2024 ZiPS Projections: Los Angeles Dodgers

For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Batters

Even after committing something in the neighborhood of a billion dollars to bring in Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, inspiring the chattering classes to bemoan the super team that’s buying a World Series — as if that would be possible in a sport as volatile in baseball — if you look at the Dodgers depth chart, you see an awesome team, but a rather ordinary awesome team. The Dodgers are solid everywhere, but when looking at the Braves, the natural comparison, they’re short in the projections in terms of their best player (Ronald Acuña Jr. practically laps the field in ZiPS), and the computer likes Austin Riley a lot better than the combination of Max Muncy and Miguel Vargas.

The weakest spot is likely left field, even with the addition of Teoscar Hernández, but it’s better than it looks. In the original version of this depth chart, left field was listed at 1.4 WAR rather than the current 1.8, but the total gain, once you calculate the domino effect of how the other positions change, combines for nearly a full win. Chris Taylor was an adequate stopgap, but the offensive workload of a corner outfielder is quite heavy and his .239/.326/.412 line over the last three years is not really what you want to see out there. In any case, one of the best things about Taylor is his versatility, and just sticking him in an outfield corner and calling it a day would be a bit like buying a Swiss army knife just to use the nail file. Signing Hernández makes it easier to make use of Taylor’s versatility and frees up Margot for more time in right field, with Mookie Betts available more often at second base. Hernández’s $20.4 million AAV is a bit steep in terms of rough $/WAR, but it’s hard to really overpay anyone on a one-year deal. Plus, the Dodgers need certainty more than dice rolls, and only $15 million of the deal is in 2024 salary, with the rest deferred.

You might be a bit disappointed with Ohtani’s projection as a DH, but it’s important to remember that his 180 wRC+ in 2023 can’t be assumed to be a baseline quite yet. As magical as he is, all players, from metahuman to Bill Bergen, are subject to the whims of the Roman god Mediorus, the deity of scales and balance and regression toward the mean, who I may have also just made up this minute.

Elsewhere, there are no real surprises. Betts projects well as a second baseman because, well, he’d project well doing anything in life, and Freddie Freeman and Will Smith receive the expected top-notch forecasts. ZiPS is a little cool on Gavin Lux in light of his lost 2023, but I can hardly quibble with that.

Pitchers

There has been quite a bit of upheaval here, more than just the additions of Yamamoto and Tyler Glasnow, and the eventual one of Ohtani. None of the pitchers in the rotation graphic last year return to the Dodgers in 2024 (remember, Tony Gonsolin is out with Tommy John surgery). It’s especially sad to see Clayton Kershaw no longer listed here, as he’s unsigned and likely to miss a huge chunk of the season after surgery, and there’s still a chance he decides to hang it up. Whether or not The Claw’s ever again in Dodger Blue — Game 1 of the NLDS is a bad place to leave it — he’s got my Hall of Fame vote.

Yamamoto’s projection may not seem particularly aggressive, but that’s in large part because projection systems know the attrition rate of pitchers. ZiPS has only given out three four-WAR projections for pitchers, and it doesn’t yet know that one of those hurlers (Sandy Alcantara) is already out for the season. Yamamoto does show up on the depth chart graphic past this threshold, but ZiPS tends to be more suspicious of general pitcher health than our depth charts. If Yamamoto isn’t a good bet to be a top starter, than very few pitchers are, whether they play in the US or Japan. Ohtani obviously won’t meet the pitching projection listed in the table below this season; it’s just there for the curiosity value.

There’s certainly some risk with the Dodgers. They have a lot of talented arms, but they have very little certainty in terms of who will be available, when, and for how long. If they manage to get five of Yamamoto, Glasnow, Bobby Miller, Walker Buehler, Gavin Stone, and Emmet Sheehan all in the rotation at the same time, this is a very dangerous unit. The Dodgers have been happy to assemble rotations on the fly, but while that has worked out in recent years, it’s no guarantee going forward.

ZiPS isn’t as high on the ‘pen as Steamer is. Joe Kelly’s projection is one of the biggest sources of disagreement between the two projection systems when it comes to pitchers. ZiPS sees a few warning signs, such as the occasional spikes in his walk rate and the fact that he’s entering his late 30s. It’ll be interesting to see which system is right, but I’m personally closer to Steamer than ZiPS on this one.

ZiPS does like the quartet of Evan Phillips, Brusdar Graterol, Caleb Ferguson, and Alex Vesia, who will get most of the rest of the high-leverage innings. The computer isn’t in on Yency Almonte, but then again, Steamer’s not particularly enthralled either.

