2024 ZiPS Projections: Los Angeles Angels

For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Los Angeles Angels.

Batters

Let’s get the good news out of the way first: The 2023 Angels, at 73–89, finished with far fewer wins than you would expect from the available talent. This year, they ought to get a full slate of games from Zach Neto, whom ZiPS likes very much and sees significant growth from, and Nolan Schanuel, whom both ZiPS and Steamer like going forward. It’s also likely that Logan O’Hoppe, recovered from a torn labrum that required surgery, beats his 51 games played last season. Even Anthony Rendon has a chance to be significantly healthier in 2024. Mike Trout only managed 82 games last season, and while we should no longer be bullish about his health, he certainly has a fighter’s chance at playing more often. ZiPS thinks Michael Stefanic would be a good stopgap option at second — kind of the Angels’ version of peak Joey Wendle, if they let him play 120 games and see what happens. I’d be tempted to go with Stefanic at second, Luis Rengifo at third, and then Rendon as the primary DH until he shows that he can actually remain healthy, leaving Brandon Drury in a kind of supersub role.

But now we have the bad news: The 2023 Angels may have played under their abilities, but that team also had Shohei Ohtani, so the loss of that production will cancel out a good chunk of the bounceback. The depth chart doesn’t look so bad, but it’s also paper-thin, with ZiPS having little faith in most of the emergency fill-ins. O’Hoppe’s contributions get held back by Matt Thaiss, and the numbers at first take a hit from the projected playing time for Drury and Evan White.

Also, help isn’t on the way with one noticeable exception: Kyren Paris, one of only seven hitters in the entire organization that projects to at least five WAR over the next five years (and all of them have already been mentioned). ZiPS agrees with my colleague Eric Longenhagen, who has the Angels with baseball’s worst farm system. That’s a big issue for a disappointing team that has to replace a generational talent.

Pitchers

ZiPS doesn’t see the rotation as a serious problem, but it doesn’t see it as a notable strength, either. Reid Detmers, Patrick Sandoval, and Griffin Canning are a relatively dependable top three and are all competent innings-eaters, but the computer doesn’t see much high-end upside, and neither do I. ZiPS projects a better season coming up from Tyler Anderson, whom I always overrate because his delivery destroys my timing in MLB: The Show, but it’s not like he’s going to wake up tomorrow and become Tom Glavine. And while ZiPS likes Chase Silseth fine and thinks that there’s a bigger number of capable emergency fill-ins should the Angels get hit by the injury bug again, there’s just not a lot of high potential or pizazz there.

The bullpen, on the other hand, looks like a disaster if you buy what ZiPS is selling. Not a single projected reliever has an ERA on the good side of four. Most of this group is in their 30s, and two of the actually young options, José Soriano and Ben Joyce, have walk issues to iron out.

Right now, the Angels look like a .500 team, which is actually a significant step up from last season. But the ceiling of this group is low without the benefit of the floor being high. Unless they make some huge moves on the dwindling crop left out there in free agency, I’m not sure how you get a 95-win season out of this team.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Mike Trout R 32 CF 382 323 58 83 17 1 21 60 51 107 2 1
Logan O’Hoppe R 24 C 397 347 49 89 11 1 21 56 40 84 2 2
Zach Neto R 23 SS 365 316 51 78 17 0 13 47 28 86 6 1
Michael Stefanic R 28 2B 510 451 55 123 17 1 6 53 46 56 4 4
Taylor Ward R 30 LF 438 383 63 101 22 1 16 55 45 93 4 2
Nolan Schanuel L 22 1B 467 400 72 102 19 2 16 56 58 82 2 1
Luis Rengifo B 27 2B 491 446 58 115 18 4 14 58 36 88 7 4
Gio Urshela R 32 3B 392 364 42 102 18 2 10 46 22 72 2 1
Charles Leblanc R 28 2B 422 378 48 89 16 3 12 54 40 130 4 2
Trey Cabbage L 27 1B 476 434 58 101 19 2 22 72 34 184 15 2
Brandon Drury R 31 2B 491 453 56 111 25 2 19 70 28 123 1 2
Anthony Rendon R 34 3B 233 198 27 52 12 0 6 28 28 38 1 1
C.J. Cron R 34 1B 434 390 52 95 18 1 18 59 34 115 0 1
Kyren Paris R 22 SS 558 486 69 101 21 2 11 57 60 186 25 3
Mickey Moniak L 26 CF 448 421 50 100 18 5 18 58 20 140 6 3
Taylor Jones R 30 3B 311 277 40 63 16 0 9 38 28 85 2 1
Jo Adell R 25 RF 448 408 58 93 19 2 22 67 32 149 6 2
Kevin Padlo R 27 3B 420 373 51 81 18 1 12 46 41 125 6 2
Brett Phillips L 30 CF 339 291 44 53 7 3 10 34 39 137 10 2
Matt Thaiss L 29 C 371 322 42 71 12 1 10 40 42 93 2 1
Eduardo Escobar B 35 3B 429 396 48 93 16 4 15 52 29 102 1 1
Evan White R 28 1B 163 148 19 32 6 0 7 23 13 49 1 1
Gustavo Campero B 26 C 232 211 29 47 11 2 5 30 14 54 9 3
Randal Grichuk R 32 LF 486 451 58 109 21 2 16 55 28 113 2 2
Jared Oliva R 28 RF 352 322 42 75 15 4 6 40 22 93 12 4
Mike Moustakas L 35 3B 331 300 33 69 15 0 10 36 22 81 1 1
Livan Soto L 24 SS 516 462 54 100 15 3 6 45 45 137 4 3
Zach Humphreys R 26 C 258 226 27 48 10 1 3 23 26 71 5 3
Chris Okey R 29 C 224 205 21 45 6 2 4 22 13 64 1 1
Willie Calhoun L 29 RF 293 264 32 66 11 1 8 34 25 42 0 1
David Calabrese L 21 CF 544 491 56 97 19 4 9 49 45 181 9 5
Chad Wallach R 32 C 291 260 27 51 9 1 8 30 25 93 1 1
Eric Wagaman R 26 1B 236 216 22 49 9 1 6 24 17 60 4 1
Adrian Placencia B 21 2B 547 478 61 94 17 2 11 51 58 194 12 7
Bryce Teodosio R 25 CF 413 376 41 71 13 1 7 41 27 167 10 5
Jordyn Adams R 24 CF 494 450 56 94 15 4 9 48 35 167 24 4
Gabe Matthews L 26 1B 422 363 39 72 15 0 10 48 45 140 1 1
Daniel Murphy L 39 1B 182 168 18 41 7 0 2 15 13 29 0 1
Jared Walsh L 30 1B 427 384 44 83 17 1 16 52 37 144 1 1
Aaron Whitefield R 27 LF 348 319 38 65 11 2 5 32 24 124 17 6
Anthony Mulrine R 26 C 196 170 15 31 6 0 1 16 14 56 0 1
Jack López R 31 SS 347 323 37 70 14 2 7 37 16 109 7 3
Ryan Aguilar L 29 1B 311 270 35 47 7 1 6 30 34 125 4 1
Orlando Martinez L 26 DH 467 432 48 102 21 3 9 49 27 116 4 3
Tucker Flint L 23 RF 505 443 52 91 20 3 9 56 46 170 3 3
Kevin Maitan B 24 3B 320 295 26 57 10 1 4 29 20 118 1 1
D’Shawn Knowles B 23 CF 512 466 54 95 18 4 3 40 32 161 16 6
Myles Emmerson R 26 C 260 240 24 43 8 0 1 15 18 91 1 1
Preston Palmeiro L 29 LF 361 330 34 71 16 1 5 32 27 88 2 1
Werner Blakely L 22 3B 372 332 38 59 13 2 5 34 34 159 12 1
Arol Vera B 21 SS 570 524 57 106 15 2 4 42 29 176 8 4
Sonny DiChiara R 24 1B 318 281 23 52 9 0 4 29 28 127 0 1
Joe Stewart R 26 LF 478 448 44 93 14 3 3 40 23 154 20 5

