2024 ZiPS Projections: Tampa Bay Rays

For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Tampa Bay Rays.

Batters

With the sudden collapse of the Cardinals, the Rays are arguably the holders of the crown in the solid-but-not-spectacular department. With one problematic exception, just looking at the depth chart, you see a whole bunch of twos and threes but no obvious MVP candidates, unless Yandy Díaz finds yet another extra gear in him. But there’s also almost nowhere on the diamond where you expect a huge collapse if forced to find an emergency fill-in. Manuel Margot can capably take any outfield job handily, and elsewhere, Curtis Mead, Vidal Bruján, Junior Caminero, and Jonathan Aranda can cover most anything needed outside of catcher.

It’s hard, however, to ignore the Wander Franco situation when discussing how good the Rays will be next year. The legal situation is something for the Dominican Republic to handle, but the Rays still have to do their baseball planning around it, and as of right now, they have an All-Star with MVP upside who may never play again due to some serious allegations in his home country. Four wins is a pretty big swing, and there isn’t really a suitable store-brand generic version of him that the Rays can come up with as a Plan B. That could be Carson Williams soon, but the start of 2024 seems to be a bit too quickly; his modest .202/.274/.366 projections in ZiPS is a whopping 60 points lower than his Steamer projection.

I expect the team to do its usual dollar store shopping and find another catcher, another candidate for shortstop, and maybe an extra bat for designated hitter, which looks to be the weakest spot in ZiPS. On that last point, ZiPS is definitely not bullish on Harold Ramírez repeating his 2023 numbers.

Pitchers

Losing Shane McClanahan for a year is brutal. The Rays lost more than their fair share of starting pitchers this season, but he was one of the key elements that made the injuries to Shane Baz, Jeffrey Springs, and Drew Rasmussen survivable. Now, though, McClanahan is out for 2024, Springs and Rasmussen are both likely to miss a large part of the season, and Baz’s exact return is very much up in the air.

Even if you’re very optimistic in relying on the health of Tyler Glasnow, he may not be back in Tampa next season. That means a lot of the Rays’ pitching fate is in the arms of Zach Eflin and Aaron Civale, though ZiPS at least is bullish on both of them for ’24. Taj Bradley’s stint in the majors came with some real hiccups, but a lot of the problem is the home run rate, which is extremely volatile for pitchers. ZiPS at least thinks he will take a spot in the middle of the rotation at some point, and the Steamer projection is nearly identical. Maybe Tampa will fix Cal Quantrill or something!

ZiPS is usually exuberant about the Rays’ bullpen, but this time around, instead of the usual 10–12 pitchers on the depth chart projected to be above average, I’m only counting seven or eight. They still have a lot of interesting options that nobody has ever heard of, like Chris Gau and Cameron Leonard, but it’s actually sparser in that department than most seasons. I expect to see the Rays hand out NRIs to a larger-than-typical number of minor league FA relievers this spring. Adam Leverett is another name to remember, recently picked up from the Phillies in a quiet trade. Don’t be surprised at that platoon split projection; he’s had notable reverse splits in the minors due mainly to his best pitch being a lively changeup with some nice fade. If converted to full-time relief, ZiPS projects a 3.89 ERA/108 ERA+, making him potentially another useful player plucked from the Island of Misfit Toys.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Wander Franco B 23 SS 493 446 67 122 25 6 15 64 41 61 21 7
Isaac Paredes R 25 3B 562 486 67 117 26 1 26 87 60 99 1 1
Randy Arozarena R 29 LF 628 545 88 144 30 3 22 83 63 152 21 10
Yandy Díaz R 32 1B 550 478 72 137 27 0 15 65 65 80 1 1
Brandon Lowe L 29 2B 487 427 67 102 22 1 24 73 50 129 6 1
Josh Lowe L 26 RF 523 474 66 123 30 3 16 71 43 143 25 2
Dominic Keegan R 23 C 447 399 44 90 18 2 10 50 37 114 1 1
Jonathan Aranda L 26 2B 532 466 67 118 23 2 15 73 50 126 2 1
Jose Siri R 28 CF 411 383 56 85 17 3 16 60 22 142 15 3
Kenny Piper R 25 C 341 303 38 62 14 1 11 43 25 104 2 1
Curtis Mead R 23 3B 408 366 46 91 25 1 9 49 32 83 3 2
Alex Jackson R 28 C 259 235 29 51 13 1 11 38 16 87 0 1
Luke Raley L 29 RF 387 339 51 80 15 2 15 53 27 119 10 2
Vidal Bruján B 26 2B 427 387 56 93 19 3 8 45 33 85 21 12
Taylor Walls B 27 2B 403 352 51 73 17 2 8 39 47 104 17 3
Austin Shenton L 26 3B 504 444 60 100 29 1 14 66 52 154 0 1
Kameron Misner L 26 CF 497 433 57 83 21 2 11 54 57 189 13 4
Carson Williams R 21 SS 533 484 59 98 19 6 16 66 40 207 11 7
Junior Caminero R 20 3B 526 488 61 121 14 3 19 75 30 120 4 3
Manuel Margot R 29 CF 391 359 44 93 19 2 7 43 27 65 10 4
René Pinto R 27 C 336 317 33 72 17 0 12 44 15 111 1 1
Tristan Gray L 28 SS 475 436 50 88 18 2 17 60 30 165 1 2
Logan Driscoll L 26 C 368 337 39 74 16 1 7 40 21 109 2 1
Francisco Mejía B 28 C 286 268 32 66 17 2 7 34 11 63 0 1
Harold Ramírez R 29 LF 429 399 46 111 22 1 9 56 19 75 4 3
Dru Baker R 24 RF 470 429 56 99 14 5 8 53 30 129 24 3
Tanner Murray R 24 2B 249 231 27 55 16 2 4 28 13 59 1 1
Jeffry Parra R 26 C 193 173 16 37 9 0 3 22 14 53 0 1
Osleivis Basabe R 23 SS 512 474 55 117 25 5 3 50 29 90 11 5
Chandler Simpson L 23 CF 513 466 70 118 13 3 0 37 35 59 44 9
Greg Jones B 26 CF 322 293 39 59 10 3 7 35 21 133 17 3
Ruben Cardenas R 26 RF 493 450 56 101 17 3 15 59 36 147 5 7
Nick Dini R 30 C 241 210 30 43 8 0 6 26 24 63 3 1
Bob Seymour L 25 1B 368 334 42 76 14 1 11 46 28 124 2 1
Shane Sasaki R 23 CF 336 306 43 71 14 2 5 36 25 98 12 3
Tristan Peters L 24 LF 458 416 53 97 20 5 5 45 34 94 9 4
Ronny Simon B 24 2B 516 473 57 101 21 3 11 53 34 128 15 6
Niko Hulsizer R 27 LF 429 379 51 74 20 1 12 49 43 171 5 3
Billy Hamilton B 33 CF 143 130 21 22 5 1 1 9 10 52 10 1
Raimel Tapia L 30 RF 398 364 47 87 15 2 6 37 28 86 14 3
Erik Ostberg L 28 C 192 177 18 36 7 1 4 19 13 62 1 1
Johan Lopez R 23 SS 260 231 26 44 10 1 3 24 21 87 5 1
Matthew Dyer R 25 LF 230 212 22 40 7 2 5 26 13 99 3 1
Willy Vasquez R 22 3B 499 465 51 99 15 4 10 48 29 148 10 5
Alexander Ovalles L 23 LF 325 288 36 60 11 2 5 31 30 93 4 2
Roberto Alvarez R 24 DH 190 176 16 39 5 1 1 15 9 47 0 1
Evan Edwards L 27 1B 386 342 33 65 10 2 11 43 37 150 6 1
Diego Infante R 24 RF 437 405 50 93 17 2 10 49 26 146 9 4
Heriberto Hernandez R 24 RF 471 411 52 84 18 1 12 52 47 165 4 2
Gionti Turner R 23 2B 262 234 25 44 6 0 1 20 15 80 6 3
Mason Auer R 23 CF 520 477 51 92 17 6 9 50 35 192 27 7
Blake Robertson L 23 1B 359 326 38 67 12 2 5 36 28 120 1 1
Nick Schnell L 24 RF 352 320 40 56 12 1 8 33 26 152 3 1
Jalen Battles R 24 2B 349 325 34 63 6 1 4 27 17 119 4 6
Alejandro Pie R 22 3B 171 156 17 23 4 0 1 13 9 80 5 1