Right now, ZiPS sees the Dodgers as the second-best team in baseball, behind the Braves. But they’re not in different tiers; it’s not a 90/10 probability, but something more along the lines of 60/40. Many writers and teams have made the mistake of underestimating them in spots where they don’t look deep in the past. The Dodgers aren’t just a dangerous team, but a creative dangerous team, one with a shockingly good record of turning straw into gold, making them a deadly foe.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Mookie Betts R 31 2B 649 550 112 153 33 2 31 100 86 101 12 3
Freddie Freeman L 34 1B 664 578 109 173 39 2 25 94 73 107 14 1
Will Smith R 29 C 555 471 74 122 24 2 21 78 61 94 2 1
Shohei Ohtani L 29 DH 615 528 91 137 27 5 38 122 80 149 17 7
James Outman L 27 CF 578 502 85 123 22 4 23 81 61 183 12 3
Michael Busch L 26 3B 564 497 80 121 28 2 24 88 53 151 3 1
Max Muncy L 33 3B 548 458 80 98 19 1 27 78 79 140 1 1
Teoscar Hernández R 31 RF 614 566 78 149 26 1 30 107 37 173 8 3
Miguel Vargas R 24 2B 591 522 82 132 29 3 17 74 57 118 8 2
Austin Gauthier R 25 3B 533 460 74 110 21 4 7 53 64 114 8 3
Miguel Rojas R 35 SS 429 394 43 98 21 1 6 44 26 53 8 3
Amed Rosario R 28 SS 584 552 73 147 25 6 11 74 26 104 14 2
Dalton Rushing L 23 C 369 310 44 67 18 1 12 52 44 108 1 1
Kolten Wong L 33 2B 385 341 48 84 18 2 9 49 30 71 8 4
Trey Sweeney L 24 SS 474 424 58 92 17 3 11 58 43 116 11 4
Gavin Lux L 26 2B 405 363 56 91 15 4 8 43 39 86 5 2
Andy Pages R 23 CF 464 405 53 89 23 2 16 61 43 140 5 3
J.D. Martinez R 36 DH 494 445 60 109 27 1 22 78 41 141 1 1
Taylor Young R 25 2B 511 447 57 95 16 4 5 48 51 129 27 3
Jason Heyward L 34 RF 339 305 41 75 17 1 10 39 30 65 3 1
Chris Taylor R 33 LF 428 376 54 87 19 2 13 52 45 137 12 2
Manuel Margot R 29 CF 391 360 45 95 19 2 8 49 26 63 10 4
Enrique Hernández R 32 SS 474 427 57 98 24 1 12 57 37 96 2 1
Drew Avans L 28 CF 516 461 71 105 20 4 8 52 47 140 17 5
Óscar Mercado R 29 CF 392 357 47 82 19 2 10 54 26 88 16 4
Jake Marisnick R 33 CF 231 210 23 47 11 3 5 29 13 68 7 3
Austin Barnes R 34 C 228 201 25 43 8 0 4 20 22 50 2 1
Griffin Lockwood-Powell R 26 1B 381 333 41 72 18 1 11 46 39 107 0 1
David Peralta L 36 LF 410 378 40 94 22 3 10 53 26 81 2 1
Chris Newell L 23 CF 376 339 48 70 15 2 16 51 35 139 7 6
David Dahl L 30 RF 346 320 41 78 20 1 9 45 22 79 2 1
Bryson Brigman R 29 SS 374 342 38 82 14 2 4 42 24 76 5 3
Yeiner Fernandez R 21 C 450 407 48 99 14 2 6 44 32 74 2 1
Steven Duggar L 30 LF 309 277 39 56 11 1 8 34 29 118 7 1
Patrick Mazeika L 30 C 266 243 22 56 12 0 4 29 15 46 0 1
Ryan Ward L 26 LF 551 507 67 112 21 3 20 69 38 163 6 3
Justin Yurchak L 27 1B 375 335 42 86 15 1 6 40 34 75 1 1
Hunter Feduccia L 27 C 359 323 42 73 15 1 10 40 34 92 0 1
Alex Freeland B 22 SS 471 424 48 86 14 2 9 47 39 162 17 5
Diego Cartaya R 22 C 431 387 50 78 16 0 16 57 32 145 0 1
Pat Valaika R 31 1B 348 322 34 70 12 0 8 37 22 92 1 1
Wladimir Chalo R 24 C 148 136 11 25 5 0 2 12 8 53 0 1
Kody Hoese R 26 3B 367 343 31 76 12 2 6 35 17 91 1 1
Imanol Vargas L 26 1B 477 424 50 86 18 1 16 57 48 188 1 1
David Freitas 프레이타스 R 35 1B 137 123 13 29 5 0 3 16 11 30 0 1
Luis Yanel Diaz R 24 3B 407 378 47 77 13 3 9 45 22 154 13 6
Hamlet Marte R 30 C 129 118 11 21 3 0 2 11 9 48 1 1
Ismael Alcantara R 25 RF 387 354 42 72 9 3 6 39 22 126 9 6
Josh Stowers R 27 LF 359 326 38 61 14 2 8 40 24 124 10 3
Brandon Lewis R 25 1B 411 383 42 76 16 0 14 50 22 143 1 1
Kenneth Betancourt R 24 2B 383 359 39 82 15 0 2 30 17 80 6 2
Lolo Sanchez R 25 LF 365 321 39 68 12 0 5 40 29 70 6 4
Julio Carrion R 25 RF 229 208 22 37 7 0 4 24 14 97 1 1
Damon Keith R 24 RF 466 421 49 83 19 2 9 48 38 175 2 2

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA RC
Mookie Betts 649 .278 .381 .515 141 .236 .292 -3 5.4 .382 111
Freddie Freeman 664 .299 .384 .503 139 .204 .332 0 4.3 .377 115
Will Smith 555 .259 .355 .452 118 .193 .284 5 4.2 .348 76
Shohei Ohtani 615 .259 .359 .545 142 .286 .290 0 3.7 .374 110
James Outman 578 .245 .337 .442 110 .197 .338 3 3.3 .338 79
Michael Busch 564 .243 .326 .453 109 .209 .301 -2 2.5 .336 74
Max Muncy 548 .214 .336 .437 108 .223 .244 -5 2.0 .335 68
Teoscar Hernández 614 .263 .314 .472 110 .208 .328 -2 1.8 .335 87
Miguel Vargas 591 .253 .331 .418 102 .165 .297 -7 1.8 .325 74
Austin Gauthier 533 .239 .336 .348 87 .109 .304 1 1.4 .307 57
Miguel Rojas 429 .249 .301 .353 78 .104 .275 6 1.3 .287 45
Amed Rosario 584 .266 .301 .393 87 .127 .311 -5 1.3 .301 69
Dalton Rushing 369 .216 .336 .397 99 .181 .289 -6 1.2 .325 42
Kolten Wong 385 .246 .323 .390 93 .144 .287 0 1.1 .312 46
Trey Sweeney 474 .217 .297 .349 75 .132 .273 4 1.1 .287 48
Gavin Lux 405 .251 .323 .380 91 .129 .309 0 1.1 .309 46
Andy Pages 464 .220 .310 .405 93 .185 .293 -2 1.0 .310 53
J.D. Martinez 494 .245 .310 .458 106 .213 .309 0 1.0 .327 64
Taylor Young 511 .213 .305 .300 66 .087 .288 7 1.0 .275 48
Jason Heyward 339 .246 .319 .407 96 .161 .283 4 1.0 .315 41
Chris Taylor 428 .231 .320 .396 94 .165 .327 2 0.9 .313 51
Manuel Margot 391 .264 .315 .394 92 .131 .301 -3 0.8 .308 48
Enrique Hernández 474 .230 .295 .375 81 .145 .270 -3 0.6 .292 48
Drew Avans 516 .228 .304 .341 75 .113 .310 1 0.6 .287 53
Óscar Mercado 392 .230 .292 .378 81 .148 .278 0 0.6 .292 44
Jake Marisnick 231 .224 .287 .376 79 .152 .307 3 0.5 .289 25
Austin Barnes 228 .214 .300 .313 68 .100 .265 3 0.5 .277 20
Griffin Lockwood-Powell 381 .216 .307 .375 85 .159 .284 4 0.4 .301 39
David Peralta 410 .249 .298 .402 88 .153 .293 2 0.3 .300 46
Chris Newell 376 .206 .279 .404 83 .198 .293 -2 0.3 .295 42
David Dahl 346 .244 .292 .397 85 .153 .297 2 0.2 .297 38
Bryson Brigman 374 .240 .298 .327 70 .088 .298 -1 0.1 .277 36
Yeiner Fernandez 450 .243 .307 .332 74 .088 .284 -6 0.1 .284 42
Steven Duggar 309 .202 .282 .336 67 .134 .318 4 -0.1 .273 28
Patrick Mazeika 266 .230 .287 .329 67 .099 .269 -3 -0.1 .273 23
Ryan Ward 551 .221 .279 .393 80 .172 .284 2 -0.2 .290 58
Justin Yurchak 375 .257 .328 .361 88 .104 .315 -3 -0.2 .306 40
Hunter Feduccia 359 .226 .298 .372 81 .146 .285 -11 -0.3 .294 36
Alex Freeland 471 .203 .276 .309 59 .106 .304 -1 -0.4 .260 42
Diego Cartaya 431 .202 .278 .367 74 .165 .274 -11 -0.5 .282 40
Pat Valaika 348 .217 .267 .329 61 .112 .279 6 -0.6 .262 29
Wladimir Chalo 148 .184 .243 .265 39 .081 .284 -1 -0.6 .229 9
Kody Hoese 367 .222 .262 .321 58 .099 .285 0 -0.7 .255 29
Imanol Vargas 477 .203 .287 .363 76 .160 .318 0 -0.7 .285 45
David Freitas 137 .236 .299 .350 76 .114 .289 -6 -0.8 .286 13
Luis Yanel Diaz 407 .204 .256 .325 57 .122 .316 0 -0.8 .255 37
Hamlet Marte 129 .178 .240 .254 35 .076 .279 -4 -0.9 .224 8
Ismael Alcantara 387 .203 .261 .297 52 .093 .297 7 -0.9 .249 32
Josh Stowers 359 .187 .254 .316 54 .129 .273 3 -0.9 .252 29
Brandon Lewis 411 .198 .251 .350 61 .151 .274 4 -1.0 .261 34
Kenneth Betancourt 383 .228 .264 .287 50 .058 .289 -1 -1.1 .244 29
Lolo Sanchez 365 .212 .288 .296 60 .084 .256 -3 -1.3 .264 30
Julio Carrion 229 .178 .249 .269 41 .091 .308 -3 -1.5 .235 15
Damon Keith 466 .197 .273 .316 60 .119 .312 -3 -1.6 .263 37