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA RC
Mike Trout 382 .257 .366 .511 139 .254 .318 -1 2.8 .371 61
Logan O’Hoppe 397 .256 .345 .476 124 .219 .281 -7 2.1 .353 58
Zach Neto 365 .247 .338 .424 109 .177 .300 -1 1.9 .333 47
Michael Stefanic 510 .273 .352 .355 97 .082 .301 2 1.7 .316 59
Taylor Ward 438 .264 .347 .452 119 .188 .310 0 1.6 .346 62
Nolan Schanuel 467 .255 .360 .433 118 .178 .285 -2 1.5 .347 63
Luis Rengifo 491 .258 .318 .410 100 .152 .294 -1 1.4 .317 61
Gio Urshela 392 .280 .321 .423 104 .143 .326 0 1.3 .320 50
Charles Leblanc 422 .235 .313 .389 93 .153 .326 1 1.1 .307 48
Trey Cabbage 476 .233 .293 .438 98 .205 .346 4 0.9 .313 60
Brandon Drury 491 .245 .295 .435 98 .190 .296 -4 0.9 .313 59
Anthony Rendon 233 .263 .361 .414 114 .152 .299 -2 0.9 .339 30
C.J. Cron 434 .244 .313 .433 104 .190 .300 1 0.7 .321 53
Kyren Paris 558 .208 .305 .327 75 .119 .311 -4 0.6 .285 55
Mickey Moniak 448 .238 .277 .432 92 .195 .312 -2 0.5 .300 53
Taylor Jones 311 .227 .305 .383 89 .155 .295 0 0.5 .302 33
Jo Adell 448 .228 .292 .446 100 .218 .300 -2 0.5 .315 55
Kevin Padlo 420 .217 .298 .367 83 .150 .292 0 0.4 .292 43
Brett Phillips 339 .182 .283 .330 69 .148 .299 4 0.3 .274 30
Matt Thaiss 371 .220 .315 .357 86 .137 .279 -7 0.3 .298 37
Eduardo Escobar 429 .235 .287 .409 89 .174 .280 -3 0.3 .298 47
Evan White 163 .216 .288 .399 87 .182 .272 2 0.2 .299 18
Gustavo Campero 232 .223 .284 .365 78 .142 .276 -3 0.1 .282 25
Randal Grichuk 486 .242 .290 .404 89 .162 .289 1 0.1 .299 54
Jared Oliva 352 .233 .293 .360 80 .127 .309 3 0.0 .287 38
Mike Moustakas 331 .230 .287 .380 82 .150 .282 -3 -0.2 .288 33
Livan Soto 516 .216 .288 .301 63 .084 .295 1 -0.2 .265 42
Zach Humphreys 258 .212 .297 .305 67 .093 .296 -3 -0.2 .272 23
Chris Okey 224 .220 .275 .327 66 .107 .299 -2 -0.2 .266 19
Willie Calhoun 293 .250 .317 .390 94 .140 .271 -4 -0.2 .308 33
David Calabrese 544 .198 .269 .308 59 .110 .292 8 -0.2 .257 45
Chad Wallach 291 .196 .272 .331 66 .135 .270 -3 -0.3 .267 24
Eric Wagaman 236 .227 .284 .361 77 .134 .287 1 -0.3 .282 23
Adrian Placencia 547 .197 .288 .310 66 .113 .304 1 -0.4 .270 48
Bryce Teodosio 413 .189 .257 .285 50 .096 .317 8 -0.5 .244 32
Jordyn Adams 494 .209 .270 .320 63 .111 .310 0 -0.5 .261 45
Gabe Matthews 422 .198 .306 .322 74 .124 .291 2 -0.5 .284 36
Daniel Murphy 182 .244 .297 .321 71 .077 .285 0 -0.5 .275 16
Jared Walsh 427 .216 .290 .391 86 .174 .299 -2 -0.6 .294 44
Aaron Whitefield 348 .204 .261 .298 54 .094 .316 5 -0.8 .249 31
Anthony Mulrine 196 .182 .276 .235 44 .053 .265 -4 -0.8 .241 11
Jack López 347 .217 .261 .337 64 .121 .304 -6 -0.9 .260 31
Ryan Aguilar 311 .174 .277 .274 54 .100 .295 3 -0.9 .254 22
Orlando Martinez 467 .236 .282 .361 76 .125 .303 0 -1.0 .279 46
Tucker Flint 505 .205 .301 .325 73 .120 .311 -4 -1.1 .282 45
Kevin Maitan 320 .193 .253 .275 46 .081 .306 0 -1.2 .237 21
D’Shawn Knowles 512 .204 .258 .279 49 .075 .305 3 -1.3 .240 39
Myles Emmerson 260 .179 .239 .225 30 .046 .284 -2 -1.4 .213 14
Preston Palmeiro 361 .215 .277 .315 64 .100 .278 -3 -1.4 .263 30
Werner Blakely 372 .178 .263 .274 49 .096 .321 -7 -1.5 .245 27
Arol Vera 570 .202 .247 .261 41 .059 .297 2 -1.8 .228 37
Sonny DiChiara 318 .185 .274 .260 49 .075 .320 -5 -2.0 .246 20
Joe Stewart 478 .208 .255 .272 46 .065 .309 0 -2.2 .236 37