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA
Wander Franco 493 .274 .335 .457 123 .184 .289 5 3.6 .339
Isaac Paredes 562 .241 .336 .459 124 .218 .252 0 3.2 .343
Randy Arozarena 628 .264 .355 .451 128 .187 .329 -1 2.8 .349
Yandy Díaz 550 .287 .376 .437 131 .151 .319 1 2.7 .356
Brandon Lowe 487 .239 .326 .464 122 .225 .285 -1 2.6 .339
Josh Lowe 523 .259 .321 .437 113 .177 .340 5 2.3 .325
Dominic Keegan 447 .226 .298 .356 86 .130 .291 7 1.7 .288
Jonathan Aranda 532 .253 .336 .408 111 .155 .317 -9 1.4 .325
Jose Siri 411 .222 .268 .407 89 .185 .307 7 1.4 .289
Kenny Piper 341 .205 .287 .366 85 .162 .271 6 1.3 .288
Curtis Mead 408 .249 .316 .396 102 .148 .299 0 1.1 .310
Alex Jackson 259 .217 .286 .421 98 .204 .292 2 1.1 .303
Luke Raley 387 .236 .324 .425 111 .189 .317 -1 1.1 .327
Vidal Bruján 427 .240 .305 .367 91 .127 .289 2 0.9 .295
Taylor Walls 403 .207 .301 .335 81 .128 .271 3 0.9 .285
Austin Shenton 504 .225 .313 .390 99 .164 .312 -4 0.9 .308
Kameron Misner 497 .192 .290 .326 76 .134 .309 7 0.8 .277
Carson Williams 533 .202 .274 .366 80 .163 .314 2 0.8 .280
Junior Caminero 526 .248 .297 .406 98 .158 .292 -4 0.8 .303
Manuel Margot 391 .259 .313 .382 97 .123 .300 -3 0.7 .303
René Pinto 336 .227 .268 .394 86 .167 .309 0 0.6 .285
Tristan Gray 475 .202 .262 .369 77 .167 .280 2 0.5 .274
Logan Driscoll 368 .220 .277 .335 74 .116 .303 2 0.5 .270
Francisco Mejía 286 .246 .284 .403 93 .157 .298 -3 0.5 .295
Harold Ramírez 429 .278 .319 .406 105 .128 .324 -4 0.3 .314
Dru Baker 470 .231 .294 .343 81 .112 .312 4 0.3 .282
Tanner Murray 249 .238 .289 .377 88 .139 .304 0 0.3 .290
Jeffry Parra 193 .214 .295 .318 75 .104 .291 0 0.2 .277
Osleivis Basabe 512 .247 .294 .340 80 .093 .299 -3 0.2 .279
Chandler Simpson 513 .253 .308 .294 73 .041 .290 -3 0.0 .271
Greg Jones 322 .201 .268 .328 69 .126 .340 1 0.0 .264
Ruben Cardenas 493 .224 .286 .376 87 .151 .299 3 -0.1 .288
Nick Dini 241 .205 .299 .329 79 .124 .262 -5 -0.1 .282
Bob Seymour 368 .228 .293 .374 89 .147 .327 1 -0.1 .292
Shane Sasaki 336 .232 .295 .340 81 .108 .325 -5 -0.2 .281
Tristan Peters 458 .233 .297 .341 82 .108 .290 2 -0.2 .282
Ronny Simon 516 .214 .268 .340 72 .127 .269 -1 -0.4 .267
Niko Hulsizer 429 .195 .284 .348 79 .153 .316 2 -0.4 .279
Billy Hamilton 143 .169 .227 .246 35 .077 .273 2 -0.4 .213
Raimel Tapia 398 .239 .293 .341 80 .102 .298 -2 -0.5 .279
Erik Ostberg 192 .203 .260 .322 65 .119 .288 -5 -0.6 .257
Johan Lopez 260 .190 .270 .281 58 .091 .291 -4 -0.7 .250
Matthew Dyer 230 .189 .248 .311 58 .123 .324 2 -0.7 .247
Willy Vasquez 499 .213 .261 .327 66 .114 .290 0 -0.8 .258
Alexander Ovalles 325 .208 .288 .313 72 .104 .289 -1 -0.8 .269
Roberto Alvarez 190 .222 .274 .278 58 .057 .297 0 -0.8 .249
Evan Edwards 386 .190 .277 .327 72 .137 .298 0 -0.9 .270
Diego Infante 437 .230 .279 .356 79 .126 .333 -4 -1.1 .276
Heriberto Hernandez 471 .204 .293 .341 80 .136 .308 -6 -1.1 .282
Gionti Turner 262 .188 .257 .226 40 .038 .281 -1 -1.2 .224
Mason Auer 520 .193 .256 .310 61 .117 .301 -4 -1.2 .250
Blake Robertson 359 .206 .279 .301 66 .095 .308 -1 -1.2 .261
Nick Schnell 352 .175 .237 .294 50 .119 .300 3 -1.4 .235
Jalen Battles 349 .194 .242 .255 42 .062 .292 1 -1.5 .224
Alejandro Pie 171 .147 .216 .192 18 .045 .293 -4 -1.5 .192