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Mookie Betts Craig Biggio Chase Utley Joe Morgan
Freddie Freeman Paul Waner Dixie Walker Augie Galan
Will Smith Bill Freehan Carlton Fisk Mickey Cochrane
Shohei Ohtani Chuck Klein Jack Fournier Earl Torgeson
James Outman Mack Jones Rick Monday George Springer
Michael Busch Jack Howell Jeff Blauser Doug DeCinces
Max Muncy Eddie Mathews Darrell Evans Harlond Clift
Teoscar Hernández Laurence Miller George Kelly Bing Miller
Miguel Vargas Lou Boudreau Rob Refsnyder Lou Whitaker
Austin Gauthier Yandy Díaz Rance Mulliniks Hoy Park
Miguel Rojas Erick Aybar Larry Bowa Eddie Kasko
Amed Rosario Erick Aybar Mark Grudzielanek Jean Segura
Dalton Rushing Darren Daulton Jim Pagliaroni Ian Rice
Kolten Wong Marlon Anderson Nelson Liriano Keith Lockhart
Trey Sweeney Cole Tucker Thomas Coyle Andy Fox
Gavin Lux Legrant Scott Lou Whitaker Bobby Fenwick
Andy Pages Colby Rasmus Brian Goodwin Charlie Robinson
J.D. Martinez Tony Perez George Crowe Luke Easter
Taylor Young Al Ryan Dave Gelatt David Lozano
Jason Heyward David Murphy Jorge Orta Al Spangler
Chris Taylor Fred Lewis Danny Taylor Chris Dickerson
Manuel Margot Jason Ellison Russ Snyder Miguel Dilone
Enrique Hernández Ed Lyons Hal Rhyne Chris Stynes
Drew Avans Matt Angle Guy Rose Jermaine Mitchell
Óscar Mercado Gary Varsho Felix Pie 피에 Oddibe McDowell
Jake Marisnick Dewayne Wise Jeff Stone Peter Bourjos
Austin Barnes Bob Swift Frank Calo Brian Schneider
Griffin Lockwood-Powell Ian Rice Pat Magness Steve Goodell
David Peralta Chuck Tanner Tom Umphlett Bill Virdon
Chris Newell Nelson Mathews Ernie Young Joe Benson
David Dahl Carlos Paula Lonnie Chisenhall Steve Brye
Bryson Brigman Andy Stankiewicz Brad Wellman Paco Figueroa
Yeiner Fernandez Charlie Jennings Josh Thole Wayne Jinske
Steven Duggar Michael Johnson Scott Samuels Tarrik Brock
Patrick Mazeika Zane Chavez Tom Harmon Joey Martin
Ryan Ward Jerry Zuvela Dan Murphy Doug DeVore
Justin Yurchak Bob Sheldon Phil Trombino Jim Eppard
Hunter Feduccia Lou Berberet Jason Hagerty Bryan Anderson
Alex Freeland Anderson Machado Marcus Sanders Jonathan Villar
Diego Cartaya Bobby Estalella Doug Simunic Eddie Taubensee
Pat Valaika Paul Torres Jose Arcia Joey Gomes
Wladimir Chalo Juan Nunez Russ Cleveland Josh Davis
Kody Hoese Ronnie Giddens Craig Da Luz Michael Bertram
Imanol Vargas Pat Adams Nick Delvecchio Nate Rolison
David Freitas Erick Almonte Kevin Grijak Larry Biittner
Luis Yanel Diaz Junior Lake Leury García Brian Ruggiano
Hamlet Marte Don Pinciotti John Nathans Jose Gonzalez
Ismael Alcantara Shannon Coppell Jerry Bond Chris Roberson
Josh Stowers John Ramistella Nolan Lane Darontaye Hollins
Brandon Lewis Angel Villalona Kiel Roling John Curl
Kenneth Betancourt Gersan Jarquin Mike Ramsey Benjamin Perez
Lolo Sanchez Kenny Reed John Mountain Stephen Dichter
Julio Carrion Dave Cardona Mike Bradish Eddy Hernandez
Damon Keith Alex Delano Trey Michalczewski Gator McBride