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Mike Trout Pedro Guerrero Jeff Heath Mickey Mantle
Logan O’Hoppe Mickey Cochrane Dave Valle Craig Biggio
Zach Neto Andy Beinbrink Trevor Sealey Wil Cordero
Michael Stefanic Ted Sizemore Marty Barrett Matt Duffy
Taylor Ward Eric Tipton Harry Rice Irv Noren
Nolan Schanuel Daric Barton Logan Morrison Elbie Fletcher
Luis Rengifo Kolten Wong Hughie Critz William Huisman
Gio Urshela Ramon Conde T.J. Rivera Miguel de la Hoz
Charles Leblanc Josh Fields Mike Derrick Frank Grundler
Trey Cabbage Donn Clendenon Carlos Peguero 페게로 Jose Vidal
Brandon Drury Russell Kerns Jeff Kent Tim Wallach
Anthony Rendon Mike Sharperson Heinie Groh Eric Campbell
C.J. Cron Corey Hart Ryan Ludwick Alan Knicely
Kyren Paris Cesar Crespo Brent Lillibridge Geronimo Pena
Mickey Moniak Al Martin마틴 Melky Mesa Adolis García
Taylor Jones Keith Ginter Adam Heether Bobby Etheridge
Jo Adell J.J. Davis Casper Wells Dave Arrington
Kevin Padlo Vic Ramirez Tom Lombarski Kevin Randel
Brett Phillips Bob Montag Jed Hansen Louie Meadows
Matt Thaiss Lou Berberet Tim Blackwell Joe Nolan
Eduardo Escobar Jim Morrison Art Fletcher Scott Spiezio
Evan White Wayne Tyrone Todd Trafton Wayne Belardi
Gustavo Campero Marty Pevey Choo-Choo Coleman Bruce Kimm
Randal Grichuk Jim McKnight Jerald Clark Les Layton
Jared Oliva McKay Christensen Adam Stern Ángel Pagán
Mike Moustakas Mike Pagliarulo Geoff Blum Harvey Storey
Livan Soto Ramón Vázquez Frank Baker Al Moran
Zach Humphreys Kevin Dultz Jeff Farnham Dennis Pelfrey
Chris Okey Joe Kmak Kevin Butler Reynaldo Oliver
Willie Calhoun Fred Hopke Al Leboeuf Ryan Sweeney
David Calabrese Darren Riley Jason Robertson Arturo McDowell
Chad Wallach Joe Hannah Larry Howard Steve Patchin
Eric Wagaman Nate Coronado Max Oliveras Mel McGaha
Adrian Placencia Harry Chappas Marlin Methven Calvin Portley
Bryce Teodosio Trey Martin Derek Vaughn Scott Houin
Jordyn Adams Derek Hill Darren Ford Juan Tolentino
Gabe Matthews Mike Papi Danny Hayes Graham Koonce
Daniel Murphy Sean Burroughs Tim Corcoran Ross Gload
Jared Walsh Bucky Jacobsen Jeff Kipila Robert Schuster
Aaron Whitefield Casio Grider Darren Ford Greg Strickland
Anthony Mulrine Eric Brooks Sammy Rodriguez Wally Rosa
Jack López Chris Basak Pablo Martinez Kristopher Negrón
Ryan Aguilar Lawrence Stankey Sherry Robertson Randy Curtis
Orlando Martinez Otis Green Brant Brown Jeff Kindel
Tucker Flint Danny Hayes Tim Norrid Todd Self
Kevin Maitan Marco Pernalete Marty Foley Jake Daubert
D’Shawn Knowles Wayne Housie Chavez Young Juan Tolentino
Myles Emmerson Patrick Arlis Scott Maynard Jose Gonzalez
Preston Palmeiro Justin Headley Rich Aldrete Sergio Cairo
Werner Blakely Gosuke Katoh Dale Soderholm Luis Alejandro Basabe
Arol Vera Donald Furnald Jose Coronado Santiago Perez
Sonny DiChiara Eduardo Figueroa Don Gilbert Casey DeGroote
Joe Stewart Rod Lindsey Ray Kruml Pedro Zapata

