2024 ZiPS Projections: Chicago White Sox

For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the final team is the Chicago White Sox.

Batters

In a certain way, this team is a bit more depressing than the Oakland Athletics. No, they’re not trying to peace out of Chicago, but I think the A’s front office is probably more realistic about the team’s immediate chances of winning than the Southsiders are. It’s always hard to gauge exactly what a team truly thinks of their outlook, but I get the impression that the White Sox think they will be at least halfway competitive in 2024. Realistically, though, a lot of things would have to go their way, even in a weak division like the AL Central.

The Pale Hose have a one-dude offense in a sport where that isn’t a thing. Luis Robert Jr. is in his prime right now, probably at his peak form. If the White Sox were actually rebuilding, he’s the guy they could trade to start meaningfully restocking the farm system. Instead, he’ll be a key cog in their quest to win 70 games.

Now, Yoán Moncada and Eloy Jiménez could upgrade this to a three-dude offense, but in truth, there are big questions surrounding both players. Moncada’s health isn’t a given; he has suffered myriad nagging injuries the last two years. What’s more, it can no longer be taken for granted that if you just get him healthy, he’ll produce like he did in 2019 or 2021. The team has finally gotten Jiménez’s glove off the field in most games, but a .272/.317/.441 line is abysmal for a player with no defensive value in a home run friendly park. He can still crush pitches in his wheelhouse, but he swings at too much junk, and at 27, you can’t really dismiss that tendency by appealing to his youth anymore.

Elsewhere on the depth chart, Andrew Benintendi was terrible last season; Guaranteed Rate is a poor fit for getting the most out of his limited offensive game. Meanwhile, the Andrew Vaughn breakout gets less likely every year. As for the rest of the positions, the White Sox have basically used a few trades and free agency to accumulate a whole bunch of inexpensive waiver-wire types with limited upside. I guess we’re going to go through the Oscar Colás experiment again, but his .809 OPS for Triple-A Charlotte wasn’t even good.

On the plus side, ZiPS is starting to come around on Colson Montgomery, to the extent that it now likes him slightly better than its longtime favorite, Bryan Ramos. However, there are still questions remaining. Montgomery got a lot of his value from walks, which isn’t necessarily a great sign for a minor leaguer. And we really haven’t gotten to see that much of him due to injuries. Still, a 22-year-old shortstop who has only played six weeks of Double-A ball boasting a 20% chance at a 111 OPS+ is quite the auspicious sign, even if his bottom-line 2024 projection isn’t astounding. Fans need something to look forward to!

Pitchers

Well, they haven’t traded Dylan Cease yet, so the bottom has only mostly fallen out on this group. I guess Cristian Mena ranking this highly on the projection list is sort of a good thing? Erick Fedde and Chris Flexen feel like pitchers acquired mainly so that games will actually end, and it’s hard to have much confidence in Michael Soroka staying consistently healthy until we actually see it.

Some years ago, I mentioned that there were two pitching prospects in the minors who had very bimodal projections, meaning they were much more likely to be either awesome or terrible than they were to be simply middling. Those pitchers were Tanner Scott and Michael Kopech. Scott seems to have fulfilled the former possibility, finally nailing down his command and having an elite 2023 season. Kopech, unfortunately, looks a lot worse than he did three or four years ago. It’s a complicated case and certainly involves more than injury, but the projections are now pretty bearish on him. I’d still start him for now — him struggling will likely have next to no effect on Chicago’s playoff odds — but I think we’re nearing the point where if he puts it together, it’s going to have to be in the late innings.

ZiPS only projects four White Sox pitchers with an ERA+ of 100 or better, and three of them are in the bullpen: Garrett Crochet, Gregory Santos, and Tanner Banks. The Sox should give Crochet every opportunity to start — he’d have a lot more value to the team if it works out and weakening the bullpen to give him a shot at the rotation has little practical danger. ZiPS is sold that the free passes are behind Santos; both his first-strike percentage and out-of-zone swing percentage, two leading indicators of future walk rate, were above average, lending credence to the idea that his low 2023 walk numbers weren’t a mirage. The elbow soreness that cost him the last week of the season and might creep into the early part of early 2024 is the more concerning thing. The computer doesn’t see any no-name relievers ready to surprise here.

Overall, the White Sox have a few interesting players, but will likely contend with the Rockies and Athletics to be the worst team in baseball in 2024, even if they hang on to Cease. ZiPS projects 65-70 wins for the Sox, but a Cease trade could put them “over the top” in this depressing footrace.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Luis Robert R 26 CF 543 502 77 134 29 1 28 89 30 136 17 4
Yoán Moncada B 29 3B 477 428 54 108 24 1 14 55 43 132 2 1
Eloy Jiménez R 27 RF 479 440 53 123 22 0 21 71 34 99 0 1
Yasmani Grandal B 35 C 382 328 35 75 12 0 11 39 48 85 0 1
Andrew Benintendi L 29 LF 596 531 77 146 31 3 10 61 57 88 13 2
Andrew Vaughn R 26 1B 600 543 65 143 29 1 24 83 43 110 0 1
Paul DeJong R 30 SS 437 394 49 83 16 0 18 51 32 132 4 3
Max Stassi R 33 C 291 257 31 55 9 1 9 29 28 89 0 1
Nicky Lopez L 29 2B 419 371 49 89 13 3 2 29 35 62 10 3
Wynton Bernard R 33 CF 475 439 61 103 19 2 8 48 31 103 21 4
Elvis Andrus R 35 2B 444 408 48 100 20 1 8 48 29 74 12 3
Tim Anderson R 31 SS 488 462 63 124 20 1 7 42 22 104 12 3
Romy Gonzalez R 27 2B 305 284 38 64 12 1 11 39 17 102 14 2
Colson Montgomery L 22 SS 351 302 42 69 13 2 8 42 37 83 1 2
Bryan Ramos R 22 3B 434 397 48 92 13 1 15 54 29 103 2 2
Edgar Quero B 21 C 494 428 51 99 21 0 8 53 51 98 2 2
Lenyn Sosa R 24 2B 509 480 53 116 20 1 15 60 21 121 1 3
Braden Shewmake L 26 2B 462 431 57 96 19 2 12 45 24 106 13 1
Brett Phillips L 30 CF 339 291 44 53 7 3 10 34 39 132 10 2
Jacob Burke R 23 CF 375 336 45 74 17 2 5 46 22 102 8 4
Zach Remillard R 30 2B 420 375 51 83 14 1 6 40 32 107 12 4
Alsander Womack R 25 2B 479 433 41 101 12 1 7 45 38 89 4 3
Kean Wong L 29 2B 374 341 41 82 11 2 4 34 29 87 11 3
Chuckie Robinson R 29 C 351 325 35 74 11 1 8 38 20 81 3 1
Loidel Chapelli L 22 2B 450 405 58 88 16 5 9 48 38 124 12 4
Tyler Neslony L 30 LF 367 333 40 76 19 1 9 40 31 98 9 4
Hanser Alberto R 31 3B 228 217 26 56 13 1 4 23 6 28 1 1
Michael Turner L 25 C 382 334 33 77 20 1 3 35 42 72 0 1
Terrell Tatum L 24 CF 500 423 59 85 19 3 5 44 60 163 20 5
Jose A. Rodriguez R 23 2B 514 491 66 118 19 2 14 58 19 111 18 7
Adam Haseley L 28 CF 385 354 40 82 13 2 6 38 24 75 8 3
Adam Hackenberg R 24 C 375 340 33 75 13 0 6 39 26 98 1 1
Brooks Baldwin B 23 3B 384 351 46 78 12 2 10 41 25 105 9 2
Oscar Colás L 25 RF 513 478 63 114 20 1 19 63 28 132 5 3
Victor Reyes B 29 RF 466 438 52 108 20 2 11 55 22 114 4 2
Korey Lee R 25 C 420 393 47 86 17 1 11 44 23 120 7 2
Yolbert Sanchez R 27 3B 451 422 38 105 13 1 3 38 21 79 4 4
Ben Norman L 26 LF 242 219 26 42 8 0 8 27 19 94 6 1
Gavin Sheets L 28 RF 405 369 38 90 17 0 14 52 31 83 1 1
Yoelqui Céspedes R 26 CF 473 432 51 92 21 1 9 55 24 157 11 6
Shawn Goosenberg R 24 1B 399 360 44 78 15 2 7 43 29 114 13 3
Stephen Piscotty R 33 LF 241 220 24 50 9 0 7 29 17 62 1 1
Tyler Naquin L 33 RF 338 313 36 70 14 2 10 39 19 104 3 1
Ivan Gonzalez R 27 C 172 157 14 33 6 0 1 13 12 35 1 1
Laz Rivera R 29 2B 242 222 24 49 9 1 3 23 12 66 5 4
Moisés Castillo R 24 SS 434 397 43 86 15 0 4 37 30 98 3 2
Victor Torres R 23 C 182 172 14 34 5 0 3 18 4 57 0 1
Xavier Fernández R 28 1B 360 331 34 81 16 0 8 40 24 67 0 1
Tim Elko R 25 1B 526 498 56 110 18 2 22 74 22 197 0 0
Andy Atwood R 27 3B 200 185 14 36 8 1 1 16 9 61 4 1
Evan Skoug L 28 DH 201 177 20 31 8 0 5 21 19 69 0 1
Clint Frazier R 29 CF 361 315 36 64 14 1 8 36 38 113 5 3
Colby Smelley R 24 C 308 276 23 59 10 0 2 27 22 85 0 1
Luis Mieses L 24 RF 501 480 45 109 27 1 10 52 14 123 0 1
Martín Maldonado R 37 C 369 326 32 57 9 0 11 34 31 120 0 1
Tyler Osik R 27 1B 278 252 25 54 11 1 4 31 19 84 2 1
Chris Shaw L 30 DH 212 189 20 29 7 0 7 22 21 92 0 1
DJ Gladney R 22 LF 465 434 52 91 16 4 16 58 23 168 7 1
Jacob Gonzalez L 22 SS 342 308 29 68 12 1 4 36 23 63 1 1
Duke Ellis L 26 CF 343 311 38 60 9 1 4 27 25 115 16 4
Wilfred Veras R 21 RF 566 536 61 124 27 2 16 70 20 177 11 3
Caberea Weaver R 24 LF 345 325 33 60 10 1 6 32 14 146 9 4

