Creighton Gubanich | David Ross | Tom Egan |
Corey Rosier | Ryan Rogowski | Chris Prieto | Pin-Chieh Chen |
Kole Cottam | Don Bryant | John Nester | Matt Quatraro |
Caleb Hamilton | Don Werner | Ron Staples | John Stefero |
Tyler Dearden | Jerry Kushner | Paul Hodgson | Harry McCulla |
Roberto Ramos | Billy Martin | Rod McCall | Howard Prager |
Wil Dalton | Sergio Beltre | Greg Sinatro | Bret Berglund |
Joe Davis | Jim Campanis | Mike Madrid | Brad Bouras |
Hudson Potts | Walter Poole | Alex Cabrera | Chris Richburg |
Izzy Wilson | Josh Stowers | Gregg Slape | Rickey Holifield |
Pedro Castellanos | Robb Gorr | Tom Brassil | Patrick Cluney |
Tyler Esplin | Fernand Poirier | Hunter Mense | Jordan Keegan |
Blaze Jordan | Aurelio Rodriguez | Mitch Nay | Bobby Pfeil |
Tyler McDonough | Camilo Veras | Ray Jackson | Brian Thomas |
Nick Decker | Maury Ornest | David Newhan | Alex Barrett |
Alex Erro | Chris LePine | Ryan Hamme | Tim Binkoski |
Gilberto Jimenez | Manny Jose | Josh Hart | Danny Mars |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | .315 | .379 | .589 | 154 | 5.6 | .264 | .328 | .474 | 115 | 2.5 |
Xander Bogaerts | .321 | .391 | .528 | 144 | 5.5 | .268 | .338 | .427 | 105 | 2.6 |
Trevor Story | .280 | .351 | .512 | 129 | 4.6 | .229 | .305 | .412 | 92 | 2.2 |
Enrique Hernández | .277 | .352 | .467 | 116 | 3.4 | .226 | .298 | .361 | 76 | 1.2 |
Alex Verdugo | .324 | .380 | .495 | 132 | 3.7 | .263 | .319 | .398 | 93 | 0.7 |
J.D. Martinez | .298 | .370 | .520 | 135 | 2.8 | .244 | .317 | .416 | 96 | 0.3 |
Enmanuel Valdez | .277 | .334 | .486 | 117 | 2.6 | .224 | .282 | .382 | 79 | 0.2 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | .276 | .313 | .477 | 109 | 2.5 | .225 | .264 | .375 | 71 | 0.0 |
Hoy Park | .269 | .356 | .431 | 109 | 2.3 | .213 | .300 | .327 | 71 | 0.2 |
Triston Casas | .286 | .377 | .495 | 133 | 2.2 | .229 | .327 | .388 | 94 | 0.3 |
Connor Wong | .291 | .333 | .505 | 122 | 2.4 | .231 | .274 | .389 | 77 | 0.3 |
Jarren Duran | .273 | .333 | .455 | 107 | 2.2 | .221 | .279 | .357 | 71 | -0.1 |
Reese McGuire | .304 | .352 | .436 | 113 | 1.9 | .237 | .284 | .329 | 66 | 0.3 |
Christian Arroyo | .296 | .342 | .478 | 119 | 1.8 | .238 | .285 | .371 | 78 | 0.3 |
David Hamilton | .262 | .324 | .407 | 95 | 2.2 | .211 | .270 | .315 | 58 | -0.1 |
Rob Refsnyder | .289 | .372 | .471 | 125 | 1.6 | .232 | .314 | .369 | 86 | 0.0 |
Nick Sogard | .273 | .346 | .381 | 95 | 1.5 | .223 | .295 | .310 | 65 | -0.1 |
Alex Binelas | .253 | .320 | .460 | 105 | 1.8 | .196 | .265 | .352 | 65 | -0.4 |
Abraham Almonte | .276 | .372 | .506 | 132 | 1.5 | .223 | .315 | .391 | 91 | -0.2 |
Niko Kavadas | .252 | .367 | .482 | 125 | 2.0 | .187 | .308 | .354 | 78 | -0.7 |
Phillip Sikes | .259 | .332 | .443 | 108 | 1.6 | .199 | .276 | .337 | 66 | -0.3 |
Ronaldo Hernández | .278 | .311 | .476 | 107 | 1.7 | .223 | .259 | .367 | 68 | -0.4 |
Eric Hosmer | .313 | .367 | .475 | 123 | 1.6 | .253 | .312 | .382 | 86 | -0.8 |
Johan Mieses | .259 | .342 | .480 | 117 | 1.3 | .204 | .285 | .367 | 77 | -0.2 |
Jose Peraza | .295 | .338 | .438 | 108 | 1.3 | .232 | .276 | .338 | 66 | -0.2 |
Yu Chang | .274 | .332 | .461 | 111 | 1.4 | .213 | .273 | .346 | 66 | -0.2 |
Ryan Fitzgerald | .258 | .318 | .433 | 100 | 1.6 | .198 | .263 | .333 | 62 | -0.7 |