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Wander Franco Bobby Valentine Paul Molitor Alex Bregman
Isaac Paredes Bob Horner Willie Jones Rico Petrocelli
Randy Arozarena Al Smith Lonnie Smith Bobby Abreu
Yandy Díaz Keith Hernandez Wes Parker Sam Leslie
Brandon Lowe Rickie Weeks Jr. Carmen Fanzone Max Muncy
Josh Lowe Ramón Laureano Dwight Smith Mike Davis
Dominic Keegan Joe Durso John Ramos Bill Fahey
Jonathan Aranda Bret Barberie Neil Walker Gil McDougald
Jose Siri Glenallen Hill Bob Cerv Bill Schlesinger
Kenny Piper Duffy Dyer Bob Geren Jeff Goldbach
Curtis Mead Ramon Conde Jeff Ronk Aramis Ramirez
Alex Jackson Bill Schroeder Troy Afenir Tom Murphy
Luke Raley Harrison Bader Curtis Pride Steven Souza Jr.
Vidal Bruján Derrel Thomas Nelson Liriano Pablo Reyes
Taylor Walls Junior Spivey Lance Blankenship Josh Johnson
Austin Shenton Russ Canzler Keith Ginter Jake Lamb
Kameron Misner Clifton Matthew Brett Jackson Whitey Herzog
Carson Williams Jake Wood Fernando Tatis Jr. Trevor Story
Junior Caminero Frank Johnson Glenn Hubbard Ted Cox
Manuel Margot Jason Ellison Russ Snyder Miguel Dilone
René Pinto Humberto Cota Jim Campbell Floyd Rayford
Tristan Gray Leo Burke Don Eggert Roy Smalley
Logan Driscoll Matt Koch Merritt Ranew J.C. Martin
Francisco Mejía Orlando Sanchez John Stephenson Rob Natal
Harold Ramírez Walt Williams Russ Snyder Jim Holt
Dru Baker Jarren Duran Lorenzo Cain Gino Cimoli
Tanner Murray Mike Easom Joey Amalfitano Austin Hoffman
Jeffry Parra David Nitschke Adrian Martinez Dustin Smith
Osleivis Basabe Alcides Escobar Andrelton Simmons Jack Wilson
Chandler Simpson Jason Tyner Zach Granite Ender Inciarte
Greg Jones Armond Upshaw Steve Walker Roche Woodard
Ruben Cardenas Gary Ward Mark Whiten Lee Walls
Nick Dini Chris Herrmann Jamie Nelson Eric Christopherson
Bob Seymour Chris Duffy Kelly Dugan Adam Brown
Shane Sasaki Mike Basse Kevin Rhomberg Alvin McGrew
Tristan Peters Ricky Otero Nino Escalera TJ Friedl
Ronny Simon Jose Olmeda Kevin Castleberry Chase d’Arnaud
Niko Hulsizer Jack Davis Steve Hosey Chris Knabenshue
Billy Hamilton Thurman Tucker Anthony Iapoce Steve Lyons
Raimel Tapia Roger Cedeno Alfredo Amezaga Adam Stern
Erik Ostberg Craig Maddox Jorge Meran Dick Kinaman
Johan Lopez Joe Becker Mike Rouse Brian Wilson
Matthew Dyer Rich Lemons Jordan Newton Runey Davis
Willy Vasquez Luis Cruz Tyler Goeddel Noel Roman
Alexander Ovalles Jason Jackson Tim Knight John Sharkey
Roberto Alvarez Carlos Quinones Carlton Tanabe Addison Maruszak
Evan Edwards Jim Orsag Craig Brooks Greyson Jenista
Diego Infante Vince Ferguson Jarvis Tatum Bobby Mitchell
Heriberto Hernandez Randy Asadoor James Ramsey Jim Orsag
Gionti Turner Lonnie Goldberg Yowill Espinal Brent Sakurai
Mason Auer Juan Tolentino Julio Ramirez Rod Lindsey
Blake Robertson Drew Miller Paul Hodgson Will Kengor
Nick Schnell Austin Byler David Howard Dave Dillard
Jalen Battles Jim Payne Lino Connell Garret Osilka
Alejandro Pie Agustin Septimo Roosevelt Turner Yafistel Roja