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Mookie Betts .299 .407 .575 160 6.9 .254 .352 .463 120 3.7
Freddie Freeman .322 .406 .555 156 5.7 .275 .360 .457 121 2.7
Will Smith .282 .379 .514 138 5.6 .230 .329 .404 99 2.9
Shohei Ohtani .281 .386 .617 165 5.4 .233 .333 .485 120 2.0
James Outman .269 .364 .500 130 4.7 .219 .312 .395 92 2.0
Michael Busch .266 .350 .512 128 3.8 .221 .302 .398 91 1.3
Max Muncy .238 .359 .492 127 3.3 .191 .312 .370 90 0.8
Miguel Vargas .278 .358 .471 122 3.3 .231 .310 .374 87 0.6
Austin Gauthier .262 .360 .392 103 2.5 .213 .304 .307 68 0.1
Teoscar Hernández .288 .340 .520 129 3.3 .237 .288 .420 89 0.1
Miguel Rojas .274 .326 .391 93 2.1 .220 .276 .312 61 0.3
Amed Rosario .294 .327 .436 105 2.6 .240 .274 .348 69 -0.2
Dalton Rushing .247 .367 .465 124 2.3 .186 .308 .341 77 0.3
Kolten Wong .273 .348 .435 110 2.0 .217 .295 .340 73 0.2
Trey Sweeney .241 .321 .396 92 2.1 .193 .273 .308 58 0.1
Gavin Lux .277 .351 .423 109 2.0 .224 .295 .334 72 0.1
Andy Pages .246 .336 .460 113 2.2 .194 .286 .348 72 -0.2
J.D. Martinez .272 .335 .514 127 2.3 .219 .286 .402 87 -0.2
Taylor Young .237 .330 .343 84 2.1 .187 .284 .265 52 0.1
Jason Heyward .275 .351 .470 118 1.9 .217 .292 .352 74 0.1
Chris Taylor .255 .343 .443 112 1.8 .205 .290 .338 75 -0.1
Manuel Margot .291 .343 .438 109 1.6 .240 .290 .350 75 -0.1
Enrique Hernández .254 .324 .425 100 1.7 .202 .271 .329 62 -0.5
Drew Avans .253 .325 .374 89 1.6 .201 .275 .292 55 -0.7
Óscar Mercado .259 .319 .434 102 1.6 .204 .263 .325 60 -0.4
Jake Marisnick .253 .318 .432 101 1.2 .197 .260 .322 59 0.0
Austin Barnes .240 .330 .363 85 1.0 .182 .270 .268 48 -0.1
Griffin Lockwood-Powell .244 .334 .422 103 1.3 .190 .279 .333 68 -0.5
David Peralta .278 .325 .450 109 1.4 .222 .268 .355 69 -0.7
Chris Newell .231 .304 .463 103 1.2 .181 .255 .350 64 -0.6
David Dahl .275 .322 .440 103 1.1 .220 .267 .350 68 -0.5
Bryson Brigman .268 .323 .365 88 0.9 .212 .268 .284 53 -0.7
Yeiner Fernandez .271 .335 .378 94 1.2 .219 .278 .295 57 -1.0
Steven Duggar .233 .315 .396 90 0.8 .176 .249 .294 48 -0.8
Patrick Mazeika .268 .324 .385 91 0.7 .197 .254 .282 47 -0.8
Ryan Ward .249 .303 .451 101 1.2 .197 .255 .341 61 -1.6
Justin Yurchak .282 .355 .398 104 0.5 .231 .303 .320 71 -1.0
Hunter Feduccia .256 .327 .425 101 0.6 .201 .273 .314 60 -1.2
Alex Freeland .226 .302 .358 78 0.7 .177 .252 .263 41 -1.5
Diego Cartaya .233 .310 .431 98 0.8 .174 .248 .317 55 -1.5
Pat Valaika .246 .296 .377 80 0.3 .192 .242 .287 45 -1.3
Wladimir Chalo .212 .271 .301 55 -0.2 .155 .214 .219 19 -0.9
Kody Hoese .245 .287 .371 75 0.1 .196 .237 .283 40 -1.5
Imanol Vargas .227 .313 .415 93 0.4 .174 .262 .314 55 -1.9
David Freitas .271 .328 .402 97 -0.5 .205 .272 .299 56 -1.2
Luis Yanel Diaz .231 .281 .382 77 0.3 .177 .228 .278 37 -1.8
Hamlet Marte .210 .274 .311 59 -0.5 .153 .212 .219 19 -1.2
Ismael Alcantara .235 .289 .339 70 0.0 .181 .239 .258 37 -1.5
Josh Stowers .213 .283 .368 75 0.0 .164 .232 .275 38 -1.6
Brandon Lewis .227 .278 .393 80 0.0 .173 .225 .298 42 -2.0
Kenneth Betancourt .255 .291 .324 66 -0.3 .207 .239 .256 36 -1.9
Lolo Sanchez .239 .313 .337 76 -0.6 .186 .260 .260 44 -2.1
Julio Carrion .204 .275 .320 60 -0.9 .149 .220 .225 23 -2.0
Damon Keith .223 .300 .362 79 -0.5 .172 .248 .274 43 -2.7

Batters – Projected Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Mookie Betts .280 .390 .529 .277 .377 .509
Freddie Freeman .284 .365 .477 .306 .392 .515
Will Smith .259 .358 .456 .259 .353 .450
Shohei Ohtani .248 .348 .503 .264 .364 .564
James Outman .236 .329 .424 .251 .343 .453
Michael Busch .232 .318 .425 .252 .332 .472
Max Muncy .210 .327 .411 .216 .339 .446
Teoscar Hernández .268 .320 .486 .261 .312 .465
Miguel Vargas .262 .344 .451 .246 .319 .389
Austin Gauthier .243 .349 .359 .237 .327 .341
Miguel Rojas .254 .312 .357 .246 .297 .351
Amed Rosario .279 .319 .425 .260 .293 .378
Dalton Rushing .216 .340 .375 .216 .335 .405
Kolten Wong .235 .308 .346 .250 .328 .404
Trey Sweeney .207 .287 .326 .221 .302 .360
Gavin Lux .237 .306 .351 .256 .330 .391
Andy Pages .221 .315 .407 .219 .306 .403
J.D. Martinez .256 .331 .481 .241 .301 .449
Taylor Young .211 .313 .307 .214 .301 .295
Jason Heyward .235 .303 .358 .250 .324 .424
Chris Taylor .231 .325 .410 .231 .318 .388
Manuel Margot .272 .324 .416 .260 .311 .383
Enrique Hernández .237 .311 .385 .225 .285 .368
Drew Avans .217 .292 .313 .234 .310 .356
Óscar Mercado .236 .302 .389 .225 .284 .371
Jake Marisnick .229 .297 .386 .220 .281 .370
Austin Barnes .213 .308 .325 .215 .294 .306
Griffin Lockwood-Powell .216 .317 .368 .216 .301 .380
David Peralta .227 .281 .364 .255 .303 .414
Chris Newell .200 .267 .389 .209 .284 .410
David Dahl .230 .271 .350 .250 .301 .418
Bryson Brigman .241 .302 .331 .239 .293 .324
Yeiner Fernandez .248 .317 .333 .240 .300 .331
Steven Duggar .195 .279 .312 .205 .283 .345
Patrick Mazeika .225 .284 .300 .233 .288 .344
Ryan Ward .212 .270 .375 .226 .285 .402
Justin Yurchak .244 .317 .331 .264 .335 .380
Hunter Feduccia .216 .281 .336 .232 .307 .391
Alex Freeland .197 .279 .307 .206 .274 .310
Diego Cartaya .201 .281 .377 .202 .277 .360
Pat Valaika .223 .280 .345 .213 .257 .316
Wladimir Chalo .183 .246 .267 .184 .241 .263
Kody Hoese .222 .265 .313 .221 .259 .327
Imanol Vargas .188 .273 .316 .210 .294 .385
David Freitas .241 .311 .333 .232 .289 .362
Luis Yanel Diaz .208 .266 .346 .201 .248 .311
Hamlet Marte .184 .245 .265 .174 .237 .246
Ismael Alcantara .204 .269 .320 .203 .256 .280
Josh Stowers .189 .262 .324 .185 .247 .309
Brandon Lewis .196 .254 .363 .200 .248 .340
Kenneth Betancourt .230 .268 .291 .227 .261 .284
Lolo Sanchez .213 .296 .291 .211 .281 .300
Julio Carrion .183 .262 .280 .174 .238 .261
Damon Keith .202 .291 .333 .194 .260 .304