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA RC
Luis Robert 543 .267 .319 .496 121 .229 .314 6 3.6 .345 84
Yoán Moncada 477 .252 .325 .411 102 .159 .333 1 1.7 .320 58
Eloy Jiménez 479 .280 .332 .473 119 .193 .319 -3 1.4 .344 69
Yasmani Grandal 382 .229 .330 .366 93 .137 .276 1 1.4 .309 40
Andrew Benintendi 596 .275 .345 .401 106 .126 .314 -1 1.3 .325 77
Andrew Vaughn 600 .263 .327 .453 113 .190 .291 -2 1.3 .336 81
Paul DeJong 437 .211 .279 .388 82 .178 .266 5 1.1 .290 45
Max Stassi 291 .214 .299 .362 82 .148 .289 6 1.1 .292 28
Nicky Lopez 419 .240 .313 .307 73 .067 .283 8 0.9 .281 39
Wynton Bernard 475 .235 .288 .342 74 .107 .290 6 0.8 .278 49
Elvis Andrus 444 .245 .300 .358 81 .113 .282 3 0.8 .289 47
Tim Anderson 488 .268 .305 .361 84 .093 .333 -3 0.8 .292 55
Romy Gonzalez 305 .225 .273 .391 81 .165 .310 4 0.7 .285 34
Colson Montgomery 351 .228 .330 .364 92 .136 .289 -3 0.7 .308 37
Bryan Ramos 434 .232 .293 .383 85 .151 .276 2 0.7 .295 46
Edgar Quero 494 .231 .324 .336 84 .105 .283 -6 0.7 .297 48
Lenyn Sosa 509 .242 .276 .381 80 .140 .294 5 0.5 .283 52
Braden Shewmake 462 .223 .268 .360 72 .137 .268 4 0.4 .273 45
Brett Phillips 339 .182 .283 .330 69 .148 .289 4 0.3 .274 30
Jacob Burke 375 .220 .299 .327 74 .107 .301 3 0.3 .281 36
Zach Remillard 420 .221 .293 .312 68 .091 .294 4 0.2 .271 38
Alsander Womack 479 .233 .301 .314 71 .081 .279 4 0.2 .276 43
Kean Wong 374 .240 .303 .320 73 .079 .312 1 0.1 .277 36
Chuckie Robinson 351 .228 .282 .342 72 .114 .280 -1 0.1 .274 32
Loidel Chapelli 450 .217 .291 .348 76 .131 .290 -1 0.1 .282 45
Tyler Neslony 367 .228 .297 .372 84 .144 .296 3 0.1 .293 40
Hanser Alberto 228 .258 .283 .382 82 .124 .281 0 0.1 .287 24
Michael Turner 382 .231 .319 .323 79 .093 .286 -6 0.1 .290 35
Terrell Tatum 500 .201 .307 .296 68 .095 .314 1 0.1 .275 44
Jose A. Rodriguez 514 .240 .270 .373 76 .132 .284 1 0.1 .277 56
Adam Haseley 385 .232 .287 .331 71 .099 .278 2 0.0 .273 36
Adam Hackenberg 375 .221 .291 .312 67 .091 .292 -1 0.0 .271 31
Brooks Baldwin 384 .222 .274 .353 72 .131 .288 1 0.0 .273 37
Oscar Colás 513 .238 .285 .404 88 .165 .291 1 0.0 .296 57
Victor Reyes 466 .247 .285 .377 81 .130 .310 4 0.0 .287 49
Korey Lee 420 .219 .267 .351 69 .132 .286 -2 -0.1 .270 39
Yolbert Sanchez 451 .249 .288 .306 65 .057 .300 6 -0.1 .264 40
Ben Norman 242 .192 .260 .338 64 .146 .291 4 -0.2 .263 21
Gavin Sheets 405 .244 .304 .404 94 .160 .279 -5 -0.3 .306 46
Yoelqui Céspedes 473 .213 .276 .329 67 .116 .312 2 -0.3 .268 44
Shawn Goosenberg 399 .217 .288 .328 70 .111 .297 5 -0.3 .274 38
Stephen Piscotty 241 .227 .290 .364 80 .136 .285 -1 -0.4 .287 24
Tyler Naquin 338 .224 .273 .377 78 .153 .302 1 -0.4 .280 33
Ivan Gonzalez 172 .210 .273 .268 51 .057 .264 -2 -0.5 .246 12
Laz Rivera 242 .221 .275 .311 62 .090 .301 -1 -0.5 .261 22
Moisés Castillo 434 .217 .281 .285 58 .068 .278 -1 -0.6 .256 33
Victor Torres 182 .198 .232 .279 41 .081 .277 -1 -0.7 .226 12
Xavier Fernández 360 .245 .297 .366 82 .121 .285 -3 -0.7 .290 36
Tim Elko 526 .221 .257 .398 77 .177 .315 3 -0.7 .280 51
Andy Atwood 200 .195 .242 .265 41 .070 .285 1 -0.8 .227 13
Evan Skoug 201 .175 .269 .305 59 .130 .252 0 -0.8 .256 15
Clint Frazier 361 .203 .299 .330 74 .127 .289 -10 -0.9 .283 33
Colby Smelley 308 .214 .289 .272 57 .058 .302 -6 -0.9 .257 22
Luis Mieses 501 .227 .251 .350 64 .123 .285 7 -0.9 .259 43
Martín Maldonado 369 .175 .254 .304 54 .129 .236 -5 -1.0 .250 26
Tyler Osik 278 .214 .284 .313 66 .099 .305 -2 -1.0 .268 23
Chris Shaw 212 .153 .245 .302 50 .148 .244 0 -1.0 .246 14
DJ Gladney 465 .210 .258 .376 72 .166 .300 -4 -1.2 .273 44
Jacob Gonzalez 342 .221 .287 .305 64 .084 .266 -12 -1.4 .264 28
Duke Ellis 343 .193 .261 .267 47 .074 .292 -4 -1.4 .240 27
Wilfred Veras 566 .231 .263 .379 75 .147 .315 -4 -1.4 .275 57
Caberea Weaver 345 .185 .229 .277 39 .092 .312 4 -1.7 .224 24