Stephen Scott | .260 | .343 | .426 | 109 | 1.6 | .203 | .284 | .314 | 64 | -0.4 |
Marcelo Mayer | .254 | .331 | .446 | 108 | 1.5 | .200 | .278 | .328 | 65 | -0.6 |
Franchy Cordero | .273 | .345 | .493 | 122 | 1.5 | .218 | .295 | .381 | 82 | -0.5 |
Tommy Pham | .276 | .360 | .445 | 116 | 1.7 | .218 | .305 | .343 | 76 | -0.9 |
Max Ferguson | .229 | .327 | .353 | 84 | 1.5 | .166 | .267 | .253 | 42 | -1.0 |
Nick Yorke | .263 | .313 | .426 | 96 | 1.3 | .205 | .262 | .318 | 56 | -0.8 |
Devlin Granberg | .280 | .347 | .438 | 109 | 1.0 | .224 | .289 | .337 | 69 | -0.7 |
Narciso Crook | .264 | .329 | .466 | 112 | 1.3 | .209 | .273 | .362 | 71 | -0.7 |
Elih Marrero | .243 | .322 | .335 | 77 | 0.8 | .179 | .256 | .243 | 36 | -0.5 |
Bobby Dalbec | .252 | .327 | .484 | 116 | 1.4 | .196 | .274 | .362 | 71 | -1.0 |
Nathan Hickey | .263 | .371 | .486 | 128 | 1.1 | .195 | .305 | .354 | 76 | -0.9 |
Grant Williams | .289 | .313 | .351 | 80 | 0.7 | .221 | .247 | .265 | 39 | -0.5 |
Christin Stewart | .257 | .346 | .480 | 119 | 1.1 | .202 | .291 | .368 | 78 | -1.0 |
Travis Shaw | .247 | .333 | .440 | 106 | 0.8 | .189 | .271 | .323 | 61 | -0.9 |
Cam Cannon | .268 | .314 | .381 | 87 | 0.8 | .207 | .257 | .285 | 47 | -0.8 |
Christian Koss | .268 | .311 | .429 | 97 | 1.1 | .215 | .258 | .327 | 59 | -1.1 |
Jeter Downs | .240 | .315 | .426 | 99 | 1.1 | .185 | .260 | .314 | 58 | -1.0 |
Jaylin Davis | .247 | .324 | .424 | 99 | 0.9 | .192 | .270 | .322 | 61 | -1.0 |
Matthew Lugo | .261 | .304 | .412 | 90 | 1.0 | .213 | .255 | .317 | 55 | -1.3 |
Wilyer Abreu | .247 | .338 | .407 | 98 | 0.8 | .194 | .285 | .309 | 61 | -1.4 |
Deivy Grullón | .257 | .311 | .453 | 103 | 0.6 | .192 | .246 | .331 | 58 | -1.0 |
Corey Rosier | .255 | .335 | .393 | 94 | 0.7 | .199 | .279 | .295 | 56 | -1.3 |
Kole Cottam | .259 | .323 | .407 | 93 | 0.4 | .199 | .265 | .300 | 54 | -1.0 |
Caleb Hamilton | .234 | .329 | .406 | 97 | 0.6 | .170 | .263 | .298 | 53 | -1.0 |
Tyler Dearden | .252 | .333 | .417 | 99 | 0.3 | .200 | .277 | .319 | 62 | -1.5 |
Roberto Ramos | .239 | .325 | .426 | 99 | 0.2 | .178 | .266 | .317 | 58 | -1.4 |
Wil Dalton | .226 | .290 | .378 | 78 | 0.1 | .167 | .228 | .279 | 36 | -1.4 |
Joe Davis | .269 | .307 | .446 | 100 | 0.4 | .208 | .245 | .338 | 57 | -1.5 |
Hudson Potts | .249 | .293 | .426 | 90 | 0.2 | .193 | .239 | .325 | 51 | -1.6 |
Izzy Wilson | .246 | .314 | .421 | 96 | 0.3 | .185 | .252 | .316 | 55 | -1.6 |
Pedro Castellanos | .277 | .315 | .435 | 99 | 0.3 | .225 | .264 | .341 | 63 | -1.8 |
Tyler Esplin | .241 | .305 | .340 | 74 | -0.2 | .184 | .247 | .250 | 38 | -1.3 |
Blaze Jordan | .280 | .326 | .436 | 102 | 0.3 | .226 | .274 | .336 | 66 | -2.0 |
Tyler McDonough | .230 | .287 | .346 | 70 | 0.2 | .177 | .238 | .258 | 35 | -1.8 |
Nick Decker | .205 | .287 | .353 | 71 | -0.4 | .147 | .229 | .251 | 31 | -1.9 |
Alex Erro | .257 | .311 | .337 | 75 | -0.8 | .199 | .254 | .259 | 39 | -2.0 |
Gilberto Jimenez | .252 | .279 | .348 | 69 | -0.7 | .203 | .233 | .276 | 38 | -2.4 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Whitlock | R | 27 | 5 | 3 | 3.44 | 35 | 8 | 83.7 | 76 | 32 | 9 | 19 | 86 |
Joely Rodríguez | L | 31 | 3 | 2 | 3.61 | 48 | 0 | 42.3 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 46 |