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Mike Trout .280 .392 .573 161 3.8 .228 .337 .445 117 1.8
Logan O’Hoppe .281 .370 .540 147 3.1 .232 .319 .420 104 1.1
Zach Neto .273 .363 .478 130 2.8 .226 .315 .364 90 1.1
Michael Stefanic .297 .377 .394 114 2.8 .245 .324 .322 83 0.8
Taylor Ward .290 .372 .509 140 2.7 .239 .321 .405 100 0.6
Nolan Schanuel .283 .388 .486 139 2.7 .232 .336 .387 98 0.4
Luis Rengifo .284 .348 .455 118 2.6 .233 .295 .358 81 0.3
Gio Urshela .308 .351 .468 123 2.2 .252 .295 .376 87 0.5
Charles Leblanc .263 .337 .433 110 2.0 .210 .285 .344 74 0.1
Trey Cabbage .259 .325 .499 119 2.2 .200 .264 .377 73 -0.5
Brandon Drury .273 .323 .495 123 2.4 .220 .270 .381 79 -0.2
Anthony Rendon .295 .391 .467 133 1.4 .230 .327 .356 90 0.2
C.J. Cron .267 .336 .484 121 1.6 .214 .287 .378 83 -0.4
Kyren Paris .232 .331 .381 94 1.9 .185 .280 .289 60 -0.5
Mickey Moniak .263 .303 .487 111 1.6 .210 .251 .379 71 -0.7
Taylor Jones .255 .331 .429 107 1.2 .203 .276 .336 70 -0.2
Jo Adell .256 .321 .511 124 1.7 .200 .265 .387 78 -0.8
Kevin Padlo .242 .320 .417 100 1.3 .191 .273 .320 64 -0.6
Brett Phillips .211 .316 .392 92 1.3 .157 .250 .276 46 -0.5
Matt Thaiss .250 .345 .417 108 1.2 .197 .286 .303 67 -0.6
Eduardo Escobar .260 .314 .464 110 1.4 .206 .260 .353 68 -0.9
Evan White .246 .316 .458 109 0.6 .190 .259 .343 67 -0.3
Gustavo Campero .252 .313 .425 100 0.7 .196 .259 .315 60 -0.5
Randal Grichuk .269 .320 .455 111 1.4 .214 .264 .354 72 -1.0
Jared Oliva .255 .316 .406 96 0.8 .207 .266 .316 60 -0.8
Mike Moustakas .255 .314 .433 102 0.6 .202 .264 .332 63 -0.9
Livan Soto .240 .313 .338 82 1.0 .190 .262 .261 48 -1.1
Zach Humphreys .240 .330 .350 85 0.4 .184 .271 .269 49 -0.8
Chris Okey .254 .310 .393 92 0.5 .191 .249 .289 48 -0.7
Willie Calhoun .277 .346 .444 115 0.5 .226 .291 .343 76 -0.9
David Calabrese .224 .296 .354 77 0.9 .171 .241 .269 41 -1.5
Chad Wallach .224 .301 .389 84 0.4 .174 .243 .282 45 -1.0
Eric Wagaman .256 .315 .419 100 0.3 .200 .254 .314 59 -0.8
Adrian Placencia .224 .317 .364 86 0.9 .169 .263 .266 49 -1.5
Bryce Teodosio .216 .283 .330 69 0.5 .162 .231 .243 33 -1.5
Jordyn Adams .232 .295 .362 79 0.6 .182 .248 .279 46 -1.5
Gabe Matthews .227 .335 .367 92 0.5 .173 .278 .277 55 -1.5
Daniel Murphy .281 .334 .360 92 0.0 .210 .266 .277 51 -0.9
Jared Walsh .241 .315 .450 107 0.5 .190 .262 .339 66 -1.7
Aaron Whitefield .231 .287 .344 73 0.0 .175 .234 .260 37 -1.6
Anthony Mulrine .212 .310 .271 63 -0.4 .152 .248 .197 25 -1.3
Jack López .247 .291 .391 85 0.1 .192 .239 .295 47 -1.6
Ryan Aguilar .203 .310 .321 72 -0.2 .145 .247 .233 32 -1.8
Orlando Martinez .261 .306 .407 94 0.0 .209 .258 .319 59 -2.0
Tucker Flint .228 .328 .368 91 -0.1 .182 .278 .284 55 -2.3
Kevin Maitan .219 .278 .318 63 -0.5 .167 .226 .237 29 -1.8
D’Shawn Knowles .228 .281 .317 64 -0.2 .179 .235 .246 34 -2.1
Myles Emmerson .207 .271 .262 48 -0.8 .150 .212 .186 11 -2.0
Preston Palmeiro .241 .305 .357 81 -0.6 .193 .255 .287 49 -2.1
Werner Blakely .204 .291 .325 68 -0.6 .151 .242 .233 33 -2.3
Arol Vera .230 .278 .301 58 -0.6 .180 .226 .230 25 -3.0
Sonny DiChiara .208 .299 .296 64 -1.4 .157 .247 .222 31 -2.7
Joe Stewart .234 .280 .305 60 -1.3 .184 .232 .241 32 -3.1

Batters – Projected Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Mike Trout .255 .372 .500 .258 .364 .515
Logan O’Hoppe .268 .366 .484 .247 .327 .468
Zach Neto .252 .340 .455 .244 .336 .404
Michael Stefanic .270 .352 .365 .275 .351 .347
Taylor Ward .273 .363 .460 .258 .338 .447
Nolan Schanuel .241 .351 .411 .260 .363 .441
Luis Rengifo .268 .329 .433 .253 .312 .398
Gio Urshela .290 .336 .435 .275 .314 .417
Charles Leblanc .235 .319 .388 .236 .307 .389
Trey Cabbage .217 .276 .413 .241 .302 .450
Brandon Drury .252 .298 .453 .241 .294 .425
Anthony Rendon .259 .371 .431 .264 .356 .407
C.J. Cron .244 .317 .433 .243 .312 .433
Kyren Paris .206 .313 .322 .209 .298 .331
Mickey Moniak .226 .271 .419 .242 .279 .438
Taylor Jones .233 .318 .397 .224 .296 .373
Jo Adell .232 .298 .457 .225 .288 .439
Kevin Padlo .221 .308 .390 .214 .289 .348
Brett Phillips .171 .264 .303 .186 .289 .340
Matt Thaiss .214 .311 .340 .224 .317 .365
Eduardo Escobar .242 .290 .414 .231 .285 .407
Evan White .220 .303 .407 .213 .278 .393
Gustavo Campero .218 .279 .372 .226 .288 .361
Randal Grichuk .252 .305 .430 .237 .283 .390
Jared Oliva .241 .307 .387 .227 .284 .341
Mike Moustakas .229 .278 .349 .230 .290 .392
Livan Soto .205 .275 .280 .223 .295 .312
Zach Humphreys .223 .321 .319 .205 .279 .295
Chris Okey .218 .277 .345 .220 .273 .314
Willie Calhoun .243 .313 .365 .253 .319 .400
David Calabrese .192 .263 .302 .201 .272 .310
Chad Wallach .200 .285 .357 .193 .263 .310
Eric Wagaman .229 .292 .385 .225 .277 .342
Adrian Placencia .201 .296 .317 .194 .282 .304
Bryce Teodosio .195 .264 .302 .184 .252 .272
Jordyn Adams .212 .279 .328 .207 .264 .314
Gabe Matthews .187 .294 .301 .204 .312 .333
Daniel Murphy .227 .277 .273 .250 .304 .339
Jared Walsh .204 .275 .352 .221 .296 .406
Aaron Whitefield .210 .275 .315 .197 .247 .280
Anthony Mulrine .184 .279 .224 .181 .274 .245
Jack López .216 .267 .338 .217 .256 .337
Ryan Aguilar .165 .271 .243 .180 .281 .293
Orlando Martinez .225 .269 .338 .243 .289 .375
Tucker Flint .200 .299 .319 .208 .302 .328
Kevin Maitan .189 .256 .270 .197 .251 .277
D’Shawn Knowles .200 .257 .274 .207 .259 .283
Myles Emmerson .188 .255 .228 .173 .228 .223
Preston Palmeiro .217 .276 .301 .214 .278 .326
Werner Blakely .167 .256 .278 .183 .267 .272
Arol Vera .196 .248 .249 .206 .247 .270
Sonny DiChiara .186 .285 .274 .185 .266 .250
Joe Stewart .210 .265 .273 .206 .249 .272