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Luis Robert Andre Dawson Al Simmons Mike Davis
Yoán Moncada Jarrod Patterson Jim Davenport Pinky Higgins
Eloy Jiménez Mike Ivie Allen Craig Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Yasmani Grandal A.J. Ellis Gregg Zaun Miguel Montero
Andrew Benintendi Orlando Gonzalez Carson Bigbee Lenny Green
Andrew Vaughn Kevin Millar Chad Tracy Aubrey Huff
Paul DeJong Danny Espinosa Pep Young Jayson Nix
Max Stassi Jamie Quirk Rick Wilkins Matthew LeCroy
Nicky Lopez Justin Henry Don Blasingame Jeff Pickler
Wynton Bernard Rich Thompson Calvin Murray Mike Kreevich
Elvis Andrus Cookie Rojas Mark Ellis Erick Aybar
Tim Anderson Leury García Walter Barbare Mark Grudzielanek
Romy Gonzalez Bill Barrett Paul Noce Roberto Mejia 메히아
Colson Montgomery Todd Betts Greg Garcia Jake Thrower
Bryan Ramos Luis Iglesias Elehuris Montero Steve Hertz
Edgar Quero Dioner Navarro Mike Brumley Phil Lombardi
Lenyn Sosa Brendan Rodgers Dave Hall Juan Lopez
Braden Shewmake Frank White Johnnie Walker Duane Espy
Brett Phillips Bob Montag Jed Hansen Louie Meadows
Jacob Burke Isaac Collins Rick Siriano Rich Barnwell
Zach Remillard Pokey Reese Dick Tracewski Elvis Pena
Alsander Womack Vern Followell Albert Lehrer C.J. Hinojosa
Kean Wong Adam Law Joe Pittman Trenidad Hubbard
Chuckie Robinson Andy Allanson Sonny Ruberto Russ Gibson
Loidel Chapelli Nick Capra Dionys Cesar Scott Earl
Tyler Neslony Matthew den Dekker Roger Bernadina 버나디나 Todd Hollandsworth
Hanser Alberto Joaquin Arias Garth Iorg Mario Diaz
Michael Turner Patrick Mazeika Andy Merchant Ellie Rodriguez
Terrell Tatum Stan Javier Randy Curtis Dexter Fowler
Jose A. Rodriguez Brodie Greene Jean Segura Belvani Martinez
Adam Haseley Clay Timpner Aharon Eggleston Bo Way
Adam Hackenberg John Purdom Josh Ford Dusty Wathan
Brooks Baldwin Jose Fernandez Shadrach Rolle Bryan Sabatella
Oscar Colás Reggie Montgomery Wes Chamberlain Chris Bourjos
Victor Reyes Steve Carter Gomer Hodge Gino Cimoli
Korey Lee Tracy Cowger Justin Knoedler Paul Casanova
Yolbert Sanchez Omar Luna Benjamin Perez Donald Domenichelli
Ben Norman Chris Durkin Tex Warfield Ron Shepherd
Gavin Sheets Yermín Mercedes Rod Brewer Nomar Mazara
Yoelqui Céspedes Frederick Wolcott Kerry Valrie Juan Piniella
Shawn Goosenberg Tim Jordan Don White Cornelio Garcia
Stephen Piscotty Ricky Ledee Paul Torres Armando Rios
Tyler Naquin Shane Peterson Joe Durham Dann Howitt
Ivan Gonzalez Jairo Rodriguez Francisco Diaz Michael Miller
Laz Rivera Rico Noel Bobby Dolan Al Weis
Moisés Castillo Pat Rockett Tim Hutting Chris Woodward
Victor Torres Rob Davis Toby Hernandez Juan Nunez
Xavier Fernández Ron Debus Jimmy Van Ostrand Tony Muser
Tim Elko Andres Galarraga Jose Barrios Gary Martz
Andy Atwood Dillon Hazlett Ernest Foli Todd Brown
Evan Skoug Don Ross Rock Shoulders Rich Daly
Clint Frazier Joe Benson Ryan Christenson Willie Argo
Colby Smelley Frank Colston John Purdom Josh Ford
Luis Mieses Frank Corr Scott Pugh Greg Monda
Martín Maldonado Louis Heyman Jim Sundberg Sandy Martinez
Tyler Osik Cael Brockmeyer Dan Gamache Cole White
Chris Shaw Kevin Garner Wayne Tyrone Andy Wilkins
DJ Gladney Jon Garcia Lucas May Ariel Sandoval
Jacob Gonzalez Lenny Faedo Jesus Merchan Brennan King
Duke Ellis Ethan Chapman Jarrod Dyson Kirvin Moesquit
Wilfred Veras Jesus de la Rosa Heliot Ramos Francisco Batista
Caberea Weaver Todd Isaacs Chase Mulvehill Preston Mattingly