John Schreiber | R | 29 | 6 | 3 | 3.67 | 59 | 2 | 68.7 | 62 | 28 | 7 | 25 | 72 |
Nathan Eovaldi | R | 33 | 7 | 4 | 3.86 | 24 | 23 | 123.7 | 125 | 53 | 16 | 28 | 122 |
Josh Taylor | L | 30 | 2 | 1 | 3.94 | 52 | 2 | 45.7 | 44 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 49 |
Chris Sale | L | 34 | 5 | 4 | 3.95 | 16 | 16 | 82.0 | 75 | 36 | 11 | 24 | 101 |
Brayan Bello | R | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3.99 | 29 | 26 | 135.3 | 131 | 60 | 14 | 52 | 140 |
James Paxton | L | 34 | 10 | 8 | 4.05 | 25 | 25 | 126.7 | 121 | 57 | 18 | 46 | 141 |
Tanner Houck | R | 27 | 6 | 5 | 4.14 | 31 | 12 | 82.7 | 76 | 38 | 10 | 32 | 88 |
James Norwood | R | 29 | 2 | 2 | 4.19 | 40 | 0 | 43.0 | 40 | 20 | 5 | 22 | 51 |
Matt Barnes | R | 33 | 4 | 3 | 4.27 | 51 | 2 | 46.3 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 22 | 52 |
Brandon Walter | L | 26 | 5 | 5 | 4.28 | 22 | 13 | 82.0 | 82 | 39 | 11 | 23 | 76 |
Zack Kelly | R | 28 | 5 | 4 | 4.32 | 44 | 2 | 58.3 | 54 | 28 | 7 | 26 | 64 |
Matt Strahm | L | 31 | 5 | 4 | 4.37 | 42 | 5 | 59.7 | 59 | 29 | 9 | 15 | 63 |
Oddanier Mosqueda | L | 24 | 4 | 3 | 4.39 | 42 | 0 | 53.3 | 49 | 26 | 6 | 25 | 55 |
Kaleb Ort | R | 31 | 3 | 3 | 4.42 | 51 | 0 | 55.0 | 52 | 27 | 6 | 27 | 60 |
Ryan Fernandez | R | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4.43 | 30 | 0 | 42.7 | 45 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 39 |
Ryan Brasier | R | 35 | 2 | 1 | 4.50 | 53 | 0 | 48.0 | 49 | 24 | 7 | 13 | 47 |
Eduard Bazardo | R | 27 | 3 | 3 | 4.52 | 42 | 3 | 65.7 | 67 | 33 | 9 | 23 | 57 |
Taylor Broadway | R | 26 | 3 | 3 | 4.58 | 41 | 0 | 53.0 | 53 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 50 |
Brendan Nail | L | 27 | 2 | 3 | 4.62 | 36 | 0 | 39.0 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 19 | 39 |
Hirokazu Sawamura | R | 35 | 1 | 2 | 4.63 | 47 | 0 | 46.7 | 45 | 24 | 6 | 26 | 42 |
Chase Shugart | R | 26 | 5 | 6 | 4.64 | 34 | 10 | 77.7 | 87 | 40 | 10 | 23 | 54 |
Nick Pivetta | R | 30 | 9 | 9 | 4.64 | 30 | 28 | 151.3 | 148 | 78 | 23 | 60 | 149 |
Kutter Crawford | R | 27 | 5 | 5 | 4.72 | 23 | 16 | 89.7 | 92 | 47 | 14 | 33 | 89 |
Brian Van Belle | R | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4.72 | 24 | 21 | 116.3 | 135 | 61 | 18 | 23 | 75 |
Thomas Pannone | L | 29 | 5 | 6 | 4.73 | 21 | 14 | 83.7 | 90 | 44 | 11 | 25 | 65 |
Connor Seabold | R | 27 | 5 | 6 | 4.74 | 21 | 20 | 87.3 | 91 | 46 | 12 | 26 | 76 |
Michael Wacha | R | 31 | 5 | 5 | 4.75 | 23 | 21 | 110.0 | 118 | 58 | 19 | 33 | 94 |
Darwinzon Hernandez | L | 26 | 2 | 3 | 4.78 | 35 | 7 | 49.0 | 41 | 26 | 5 | 33 | 63 |
Andrew Politi | R | 27 | 4 | 4 | 4.81 | 37 | 6 | 63.7 | 63 | 34 | 9 | 30 | 63 |
Brian Keller | R | 29 | 4 | 5 | 4.81 | 26 | 17 | 86.0 | 84 | 46 | 11 | 48 | 82 |
Tyler Danish | R | 28 | 3 | 3 | 4.82 | 35 | 1 | 52.3 | 55 | 28 | 7 | 18 | 45 |
Chris Murphy | L | 25 | 7 | 8 | 4.86 | 25 | 24 | 122.3 | 127 | 66 | 17 | 56 | 104 |
Victor Santos | R | 22 | 7 | 8 | 4.86 | 26 | 22 | 127.7 | 137 | 69 | 18 | 37 | 88 |
Jeurys Familia | R | 33 | 3 | 3 | 4.89 | 46 | 0 | 42.3 | 45 | 23 | 5 | 21 | 41 |
Durbin Feltman | R | 26 | 4 | 4 | 4.91 | 39 | 0 | 47.7 | 48 | 26 | 7 | 22 | 45 |
Josh Winckowski | R | 25 | 7 | 9 | 4.92 | 24 | 23 | 115.3 | 127 | 63 | 17 | 40 | 84 |