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Patrick Sandoval L 27 9 9 4.00 27 26 141.7 135 63 17 57 142
Reid Detmers L 24 6 7 4.28 26 26 136.7 125 65 19 49 143
Griffin Canning R 28 6 7 4.37 20 19 107.0 101 52 17 37 114
Tyler Anderson L 34 6 7 4.62 25 23 132.3 134 68 21 40 118
Chase Silseth R 24 5 5 4.36 25 19 97.0 90 47 14 40 97
Kenny Rosenberg L 28 7 8 4.62 24 19 111.0 111 57 16 47 104
Brett Kerry R 25 5 7 4.79 24 20 114.7 124 61 18 40 86
José Suarez L 26 5 6 4.48 20 15 84.3 81 42 12 31 82
Davis Daniel R 27 4 5 4.61 18 16 82.0 81 42 12 30 66
Alan Rangel R 26 6 10 5.04 24 23 110.7 117 62 18 42 90
Ryan Smith L 26 4 4 4.84 22 11 74.3 77 40 11 32 62
Jack Dashwood L 26 3 3 4.62 23 5 64.3 68 33 10 19 54
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 26 4 7 5.11 24 15 91.7 98 52 15 35 71
Jake Lee R 29 2 3 4.98 29 11 77.7 88 43 13 22 53
Jake Kalish L 32 6 9 5.27 25 19 109.3 124 64 18 37 74
Andrew Wantz R 28 2 1 4.48 44 4 62.3 58 31 10 26 62
César Valdez R 39 4 6 5.21 29 15 103.7 123 60 18 25 73
Carlos Estévez R 31 4 4 4.25 60 0 55.0 47 26 8 23 63
Jhonathan Diaz L 27 4 6 5.06 32 11 83.7 85 47 12 39 70
Jack Kochanowicz R 23 4 6 5.34 21 20 87.7 100 52 14 28 50
Jose Soriano R 25 3 3 4.29 55 0 65.0 53 31 8 35 81
Victor Mederos R 23 5 7 5.34 22 19 89.3 94 53 14 41 68
Robinson Pina R 25 4 6 5.31 27 13 83.0 85 49 13 46 73
Mason Erla R 26 3 5 5.19 14 12 60.7 69 35 9 23 36
Jimmy Herget R 30 3 4 4.50 49 1 58.0 57 29 9 20 56
Sammy Natera Jr. L 24 4 6 5.47 20 20 80.7 80 49 13 44 73
Bryce Osmond R 23 5 8 5.48 22 22 90.3 97 55 15 44 66
Aaron Loup L 36 2 3 4.26 50 0 44.3 45 21 7 13 41
Travis MacGregor R 26 3 6 5.11 34 6 74.0 74 42 11 35 67
John Swanda R 25 4 6 5.47 22 14 80.7 92 49 13 33 49
José Quijada L 28 2 2 4.58 38 0 39.3 34 20 6 18 46
Adam Kolarek L 35 3 4 4.53 61 0 51.7 55 26 8 16 44
Luis García R 37 2 3 4.47 52 0 48.3 51 24 7 19 46
Zac Kristofak R 26 2 3 5.23 24 6 43.0 49 25 7 18 28
Sam Bachman R 24 3 5 5.51 19 9 50.7 52 31 7 30 42
Hayden Seig R 25 4 5 4.66 35 0 56.0 59 29 8 17 45
Cam Vieaux L 30 3 5 5.12 38 4 65.0 68 37 11 30 56
Luke Murphy R 24 3 4 4.84 43 1 48.3 48 26 7 24 45
Ben Joyce R 23 2 3 4.74 45 0 43.7 39 23 6 21 46
Luis Ledo R 29 2 5 5.60 25 11 62.7 68 39 10 39 49
Kolton Ingram L 27 3 3 4.91 46 0 55.0 52 30 8 30 58
Aaron Hernandez R 27 2 5 5.63 21 9 46.3 47 29 7 30 41
Carson Fulmer R 30 2 4 5.57 28 7 51.7 52 32 8 32 45
Ryan Miller R 28 3 4 5.07 34 1 49.7 53 28 8 19 42
Austin Warren R 28 3 3 4.87 34 0 44.3 44 24 7 20 41
Erik Martinez R 28 2 4 5.10 33 2 54.7 57 31 9 23 50
Jose Marte R 28 1 2 5.40 30 2 35.0 33 21 6 23 38
Jonathan Holder R 31 2 3 5.33 37 4 54.0 56 32 9 27 50
Tyler Thomas L 28 1 2 5.08 26 0 39.0 39 22 6 18 37
JD Hammer R 29 1 2 5.72 24 4 39.3 43 25 6 23 28
Ivan Armstrong R 23 2 4 5.40 39 4 63.3 66 38 10 30 50
Adam Cimber R 33 3 4 5.21 51 0 46.7 51 27 8 11 32
Nick Jones L 25 3 5 5.16 45 0 52.3 51 30 8 27 49
Kenyon Yovan R 26 3 6 5.21 46 0 48.3 49 28 7 24 42
Dylan Phillips L 25 2 3 5.10 39 0 54.7 54 31 8 23 50
Cole Percival R 25 2 5 5.90 25 10 71.7 78 47 11 46 52
Dakota Donovan R 26 2 2 5.26 36 0 49.7 53 29 8 23 40
Nathan Burns R 25 1 2 5.68 30 0 31.7 32 20 5 21 29
Kelvin Caceres R 24 2 4 5.64 40 2 52.7 48 33 8 41 60
Reyes Moronta R 31 2 3 5.68 36 0 38.0 35 24 7 30 43
Houston Harding L 26 1 2 5.81 24 2 52.7 58 34 9 32 38
Brandon Dufault R 25 1 1 6.18 21 0 27.7 28 19 4 22 24
Eric Torres L 24 1 3 6.17 36 0 46.7 41 32 7 38 53