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Luis Robert .293 .344 .562 143 5.2 .240 .292 .436 98 2.1
Yoán Moncada .281 .356 .473 125 3.0 .228 .299 .364 84 0.6
Eloy Jiménez .305 .360 .532 141 2.7 .249 .304 .419 98 0.2
Yasmani Grandal .257 .359 .412 112 2.2 .201 .299 .312 72 0.3
Andrew Benintendi .301 .370 .444 124 2.6 .247 .317 .357 88 0.0
Andrew Vaughn .289 .353 .507 134 2.8 .239 .300 .399 92 -0.2
Paul DeJong .235 .305 .446 103 2.3 .183 .256 .335 64 0.1
Max Stassi .242 .328 .418 101 1.8 .188 .267 .306 62 0.4
Nicky Lopez .268 .339 .341 91 1.8 .216 .287 .277 59 0.1
Wynton Bernard .262 .316 .389 93 1.9 .206 .260 .297 54 -0.4
Elvis Andrus .269 .328 .396 97 1.7 .217 .274 .313 63 -0.2
Tim Anderson .301 .335 .403 102 1.9 .242 .278 .322 67 -0.3
Romy Gonzalez .252 .299 .447 104 1.6 .199 .241 .334 58 -0.1
Colson Montgomery .256 .358 .412 111 1.5 .204 .307 .325 76 0.0
Bryan Ramos .262 .323 .437 105 1.8 .206 .267 .340 67 -0.3
Edgar Quero .256 .351 .374 99 1.7 .205 .295 .288 65 -0.5
Lenyn Sosa .268 .303 .432 98 1.7 .217 .257 .337 63 -0.6
Braden Shewmake .248 .297 .408 91 1.4 .198 .244 .316 55 -0.7
Brett Phillips .210 .315 .389 92 1.3 .157 .251 .278 46 -0.5
Jacob Burke .244 .319 .368 89 1.0 .194 .272 .292 57 -0.5
Zach Remillard .248 .323 .352 86 1.2 .198 .270 .273 51 -0.6
Alsander Womack .260 .328 .351 88 1.3 .205 .274 .273 55 -0.8
Kean Wong .269 .329 .360 90 0.9 .210 .271 .280 54 -0.8
Chuckie Robinson .262 .315 .387 94 1.1 .203 .257 .300 56 -0.5
Loidel Chapelli .244 .313 .399 94 1.1 .194 .266 .304 57 -0.9
Tyler Neslony .255 .329 .423 105 1.0 .205 .268 .324 64 -0.8
Hanser Alberto .287 .315 .430 101 0.7 .229 .256 .339 63 -0.4
Michael Turner .257 .348 .365 98 0.9 .202 .290 .279 61 -0.7
Terrell Tatum .224 .334 .335 85 1.2 .174 .279 .260 52 -0.9
Jose A. Rodriguez .264 .293 .418 91 1.0 .216 .247 .333 58 -1.1
Adam Haseley .258 .315 .376 90 0.9 .207 .264 .292 55 -0.7
Adam Hackenberg .248 .316 .354 85 0.8 .194 .266 .277 53 -0.7
Brooks Baldwin .246 .301 .411 94 1.0 .192 .249 .309 54 -0.9
Oscar Colás .263 .308 .455 108 1.2 .214 .259 .361 71 -1.2
Victor Reyes .276 .312 .425 100 1.0 .223 .259 .327 63 -1.2
Korey Lee .247 .295 .397 89 1.1 .194 .242 .307 52 -0.9
Yolbert Sanchez .278 .314 .340 80 0.8 .219 .259 .267 46 -1.2
Ben Norman .222 .287 .390 83 0.3 .167 .233 .281 43 -0.9
Gavin Sheets .270 .333 .456 116 0.9 .216 .276 .353 75 -1.2
Yoelqui Céspedes .239 .299 .373 85 0.7 .189 .250 .293 51 -1.3
Shawn Goosenberg .247 .316 .377 92 0.8 .193 .261 .285 54 -1.1
Stephen Piscotty .265 .326 .428 105 0.4 .196 .261 .306 57 -1.0
Tyler Naquin .253 .301 .438 101 0.6 .198 .246 .327 59 -1.2
Ivan Gonzalez .244 .308 .309 72 0.0 .180 .243 .229 34 -0.9
Laz Rivera .249 .305 .359 81 0.1 .196 .250 .273 47 -1.0
Moisés Castillo .242 .308 .322 74 0.2 .192 .257 .250 41 -1.5
Victor Torres .236 .269 .331 63 -0.2 .170 .205 .230 20 -1.2
Xavier Fernández .271 .323 .416 102 0.1 .214 .266 .320 63 -1.6
Tim Elko .246 .284 .452 100 0.7 .194 .232 .347 58 -2.0
Andy Atwood .223 .269 .305 59 -0.3 .167 .215 .228 23 -1.2
Evan Skoug .203 .298 .363 82 -0.2 .151 .238 .265 42 -1.3
Clint Frazier .226 .327 .369 92 -0.2 .176 .272 .286 57 -1.7
Colby Smelley .243 .316 .312 74 -0.2 .183 .260 .237 40 -1.5
Luis Mieses .252 .278 .392 82 0.1 .199 .225 .305 47 -2.0
Martín Maldonado .205 .281 .362 78 0.0 .150 .228 .251 36 -1.8
Tyler Osik .239 .311 .359 82 -0.4 .187 .258 .275 47 -1.6
Chris Shaw .181 .276 .364 73 -0.5 .130 .214 .248 30 -1.6
DJ Gladney .240 .289 .433 95 0.2 .182 .235 .328 55 -2.3
Jacob Gonzalez .254 .319 .357 88 -0.4 .192 .260 .263 47 -2.1
Duke Ellis .221 .287 .304 65 -0.6 .166 .234 .230 32 -2.1
Wilfred Veras .258 .288 .426 92 -0.2 .209 .239 .335 56 -2.7
Caberea Weaver .216 .256 .328 59 -0.8 .164 .206 .241 22 -2.5

Batters – Projected Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Luis Robert .281 .336 .518 .262 .312 .488
Yoán Moncada .248 .315 .410 .254 .329 .412
Eloy Jiménez .283 .343 .472 .278 .327 .473
Yasmani Grandal .235 .340 .376 .226 .326 .362
Andrew Benintendi .262 .331 .369 .279 .349 .413
Andrew Vaughn .268 .337 .459 .262 .322 .451
Paul DeJong .204 .281 .389 .213 .278 .388
Max Stassi .209 .296 .349 .216 .301 .368
Nicky Lopez .230 .300 .310 .244 .318 .306
Wynton Bernard .243 .297 .373 .229 .283 .321
Elvis Andrus .250 .307 .379 .243 .297 .349
Tim Anderson .289 .326 .383 .260 .297 .353
Romy Gonzalez .237 .291 .415 .217 .260 .373
Colson Montgomery .220 .319 .340 .233 .336 .376
Bryan Ramos .241 .305 .411 .226 .285 .364
Edgar Quero .238 .326 .350 .228 .323 .328
Lenyn Sosa .249 .290 .386 .237 .266 .378
Braden Shewmake .213 .257 .335 .228 .275 .375
Brett Phillips .171 .264 .303 .186 .289 .340
Jacob Burke .220 .304 .350 .220 .297 .318
Zach Remillard .228 .308 .321 .216 .282 .305
Alsander Womack .237 .311 .311 .232 .296 .315
Kean Wong .240 .300 .310 .241 .305 .325
Chuckie Robinson .235 .289 .345 .223 .278 .340
Loidel Chapelli .217 .282 .330 .217 .294 .355
Tyler Neslony .218 .285 .345 .234 .304 .388
Hanser Alberto .272 .298 .407 .250 .275 .368
Michael Turner .216 .300 .299 .236 .327 .333
Terrell Tatum .195 .294 .280 .203 .312 .302
Jose A. Rodriguez .248 .282 .386 .235 .262 .363
Adam Haseley .221 .280 .320 .237 .291 .336
Adam Hackenberg .227 .298 .319 .217 .287 .308
Brooks Baldwin .225 .273 .353 .221 .275 .353
Oscar Colás .235 .280 .373 .240 .287 .418
Victor Reyes .252 .294 .386 .244 .282 .373
Korey Lee .224 .281 .382 .215 .256 .329
Yolbert Sanchez .262 .306 .311 .238 .274 .301
Ben Norman .182 .247 .303 .196 .266 .353
Gavin Sheets .233 .293 .378 .247 .307 .412
Yoelqui Céspedes .218 .279 .345 .210 .274 .318
Shawn Goosenberg .217 .294 .340 .217 .286 .323
Stephen Piscotty .242 .315 .379 .221 .280 .357
Tyler Naquin .214 .267 .343 .226 .275 .387
Ivan Gonzalez .204 .271 .241 .214 .274 .282
Laz Rivera .223 .284 .298 .219 .268 .320
Moisés Castillo .215 .287 .295 .218 .278 .278
Victor Torres .205 .237 .274 .192 .229 .283
Xavier Fernández .248 .305 .364 .243 .292 .366
Tim Elko .221 .259 .409 .221 .255 .393
Andy Atwood .197 .246 .246 .194 .241 .274
Evan Skoug .164 .261 .262 .181 .273 .328
Clint Frazier .202 .307 .330 .204 .295 .330
Colby Smelley .223 .302 .298 .209 .282 .258
Luis Mieses .214 .243 .318 .235 .256 .368
Martín Maldonado .181 .265 .324 .172 .249 .294
Tyler Osik .223 .298 .330 .208 .274 .302
Chris Shaw .141 .225 .266 .160 .255 .320
DJ Gladney .211 .259 .388 .209 .257 .369
Jacob Gonzalez .211 .280 .278 .225 .289 .317
Duke Ellis .191 .255 .262 .194 .266 .271
Wilfred Veras .235 .271 .388 .230 .260 .374
Caberea Weaver .186 .233 .274 .184 .227 .278