Thad Ward | R | 26 | 2 | 1 | 4.94 | 15 | 15 | 54.7 | 54 | 30 | 9 | 23 | 54 |
Dan Altavilla | R | 30 | 2 | 3 | 4.94 | 25 | 0 | 23.7 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 27 |
Shane Drohan | L | 24 | 6 | 7 | 4.95 | 25 | 24 | 107.3 | 114 | 59 | 15 | 50 | 91 |
Bryan Mata | R | 24 | 5 | 6 | 4.96 | 22 | 19 | 85.3 | 84 | 47 | 12 | 44 | 85 |
Rich Hill | L | 43 | 6 | 7 | 4.97 | 24 | 24 | 114.0 | 120 | 63 | 21 | 37 | 99 |
Geoff Hartlieb | R | 29 | 3 | 4 | 4.97 | 36 | 2 | 50.7 | 53 | 28 | 6 | 25 | 46 |
Hansel Robles | R | 32 | 2 | 3 | 4.99 | 51 | 1 | 48.7 | 48 | 27 | 7 | 24 | 45 |
Kyle Hart | L | 30 | 6 | 7 | 5.00 | 22 | 14 | 86.3 | 95 | 48 | 12 | 39 | 63 |
Darin Gillies | R | 30 | 2 | 2 | 5.09 | 29 | 1 | 35.3 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 31 |
Franklin German | R | 25 | 4 | 5 | 5.17 | 33 | 8 | 62.7 | 65 | 36 | 10 | 29 | 57 |
Dylan Spacke | R | 25 | 3 | 3 | 5.22 | 29 | 4 | 58.7 | 64 | 34 | 9 | 29 | 46 |
Sterling Sharp | R | 28 | 4 | 4 | 5.22 | 21 | 17 | 81.0 | 92 | 47 | 11 | 37 | 56 |
Dominic LoBrutto | L | 27 | 1 | 2 | 5.23 | 25 | 0 | 31.0 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 22 |
Yusniel Padron-Artiles | R | 25 | 5 | 7 | 5.25 | 23 | 17 | 97.7 | 113 | 57 | 18 | 31 | 74 |
Rio Gomez | L | 28 | 1 | 2 | 5.30 | 25 | 1 | 35.7 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 16 | 32 |
Taylor Cole | R | 33 | 2 | 3 | 5.31 | 31 | 3 | 40.7 | 45 | 24 | 5 | 23 | 35 |
Jacob Wallace | R | 24 | 4 | 4 | 5.36 | 44 | 0 | 48.7 | 45 | 29 | 7 | 33 | 53 |
Brett Kennedy | R | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5.43 | 22 | 12 | 64.7 | 73 | 39 | 9 | 29 | 44 |
Michael Gettys | R | 27 | 2 | 3 | 5.45 | 37 | 0 | 39.7 | 48 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 20 |
Ryan Zeferjahn | R | 25 | 3 | 4 | 5.46 | 28 | 8 | 57.7 | 63 | 35 | 9 | 27 | 48 |
Chih-Jung Liu | R | 24 | 5 | 8 | 5.71 | 22 | 19 | 86.7 | 98 | 55 | 16 | 41 | 68 |
Brendan Cellucci | L | 25 | 2 | 4 | 5.72 | 40 | 8 | 50.3 | 50 | 32 | 7 | 40 | 51 |
Wyatt Olds | R | 23 | 5 | 7 | 5.79 | 24 | 23 | 98.0 | 98 | 63 | 12 | 61 | 87 |
Cody Scroggins | R | 26 | 1 | 2 | 6.18 | 38 | 0 | 43.7 | 46 | 30 | 7 | 31 | 37 |
Player | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Whitlock | 9.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.5% | 25.1% | .296 | 131 | 3.25 | 76 | 2.1 |
Joely Rodríguez | 9.8 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 9.2% | 24.9% | .333 | 125 | 3.11 | 80 | 0.5 |
John Schreiber | 9.4 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 8.6% | 24.7% | .299 | 123 | 3.60 | 81 | 1.3 |
Nathan Eovaldi | 8.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5.4% | 23.5% | .311 | 117 | 3.64 | 85 | 2.1 |
Josh Taylor | 9.7 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 9.0% | 24.6% | .315 | 115 | 3.74 | 87 | 0.5 |
Chris Sale | 11.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 7.0% | 29.6% | .314 | 114 | 3.57 | 87 | 1.4 |
Brayan Bello | 9.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 8.8% | 23.8% | .313 | 113 | 3.67 | 88 | 2.2 |
James Paxton | 10.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 8.4% | 25.8% | .308 | 112 | 3.91 | 90 | 1.9 |