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Patrick Sandoval 141.7 9.0 3.6 1.1 9.3% 23.2% .302 110 4.12 91 2.5
Reid Detmers 136.7 9.4 3.2 1.3 8.4% 24.7% .291 102 4.24 98 2.0
Griffin Canning 107.0 9.6 3.1 1.4 8.1% 24.9% .296 100 4.34 100 1.5
Tyler Anderson 132.3 8.0 2.7 1.4 7.1% 20.9% .295 95 4.55 105 1.5
Chase Silseth 97.0 9.0 3.7 1.3 9.5% 23.0% .289 101 4.49 99 1.3
Kenny Rosenberg 111.0 8.4 3.8 1.3 9.7% 21.4% .301 95 4.66 105 1.2
Brett Kerry 114.7 6.8 3.1 1.4 8.0% 17.1% .299 92 4.89 109 1.2
José Suarez 84.3 8.8 3.3 1.3 8.6% 22.7% .295 98 4.41 102 1.1
Davis Daniel 82.0 7.2 3.3 1.3 8.5% 18.7% .284 95 4.83 105 1.0
Alan Rangel 110.7 7.3 3.4 1.5 8.6% 18.4% .297 87 5.02 115 0.8
Ryan Smith 74.3 7.5 3.9 1.3 9.7% 18.7% .297 91 4.92 110 0.6
Jack Dashwood 64.3 7.6 2.7 1.4 6.9% 19.5% .302 95 4.58 105 0.6
Michael Darrell-Hicks 91.7 7.0 3.4 1.5 8.7% 17.6% .296 86 5.21 116 0.6
Jake Lee 77.7 6.1 2.5 1.5 6.4% 15.5% .301 88 4.99 114 0.6
Jake Kalish 109.3 6.1 3.0 1.5 7.7% 15.3% .302 83 5.25 120 0.5
Andrew Wantz 62.3 9.0 3.8 1.4 9.6% 23.0% .284 98 4.70 102 0.5
César Valdez 103.7 6.3 2.2 1.6 5.5% 16.0% .313 84 4.91 119 0.5
Carlos Estévez 55.0 10.3 3.8 1.3 9.7% 26.5% .283 103 4.16 97 0.4
Jhonathan Diaz 83.7 7.5 4.2 1.3 10.5% 18.9% .294 87 5.24 115 0.4
Jack Kochanowicz 87.7 5.1 2.9 1.4 7.2% 12.9% .295 82 5.46 122 0.4
Jose Soriano 65.0 11.2 4.8 1.1 12.2% 28.3% .290 102 4.44 98 0.4
Victor Mederos 89.3 6.9 4.1 1.4 10.2% 16.9% .293 82 5.45 122 0.4
Robinson Pina 83.0 7.9 5.0 1.4 12.0% 19.1% .298 83 5.41 121 0.4
Mason Erla 60.7 5.3 3.4 1.3 8.5% 13.3% .299 84 5.28 118 0.3
Jimmy Herget 58.0 8.7 3.1 1.4 8.1% 22.7% .296 97 4.53 103 0.3
Sammy Natera Jr. 80.7 8.1 4.9 1.5 11.9% 19.8% .291 80 5.51 125 0.3
Bryce Osmond 90.3 6.6 4.4 1.5 10.7% 16.1% .293 80 5.68 125 0.3
Aaron Loup 44.3 8.3 2.6 1.4 6.9% 21.7% .299 103 4.54 97 0.2
Travis MacGregor 74.0 8.1 4.3 1.3 10.6% 20.3% .296 86 5.16 116 0.2
John Swanda 80.7 5.5 3.7 1.5 9.0% 13.3% .298 80 5.66 125 0.2
José Quijada 39.3 10.5 4.1 1.4 10.7% 27.2% .286 96 4.42 104 0.2
Adam Kolarek 51.7 7.7 2.8 1.4 7.2% 19.7% .305 97 4.67 103 0.2
Luis García 48.3 8.6 3.5 1.3 8.8% 21.2% .314 98 4.66 102 0.1
Zac Kristofak 43.0 5.9 3.8 1.5 9.2% 14.3% .300 84 5.46 119 0.1
Sam Bachman 50.7 7.5 5.3 1.2 12.8% 17.9% .298 80 5.47 126 0.1
Hayden Seig 56.0 7.2 2.7 1.3 6.9% 18.4% .300 94 4.68 106 0.1
Cam Vieaux 65.0 7.8 4.2 1.5 10.3% 19.2% .298 86 5.35 117 0.1
Luke Murphy 48.3 8.4 4.5 1.3 11.1% 20.7% .297 91 4.83 110 0.1
Ben Joyce 43.7 9.5 4.3 1.2 11.0% 24.1% .287 93 4.79 108 0.0
Luis Ledo 62.7 7.0 5.6 1.4 13.2% 16.6% .302 78 5.73 128 0.0
Kolton Ingram 55.0 9.5 4.9 1.3 12.1% 23.5% .299 89 4.84 112 0.0
Aaron Hernandez 46.3 8.0 5.8 1.4 13.8% 18.9% .296 78 5.65 128 0.0
Carson Fulmer 51.7 7.8 5.6 1.4 13.4% 18.8% .293 79 5.56 127 0.0
Ryan Miller 49.7 7.6 3.4 1.4 8.6% 19.1% .304 86 5.05 116 0.0
Austin Warren 44.3 8.3 4.1 1.4 10.2% 20.8% .294 90 5.01 111 0.0
Erik Martinez 54.7 8.2 3.8 1.5 9.4% 20.5% .304 86 5.16 116 0.0
Jose Marte 35.0 9.8 5.9 1.5 14.0% 23.2% .293 81 5.54 123 -0.1
Jonathan Holder 54.0 8.3 4.5 1.5 11.1% 20.5% .303 82 5.29 122 -0.1
Tyler Thomas 39.0 8.5 4.2 1.4 10.4% 21.4% .300 86 5.05 116 -0.1
JD Hammer 39.3 6.4 5.3 1.4 12.6% 15.4% .298 77 5.72 130 -0.1
Ivan Armstrong 63.3 7.1 4.3 1.4 10.4% 17.3% .293 81 5.53 123 -0.1
Adam Cimber 46.7 6.2 2.1 1.5 5.5% 16.1% .293 84 5.14 119 -0.1
Nick Jones 52.3 8.4 4.6 1.4 11.4% 20.7% .293 85 5.20 118 -0.2
Kenyon Yovan 48.3 7.8 4.5 1.3 10.9% 19.1% .298 84 5.08 119 -0.2
Dylan Phillips 54.7 8.2 3.8 1.3 9.5% 20.6% .295 86 5.03 116 -0.2
Cole Percival 71.7 6.5 5.8 1.4 13.6% 15.4% .299 74 6.02 135 -0.2
Dakota Donovan 49.7 7.2 4.2 1.4 10.2% 17.8% .300 83 5.55 120 -0.3
Nathan Burns 31.7 8.2 6.0 1.4 13.8% 19.1% .297 77 5.66 130 -0.3
Kelvin Caceres 52.7 10.3 7.0 1.4 16.2% 23.7% .296 78 5.69 129 -0.3
Reyes Moronta 38.0 10.2 7.1 1.7 16.5% 23.6% .289 77 5.83 130 -0.3
Houston Harding 52.7 6.5 5.5 1.5 13.1% 15.5% .297 75 5.97 132 -0.4
Brandon Dufault 27.7 7.8 7.2 1.3 16.3% 17.8% .296 71 6.00 141 -0.4
Eric Torres 46.7 10.2 7.3 1.4 17.4% 24.2% .288 71 6.15 141 -0.6