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Wander Franco .296 .363 .515 146 5.0 .243 .310 .400 100 2.2
Isaac Paredes .263 .363 .509 143 4.5 .220 .315 .403 104 1.9
Randy Arozarena .288 .378 .504 147 4.2 .239 .330 .401 109 1.4
Yandy Díaz .313 .401 .477 148 3.8 .261 .348 .400 114 1.5
Brandon Lowe .260 .350 .530 144 3.8 .218 .305 .414 102 1.5
Josh Lowe .286 .349 .483 133 3.6 .233 .296 .387 94 0.9
Dominic Keegan .251 .320 .403 105 2.7 .201 .272 .318 70 0.9
Jonathan Aranda .276 .360 .456 129 2.5 .228 .310 .362 93 0.2
Jose Siri .247 .291 .464 110 2.5 .196 .241 .360 69 0.3
Kenny Piper .235 .319 .422 104 2.2 .179 .261 .317 63 0.4
Curtis Mead .276 .341 .442 121 2.1 .229 .296 .351 85 0.3
Alex Jackson .244 .313 .488 120 1.7 .186 .253 .355 71 0.2
Luke Raley .263 .347 .478 131 1.9 .210 .299 .379 93 0.2
Vidal Bruján .264 .331 .414 109 1.9 .216 .280 .333 74 0.0
Taylor Walls .233 .325 .387 100 1.9 .182 .275 .294 64 0.0
Austin Shenton .249 .339 .438 118 2.0 .202 .292 .341 81 -0.2
Kameron Misner .217 .311 .372 93 1.8 .166 .264 .283 57 -0.3
Carson Williams .227 .306 .426 103 2.3 .179 .252 .316 62 -0.5
Junior Caminero .273 .324 .463 120 2.3 .223 .274 .354 80 -0.5
Manuel Margot .286 .339 .424 114 1.5 .234 .288 .341 79 -0.2
René Pinto .257 .296 .446 107 1.4 .198 .240 .341 66 -0.3
Tristan Gray .227 .283 .421 97 1.5 .179 .238 .324 61 -0.6
Logan Driscoll .247 .305 .375 91 1.2 .191 .256 .290 55 -0.4
Francisco Mejía .274 .314 .461 117 1.3 .220 .258 .352 73 -0.2
Harold Ramírez .307 .348 .445 124 1.4 .249 .292 .362 86 -0.6
Dru Baker .258 .318 .385 99 1.3 .208 .270 .303 66 -0.6
Tanner Murray .264 .316 .428 109 0.9 .213 .268 .334 70 -0.3
Jeffry Parra .241 .324 .364 95 0.7 .181 .266 .270 54 -0.3
Osleivis Basabe .274 .322 .385 101 1.6 .223 .270 .306 65 -0.8
Chandler Simpson .280 .336 .328 90 1.1 .226 .282 .265 58 -1.1
Greg Jones .228 .296 .381 89 0.8 .171 .240 .284 50 -0.8
Ruben Cardenas .249 .310 .419 106 1.0 .200 .256 .326 66 -1.4
Nick Dini .235 .330 .386 101 0.6 .178 .268 .278 58 -0.7
Bob Seymour .254 .322 .426 108 0.7 .199 .265 .325 66 -1.1
Shane Sasaki .262 .320 .388 101 0.6 .208 .266 .304 62 -1.0
Tristan Peters .256 .320 .378 97 0.7 .209 .271 .309 66 -1.2
Ronny Simon .240 .296 .386 92 0.9 .191 .245 .302 55 -1.5
Niko Hulsizer .219 .311 .403 99 0.6 .167 .256 .291 58 -1.6
Billy Hamilton .201 .258 .297 58 0.0 .145 .198 .208 17 -0.8
Raimel Tapia .265 .319 .386 98 0.4 .213 .266 .297 62 -1.5
Erik Ostberg .237 .293 .378 89 0.0 .174 .229 .274 44 -1.1
Johan Lopez .220 .304 .339 81 0.0 .164 .242 .236 39 -1.3
Matthew Dyer .219 .279 .370 82 -0.1 .162 .222 .261 39 -1.3
Willy Vasquez .236 .287 .366 84 0.3 .188 .239 .284 51 -1.8
Alexander Ovalles .235 .314 .355 90 -0.1 .186 .264 .271 56 -1.4
Roberto Alvarez .247 .299 .318 76 -0.4 .195 .248 .246 42 -1.2
Evan Edwards .217 .303 .375 91 0.0 .163 .250 .275 51 -1.9
Diego Infante .256 .302 .398 97 -0.1 .205 .249 .312 60 -2.1
Heriberto Hernandez .227 .317 .382 96 -0.2 .181 .264 .297 61 -2.2
Gionti Turner .219 .283 .262 56 -0.7 .163 .229 .196 23 -1.7
Mason Auer .218 .277 .353 79 0.0 .171 .235 .266 46 -2.2
Blake Robertson .227 .303 .342 81 -0.6 .179 .255 .263 47 -2.0
Nick Schnell .204 .263 .341 70 -0.6 .150 .212 .248 33 -2.2
Jalen Battles .218 .269 .290 57 -0.8 .169 .218 .225 27 -2.1
Alejandro Pie .179 .248 .237 38 -1.1 .123 .191 .157 1 -1.9

Batters – Projected Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Wander Franco .278 .344 .465 .272 .330 .454
Isaac Paredes .251 .352 .470 .234 .327 .452
Randy Arozarena .276 .371 .475 .258 .347 .440
Yandy Díaz .292 .388 .458 .284 .370 .426
Brandon Lowe .229 .309 .440 .242 .332 .472
Josh Lowe .248 .314 .418 .265 .325 .445
Dominic Keegan .231 .307 .374 .222 .292 .345
Jonathan Aranda .242 .328 .388 .259 .341 .419
Jose Siri .225 .276 .404 .220 .263 .409
Kenny Piper .209 .292 .383 .202 .284 .356
Curtis Mead .255 .328 .412 .244 .306 .383
Alex Jackson .222 .294 .444 .213 .280 .404
Luke Raley .232 .330 .414 .238 .321 .429
Vidal Bruján .238 .310 .369 .242 .301 .365
Taylor Walls .211 .310 .350 .205 .296 .328
Austin Shenton .215 .302 .356 .231 .319 .407
Kameron Misner .179 .275 .314 .199 .299 .332
Carson Williams .201 .276 .370 .203 .273 .363
Junior Caminero .255 .312 .410 .243 .287 .403
Manuel Margot .272 .328 .392 .252 .304 .376
René Pinto .231 .276 .392 .224 .261 .397
Tristan Gray .194 .256 .352 .207 .265 .380
Logan Driscoll .207 .270 .306 .226 .280 .350
Francisco Mejía .256 .292 .411 .242 .280 .399
Harold Ramírez .289 .333 .408 .272 .312 .405
Dru Baker .231 .297 .344 .230 .293 .342
Tanner Murray .250 .301 .406 .230 .281 .356
Jeffry Parra .222 .309 .319 .208 .286 .317
Osleivis Basabe .250 .302 .351 .244 .288 .331
Chandler Simpson .240 .298 .281 .258 .311 .299
Greg Jones .202 .272 .323 .201 .265 .331
Ruben Cardenas .224 .290 .388 .225 .283 .365
Nick Dini .207 .302 .348 .203 .296 .314
Bob Seymour .214 .284 .347 .233 .297 .386
Shane Sasaki .230 .301 .344 .234 .290 .337
Tristan Peters .224 .286 .333 .238 .303 .346
Ronny Simon .207 .268 .324 .218 .269 .351
Niko Hulsizer .204 .302 .359 .189 .270 .340
Billy Hamilton .171 .227 .220 .169 .227 .258
Raimel Tapia .231 .276 .297 .242 .299 .355
Erik Ostberg .190 .242 .276 .210 .269 .345
Johan Lopez .189 .275 .283 .192 .266 .280
Matthew Dyer .192 .252 .303 .186 .244 .319
Willy Vasquez .219 .275 .343 .209 .252 .317
Alexander Ovalles .205 .282 .308 .211 .292 .316
Roberto Alvarez .232 .284 .280 .213 .265 .277
Evan Edwards .183 .268 .317 .194 .283 .333
Diego Infante .232 .292 .351 .227 .268 .359
Heriberto Hernandez .206 .303 .349 .203 .286 .335
Gionti Turner .188 .257 .219 .188 .257 .232
Mason Auer .196 .263 .309 .191 .251 .311
Blake Robertson .196 .267 .283 .209 .283 .308
Nick Schnell .169 .227 .270 .177 .241 .303
Jalen Battles .195 .250 .236 .193 .237 .267
Alejandro Pie .156 .217 .188 .141 .216 .196