Tanner Houck | 9.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 9.0% | 24.8% | .299 | 109 | 4.12 | 92 | 1.4 |
James Norwood | 10.7 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 11.4% | 26.4% | .318 | 108 | 3.90 | 93 | 0.3 |
Matt Barnes | 10.1 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 10.6% | 25.0% | .311 | 106 | 4.21 | 95 | 0.6 |
Brandon Walter | 8.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 6.6% | 21.7% | .302 | 105 | 4.14 | 95 | 1.2 |
Zack Kelly | 9.9 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 10.2% | 25.0% | .305 | 105 | 4.06 | 96 | 0.4 |
Matt Strahm | 9.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 6.0% | 25.1% | .309 | 103 | 3.96 | 97 | 0.7 |
Oddanier Mosqueda | 9.3 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 10.8% | 23.7% | .299 | 103 | 4.24 | 97 | 0.2 |
Kaleb Ort | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 11.2% | 24.8% | .313 | 102 | 4.08 | 98 | 0.3 |
Ryan Fernandez | 8.2 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 7.1% | 21.2% | .306 | 102 | 4.44 | 98 | 0.2 |
Ryan Brasier | 8.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6.4% | 23.0% | .309 | 100 | 4.03 | 100 | 0.2 |
Eduard Bazardo | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 8.0% | 19.9% | .301 | 100 | 4.39 | 100 | 0.4 |
Taylor Broadway | 8.5 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 7.6% | 21.2% | .295 | 98 | 4.49 | 102 | 0.1 |
Brendan Nail | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 11.0% | 22.5% | .306 | 98 | 4.44 | 102 | 0.1 |
Hirokazu Sawamura | 8.1 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 12.1% | 19.5% | .291 | 98 | 4.76 | 102 | 0.1 |
Chase Shugart | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 6.7% | 15.8% | .308 | 97 | 4.48 | 103 | 0.7 |
Nick Pivetta | 8.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 9.1% | 22.6% | .298 | 97 | 4.45 | 103 | 1.6 |
Kutter Crawford | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 8.4% | 22.8% | .310 | 96 | 4.44 | 104 | 0.8 |
Brian Van Belle | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4.5% | 14.8% | .306 | 96 | 4.55 | 105 | 1.2 |
Thomas Pannone | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 6.9% | 17.9% | .305 | 95 | 4.31 | 105 | 0.9 |
Connor Seabold | 7.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 6.9% | 20.1% | .305 | 95 | 4.40 | 105 | 0.9 |
Michael Wacha | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6.9% | 19.7% | .303 | 95 | 4.67 | 105 | 1.0 |
Darwinzon Hernandez | 11.6 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 14.8% | 28.3% | .308 | 95 | 4.36 | 106 | 0.4 |
Andrew Politi | 8.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 10.6% | 22.2% | .303 | 94 | 4.61 | 106 | 0.4 |
Brian Keller | 8.6 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 12.4% | 21.2% | .300 | 94 | 4.76 | 107 | 0.8 |
Tyler Danish | 7.7 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 7.9% | 19.7% | .308 | 94 | 4.38 | 107 | 0.1 |
Chris Murphy | 7.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 10.3% | 19.2% | .302 | 93 | 4.80 | 108 | 1.2 |
Victor Santos | 6.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 6.8% | 16.1% | .295 | 93 | 4.62 | 108 | 1.1 |
Jeurys Familia | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 10.9% | 21.4% | .325 | 92 | 4.38 | 108 | 0.0 |