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Patrick Sandoval Steve Barber Danny Jackson Jerry Reuss
Reid Detmers Eduardo Rodriguez Ken Holtzman CC Sabathia
Griffin Canning Jordan Lyles Marty Pattin Jeff Bittiger
Tyler Anderson Wilbur Wood David Wells Charlie Leibrandt
Chase Silseth Jaret Wright Bruce Howard Bruce Kison
Kenny Rosenberg Dontrelle Willis Wayne Franklin Brian Johnson
Brett Kerry Nick Martinez Nick Tepesch Teddy Stankiewicz
José Suarez Chuck Stobbs Bob Hendley Fred Heimach
Davis Daniel Erick Fedde 페디 Scott Bankhead John Dopson
Alan Rangel Taylor Clarke Jacob Turner 터너 Shaun Anderson 앤더슨
Ryan Smith Hilly Hathaway Matt Harrison Thor Skogan
Jack Dashwood Larry Wimberly Derek Manning J.D. Arteaga
Michael Darrell-Hicks Jackson Stephens Paul Clemens Erick Fedde
Jake Lee Casey Cox Joe Niekro Greg Brinkman
Jake Kalish Kirk Rueter Mark Hendrickson Dave Roberts
Andrew Wantz Pat Dobson Jack Aker Ken Tatum
César Valdez Brian Moehler Lew Burdette Dennis Springer
Carlos Estévez Pedro Baez Mychal Givens Ryan Tepera
Jhonathan Diaz Shane Youman 유먼 Justin Hampson Randy Flores
Jack Kochanowicz Jacob Nix Robert Myer DJ Baxendale
Jose Soriano Lance McCullers Ricky Bottalico Doug Bochtler
Victor Mederos Michael Lorenzen Steve Monson Grant Holmes
Robinson Pina Craig Chamberlain Justin Haley 헤일리 Tim Watkins
Mason Erla William Wolfe John Violette Mike Warnitsky
Jimmy Herget Tom Gorman Mark Williamson Steve Schrenk
Sammy Natera Jr. Michael Everett Aaron Miller John Rosengren
Bryce Osmond Francisco De La Cruz Bill Melvin Preston Larrison
Aaron Loup Tom Burgmeier Brian Duensing Graeme Lloyd
Travis MacGregor Ryan Perry Steve Shea Tim Barrett
John Swanda Morgan Coombs John Simms Dae-Eun Rhee
José Quijada Al Osuna Kevin Siegrist Mike Stanton
Adam Kolarek Paul Lindblad Tony Castillo Morrie Martin
Luis García LaTroy Hawkins Roberto Hernandez Gene Garber
Zac Kristofak T.J. Burton Tyler Mizenko Billy Biggs
Sam Bachman Daniel Lucia Travis Schlichting Jake Viano
Hayden Seig Jason Kummerfeldt Ricky Rojas Michael Roberts
Cam Vieaux Jake Woods Bob Buchanan Franklin Morales
Luke Murphy Jake Barrett P.J. Bevis Rich Surhoff
Ben Joyce George Jeffcoat Steve Foucault Chris Macca
Luis Ledo Tim Bausher Calvain Culberson Nick Pasquale
Kolton Ingram Wesley Wright Sean Burnett A.J. Murray
Aaron Hernandez Dar Smith Jhonny Nunez Jon Searles
Carson Fulmer Craig McMurtry Harry Fisher Rocky Cherry
Ryan Miller Paul Phillips Jason Creasy Andrew Robinson
Austin Warren Sendy Rleal Matt Pierpont Barry Jones
Erik Martinez Brian Edmondson Justin Pope Stephen Perakslis
Jose Marte Zach Schreiber Jarrod Kingrey Eric Weaver
Jonathan Holder Luther Hackman 해크먼 Tanyon Sturtze Garrett Mock
Tyler Thomas Jeff Hundley Bob Buchanan Vince Horsman
JD Hammer Jamie Emiliano Raymundo Pulido Mike Crudale
Ivan Armstrong Hal Garrett Brandon League Ryan Tucker
Adam Cimber Bob Miller Chuck Taylor Dale Mohorcic
Nick Jones Mike Dalton Kyle Fernandes Williams Jerez
Kenyon Yovan Pedro Beato Matt Stites John Lamb
Dylan Phillips Tom Funk Roy Merritt Daniel Stumpf
Cole Percival Joan Baez Nick Maness Steve Sparks
Dakota Donovan Elvys Quezada Paul Voelker Mike Roesler
Nathan Burns David Wong Rick Raether Darren Hall
Kelvin Caceres Adys Portillo Zach Jackson Matt Herges
Reyes Moronta Alan Mills Larry Sherry Gregg Olson
Houston Harding Jose Fernandez Jason Richman John McAllen
Brandon Dufault Brian Kolbe Otto Meischner Abner Johnson
Eric Torres Chubby Dean Joel McKeon Frankie Griffin