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Shane McClanahan L 27 11 5 3.13 24 24 135.0 112 47 15 39 147
Zach Eflin R 30 12 7 3.38 27 26 146.7 136 55 16 24 143
Tyler Glasnow R 30 10 5 3.25 22 22 119.0 93 43 14 38 151
Jeffrey Springs L 31 6 4 3.31 27 15 89.7 76 33 12 25 108
Drew Rasmussen R 28 7 4 3.28 22 17 90.7 78 33 8 25 87
Aaron Civale R 29 6 6 3.94 23 23 118.7 108 52 15 32 111
Taj Bradley R 23 9 8 4.18 31 29 137.7 125 64 20 48 140
Anthony Molina R 22 6 6 4.31 27 26 123.3 132 59 14 38 79
Mason Montgomery L 24 5 5 4.30 27 27 115.0 108 55 14 49 105
Pete Fairbanks R 30 5 2 3.00 53 1 48.0 35 16 4 19 69
Jacob Lopez L 26 4 4 4.31 26 21 96.0 89 46 12 41 95
Cooper Criswell R 27 5 5 4.34 26 15 103.7 107 50 13 25 81
Zack Littell R 28 5 3 3.86 36 10 81.7 78 35 11 18 67
Nathan Wiles R 25 5 4 4.44 25 21 97.3 104 48 14 21 66
Brendan McKay L 28 4 3 4.23 19 17 72.3 70 34 11 23 73
Logan Workman R 25 4 4 4.31 20 19 79.3 79 38 10 25 65
Shane Baz R 25 3 3 4.11 15 14 61.3 55 28 8 22 66
Sean Hunley R 24 6 6 4.65 26 22 102.7 108 53 15 29 67
Robert Stephenson R 31 4 2 3.23 58 0 53.0 41 19 7 17 69
Colin Poche L 30 8 5 3.52 66 0 61.3 50 24 7 23 66
Victor Castaneda R 25 5 4 4.50 21 16 84.0 82 42 11 38 76
Cole Wilcox R 24 6 6 4.63 23 23 93.3 96 48 13 33 69
Patrick Wicklander L 24 4 5 4.66 26 16 96.7 101 50 14 33 73
Kevin Kelly R 26 4 3 3.61 52 0 62.3 55 25 5 16 57
Jason Adam R 32 4 2 3.48 56 0 54.3 40 21 6 20 66
Shawn Armstrong R 33 2 1 3.67 45 4 54.0 50 22 6 16 57
Andrew Kittredge R 34 4 3 3.50 38 2 43.7 42 17 5 9 37
Tyler Alexander L 29 4 5 4.39 26 9 69.7 69 34 11 17 60
Trevor Brigden R 28 4 4 4.04 39 2 64.7 59 29 8 26 66
Ian Seymour L 25 1 2 4.47 18 18 56.3 52 28 8 26 57
Adam Leverett R 25 4 4 4.48 30 10 66.3 66 33 8 27 51
Cameron Leonard R 24 4 3 3.67 29 0 49.0 48 20 5 13 41
Garrett Cleavinger L 30 2 2 3.60 35 1 40.0 29 16 5 21 56
Chris Devenski R 33 4 3 4.05 42 4 46.7 45 21 7 12 46
Elvin Rodriguez R 26 4 6 4.93 18 16 80.3 81 44 13 32 70
Ryan Burr R 30 3 2 3.79 35 1 40.3 38 17 4 14 33
Erasmo Ramirez R 34 3 4 4.28 38 3 69.3 73 33 9 17 54
Chris Gau R 27 4 3 4.25 37 2 48.7 47 23 7 18 47
Keyshawn Askew L 24 6 6 4.83 30 8 82.0 74 44 11 40 81
John Doxakis L 25 5 5 4.82 29 8 84.0 85 45 11 37 64
Cole Sulser R 34 3 3 4.30 34 2 37.7 35 18 5 16 39
Trevor Kelley R 31 2 2 4.47 38 4 46.3 46 23 6 17 38
Jake Diekman L 37 2 2 4.13 55 0 48.0 39 22 5 32 57
Antonio Jimenez L 23 4 6 4.90 31 7 79.0 80 43 12 37 64
Victor Munoz R 23 6 8 5.09 24 10 76.0 82 43 10 28 44
Sean Harney R 25 2 2 4.96 28 12 65.3 67 36 10 25 49
Colby White R 25 2 2 4.50 33 3 34.0 30 17 5 18 39
Jack Snyder R 25 4 3 4.18 30 0 47.3 48 22 6 16 40
Calvin Faucher R 28 2 3 4.70 32 4 44.0 43 23 6 24 45
Franklin Dacosta L 24 2 2 4.81 17 3 43.0 43 23 6 19 35
Justin Sterner R 27 4 3 4.44 33 0 50.7 47 25 7 21 52
Enmanuel Mejia R 25 3 4 4.50 39 1 48.0 44 24 6 27 48
Jose A. Lopez L 25 4 4 4.86 29 4 46.3 44 25 6 29 46
Carlos Garcia R 25 4 4 4.81 34 2 63.7 60 34 8 35 58
Antonio Menendez R 25 1 2 4.76 35 1 51.0 51 27 6 25 38
Braden Bristo R 29 2 3 4.78 40 1 52.7 49 28 7 30 51
Javy Guerra R 28 1 2 4.73 47 1 51.3 47 27 5 29 43
Jeff Belge L 26 3 3 4.74 35 0 43.7 39 23 6 29 47
Manuel Rodriguez R 18 3 4 5.48 14 5 44.3 48 27 9 13 29
Graham Spraker R 29 2 4 5.44 24 5 44.7 42 27 8 31 46
Nelson Alvarez R 26 4 5 4.87 37 0 44.3 40 24 6 26 46
Alfredo Zarraga R 23 2 2 4.78 39 0 58.3 57 31 9 29 53
Evan Reifert R 25 2 3 5.30 27 0 35.7 29 21 5 30 45
Graeme Stinson L 26 3 4 5.72 29 2 45.7 45 29 7 27 39