Durbin Feltman | 8.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 10.2% | 20.8% | .301 | 92 | 4.62 | 109 | 0.0 |
Josh Winckowski | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 7.9% | 16.6% | .303 | 92 | 4.76 | 109 | 1.0 |
Thad Ward | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 9.5% | 22.4% | .298 | 91 | 4.85 | 109 | 0.4 |
Dan Altavilla | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 13.1% | 25.2% | .295 | 91 | 4.55 | 109 | 0.0 |
Shane Drohan | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 10.3% | 18.8% | .307 | 91 | 4.76 | 110 | 0.9 |
Bryan Mata | 9.0 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 11.5% | 22.1% | .304 | 91 | 4.82 | 110 | 0.7 |
Rich Hill | 7.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 7.5% | 20.1% | .296 | 91 | 5.00 | 110 | 0.9 |
Geoff Hartlieb | 8.2 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 10.7% | 19.7% | .315 | 91 | 4.53 | 110 | 0.1 |
Hansel Robles | 8.3 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 11.1% | 20.7% | .295 | 90 | 4.78 | 111 | 0.0 |
Kyle Hart | 6.6 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 10.1% | 16.2% | .305 | 90 | 5.10 | 111 | 0.7 |
Darin Gillies | 7.9 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 11.1% | 19.1% | .314 | 89 | 4.85 | 113 | -0.1 |
Franklin German | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 10.2% | 20.1% | .302 | 87 | 4.99 | 114 | 0.2 |
Dylan Spacke | 7.1 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 10.9% | 17.2% | .304 | 87 | 5.32 | 116 | 0.0 |
Sterling Sharp | 6.2 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 9.9% | 15.1% | .309 | 86 | 5.05 | 116 | 0.4 |
Dominic LoBrutto | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 7.9% | 15.7% | .310 | 86 | 5.09 | 116 | -0.1 |
Yusniel Padron-Artiles | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 7.2% | 17.2% | .309 | 86 | 5.11 | 116 | 0.5 |
Rio Gomez | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 9.9% | 19.9% | .308 | 85 | 5.06 | 117 | -0.1 |
Taylor Cole | 7.7 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 12.2% | 18.5% | .323 | 85 | 4.87 | 118 | 0.0 |
Jacob Wallace | 9.8 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 14.5% | 23.2% | .297 | 84 | 5.25 | 119 | -0.2 |
Brett Kennedy | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 9.8% | 14.9% | .306 | 83 | 5.18 | 120 | 0.2 |
Michael Gettys | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 9.3% | 10.9% | .304 | 83 | 5.55 | 121 | -0.3 |
Ryan Zeferjahn | 7.5 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 10.2% | 18.1% | .309 | 83 | 5.18 | 121 | 0.0 |
Chih-Jung Liu | 7.1 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 10.3% | 17.0% | .307 | 79 | 5.51 | 126 | 0.1 |
Brendan Cellucci | 9.1 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 16.3% | 20.7% | .307 | 79 | 5.56 | 127 | -0.2 |
Wyatt Olds | 8.0 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 13.3% | 19.0% | .301 | 78 | 5.57 | 128 | 0.0 |
Cody Scroggins | 7.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 14.8% | 17.6% | .300 | 73 | 6.08 | 137 | -0.6 |
Player | Pit Comp 1 | Pit Comp 2 | Pit Comp 3 | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Whitlock | John Brebbia | Matt Capps | Chris Devenski | 2.7 | 1.2 | 2.81 | 4.37 |