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Yoshinobu Yamamoto R 25 14 7 3.52 26 26 171.3 130 67 22 35 167
Shohei Ohtani R 29 11 5 3.29 24 24 139.3 109 51 18 45 157
Walker Buehler R 29 10 6 3.56 25 25 154.3 134 61 19 37 150
Julio Urías L 27 13 8 3.70 27 26 146.0 129 60 19 31 139
Bobby Miller R 25 11 6 3.74 26 26 137.3 119 57 14 40 128
Tyler Glasnow R 30 10 5 3.43 22 22 118.0 97 45 16 37 148
Clayton Kershaw L 36 10 6 3.46 22 21 114.3 103 44 16 28 115
Tony Gonsolin R 30 7 6 4.26 21 21 105.7 94 50 15 36 88
Gavin Stone R 25 6 5 4.46 26 21 115.0 111 57 16 41 115
Emmet Sheehan R 24 6 4 4.35 25 19 101.3 86 49 14 45 111
Dustin May R 26 4 2 3.72 12 11 55.7 46 23 7 18 57
William Cuevas 쿠에바스 R 33 7 6 4.76 24 22 126.7 136 67 23 34 102
Michael Grove R 27 3 2 4.46 21 16 78.7 77 39 12 28 82
Landon Knack R 26 4 3 4.48 20 20 82.3 83 41 11 28 68
Kyle Hurt R 26 4 4 4.44 24 15 77.0 65 38 11 39 95
Nick Frasso R 25 5 5 4.58 25 25 90.3 90 46 13 29 78
Brusdar Graterol R 25 4 2 3.69 62 1 61.0 57 25 7 15 49
Evan Phillips R 29 4 2 3.51 57 0 56.3 47 22 8 18 64
Caleb Ferguson L 27 6 3 3.88 63 6 58.0 52 25 7 21 63
Ryan Yarbrough L 32 7 6 4.67 24 13 98.3 103 51 16 21 81
River Ryan R 25 4 3 4.77 24 22 88.7 88 47 13 39 76
Alex Vesia L 28 5 3 3.86 63 1 60.7 49 26 9 24 78
Ricky Vanasco R 25 3 3 4.66 24 12 56.0 54 29 9 31 58
Ryan Brasier R 36 2 1 4.15 52 0 52.0 47 24 7 17 45
J.P. Feyereisen R 31 4 3 4.34 42 1 45.7 40 22 8 20 49
Blake Treinen R 36 4 3 4.12 45 0 43.7 40 20 6 16 43
Shelby Miller R 33 2 2 4.37 37 4 45.3 41 22 7 20 46
Ben Casparius R 25 5 5 5.15 23 18 87.3 90 50 14 45 74
Daniel Hudson R 37 3 2 4.18 30 0 28.0 25 13 5 11 34
Eduardo Salazar R 26 4 4 5.11 31 11 81.0 86 46 12 36 59
Joe Kelly R 36 3 2 4.46 38 0 34.3 29 17 5 17 44
John Rooney L 27 4 5 4.91 35 6 66.0 67 36 10 29 56
Carlo Reyes R 25 2 2 4.85 29 3 42.7 44 23 7 19 34
Robbie Erlin L 33 2 3 5.37 17 13 65.3 76 39 11 24 45
Yency Almonte R 30 2 2 4.53 44 0 45.7 39 23 6 20 50
Mark Washington R 28 3 2 4.80 32 2 45.0 45 24 7 19 38
Kevin Gowdy R 26 3 3 5.12 25 6 51.0 55 29 8 23 38
Gus Varland R 27 3 3 4.89 41 4 53.3 53 29 8 25 51
Kendall Williams R 23 5 6 5.46 20 18 84.0 91 51 13 43 53
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 26 7 7 5.28 23 10 87.0 94 51 13 35 59
Aaron Ochsenbein R 28 2 2 4.79 28 1 35.7 36 19 6 15 32
Tyler Cyr R 31 2 2 4.67 32 0 34.7 32 18 5 19 38
Mike Montgomery L 34 3 4 5.61 16 13 61.0 69 38 10 33 43
Alec Gamboa L 27 5 6 5.24 30 5 67.0 70 39 10 37 52
Ken Giles R 33 1 1 5.40 27 2 26.7 25 16 5 18 32
Braydon Fisher R 23 5 4 4.87 44 1 57.3 51 31 8 37 61
Keegan Curtis R 28 3 2 5.29 22 1 34.0 36 20 5 15 25
Trevor Bettencourt R 29 3 2 4.89 37 1 49.7 54 27 8 20 37
Zack Burdi R 29 0 1 5.16 19 0 22.7 23 13 4 12 23
Ryan Sherriff L 34 2 3 5.40 28 0 26.7 27 16 4 14 25
James Jones L 35 1 2 5.96 19 2 22.7 24 15 4 14 19
Jack Little R 26 1 1 6.10 19 1 20.7 23 14 4 12 14
Jimmy Nelson R 35 1 1 6.15 24 2 26.3 25 18 5 22 30
Jake Reed R 31 2 2 5.50 30 0 36.0 38 22 6 16 30
Aldry Acosta R 24 3 4 5.48 35 0 44.3 50 27 7 19 25
Robbie Peto R 25 3 3 5.90 23 8 68.7 76 45 12 41 47
Ben Harris L 24 2 3 5.56 42 1 45.3 38 28 7 40 55
Antonio Knowles R 24 3 4 5.55 42 0 47.0 45 29 7 32 46
Ryan Sublette R 25 3 3 5.61 38 1 43.3 41 27 7 34 44
Jake Pilarski R 26 1 2 6.03 33 0 37.3 40 25 6 26 28
Tanner Dodson R 27 4 5 5.75 41 0 51.7 58 33 8 33 35