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Shane McClanahan 135.0 9.8 2.6 1.0 7.1% 26.6% .280 134 3.43 75 3.3
Zach Eflin 146.7 8.8 1.5 1.0 4.1% 24.2% .295 124 3.30 80 3.1
Tyler Glasnow 119.0 11.4 2.9 1.1 7.7% 30.7% .284 129 3.20 77 2.8
Jeffrey Springs 89.7 10.8 2.5 1.2 6.8% 29.4% .291 127 3.46 79 2.1
Drew Rasmussen 90.7 8.6 2.5 0.8 6.7% 23.3% .281 128 3.38 78 2.0
Aaron Civale 118.7 8.4 2.4 1.1 6.5% 22.6% .282 106 3.99 94 1.9
Taj Bradley 137.7 9.2 3.1 1.3 8.2% 24.0% .285 100 4.24 100 1.8
Anthony Molina 123.3 5.8 2.8 1.0 7.1% 14.7% .296 98 4.42 103 1.5
Mason Montgomery 115.0 8.2 3.8 1.1 9.8% 21.1% .288 98 4.39 103 1.4
Pete Fairbanks 48.0 12.9 3.6 0.8 9.5% 34.5% .301 140 2.78 71 1.1
Jacob Lopez 96.0 8.9 3.8 1.1 9.9% 22.9% .293 97 4.43 103 1.1
Cooper Criswell 103.7 7.0 2.2 1.1 5.7% 18.4% .297 97 4.36 103 1.1
Zack Littell 81.7 7.4 2.0 1.2 5.3% 19.8% .280 109 4.14 92 1.1
Nathan Wiles 97.3 6.1 1.9 1.3 5.1% 15.9% .292 95 4.48 106 1.0
Brendan McKay 72.3 9.1 2.9 1.4 7.5% 23.7% .298 99 4.25 101 1.0
Logan Workman 79.3 7.4 2.8 1.1 7.4% 19.2% .292 97 4.35 103 1.0
Shane Baz 61.3 9.7 3.2 1.2 8.4% 25.2% .292 102 4.07 98 0.9
Sean Hunley 102.7 5.9 2.5 1.3 6.6% 15.3% .285 90 4.96 111 0.9
Robert Stephenson 53.0 11.7 2.9 1.2 7.8% 31.7% .281 130 3.39 77 0.8
Colin Poche 61.3 9.7 3.4 1.0 9.0% 25.8% .274 119 3.81 84 0.8
Victor Castaneda 84.0 8.1 4.1 1.2 10.3% 20.6% .295 93 4.61 107 0.8
Cole Wilcox 93.3 6.7 3.2 1.3 8.1% 17.0% .289 91 4.87 110 0.8
Patrick Wicklander 96.7 6.8 3.1 1.3 7.8% 17.3% .293 90 4.81 111 0.8
Kevin Kelly 62.3 8.2 2.3 0.7 6.3% 22.3% .284 116 3.58 86 0.8
Jason Adam 54.3 10.9 3.3 1.0 9.0% 29.7% .266 121 3.75 83 0.7
Shawn Armstrong 54.0 9.5 2.7 1.0 7.1% 25.3% .303 115 3.64 87 0.7
Andrew Kittredge 43.7 7.6 1.9 1.0 5.0% 20.4% .289 120 3.80 83 0.6
Tyler Alexander 69.7 7.8 2.2 1.4 5.8% 20.6% .287 96 4.40 105 0.6
Trevor Brigden 64.7 9.2 3.6 1.1 9.4% 23.9% .291 104 4.17 96 0.5
Ian Seymour 56.3 9.1 4.2 1.3 10.6% 23.3% .289 94 4.68 107 0.5
Adam Leverett 66.3 6.9 3.7 1.1 9.3% 17.5% .289 94 4.78 107 0.5
Cameron Leonard 49.0 7.5 2.4 0.9 6.3% 19.7% .297 114 3.70 87 0.5
Garrett Cleavinger 40.0 12.6 4.7 1.1 12.4% 32.9% .279 117 3.88 86 0.5
Chris Devenski 46.7 8.9 2.3 1.4 6.2% 23.6% .295 104 4.13 96 0.5
Elvin Rodriguez 80.3 7.8 3.6 1.5 9.1% 19.9% .292 85 5.00 117 0.4
Ryan Burr 40.3 7.4 3.1 0.9 8.1% 19.1% .286 111 3.95 90 0.4
Erasmo Ramirez 69.3 7.0 2.2 1.2 5.7% 18.2% .300 98 4.29 102 0.3
Chris Gau 48.7 8.7 3.3 1.3 8.5% 22.3% .294 99 4.43 101 0.3
Keyshawn Askew 82.0 8.9 4.4 1.2 11.1% 22.4% .284 87 4.96 115 0.3
John Doxakis 84.0 6.9 4.0 1.2 9.9% 17.2% .289 87 5.08 115 0.3
Cole Sulser 37.7 9.3 3.8 1.2 9.8% 23.9% .297 98 4.26 102 0.2
Trevor Kelley 46.3 7.4 3.3 1.2 8.5% 19.0% .290 94 4.53 106 0.2
Jake Diekman 48.0 10.7 6.0 0.9 14.7% 26.3% .288 102 4.48 98 0.2
Antonio Jimenez 79.0 7.3 4.2 1.4 10.5% 18.2% .289 86 5.17 117 0.2
Victor Munoz 76.0 5.2 3.3 1.2 8.3% 13.0% .288 82 5.15 121 0.2
Sean Harney 65.3 6.8 3.4 1.4 8.8% 17.2% .286 85 5.21 118 0.2
Colby White 34.0 10.3 4.8 1.3 11.8% 25.7% .291 93 4.64 107 0.2
Jack Snyder 47.3 7.6 3.0 1.1 7.8% 19.5% .298 100 4.29 100 0.1
Calvin Faucher 44.0 9.2 4.9 1.2 11.9% 22.4% .306 89 4.69 112 0.1
Franklin Dacosta 43.0 7.3 4.0 1.3 10.0% 18.4% .289 87 4.98 115 0.1
Justin Sterner 50.7 9.2 3.7 1.2 9.4% 23.3% .292 95 4.42 106 0.1
Enmanuel Mejia 48.0 9.0 5.1 1.1 12.3% 21.9% .290 93 4.69 107 0.1
Jose A. Lopez 46.3 8.9 5.6 1.2 13.7% 21.7% .297 86 5.09 116 0.1
Carlos Garcia 63.7 8.2 4.9 1.1 12.3% 20.4% .289 87 4.95 114 0.0
Antonio Menendez 51.0 6.7 4.4 1.1 10.9% 16.5% .288 88 5.00 113 -0.1
Braden Bristo 52.7 8.7 5.1 1.2 12.7% 21.6% .290 88 4.93 114 -0.1
Javy Guerra 51.3 7.5 5.1 0.9 12.6% 18.7% .282 89 4.83 113 -0.1
Jeff Belge 43.7 9.7 6.0 1.2 14.4% 23.3% .289 89 4.95 113 -0.1
Manuel Rodriguez 44.3 5.9 2.6 1.8 6.7% 15.0% .281 77 5.53 131 -0.2
Graham Spraker 44.7 9.3 6.2 1.6 14.9% 22.1% .286 77 5.81 130 -0.2
Nelson Alvarez 44.3 9.3 5.3 1.2 12.7% 22.4% .288 86 5.04 116 -0.2
Alfredo Zarraga 58.3 8.2 4.5 1.4 11.0% 20.1% .289 88 5.09 114 -0.2
Evan Reifert 35.7 11.4 7.6 1.3 17.4% 26.2% .286 79 5.58 126 -0.3
Graeme Stinson 45.7 7.7 5.3 1.4 12.4% 17.9% .286 73 5.97 136 -0.5