Joely Rodríguez | Phil Coke | Taylor Phillips | Dennis Kinney | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.92 | 4.46 |
John Schreiber | Todd Frohwirth | Manny Sarmiento | Mike Perez | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.92 | 4.70 |
Nathan Eovaldi | Larry Jansen | Carlos Carrasco | Shane Reynolds | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3.30 | 4.45 |
Josh Taylor | Ken Dayley | Gary Lucas | Darold Knowles | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 5.24 |
Chris Sale | Teddy Higuera | John Candelaria | Preacher Roe | 2.0 | 0.6 | 3.22 | 5.04 |
Brayan Bello | Dean Chance | Freddy Garcia | Floyd Wooldridge | 2.9 | 1.2 | 3.54 | 4.71 |
James Paxton | Jerry Koosman | Chuck Finley | Mark Langston | 2.7 | 0.8 | 3.46 | 4.84 |
Tanner Houck | Jeff Robinson | Hank Behrman | Wes Stock | 2.0 | 0.6 | 3.47 | 5.10 |
James Norwood | David Holdridge | Jason Boyd | Julio Parra | 0.6 | -0.1 | 3.39 | 5.17 |
Matt Barnes | Mike Williams | Jeff Parrett | Curt Leskanic | 1.1 | -0.1 | 3.41 | 5.75 |
Brandon Walter | Larry Gura | Joe Crawford | Pat Underwood | 1.7 | 0.5 | 3.64 | 5.00 |
Zack Kelly | George Culver | Tony Menendez | Roy Thomas | 1.0 | -0.2 | 3.60 | 5.24 |
Matt Strahm | Dan Schatzeder | Tom Hilgendorf | Glen Perkins | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.36 | 5.41 |
Oddanier Mosqueda | Don Eddy | Efrain Valdez | Tim Lollar | 0.7 | -0.2 | 3.69 | 5.17 |
Kaleb Ort | Ted Power | Paul Wilmet | Clint Davis | 0.8 | -0.2 | 3.58 | 5.19 |
Ryan Fernandez | Jeff Taglienti | Bobby Korecky | Jerome Gamble | 0.5 | -0.2 | 3.64 | 5.25 |
Ryan Brasier | Matt Whiteside | Jerry Spradlin | Earl Harrist | 0.6 | -0.3 | 3.62 | 5.64 |
Eduard Bazardo | Gene Garber | Jeff Darwin | C.B. Beringer | 0.9 | -0.1 | 3.84 | 5.41 |
Taylor Broadway | Kyle Martin | Dan Chergey | Jordan Conley | 0.6 | -0.3 | 3.83 | 5.30 |
Brendan Nail | Felix Heredia | Royce Ring | John Morris | 0.5 | -0.2 | 3.81 | 5.50 |
Hirokazu Sawamura | Jose Valverde | Santiago Casilla | Turk Wendell | 0.5 | -0.4 | 3.69 | 5.90 |
Chase Shugart | Jim Tracy | Chad Jenkins | Mike Tucker | 1.2 | 0.3 | 4.08 | 5.21 |
Nick Pivetta | Kevin Gross | Dave Stewart | Steve Renko | 2.5 | 0.4 | 4.12 | 5.43 |
Kutter Crawford | Glen Cook | Sergio Valdez | Ryan Sheldon | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4.09 | 5.45 |
Brian Van Belle | Joe Gunkel | Josh Geer | Jose Lizondro | 1.9 | 0.6 | 4.13 | 5.30 |
Thomas Pannone | Paul Kilgus | Brian Duensing | David Huff | 1.3 | 0.2 | 4.22 | 5.51 |
Connor Seabold | Rod Nichols | Grady Wood | Mike Brown | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4.05 | 5.52 |
Michael Wacha | Pat Dobson | Jason Hammel | Marty Pattin | 1.7 | 0.1 | 4.15 | 5.51 |
Darwinzon Hernandez | Jace Fry | Ryan Buchter | Danny Coulombe | 0.9 | -0.2 | 3.93 | 5.79 |
Andrew Politi | Jason Arnold | Kane Davis | Joey Williamson | 0.9 | -0.1 | 4.20 | 5.66 |
Brian Keller | Sam Deduno | Fred Holdsworth | Bob Long | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4.17 | 5.51 |
Tyler Danish | Justin Pope | Brandon Agamennone | Brian Smith | 0.5 | -0.2 | 4.08 | 5.61 |
Chris Murphy | Shawn Morimando | Eric Jokisch | Adam Conley | 2.0 | 0.3 | 4.24 | 5.49 |