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Dylan Cease R 28 9 8 3.90 30 30 166.0 144 72 19 71 196
Mike Clevinger R 33 7 9 4.55 23 23 118.7 117 60 18 39 104
Cristian Mena R 21 6 7 4.74 26 26 123.3 121 65 17 53 110
Erick Fedde R 31 9 11 4.86 25 25 133.3 138 72 24 43 129
Gregory Santos R 24 2 2 3.54 62 0 68.7 63 27 4 18 79
Davis Martin R 27 6 7 4.58 22 20 92.3 92 47 13 35 87
Mason Adams R 24 4 6 4.68 21 12 98.0 101 51 14 26 76
Mike Soroka R 26 5 6 4.76 22 21 104.0 106 55 15 34 88
Michael Kopech R 28 6 8 4.82 28 22 112.0 100 60 18 59 115
Nick Nastrini R 24 5 7 4.90 24 24 104.7 99 57 15 52 105
Chris Flexen R 29 5 7 5.08 28 18 113.3 131 64 17 41 86
Jesse Scholtens R 30 5 6 4.85 29 17 104.0 110 56 15 38 86
Jonathan Cannon R 23 5 6 4.98 24 24 112.0 122 62 16 38 68
Jared Shuster L 25 6 9 5.09 24 23 116.7 121 66 17 48 89
Shane Drohan L 25 6 9 5.04 24 23 109.0 111 61 16 55 90
Liam Hendriks R 35 4 3 3.77 47 0 45.3 38 19 7 14 60
Tanner Banks L 32 3 3 4.30 37 4 73.3 75 35 11 20 67
Ky Bush L 24 5 7 4.93 19 19 80.3 83 44 11 33 63
Jonathan Stiever R 27 4 4 4.74 14 14 62.7 66 33 10 22 54
John Parke L 29 4 6 5.07 20 16 87.0 99 49 12 32 54
Chase Solesky R 26 5 8 5.16 23 22 99.3 113 57 15 39 65
Sean Burke R 24 4 6 5.04 20 19 75.0 73 42 10 41 69
Garrett Crochet L 25 4 4 3.98 55 0 54.3 46 24 7 27 65
Johan Dominguez R 28 4 5 4.97 17 17 63.3 68 35 10 22 51
Sammy Peralta L 26 5 5 4.58 39 4 74.7 75 38 10 23 65
Garrett Davila L 27 5 8 5.24 27 17 101.3 107 59 14 47 75
Matthew Thompson R 23 7 11 5.37 26 26 114.0 116 68 17 63 90
Nate Fisher L 28 4 7 5.20 23 16 88.3 94 51 13 36 61
Kohl Simas R 24 4 6 5.18 20 15 74.7 77 43 12 35 63
Josimar Cousin R 26 2 2 5.13 15 15 54.3 60 31 8 15 31
Mike Mayers R 32 4 5 5.14 32 11 82.3 87 47 13 33 65
John Brebbia R 34 3 4 4.47 48 8 44.3 43 22 7 15 46
Jake Eder L 25 3 6 5.24 15 15 67.0 63 39 10 39 65
Touki Toussaint R 28 4 5 5.21 20 14 76.0 68 44 11 43 72
Jimmy Lambert R 29 2 4 4.94 40 7 54.7 54 30 9 27 53
Garrett Schoenle L 26 4 6 5.38 30 15 85.3 86 51 13 47 73
Jordan Leasure R 25 2 3 4.44 43 0 46.7 41 23 7 22 51
Matt Foster R 29 2 1 4.42 39 0 38.7 38 19 6 13 37
Jake Cousins R 29 2 2 4.58 35 0 37.3 32 19 6 17 46
Deivi García R 25 3 5 5.32 27 8 64.3 63 38 10 36 59
Lincoln Henzman R 28 2 4 5.37 28 9 60.3 68 36 9 26 43
Brent Honeywell R 29 2 4 5.20 33 5 53.7 57 31 9 22 43
J.B. Olson R 29 1 3 5.27 27 6 42.7 49 25 6 15 26
Andrew Pérez L 26 3 5 4.91 40 1 58.7 59 32 8 24 51
Alex Speas R 26 2 2 4.88 48 0 48.0 40 26 6 27 54
Chad Kuhl R 31 3 6 5.76 19 13 75.0 74 48 13 44 69
Jonah Scolaro L 25 2 3 5.04 34 1 60.7 59 34 9 30 57
Jeremiah Burke R 26 1 3 5.31 22 2 40.7 44 24 6 18 29
Luke Farrell R 33 2 3 5.51 28 7 50.7 56 31 9 25 39
José Ureña R 32 3 5 5.78 16 13 67.0 74 43 11 32 47
Jordan Holloway R 28 2 5 5.48 27 5 42.7 38 26 7 32 48
Lane Ramsey R 27 3 5 5.11 46 1 49.3 49 28 7 27 49
Haylen Green L 26 2 3 5.13 39 1 52.7 55 30 8 21 40
Tommy Sommer L 25 2 4 5.90 19 16 71.7 75 47 11 46 49
Daniel Ponce de Leon R 32 3 7 5.87 17 14 61.3 64 40 10 40 51
Adisyn Coffey R 25 1 3 5.14 38 0 42.0 43 24 6 20 34
Justin Anderson R 31 1 3 5.40 23 1 31.7 30 19 5 18 34
Hunter Dollander R 27 3 4 5.58 22 5 50.0 53 31 8 28 38
Nash Walters R 27 3 4 5.20 38 1 45.0 44 26 7 24 44
Chase Plymell R 26 3 6 5.07 37 1 60.3 65 34 9 30 46
Ben Holmes L 32 2 4 5.45 24 2 33.0 35 20 6 16 28
Alejandro Mateo R 30 1 2 5.25 38 1 48.0 50 28 8 25 44
Fraser Ellard L 26 1 2 5.18 29 0 33.0 34 19 5 19 30
Jared Kelley R 22 3 5 5.89 25 9 62.7 65 41 9 46 49
Chris Muller R 28 1 2 5.45 34 0 38.0 38 23 6 23 36
Luke Shilling R 26 0 0 7.07 15 1 14.0 14 11 2 14 13
Tristan Stivors R 25 3 6 5.35 33 0 35.3 33 21 5 22 37
Vince Vannelle R 26 2 4 5.37 32 1 52.0 57 31 8 27 36
Bryan Shaw R 36 2 2 5.30 52 0 54.3 54 32 8 28 46
Brooks Gosswein L 25 2 6 6.14 19 14 63.0 70 43 10 43 42
Tim Hill L 34 2 3 5.44 47 0 41.3 48 25 7 13 26
Nicholas Padilla R 27 2 3 5.44 41 0 48.0 48 29 7 30 47
Alex Colomé R 35 2 4 5.63 40 0 38.3 43 24 7 18 27
Caleb Freeman R 26 1 1 5.85 33 0 32.3 33 21 5 24 28
Edgar Navarro R 26 2 3 5.68 46 0 50.7 52 32 8 32 41
Gil Luna Jr. L 24 1 3 6.35 36 0 34.0 31 24 5 32 35