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Shane McClanahan Juan Pizarro Johnny Podres Danny Duffy
Zach Eflin Frank Lary Larry Jackson Doug Drabek
Tyler Glasnow Pat Malone Virgil Trucks Mort Cooper
Jeffrey Springs Harry Brecheen Garland Braxton Tyler Lyons
Drew Rasmussen Josh Johnson Andrew Cashner Alexi Ogando 오간도
Aaron Civale Rene Arocha Mel Harder Milt Pappas
Taj Bradley Chuck Locke Johnny Cueto Javier Vazquez
Anthony Molina Buddy Carlyle 카라이어 Dave Borkowski John Hope
Mason Montgomery Jarrod Washburn Eric Jokisch 요키시 Pete Schourek
Pete Fairbanks Brian Wilson Lee Smith Paul Shuey
Jacob Lopez Fred Kipp Wilfredo Ledezma Duane Below 빌로우
Cooper Criswell Charles Shirek 찰리 Elizardo Ramirez Eddie Bonine
Zack Littell Tommy Hunter Edgar Santana Joe Bowman
Nathan Wiles Bob Wolcott Nate Snell Zach Eflin
Brendan McKay Randy Benson Adam Pettyjohn Andrew Heaney
Logan Workman Monty Montgomery Nick Kingham 킹험 Eugene Matty
Shane Baz Mariano Rivera Jonathan Loaisiga Gordie Hershiser
Sean Hunley Blake Schwartz Jose Bautista Richelson Pena
Robert Stephenson Jason Motte Kerry Wood Héctor Rondón
Colin Poche Tug McGraw Tony Watson Earl Johnson
Victor Castaneda Greg Chlan Gary Girouard Sam Coonrod
Cole Wilcox Bill Harris Scott Klingenbeck James Ponceroff
Patrick Wicklander Mike Antonini Matt Crouse Ray King
Kevin Kelly Cecil Upshaw Manny Corpas Max Leon
Jason Adam Michael Jackson Rafael Soriano Darren Holmes
Shawn Armstrong Anthony Swarzak 스와잭 Tiago da Silva David Hernandez
Andrew Kittredge LaTroy Hawkins Jim Brosnan Bill Harris
Tyler Alexander Doug Simons Jeremy Papelbon Evan Grills
Trevor Brigden Brad Arnsberg Dan Smith Kent Bottenfield
Ian Seymour Russ Swan Brian Romero Gary Houston
Adam Leverett Willie Mueller Josh Rupe Lacy West
Cameron Leonard John Doherty Freddie Burdette Larry Hrynko
Garrett Cleavinger Jim Brewer Alan Embree Ed Glynn
Chris Devenski Tim Crews Junichi Tazawa Chad Qualls
Elvin Rodriguez Greg Modica Matt Lindstrom Ben Moore
Ryan Burr Warren Brusstar Steve Foucault Luis Aponte
Erasmo Ramirez Bob Stanley Steve Hargan Mark Huismann
Chris Gau Reid Mahon Aaron Hartsock Trevor Kelley
Keyshawn Askew Tom Fordham Don Kildoo Domingo Figueroa
John Doxakis Bob Tufts Jeffry Antigua Pat Alexander
Cole Sulser Gregg Olson Dick Drago Ricky Bottalico
Trevor Kelley Clyde King Manny Corpas Donn Pall
Jake Diekman Luis Arroyo John Hiller Jesse Orosco
Antonio Jimenez Gregg Langbehn Tommy Layne Norm Churchill
Victor Munoz Cameron Selik Christopher Maneff Len Strelitz
Sean Harney J.R. Graham Mike McNutt Steve Evans
Colby White Joe Ausanio Julian Vasquez Don Cooper
Jack Snyder Chris Chavez Adam Larson Felix Roque
Calvin Faucher Ryan McKeller R.J. Rodriguez Alec Zumwalt
Franklin Dacosta Peter Durkovic Ron Cook Zach Zuercher
Justin Sterner Carlos Muniz Matt Pierpont Dave Stevens
Enmanuel Mejia Johan Yan Terry Cornutt Maximo Del Rosario
Jose A. Lopez Jose Calderon Dave Carroll Mark Moore
Carlos Garcia Bob Kline Brandon Backe Jose Paredes
Antonio Menendez Travis Schlichting Henry Mabee Rafael Dolis
Braden Bristo Rocky Cherry Tim Barrett Jordan Milbrath
Javy Guerra Jimmy Cordero J.C. Ramirez Blaine Boyer
Jeff Belge Adam Choplick Don Leshnock Chris Manno
Manuel Rodriguez Rafael Gutierrez Leonardo D’Amico Willy Espinal
Graham Spraker Barry Armitage José A. Váldez Dave Evans
Nelson Alvarez Kyle Schepel Warren Magee Matt Custred
Alfredo Zarraga Yankory Pimentel Matt Avery Sam Bragg
Evan Reifert Jhan Marinez Wilfrido Cordoba Frank Snook
Graeme Stinson Gerardo Concepcion Will Lamb Jordan Harrison