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 171.3 8.8 1.8 1.2 5.2% 24.7% .244 118 3.57 85 3.8
Shohei Ohtani 139.3 10.1 2.9 1.2 7.8% 27.3% .265 129 3.82 78 3.1
Walker Buehler 154.3 8.7 2.2 1.1 5.9% 23.9% .276 119 3.73 84 3.0
Julio Urías 146.0 8.6 1.9 1.2 5.3% 23.6% .276 115 3.80 87 2.7
Bobby Miller 137.3 8.4 2.6 0.9 7.0% 22.4% .277 114 3.74 88 2.5
Tyler Glasnow 118.0 11.3 2.8 1.2 7.5% 30.1% .289 124 3.45 81 2.5
Clayton Kershaw 114.3 9.1 2.2 1.3 6.0% 24.5% .283 122 3.85 82 2.4
Tony Gonsolin 105.7 7.5 3.1 1.3 8.1% 19.9% .263 100 4.57 100 1.3
Gavin Stone 115.0 9.0 3.2 1.3 8.3% 23.3% .300 95 4.19 105 1.2
Emmet Sheehan 101.3 9.9 4.0 1.2 10.5% 25.8% .279 97 4.37 103 1.2
Dustin May 55.7 9.2 2.9 1.1 7.9% 25.0% .269 114 4.03 88 1.0
William Cuevas 126.7 7.2 2.4 1.6 6.3% 18.8% .296 89 4.93 112 1.0
Michael Grove 78.7 9.4 3.2 1.4 8.2% 23.9% .304 95 4.30 105 0.8
Landon Knack 82.3 7.4 3.1 1.2 7.9% 19.3% .294 95 4.43 106 0.8
Kyle Hurt 77.0 11.1 4.6 1.3 11.5% 27.9% .292 95 4.36 105 0.8
Nick Frasso 90.3 7.8 2.9 1.3 7.5% 20.2% .293 93 4.69 108 0.8
Brusdar Graterol 61.0 7.2 2.2 1.0 6.0% 19.4% .279 115 4.12 87 0.7
Evan Phillips 56.3 10.2 2.9 1.3 7.8% 27.6% .279 121 3.95 83 0.7
Caleb Ferguson 58.0 9.8 3.3 1.1 8.6% 25.8% .296 109 4.05 91 0.7
Ryan Yarbrough 98.3 7.4 1.9 1.5 5.1% 19.6% .296 91 4.61 110 0.7
River Ryan 88.7 7.7 4.0 1.3 9.9% 19.4% .290 89 5.00 112 0.6
Alex Vesia 60.7 11.6 3.6 1.3 9.5% 30.8% .286 110 3.95 91 0.6
Ricky Vanasco 56.0 9.3 5.0 1.4 12.4% 23.1% .298 91 5.04 110 0.4
Ryan Brasier 52.0 7.8 2.9 1.2 7.8% 20.6% .272 102 4.37 98 0.3
J.P. Feyereisen 45.7 9.7 3.9 1.6 10.3% 25.1% .274 98 4.70 102 0.2
Blake Treinen 43.7 8.9 3.3 1.2 8.6% 23.1% .286 103 4.31 97 0.2
Shelby Miller 45.3 9.1 4.0 1.4 10.2% 23.5% .281 97 4.69 103 0.2
Ben Casparius 87.3 7.6 4.6 1.4 11.3% 18.5% .295 82 5.36 121 0.2
Daniel Hudson 28.0 10.9 3.5 1.6 9.2% 28.3% .294 102 4.43 99 0.1
Eduardo Salazar 81.0 6.6 4.0 1.3 9.9% 16.2% .294 83 5.35 121 0.1
Joe Kelly 34.3 11.5 4.5 1.3 11.3% 29.3% .296 95 4.33 105 0.1
John Rooney 66.0 7.6 4.0 1.4 9.9% 19.2% .294 86 5.07 116 0.1
Carlo Reyes 42.7 7.2 4.0 1.5 10.1% 18.0% .289 87 5.20 114 0.1
Robbie Erlin 65.3 6.2 3.3 1.5 8.2% 15.3% .308 79 5.31 127 0.1
Yency Almonte 45.7 9.9 3.9 1.2 10.3% 25.6% .282 94 4.35 107 0.0
Mark Washington 45.0 7.6 3.8 1.4 9.5% 19.1% .288 88 5.06 113 0.0
Kevin Gowdy 51.0 6.7 4.1 1.4 10.0% 16.5% .297 83 5.33 121 0.0
Gus Varland 53.3 8.6 4.2 1.4 10.5% 21.5% .300 87 4.92 115 0.0
Kendall Williams 84.0 5.7 4.6 1.4 11.2% 13.8% .289 78 5.76 129 0.0
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr 87.0 6.1 3.6 1.3 8.9% 14.9% .293 80 5.39 124 0.0
Aaron Ochsenbein 35.7 8.1 3.8 1.5 9.6% 20.4% .294 88 4.99 113 0.0
Tyler Cyr 34.7 9.9 4.9 1.3 12.3% 24.5% .297 91 4.67 110 0.0
Mike Montgomery 61.0 6.3 4.9 1.5 11.6% 15.1% .304 76 5.80 132 -0.1
Alec Gamboa 67.0 7.0 5.0 1.3 12.0% 16.8% .294 81 5.39 124 -0.1
Ken Giles 26.7 10.8 6.1 1.7 14.5% 25.8% .303 79 5.43 127 -0.1
Braydon Fisher 57.3 9.6 5.8 1.3 13.9% 22.8% .287 87 5.03 115 -0.1
Keegan Curtis 34.0 6.6 4.0 1.3 9.9% 16.4% .295 80 5.28 125 -0.2
Trevor Bettencourt 49.7 6.7 3.6 1.4 8.9% 16.4% .299 87 5.13 115 -0.2
Zack Burdi 22.7 9.1 4.8 1.6 11.4% 21.9% .306 82 5.37 122 -0.2
Ryan Sherriff 26.7 8.4 4.7 1.4 11.7% 20.8% .303 79 5.36 127 -0.2
James Jones 22.7 7.5 5.6 1.6 13.2% 17.9% .299 71 6.12 140 -0.3
Jack Little 20.7 6.1 5.2 1.7 12.4% 14.4% .292 70 6.45 144 -0.3
Jimmy Nelson 26.3 10.3 7.5 1.7 17.3% 23.6% .299 69 6.41 145 -0.4
Jake Reed 36.0 7.5 4.0 1.5 9.9% 18.6% .299 77 5.51 130 -0.4
Aldry Acosta 44.3 5.1 3.9 1.4 9.4% 12.4% .293 77 5.67 129 -0.4
Robbie Peto 68.7 6.2 5.4 1.6 12.6% 14.5% .294 72 6.12 139 -0.5
Ben Harris 45.3 10.9 7.9 1.4 18.3% 25.2% .284 76 5.88 131 -0.5
Antonio Knowles 47.0 8.8 6.1 1.3 14.3% 20.5% .292 76 5.60 131 -0.5
Ryan Sublette 43.3 9.1 7.1 1.5 16.5% 21.4% .291 76 6.02 132 -0.5
Jake Pilarski 37.3 6.8 6.3 1.4 14.5% 15.6% .296 70 6.17 142 -0.6
Tanner Dodson 51.7 6.1 5.7 1.4 13.4% 14.2% .301 74 6.06 136 -0.8