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Dylan Cease 166.0 10.6 3.8 1.0 9.9% 27.5% .300 111 3.79 90 3.0
Mike Clevinger 118.7 7.9 3.0 1.4 7.7% 20.5% .289 95 4.64 105 1.4
Cristian Mena 123.3 8.0 3.9 1.2 9.7% 20.1% .293 91 4.65 110 1.3
Erick Fedde 133.3 8.7 2.9 1.6 7.5% 22.4% .303 89 4.70 113 1.2
Gregory Santos 68.7 10.4 2.4 0.5 6.3% 27.7% .324 122 2.72 82 1.1
Davis Martin 92.3 8.5 3.4 1.3 8.7% 21.5% .300 94 4.53 106 1.1
Mason Adams 98.0 7.0 2.4 1.3 6.2% 18.1% .292 92 4.57 109 1.0
Mike Soroka 104.0 7.6 2.9 1.3 7.6% 19.6% .296 91 4.68 110 1.0
Michael Kopech 112.0 9.2 4.7 1.4 12.0% 23.4% .278 89 5.01 112 0.9
Nick Nastrini 104.7 9.0 4.5 1.3 11.1% 22.5% .294 88 4.80 114 0.9
Chris Flexen 113.3 6.8 3.3 1.4 8.1% 17.0% .318 93 4.85 107 0.9
Jesse Scholtens 104.0 7.4 3.3 1.3 8.4% 18.9% .304 89 4.69 112 0.9
Jonathan Cannon 112.0 5.5 3.1 1.3 7.7% 13.8% .290 87 4.94 115 0.9
Jared Shuster 116.7 6.9 3.7 1.3 9.3% 17.3% .292 85 4.88 118 0.8
Shane Drohan 109.0 7.4 4.5 1.3 11.2% 18.3% .293 86 5.14 117 0.7
Liam Hendriks 45.3 11.9 2.8 1.4 7.4% 31.6% .298 114 3.61 87 0.7
Tanner Banks 73.3 8.2 2.5 1.4 6.4% 21.5% .302 100 4.32 100 0.7
Ky Bush 80.3 7.1 3.7 1.2 9.2% 17.6% .295 88 4.81 114 0.7
Jonathan Stiever 62.7 7.8 3.2 1.4 7.9% 19.4% .303 91 4.80 110 0.6
John Parke 87.0 5.6 3.3 1.2 8.2% 13.9% .303 85 5.05 117 0.6
Chase Solesky 99.3 5.9 3.5 1.4 8.7% 14.6% .303 84 5.15 120 0.6
Sean Burke 75.0 8.3 4.9 1.2 12.1% 20.4% .294 86 4.95 117 0.5
Garrett Crochet 54.3 10.8 4.5 1.2 11.4% 27.4% .291 109 4.08 92 0.5
Johan Dominguez 63.3 7.2 3.1 1.4 7.9% 18.3% .302 87 4.88 115 0.5
Sammy Peralta 74.7 7.8 2.8 1.2 7.2% 20.2% .297 94 4.38 106 0.5
Garrett Davila 101.3 6.7 4.2 1.2 10.3% 16.5% .296 82 5.17 121 0.5
Matthew Thompson 114.0 7.1 5.0 1.3 12.0% 17.2% .289 80 5.46 124 0.5
Nate Fisher 88.3 6.2 3.7 1.3 9.2% 15.5% .291 83 5.28 120 0.4
Kohl Simas 74.7 7.6 4.2 1.4 10.5% 18.9% .294 83 5.26 120 0.4
Josimar Cousin 54.3 5.1 2.5 1.3 6.3% 13.0% .289 84 5.02 119 0.4
Mike Mayers 82.3 7.1 3.6 1.4 9.0% 17.8% .296 84 5.04 119 0.4
John Brebbia 44.3 9.3 3.0 1.4 8.0% 24.5% .300 97 4.32 104 0.4
Jake Eder 67.0 8.7 5.2 1.3 12.8% 21.3% .288 82 5.31 121 0.4
Touki Toussaint 76.0 8.5 5.1 1.3 12.7% 21.3% .274 83 5.29 121 0.3
Jimmy Lambert 54.7 8.7 4.4 1.5 11.1% 21.7% .296 87 5.05 114 0.2
Garrett Schoenle 85.3 7.7 5.0 1.4 12.1% 18.8% .292 80 5.39 125 0.2
Jordan Leasure 46.7 9.8 4.2 1.4 10.8% 25.0% .283 97 4.50 103 0.2
Matt Foster 38.7 8.6 3.0 1.4 7.8% 22.3% .296 98 4.44 103 0.1
Jake Cousins 37.3 11.1 4.1 1.4 10.4% 28.2% .289 94 4.57 106 0.1
Deivi García 64.3 8.3 5.0 1.4 12.4% 20.3% .291 81 5.40 123 0.1
Lincoln Henzman 60.3 6.4 3.9 1.3 9.5% 15.7% .307 80 5.26 124 0.1
Brent Honeywell 53.7 7.2 3.7 1.5 9.2% 18.0% .296 83 5.23 120 0.1
J.B. Olson 42.7 5.5 3.2 1.3 7.9% 13.8% .303 82 5.06 122 0.1
Andrew Pérez 58.7 7.8 3.7 1.2 9.3% 19.7% .297 88 4.72 114 0.1
Alex Speas 48.0 10.1 5.1 1.1 12.4% 24.8% .281 89 4.76 113 0.0
Chad Kuhl 75.0 8.3 5.3 1.6 12.8% 20.1% .288 75 5.63 134 0.0
Jonah Scolaro 60.7 8.5 4.5 1.3 11.0% 20.9% .292 86 4.99 117 0.0
Jeremiah Burke 40.7 6.4 4.0 1.3 9.8% 15.8% .297 81 5.22 123 0.0
Luke Farrell 50.7 6.9 4.4 1.6 10.8% 16.9% .301 78 5.68 128 -0.1
José Ureña 67.0 6.3 4.3 1.5 10.5% 15.5% .297 75 5.51 134 -0.1
Jordan Holloway 42.7 10.1 6.8 1.5 16.0% 24.0% .287 79 5.53 127 -0.1
Lane Ramsey 49.3 8.9 4.9 1.3 11.9% 21.6% .304 84 4.82 118 -0.1
Haylen Green 52.7 6.8 3.6 1.4 9.1% 17.2% .292 84 5.13 119 -0.1
Tommy Sommer 71.7 6.2 5.8 1.4 13.7% 14.6% .286 73 5.85 137 -0.1
Daniel Ponce de Leon 61.3 7.5 5.9 1.5 14.0% 17.9% .297 74 5.86 136 -0.1
Adisyn Coffey 42.0 7.3 4.3 1.3 10.5% 17.9% .294 84 4.92 119 -0.1
Justin Anderson 31.7 9.7 5.1 1.4 12.2% 23.1% .298 80 5.06 125 -0.1
Hunter Dollander 50.0 6.8 5.0 1.4 12.1% 16.5% .294 77 5.74 129 -0.1
Nash Walters 45.0 8.8 4.8 1.4 11.8% 21.6% .296 83 5.19 121 -0.1
Chase Plymell 60.3 6.9 4.5 1.3 10.9% 16.8% .301 85 5.21 118 -0.1
Ben Holmes 33.0 7.6 4.4 1.6 10.7% 18.7% .296 79 5.56 126 -0.2
Alejandro Mateo 48.0 8.3 4.7 1.5 11.4% 20.1% .302 82 5.21 122 -0.2
Fraser Ellard 33.0 8.2 5.2 1.4 12.3% 19.5% .302 83 5.32 120 -0.2
Jared Kelley 62.7 7.0 6.6 1.3 15.5% 16.6% .295 73 5.86 136 -0.2
Chris Muller 38.0 8.5 5.4 1.4 13.1% 20.5% .299 79 5.31 126 -0.2
Luke Shilling 14.0 8.4 9.0 1.3 19.7% 18.3% .300 61 6.47 164 -0.3
Tristan Stivors 35.3 9.4 5.6 1.3 13.5% 22.7% .295 81 5.29 124 -0.3
Vince Vannelle 52.0 6.2 4.7 1.4 11.1% 14.8% .297 80 5.49 124 -0.3
Bryan Shaw 54.3 7.6 4.6 1.3 11.5% 18.9% .289 81 5.19 123 -0.3
Brooks Gosswein 63.0 6.0 6.1 1.4 14.2% 13.9% .297 70 6.22 142 -0.3
Tim Hill 41.3 5.7 2.8 1.5 7.1% 14.2% .301 79 5.43 126 -0.3
Nicholas Padilla 48.0 8.8 5.6 1.3 13.4% 21.0% .304 79 5.38 126 -0.3
Alex Colomé 38.3 6.3 4.2 1.6 10.3% 15.4% .298 77 5.79 131 -0.4
Caleb Freeman 32.3 7.8 6.7 1.4 15.4% 17.9% .295 74 5.95 135 -0.4
Edgar Navarro 50.7 7.3 5.7 1.4 13.3% 17.1% .291 76 6.06 132 -0.5
Gil Luna Jr. 34.0 9.3 8.5 1.3 18.9% 20.7% .286 68 6.20 147 -0.6