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Patrick Sandoval .205 .271 .351 .261 .338 .416 3.3 1.4 3.48 4.65
Reid Detmers .225 .294 .348 .242 .317 .420 2.9 1.1 3.71 4.91
Griffin Canning .236 .312 .415 .250 .307 .432 2.3 0.8 3.79 5.05
Tyler Anderson .260 .317 .409 .256 .313 .451 2.3 0.7 4.05 5.34
Chase Silseth .247 .337 .431 .235 .302 .395 1.9 0.6 3.89 5.07
Kenny Rosenberg .244 .322 .370 .259 .336 .450 2.0 0.3 4.06 5.43
Brett Kerry .283 .344 .457 .258 .314 .453 1.8 0.5 4.30 5.28
José Suarez .239 .306 .420 .250 .322 .417 1.7 0.4 3.92 5.23
Davis Daniel .265 .345 .457 .241 .303 .406 1.6 0.4 4.02 5.19
Alan Rangel .271 .346 .429 .260 .322 .472 1.5 0.1 4.47 5.68
Ryan Smith .244 .337 .411 .268 .338 .454 1.1 0.1 4.30 5.50
Jack Dashwood .259 .307 .420 .269 .325 .457 1.1 0.1 3.97 5.47
Michael Darrell-Hicks .278 .362 .475 .260 .323 .441 1.2 0.1 4.52 5.70
Jake Lee .268 .319 .451 .290 .335 .494 1.0 0.1 4.45 5.61
Jake Kalish .246 .303 .394 .296 .360 .512 1.1 -0.1 4.75 5.92
Andrew Wantz .264 .358 .434 .222 .284 .415 1.0 -0.1 3.82 5.47
César Valdez .286 .333 .472 .291 .326 .507 1.1 -0.2 4.59 6.03
Carlos Estévez .224 .309 .398 .225 .298 .387 1.0 -0.4 3.32 5.66
Jhonathan Diaz .200 .283 .310 .283 .381 .487 1.0 -0.2 4.48 5.75
Jack Kochanowicz .288 .356 .500 .275 .338 .445 0.9 -0.1 4.84 5.96
Jose Soriano .218 .347 .378 .216 .327 .360 1.1 -0.5 3.55 5.45
Victor Mederos .274 .378 .488 .257 .330 .419 0.8 -0.2 4.87 5.92
Robinson Pina .257 .376 .444 .261 .343 .446 0.8 -0.3 4.80 6.09
Mason Erla .292 .362 .504 .271 .333 .414 0.6 0.0 4.81 5.69
Jimmy Herget .255 .333 .490 .248 .305 .388 0.8 -0.2 3.74 5.43
Sammy Natera Jr. .245 .357 .415 .257 .359 .455 0.8 -0.3 4.95 6.23
Bryce Osmond .257 .359 .413 .278 .357 .500 0.7 -0.3 5.03 6.02
Aaron Loup .239 .301 .373 .269 .328 .481 0.7 -0.3 3.38 5.51
Travis MacGregor .266 .387 .438 .245 .319 .429 0.7 -0.3 4.59 5.81
John Swanda .292 .376 .493 .273 .345 .454 0.7 -0.2 5.00 6.06
José Quijada .212 .305 .404 .235 .321 .408 0.7 -0.4 3.55 5.89
Adam Kolarek .229 .286 .337 .293 .353 .520 0.6 -0.4 3.71 5.67
Luis García .294 .368 .459 .241 .320 .417 0.6 -0.3 3.60 5.59
Zac Kristofak .284 .363 .531 .277 .343 .415 0.3 -0.2 4.73 5.84
Sam Bachman .264 .364 .462 .257 .369 .404 0.4 -0.3 4.94 6.26
Hayden Seig .257 .327 .426 .270 .328 .443 0.5 -0.3 3.93 5.31
Cam Vieaux .235 .333 .388 .277 .357 .486 0.5 -0.5 4.58 6.02
Luke Murphy .256 .350 .456 .250 .327 .400 0.4 -0.3 4.33 5.57
Ben Joyce .232 .344 .415 .235 .333 .388 0.4 -0.4 4.14 5.59
Luis Ledo .268 .390 .455 .273 .354 .453 0.5 -0.5 4.95 6.35
Kolton Ingram .209 .299 .358 .260 .363 .445 0.6 -0.5 3.98 5.87
Aaron Hernandez .247 .373 .435 .265 .371 .439 0.3 -0.5 5.05 6.66
Carson Fulmer .264 .376 .473 .250 .351 .411 0.4 -0.5 4.89 6.66
Ryan Miller .263 .343 .474 .272 .339 .437 0.4 -0.4 4.35 5.91
Austin Warren .241 .333 .405 .263 .343 .463 0.3 -0.4 4.18 5.76
Erik Martinez .257 .356 .436 .267 .338 .466 0.4 -0.5 4.44 5.87
Jose Marte .267 .397 .517 .224 .333 .382 0.2 -0.4 4.66 6.68
Jonathan Holder .256 .352 .400 .266 .352 .492 0.4 -0.6 4.63 6.28
Tyler Thomas .250 .328 .442 .257 .356 .436 0.3 -0.4 4.40 6.06
JD Hammer .264 .369 .472 .279 .370 .442 0.2 -0.5 4.98 6.72
Ivan Armstrong .269 .371 .454 .258 .344 .439 0.2 -0.6 4.95 6.06
Adam Cimber .268 .338 .535 .276 .320 .431 0.2 -0.5 4.40 6.40
Nick Jones .235 .329 .368 .257 .358 .463 0.2 -0.6 4.50 6.05
Kenyon Yovan .258 .365 .427 .257 .333 .436 0.1 -0.5 4.66 5.89
Dylan Phillips .242 .346 .424 .257 .343 .426 0.2 -0.6 4.48 5.94
Cole Percival .279 .396 .471 .265 .371 .444 0.2 -0.7 5.35 6.60
Dakota Donovan .284 .379 .511 .255 .346 .409 0.0 -0.6 4.74 5.98
Nathan Burns .271 .403 .508 .242 .338 .394 0.0 -0.6 4.90 6.54
Kelvin Caceres .245 .388 .479 .229 .375 .358 0.2 -0.8 4.93 6.71
Reyes Moronta .246 .387 .426 .233 .356 .453 0.2 -0.8 4.57 7.10
Houston Harding .271 .366 .414 .275 .373 .493 0.1 -0.8 5.03 6.67
Brandon Dufault .260 .393 .420 .254 .384 .458 -0.2 -0.6 5.46 7.11
Eric Torres .204 .368 .352 .242 .410 .435 -0.2 -1.1 5.37 7.32

Here are how the ZiPS percentiles worked out in 2023 for pitchers and hitters in in 2023.

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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sadtromboneMember since 2020
10 months ago

I can’t decide which is the more likely outcome:

Option A: The Angels, desperately trying to save an offseason where they lost baseball’s most electric talent, hand out $200M+ to get Cody Bellinger or Blake Snell on the team.

Option B: Arte Moreno, no longer interested in the team once Ohtani left, sells the team and they don’t sign anyone to keep payroll down.

Sandy Kazmir
10 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

The franchise is utterly broken in every way at this point. I think you can make a decision here pretty easily.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
10 months ago
Reply to  Sandy Kazmir

It would definitely be better for Moreno to sell the team. But they’re in a weird spot where they have a bunch of promising players with something like 4 or 5 years of team control (Neto, Schanuel, O’Hoppe, Detmers) and a former superstar who is permanently hurt (Trout). It’s not crazy to think that they could add a bunch of players like Stroman and Chapman and Hader and Kiermaier and Bader and be contenders by being a top run-prevention team while giving Rendon and Trout lots of rest and DH opportunities.

But that’s not what they would do, if they’re buying they’re going to spend way too much on Bellinger or Snell and they’re going to get hurt.

HappyFunBallMember since 2019
10 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Option C: They land both of Bellinger and Snell, who are promptly injured before the ASB