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Dave Stieb Julio Teheran Denny McLain
Shohei Ohtani Ewell Blackwell John Smoltz Jack Kramer
Walker Buehler Jordan Zimmermann Don Sutton Josh Johnson
Julio Urías Steve Avery Bobby Shantz Ken Holtzman
Bobby Miller Michael Fulmer Michael Wacha German Marquez
Tyler Glasnow Pat Malone Virgil Trucks Mort Cooper
Clayton Kershaw Harry Brecheen Rube Marquard Jerry Reuss
Tony Gonsolin Ray Culp Dixie Leverett Oral Hildebrand
Gavin Stone Todd Stottlemyre Bob Anderson George Moton
Emmet Sheehan Gary Bell Hal Gregg Moe Drabowsky
Dustin May Johnny Morrison Michael Pineda Tony Gonsolin
William Cuevas Bobby Jones Mike Smithson Ricky Nolasco
Michael Grove Apolinar Garcia Lil Stoner Sean Bergman
Landon Knack Dave Bennett Asher Wojciechowski Jeff Shaver
Kyle Hurt Joel Hanrahan Mike Corkins Greg Harris
Nick Frasso Cody Anderson Chad Bettis Luis Andujar
Brusdar Graterol Jesse Crain Jeremy Accardo Manny Corpas
Evan Phillips Jonathan Papelbon Bruce Sutter Trevor Hoffman
Caleb Ferguson Steve Kline John Franco Aaron Bummer
Ryan Yarbrough Jeff Francis Matt Tomshaw Terry Mulholland
River Ryan Jefry Rodriguez Tony Runion Kyle Wright
Alex Vesia John Hiller Brad Kilby C.J. Wilson
Ricky Vanasco Sergio Valenzuela Travis Lakins Kevin Richards
Ryan Brasier LaTroy Hawkins Santiago Casilla Ellis Kinder
J.P. Feyereisen Jeff Russell Rich Garces Kerry Ligtenberg
Blake Treinen Dave Veres Santiago Casilla Joaquin Benoit
Shelby Miller Ricky Bottalico Xavier Hernandez Matt Karchner
Ben Casparius Chris Rojas Francisco De La Cruz Doug Schaefer
Daniel Hudson Todd Worrell Tom Henke Barney Schultz
Eduardo Salazar Chris Beck Warwick Saupold 서폴드 Lou Marietta
Joe Kelly Sam Jones Kerry Wood Toby Borland
John Rooney Rob Zastryzny Todd Fiegel Bill Pulsipher
Carlo Reyes Brian Evans Andrew Wilson Jeff Harris
Robbie Erlin Mike Kusiewicz Gavin Osteen Roy Merritt
Yency Almonte Jose Veras Bob Long Ryan Cook
Mark Washington Jaime Bluma Justin Pope Mark Hutton
Kevin Gowdy Jose Vargas Angel Nesbitt Andy Kimball
Gus Varland Randy Fontanez Kevin Comer Chris Leroux
Kendall Williams Michael Lorenzen Thomas Randecker Pat Bayless
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr Paul Clemens Heath Fillmyer Kyle Lloyd
Aaron Ochsenbein Jimmy Marrujo Jeff McCurry Gary Haught
Tyler Cyr Erik Goeddel Horacio Pina Chris Schroder
Mike Montgomery Travis Blackley 트레비스 Russ Swan Michael Tejera
Alec Gamboa Cole McCurry Wandy Peralta Victor Garcia
Ken Giles Bill Campbell Bob Babcock Rick Huisman
Braydon Fisher Matt Herges Billy Sadler Zach Jackson
Keegan Curtis Steve Phoenix Jimmy Marrujo Joe Morvay
Trevor Bettencourt Thomas Atlee Brandon Reed Matt Bischoff
Zack Burdi Del Hill Hal White Dar Smith
Ryan Sherriff Chet Nichols Bob Chipman Micah Bowie
James Jones Sid Monge Sean Fesh Dan Runzler
Jack Little Eddie Moore John Brown Chuck Kolotka
Jimmy Nelson Dave Baldwin Jim Hughes Alan Mills
Jake Reed Dick Pole Milo Candini Jim Dickson
Aldry Acosta Bo Kent Rodolfo Aguirre Joe Davenport
Robbie Peto Moose Marris Lou Trivino Widd Workman
Ben Harris Jose Alvarado Robbie Beckett Ryan Buchter
Antonio Knowles Jhondaniel Medina Jason Garcia Eduardo Sierra
Ryan Sublette Warren Magee Robert Bishop Chris Thompson
Jake Pilarski Gene Escat Daniel Tillman Jon Keller
Tanner Dodson Chris Beck Marco Albano Hal Garrett