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Dylan Cease Bartolo Colon Chris Archer Chan Ho Park 박찬호
Mike Clevinger Chase Anderson Jason Hammel Alfredo Simon
Cristian Mena Jeff Sellers Trevor Cahill Gavin Floyd
Erick Fedde Bill Brenner John Conant Bob Snyder
Gregory Santos Kelvin Herrera Ray Burris Alan Guerrero
Davis Martin Paolo Espino Daryl Thompson Marco Estrada
Mason Adams Luis Cessa Matt Wisler Raul Alcantara
Mike Soroka Jim Melton Greg Perschke Tim Meeks
Michael Kopech Walt Masterson Joe Cowley Tom Phoebus
Nick Nastrini Tyler Clippard Steve Johnson Justin Miller
Chris Flexen Bob Kelly Mike Pelfrey Casey Kelly 켈리
Jesse Scholtens Jim Foxworth Bryan Bullington Dennis Springer
Jonathan Cannon Jose Urena Henderson Alvarez Jason Davis
Jared Shuster Yohander Mendez Sam Howard Bruce Zimmermann
Shane Drohan Shawn Morimando Dave Owen Mike Connolly
Liam Hendriks Lee Smith John Wetteland Tom Henke
Tanner Banks Bobby Shantz Bob Patterson Mike O’Connor
Ky Bush Larry Danforth Todd Douma Scott Christman
Jonathan Stiever Brian Aviles Mitch Wylie Paul Rigdon
John Parke Jasiel Acosta Ryan O’Malley Greg Smith
Chase Solesky Steve Hirschfeld Greg Ross Don Minnick
Sean Burke Art Ditmar Nicky Curtis Mike Weiss
Garrett Crochet Rex Brothers Kent Mercker Sparky Lyle
Johan Dominguez Mitch Wylie Matt Zidich Brian Aviles
Sammy Peralta Kevin Kobel Mike Willis Jason Kershner
Garrett Davila Kramer Sneed Kyle Hart Daniel Rosenbaum
Matthew Thompson Kyle Drabek Michael Lorenzen Mark Sappington
Nate Fisher Matt Blank Joe Magrane Matt Ruebel
Kohl Simas Charles Prediger Sheldon Andrews Mike Bellaman
Josimar Cousin Aaron West Mike Zamba Thomas Hallett
Mike Mayers Josh Smith Mike Griffin Ed Hobaugh
John Brebbia Lindy McDaniel Bruce Sutter David Hernandez
Jake Eder Azael Alvarez Steve Barr Bennett Parry
Touki Toussaint Chuck Estrada Jeff Robinson Jose de Jesus
Jimmy Lambert Pedro Beato Jason Childers Jason Arnold
Garrett Schoenle Barry Moore Daniel McGrath Ken Reynolds
Jordan Leasure Brad Voyles Manny Muniz Randor Bierd
Matt Foster Lee Gronkiewicz Casey Fien Aaron Cotter
Jake Cousins Jim Duffalo Rich Garces Danny Frisella
Deivi García Gil Downs Carl Moraw Chris Bassitt
Lincoln Henzman Eric Boudreaux Mike Badorek Sean Gleason
Brent Honeywell Thomas Atlee Alfredo Simon A.J. Achter
J.B. Olson Dave Bennett Dave Eilers Joe Jacobsen
Andrew Pérez Mike Myers Jeremy Papelbon Tom Bolton
Alex Speas Tommy Kahnle Chris Perez Shawn Armstrong
Chad Kuhl Jeff Robinson Jose G. Valdez Turk Lown
Jonah Scolaro Mike Mohler Efrain Valdez 발데스 Ramiro Martinez
Jeremiah Burke Billy Biggs Brad Pautz Ty Kelley
Luke Farrell Don Bradey Felipe Arredondo Sergio Lizarraga
José Ureña Homer Bailey Edwin Jackson Paul Wagner
Jordan Holloway Gene Pentz Jim Henderson Brandon Cunniff
Lane Ramsey Brennan Garr Joe Borowski Rocky Roquet
Haylen Green Ryan Sherriff Luis Pollorena Christian Torres
Tommy Sommer Dean Hummel Barry Moore Brett Mooneyham
Daniel Ponce de Leon Robert McCauley Sugar Cain Lucas Harrell 루카스
Adisyn Coffey Matt Stites Angel Nesbitt Jesse Simpson
Justin Anderson Marc Deschenes Dick Selma Toby Borland
Hunter Dollander Vince Bongiovanni Julio De La Cruz Zach Cates
Nash Walters Jeff Austin Brandon Backe Juan Rosario
Chase Plymell Julio DePaula 데폴라 Anthony Moreno Chris Granata
Ben Holmes Jim Poole Jerry Augustine Rommie Lewis
Alejandro Mateo Steve Sundra Dick Pole Rodolfo Aguirre
Fraser Ellard Mike Guilfoyle William McLaurine Rich Pickett
Jared Kelley Brett Gideon James Owen Phil Mudrock
Chris Muller Francisco Rodriguez Mark Lamm Aris Tirado
Luke Shilling Steve Larose Jeff Brueggemann Dick Manville
Tristan Stivors Roger Hambright John Marchese Steve Wright
Vince Vannelle Aaron Pullin Grant Johnson Chris Haslock
Bryan Shaw Willie Banks Jose Mesa Moe Burtschy
Brooks Gosswein Michael Mader Anthony Ferrara James McCaskill
Tim Hill Atlee Hammaker Mark Thurmond Lee Guetterman
Nicholas Padilla Steve Cline Dan Boitano R.J. Seidel
Alex Colomé Domingo Jean Homer Gibson Dyar Miller
Caleb Freeman Mike Heinen Donald Hammitt Guy Hansen
Edgar Navarro Rafael Dolis Ryan Perry Barry Manuel
Gil Luna Jr. Joe Kraemer Tyler Ybarra David Ross