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Shane McClanahan .234 .283 .360 .217 .275 .358 4.1 2.4 2.71 3.60
Zach Eflin .250 .293 .422 .232 .257 .346 4.0 2.3 2.90 3.92
Tyler Glasnow .210 .274 .350 .210 .268 .358 3.6 1.7 2.63 4.05
Jeffrey Springs .242 .296 .384 .216 .269 .378 2.8 1.2 2.61 4.21
Drew Rasmussen .227 .291 .327 .227 .273 .361 2.7 1.4 2.65 3.91
Aaron Civale .225 .289 .376 .248 .298 .403 2.6 1.1 3.46 4.59
Taj Bradley .249 .327 .430 .225 .280 .382 2.9 0.8 3.52 4.85
Anthony Molina .274 .336 .439 .263 .307 .404 2.1 0.7 3.89 4.84
Mason Montgomery .226 .307 .338 .250 .328 .420 2.1 0.5 3.83 4.96
Pete Fairbanks .205 .290 .325 .194 .276 .312 1.7 0.4 2.07 4.66
Jacob Lopez .250 .323 .379 .236 .329 .406 1.8 0.4 3.79 5.05
Cooper Criswell .280 .338 .476 .244 .302 .371 1.8 0.5 3.81 4.89
Zack Littell .256 .310 .421 .239 .277 .402 1.6 0.5 3.32 4.56
Nathan Wiles .270 .311 .438 .267 .304 .443 1.6 0.4 3.93 5.09
Brendan McKay .235 .290 .388 .254 .315 .437 1.5 0.3 3.67 5.09
Logan Workman .274 .343 .433 .234 .287 .396 1.4 0.4 3.80 4.89
Shane Baz .229 .303 .394 .238 .312 .389 1.4 0.4 3.46 4.73
Sean Hunley .275 .335 .466 .255 .316 .412 1.4 0.1 4.19 5.27
Robert Stephenson .209 .280 .363 .208 .267 .368 1.4 0.2 2.46 4.32
Colin Poche .200 .278 .329 .225 .298 .375 1.5 0.1 2.83 4.32
Victor Castaneda .266 .350 .430 .235 .313 .400 1.3 0.2 4.04 5.09
Cole Wilcox .268 .341 .481 .253 .319 .382 1.3 0.2 4.17 5.18
Patrick Wicklander .246 .314 .389 .271 .333 .461 1.3 0.1 4.17 5.28
Kevin Kelly .257 .325 .410 .211 .274 .301 1.3 0.2 2.97 4.39
Jason Adam .187 .295 .319 .211 .293 .358 1.3 0.0 2.72 4.81
Shawn Armstrong .233 .302 .360 .246 .301 .402 1.2 0.2 2.85 4.67
Andrew Kittredge .239 .301 .403 .252 .284 .388 1.0 0.2 2.92 4.36
Tyler Alexander .225 .276 .352 .262 .307 .460 1.1 0.0 3.71 5.27
Trevor Brigden .239 .320 .416 .235 .309 .368 1.1 -0.1 3.36 4.94
Ian Seymour .235 .321 .324 .242 .333 .450 0.9 0.0 3.94 5.19
Adam Leverett .246 .336 .369 .261 .335 .435 0.9 0.0 4.04 5.09
Cameron Leonard .258 .310 .387 .245 .286 .388 0.9 0.1 3.02 4.39
Garrett Cleavinger .184 .298 .347 .204 .313 .357 0.9 -0.1 2.81 4.70
Chris Devenski .239 .295 .409 .255 .304 .436 0.9 -0.1 3.32 5.03
Elvin Rodriguez .261 .342 .444 .253 .325 .448 1.0 -0.2 4.40 5.54
Ryan Burr .254 .329 .423 .235 .283 .353 0.7 0.0 3.22 4.65
Erasmo Ramirez .269 .324 .415 .260 .306 .432 0.8 -0.1 3.70 4.87
Chris Gau .255 .327 .426 .240 .308 .406 0.8 -0.1 3.52 4.99
Keyshawn Askew .208 .330 .292 .248 .350 .450 1.0 -0.4 4.23 5.51
John Doxakis .241 .323 .384 .265 .356 .443 0.8 -0.3 4.31 5.43
Cole Sulser .229 .299 .386 .253 .337 .427 0.6 -0.2 3.54 5.46
Trevor Kelley .228 .307 .392 .272 .333 .427 0.6 -0.2 3.82 5.24
Jake Diekman .231 .359 .308 .209 .338 .383 0.8 -0.5 3.15 5.77
Antonio Jimenez .242 .330 .389 .264 .347 .458 0.7 -0.4 4.35 5.53
Victor Munoz .289 .363 .493 .253 .320 .389 0.6 -0.3 4.61 5.64
Sean Harney .246 .338 .429 .273 .340 .447 0.6 -0.2 4.40 5.51
Colby White .234 .347 .406 .227 .316 .409 0.4 -0.2 3.81 5.36
Jack Snyder .264 .330 .440 .250 .305 .396 0.5 -0.2 3.51 4.85
Calvin Faucher .263 .364 .474 .240 .327 .375 0.5 -0.3 4.01 5.66
Franklin Dacosta .226 .317 .321 .267 .348 .474 0.4 -0.3 4.25 5.49
Justin Sterner .253 .340 .462 .229 .305 .362 0.5 -0.4 3.70 5.19
Enmanuel Mejia .259 .370 .447 .220 .313 .350 0.4 -0.4 3.98 5.29
Jose A. Lopez .246 .377 .368 .244 .352 .423 0.4 -0.4 4.24 5.75
Carlos Garcia .261 .369 .429 .228 .327 .370 0.4 -0.6 4.22 5.50
Antonio Menendez .263 .360 .463 .248 .333 .362 0.2 -0.4 4.31 5.33
Braden Bristo .229 .336 .365 .252 .352 .439 0.4 -0.6 4.07 5.69
Javy Guerra .258 .356 .438 .222 .341 .324 0.2 -0.5 4.21 5.49
Jeff Belge .232 .348 .321 .234 .348 .441 0.3 -0.5 3.99 5.47
Manuel Rodriguez .276 .330 .529 .267 .316 .456 0.2 -0.4 4.84 6.01
Graham Spraker .247 .384 .469 .239 .349 .424 0.2 -0.7 4.71 6.51
Nelson Alvarez .244 .366 .385 .228 .339 .413 0.2 -0.6 4.30 5.67
Alfredo Zarraga .255 .341 .436 .246 .338 .424 0.2 -0.8 4.20 5.54
Evan Reifert .233 .410 .383 .203 .355 .392 0.0 -0.7 4.45 6.29
Graeme Stinson .203 .347 .305 .275 .393 .492 -0.1 -0.9 5.03 6.57

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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boomstick
3 months ago

ZiPS for Tampa is always fun. There are just as many players and platoons putting up positive contributions on the field as there are fans in the seats.