Victor Santos | Rick Porcello | Peter Lambert | Ariel Jurado | 1.9 | 0.3 | 4.29 | 5.57 |
Jeurys Familia | Victor Marte | Javy Guerra | Jason Bullard | 0.3 | -0.4 | 4.22 | 5.79 |
Durbin Feltman | Gene Stechschulte | Seth Garrison | John Lamb | 0.2 | -0.4 | 4.27 | 5.53 |
Josh Winckowski | Shaun Anderson | Braden Shipley | Cody Anderson | 1.6 | 0.2 | 4.43 | 5.54 |
Thad Ward | Monty Stratton | Mel Stottlemyre | Steve Taylor | 0.8 | 0.0 | 4.33 | 5.69 |
Dan Altavilla | George Smith | Jesse Hickman | Reggie Harris | 0.2 | -0.3 | 4.06 | 6.37 |
Shane Drohan | Jim Shellenback | Dave Owen | Jim Crowell | 1.6 | 0.2 | 4.42 | 5.61 |
Bryan Mata | Scott Scudder | Tommy Moore | Ben Rivera | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.31 | 5.63 |
Rich Hill | CC Sabathia | Fritz Ostermueller | George Mogridge | 1.5 | 0.1 | 4.30 | 5.98 |
Geoff Hartlieb | Josh Rupe | Jorge Rondon | Robert Stickels | 0.5 | -0.4 | 4.25 | 5.85 |
Hansel Robles | Jesus Colome | Dalier Hinojosa | Dyar Miller | 0.5 | -0.6 | 4.16 | 6.25 |
Kyle Hart | Bob Buchanan | Josh Muecke | Jonathon Rouwenhorst | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.54 | 5.75 |
Darin Gillies | Steve Mintz | Erik Bennett | Jon Hunton | 0.2 | -0.4 | 4.37 | 6.02 |
Franklin German | Dave Stevens | Miguel Celestino | Byron Ballard | 0.6 | -0.3 | 4.61 | 5.83 |
Dylan Spacke | Ryan Arrowood | Tom Lovrich | Jose Paredes | 0.4 | -0.4 | 4.71 | 5.87 |
Sterling Sharp | Murphy Smith | Tom Edens | Brooks Brown | 0.9 | -0.1 | 4.80 | 5.94 |
Dominic LoBrutto | Robert Butkus | Peter Durkovic | Jeff Huber | 0.1 | -0.3 | 4.58 | 5.87 |
Yusniel Padron-Artiles | Scott Lawrence | Chuck Stanhope | Ryan Douglass | 1.2 | -0.1 | 4.66 | 5.93 |
Rio Gomez | Fernando Figueroa | Pete Cappadona | Mike Gray | 0.2 | -0.4 | 4.59 | 6.14 |
Taylor Cole | Brian Williams | Hal Reniff | Oswaldo Verdugo | 0.3 | -0.4 | 4.49 | 6.45 |
Jacob Wallace | Frank Snook | Barry Jones | Andres Berumen | 0.2 | -0.7 | 4.64 | 6.33 |
Brett Kennedy | Joel Navarro | Guadalupe Perez | Douglas Gentry | 0.6 | -0.3 | 4.94 | 6.09 |
Michael Gettys | Keith Spicer | Rafael Rodriguez | Guillermo Carrillo | -0.1 | -0.5 | 4.99 | 6.02 |
Ryan Zeferjahn | Quinn Marsh | Amalio Carreno | Wander Suero | 0.4 | -0.3 | 4.85 | 6.15 |
Chih-Jung Liu | Richie Leblanc | Pete Walker | James Avery | 0.5 | -0.4 | 5.29 | 6.38 |
Brendan Cellucci | Andrew Faulkner | Kelton Russell | Arthur Siefert | 0.3 | -0.7 | 5.00 | 6.77 |
Wyatt Olds | Dave Masters | Larry Lamonde | Matt Maysey | 0.5 | -0.8 | 5.35 | 6.64 |
Cody Scroggins | Jonathan Garcia | Felix Villegas | Nefi Ogando | -0.3 | -1.0 | 5.53 | 7.19 |
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2023 due to injury, and players who were released in 2022. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Norwegian Death Dixieland Bubblegum Ska-Funk band, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.22, above 2022’s level of offense but lower than other years. Pitchers who appear to have a fairly definite change in the majors from start-to-relief or vice-versa from these projections will receive reconfigured updates in the spring.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Great way to start a Monday! Looking forward to the rest of the projections, Dan!