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Dylan Cease .241 .330 .396 .215 .292 .351 4.1 1.3 3.32 4.81
Mike Clevinger .253 .323 .444 .251 .312 .414 2.0 0.5 4.08 5.26
Cristian Mena .266 .338 .443 .237 .318 .400 2.1 0.4 4.17 5.42
Erick Fedde .265 .323 .467 .257 .313 .456 2.1 0.2 4.23 5.61
Gregory Santos .238 .301 .346 .237 .293 .326 1.9 0.0 2.69 4.98
Davis Martin .260 .335 .428 .247 .319 .421 1.6 0.4 4.03 5.29
Mason Adams .257 .315 .470 .263 .317 .400 1.6 0.4 4.13 5.30
Mike Soroka .277 .344 .484 .243 .312 .387 1.7 0.2 4.17 5.49
Michael Kopech .231 .335 .421 .236 .328 .412 1.7 -0.2 4.24 5.87
Nick Nastrini .250 .351 .434 .238 .325 .395 1.6 0.1 4.33 5.64
Chris Flexen .256 .325 .428 .308 .359 .498 1.5 0.3 4.52 5.71
Jesse Scholtens .270 .348 .427 .263 .318 .449 1.6 0.2 4.25 5.50
Jonathan Cannon .262 .335 .411 .279 .321 .478 1.4 0.3 4.55 5.49
Jared Shuster .278 .345 .496 .255 .324 .416 1.4 0.0 4.63 5.69
Shane Drohan .298 .376 .444 .242 .333 .428 1.4 0.0 4.51 5.64
Liam Hendriks .222 .284 .395 .222 .283 .400 1.4 0.0 2.32 6.10
Tanner Banks .250 .314 .402 .263 .310 .444 1.4 0.1 3.51 5.15
Ky Bush .276 .333 .418 .255 .333 .436 1.1 0.2 4.48 5.54
Jonathan Stiever .265 .341 .462 .265 .319 .432 1.1 0.1 4.12 5.60
John Parke .270 .331 .409 .286 .351 .475 1.0 0.0 4.63 5.67
Chase Solesky .278 .345 .417 .283 .344 .493 1.2 0.0 4.65 5.70
Sean Burke .262 .364 .454 .237 .331 .382 1.0 0.1 4.55 5.67
Garrett Crochet .230 .329 .377 .221 .309 .379 1.0 -0.1 3.19 5.25
Johan Dominguez .259 .326 .448 .277 .338 .453 0.9 0.1 4.43 5.60
Sammy Peralta .229 .306 .354 .268 .324 .455 1.1 -0.1 3.81 5.45
Garrett Davila .217 .311 .326 .288 .369 .485 1.1 -0.3 4.72 5.95
Matthew Thompson .234 .341 .373 .279 .368 .488 1.0 -0.3 4.93 6.03
Nate Fisher .259 .339 .402 .271 .349 .467 0.9 -0.2 4.75 5.88
Kohl Simas .252 .350 .452 .267 .343 .447 0.9 -0.2 4.64 5.88
Josimar Cousin .286 .333 .467 .263 .320 .430 0.6 0.1 4.74 5.67
Mike Mayers .256 .335 .462 .273 .335 .442 1.0 -0.2 4.46 5.88
John Brebbia .260 .333 .507 .240 .294 .380 0.8 -0.1 3.58 5.67
Jake Eder .222 .340 .333 .253 .362 .455 0.9 -0.1 4.61 5.94
Touki Toussaint .254 .380 .462 .217 .321 .354 0.9 -0.3 4.56 6.03
Jimmy Lambert .250 .345 .440 .254 .333 .439 0.7 -0.3 4.18 5.87
Garrett Schoenle .236 .339 .340 .265 .362 .483 0.7 -0.5 4.83 6.08
Jordan Leasure .235 .326 .420 .227 .309 .392 0.6 -0.2 3.74 5.14
Matt Foster .254 .321 .423 .250 .307 .450 0.5 -0.2 3.64 5.47
Jake Cousins .238 .360 .460 .215 .292 .367 0.5 -0.3 3.67 5.69
Deivi García .271 .387 .449 .233 .327 .414 0.5 -0.4 4.78 6.06
Lincoln Henzman .287 .357 .452 .271 .354 .457 0.5 -0.3 4.82 6.01
Brent Honeywell .260 .345 .427 .271 .336 .483 0.5 -0.3 4.52 5.95
J.B. Olson .296 .367 .506 .269 .324 .409 0.4 -0.2 4.65 5.90
Andrew Pérez .244 .320 .395 .262 .341 .434 0.5 -0.4 4.26 5.63
Alex Speas .233 .359 .337 .211 .327 .411 0.5 -0.7 4.13 6.26
Chad Kuhl .255 .377 .469 .248 .335 .430 0.5 -0.6 5.09 6.63
Jonah Scolaro .247 .330 .390 .250 .346 .438 0.4 -0.6 4.33 5.89
Jeremiah Burke .278 .360 .418 .262 .337 .476 0.2 -0.3 4.70 5.97
Luke Farrell .283 .380 .489 .268 .341 .464 0.3 -0.5 4.83 6.41
José Ureña .299 .379 .507 .250 .327 .434 0.3 -0.5 5.21 6.48
Jordan Holloway .241 .362 .443 .226 .365 .405 0.3 -0.6 4.79 6.67
Lane Ramsey .261 .363 .420 .245 .331 .425 0.4 -0.5 4.30 5.96
Haylen Green .239 .313 .324 .275 .353 .500 0.3 -0.5 4.50 5.89
Tommy Sommer .250 .350 .432 .270 .374 .459 0.3 -0.6 5.38 6.57
Daniel Ponce de Leon .239 .360 .407 .285 .386 .485 0.3 -0.6 5.25 6.76
Adisyn Coffey .263 .349 .461 .256 .327 .411 0.2 -0.4 4.56 5.83
Justin Anderson .246 .358 .456 .242 .338 .409 0.2 -0.5 4.41 6.66
Hunter Dollander .272 .393 .489 .262 .339 .421 0.2 -0.5 5.02 6.28
Nash Walters .271 .386 .459 .231 .317 .407 0.2 -0.6 4.49 6.24
Chase Plymell .270 .359 .405 .269 .342 .477 0.2 -0.5 4.60 5.66
Ben Holmes .214 .313 .333 .289 .369 .533 0.1 -0.5 4.71 6.35
Alejandro Mateo .272 .368 .478 .253 .330 .424 0.2 -0.7 4.56 6.34
Fraser Ellard .227 .333 .318 .276 .373 .506 0.0 -0.5 4.68 6.03
Jared Kelley .252 .382 .439 .270 .377 .433 0.2 -0.8 5.28 6.74
Chris Muller .273 .377 .455 .241 .340 .434 0.0 -0.7 4.76 6.47
Luke Shilling .259 .429 .407 .250 .400 .429 -0.1 -0.4 6.04 8.50
Tristan Stivors .254 .390 .397 .230 .341 .432 0.0 -0.6 4.76 6.30
Vince Vannelle .270 .368 .470 .275 .344 .440 0.0 -0.6 4.86 5.97
Bryan Shaw .255 .355 .372 .252 .338 .471 0.2 -0.9 4.46 6.54
Brooks Gosswein .264 .393 .375 .280 .383 .505 0.1 -0.8 5.65 6.88
Tim Hill .258 .329 .394 .301 .360 .534 0.0 -0.6 4.67 6.20
Nicholas Padilla .281 .390 .472 .230 .350 .390 0.1 -0.8 4.72 6.37
Alex Colomé .278 .373 .486 .277 .344 .482 -0.1 -0.7 4.79 6.73
Caleb Freeman .267 .405 .467 .250 .358 .426 -0.1 -0.7 5.12 6.88
Edgar Navarro .284 .407 .500 .241 .358 .402 -0.2 -0.9 5.16 6.47
Gil Luna Jr. .238 .385 .357 .236 .400 .449 -0.3 -1.0 5.58 7.68

Here are how the ZiPS percentiles worked out in 2023 for pitchers and hitters in in 2023. Percentiles are based on the projected PA or TBF.

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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WanderingWindermember
2 months ago

Instead, he’ll be a key cog in their quest to win 70 games.”

Not wrong, but ouch, that’s painful to read, even as someone with no connection to the team.