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto .218 .275 .385 .205 .260 .345 5.0 2.6 3.03 4.10
Shohei Ohtani .224 .297 .396 .198 .267 .332 4.1 2.0 2.76 4.01
Walker Buehler .229 .283 .374 .228 .274 .381 3.9 2.0 3.07 4.23
Julio Urías .215 .265 .403 .237 .282 .380 3.6 1.8 3.21 4.28
Bobby Miller .217 .283 .371 .238 .296 .356 3.3 1.6 3.27 4.26
Tyler Glasnow .219 .281 .372 .218 .273 .384 3.4 1.4 2.82 4.23
Clayton Kershaw .223 .275 .394 .238 .285 .401 3.0 1.6 2.90 4.33
Tony Gonsolin .234 .303 .378 .232 .298 .428 2.0 0.6 3.71 4.93
Gavin Stone .250 .314 .415 .246 .310 .415 2.1 0.4 3.86 5.10
Emmet Sheehan .210 .302 .355 .239 .324 .421 2.0 0.1 3.77 5.15
Dustin May .235 .327 .429 .207 .258 .324 1.4 0.6 3.18 4.35
William Cuevas .279 .337 .493 .259 .302 .453 1.7 0.1 4.22 5.42
Michael Grove .263 .338 .453 .240 .296 .415 1.4 0.2 3.84 5.16
Landon Knack .234 .313 .400 .274 .320 .441 1.3 0.3 3.99 5.05
Kyle Hurt .232 .327 .399 .216 .320 .379 1.5 0.1 3.86 5.31
Nick Frasso .247 .323 .428 .261 .329 .426 1.4 0.2 4.04 5.23
Brusdar Graterol .275 .342 .471 .218 .266 .323 1.2 0.2 3.11 4.33
Evan Phillips .214 .294 .347 .228 .288 .421 1.3 0.1 2.76 4.53
Caleb Ferguson .230 .318 .351 .236 .313 .399 1.3 0.0 3.23 4.81
Ryan Yarbrough .224 .287 .378 .276 .321 .474 1.4 0.0 4.01 5.33
River Ryan .262 .359 .417 .244 .317 .439 1.2 0.0 4.27 5.32
Alex Vesia .192 .276 .295 .228 .310 .436 1.2 -0.2 2.98 4.99
Bryan Hudson .230 .310 .351 .245 .327 .430 1.0 -0.1 3.55 5.16
Ricky Vanasco .231 .331 .413 .263 .356 .447 0.8 0.0 4.09 5.31
Ryan Brasier .256 .337 .442 .221 .270 .363 0.7 -0.3 3.34 5.32
J.P. Feyereisen .250 .333 .475 .213 .286 .383 0.7 -0.4 3.49 5.76
Blake Treinen .250 .329 .461 .228 .294 .359 0.8 -0.3 3.23 5.46
Shelby Miller .250 .337 .464 .222 .304 .367 0.7 -0.3 3.61 5.35
Ben Casparius .259 .361 .458 .261 .341 .439 0.7 -0.5 4.71 5.81
Daniel Hudson .224 .309 .388 .241 .308 .448 0.5 -0.2 2.87 5.85
Eduardo Salazar .270 .361 .447 .262 .342 .445 0.5 -0.5 4.67 5.76
Joe Kelly .217 .329 .400 .229 .321 .400 0.5 -0.4 3.41 6.01
John Rooney .238 .330 .345 .267 .347 .477 0.6 -0.5 4.32 5.69
Carlo Reyes .260 .349 .438 .260 .327 .458 0.3 -0.2 4.29 5.52
Robbie Erlin .282 .345 .474 .286 .349 .487 0.4 -0.4 4.80 6.02
Yency Almonte .250 .352 .408 .206 .291 .371 0.5 -0.5 3.69 5.50
Mark Washington .244 .330 .410 .263 .339 .455 0.4 -0.4 4.19 5.58
Kevin Gowdy .287 .370 .500 .255 .331 .409 0.3 -0.3 4.68 5.70
Gus Varland .256 .358 .444 .252 .328 .420 0.4 -0.4 4.24 5.64
Kendall Williams .277 .366 .447 .266 .356 .463 0.4 -0.5 5.07 6.00
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr .278 .360 .443 .262 .342 .459 0.5 -0.6 4.76 5.86
Aaron Ochsenbein .270 .352 .508 .247 .314 .403 0.3 -0.4 4.16 5.76
Tyler Cyr .222 .319 .397 .254 .349 .437 0.3 -0.4 3.82 5.83
Mike Montgomery .286 .370 .471 .277 .371 .463 0.3 -0.6 5.03 6.34
Alec Gamboa .262 .351 .429 .264 .357 .445 0.4 -0.7 4.59 5.98
Ken Giles .229 .351 .458 .255 .364 .455 0.2 -0.5 4.31 7.14
Braydon Fisher .230 .366 .380 .235 .333 .412 0.4 -0.8 4.17 5.72
Keegan Curtis .268 .369 .464 .266 .337 .443 0.1 -0.5 4.62 6.17
Trevor Bettencourt .268 .345 .454 .275 .330 .461 0.2 -0.6 4.33 5.64
Zack Burdi .262 .367 .452 .255 .345 .447 0.0 -0.5 4.46 6.18
Ryan Sherriff .237 .326 .342 .269 .383 .507 0.0 -0.6 4.41 6.80
James Jones .259 .394 .444 .270 .373 .492 0.0 -0.5 5.04 7.19
Jack Little .268 .388 .463 .286 .367 .500 -0.1 -0.4 5.44 6.81
Jimmy Nelson .255 .426 .553 .236 .368 .382 0.0 -0.7 5.00 7.70
Jake Reed .305 .406 .576 .238 .323 .381 -0.1 -0.7 4.75 6.50
Aldry Acosta .294 .371 .424 .266 .340 .500 -0.2 -0.7 4.97 6.07
Robbie Peto .258 .377 .469 .289 .371 .483 0.0 -1.0 5.28 6.62
Ben Harris .236 .400 .382 .216 .378 .414 0.0 -1.0 4.70 6.48
Antonio Knowles .253 .381 .402 .240 .362 .438 -0.1 -1.0 4.94 6.50
Ryan Sublette .235 .386 .457 .253 .383 .414 -0.2 -1.0 4.97 6.58
Jake Pilarski .282 .407 .521 .256 .366 .397 -0.3 -0.9 5.36 6.83
Tanner Dodson .270 .373 .450 .284 .392 .468 -0.4 -1.2 5.17 6.44

Here are how the ZiPS percentiles worked out in 2023 for pitchers and hitters in in 2023.

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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goat
3 months ago

bury me in wet mud

Philip Christymember
3 months ago
Reply to  goat

Bad goat

Jorge Soler vs Train (UNEXPECTED)member
3 months ago
Reply to  goat

wet wet mud

loria_estefanmember
3 months ago

no coffin, please