2024 ZiPS Projections: Miami Marlins

For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Miami Marlins.

Batters

While the Marlins’ lineup, 15th in the NL in runs scored in 2023, didn’t technically prevent them from making the playoffs, it would be dangerous to expect that happy circumstance to repeat in the future. Winning nine more games than your Pythagorean record is not something that can be counted on to continue; Miami had a good bullpen, but bullpen quality actually correlates poorly with one-run record or Pythagorean overperformance.

What this means is that the Marlins need to search for more offensive talent. Though the depth chart image has them safely above replacement at all positions, the offensive output just isn’t very exciting in most of those, with no one hitter on the roster projecting with even a 20% chance of a 140 OPS+. Luis Arraez is terrific, and you’ve got to love such a throwback, but he’ll be hard-pressed to better his .354/.393/.469 line. Just being extraordinarily lucky with the injuries probably doesn’t get the Marlins above 12th or so in the NL in runs scored, and they have to figure out how to replace Jorge Soler’s 2023 performance — which, again, still didn’t suffice to get them out of last place in runs scored in the NL. And none of the prospects who are good possibilities to provide oomph in the majors someday, like Joe Mack, Kemp Alderman, or Jacob Berry, are likely going to have any impact on the lineup this year.

ZiPS is optimistic, however, on Xavier Edwards. While it didn’t come together for him in his small cup of coffee in the majors, cutting nearly two-thirds of your strikeout rate, as he did in the minors, is exceedingly rare, especially since his walk rate improved, too. Contact is especially important for Edwards, since he has the speed to make it matter. I’d be inclined to stick him in center field, bump Jazz Chisholm Jr. to left coming off his turf toe, and see what happens. I don’t think the Marlins will actually do that, which is too bad, because that domino effect would also result in less playing time for Avisaíl García, who has little justifiable reason to be on the roster at all at this point. If I were the Marlins, I’d also be inclined to sign Matt Chapman and stick either Jake Burger or Josh Bell at DH, but I don’t make the decisions for Miami, and they certainly don’t let me spend the money.

Pitchers

And here, we get to the primary reason why the Marlins played some extra baseball in October rather than slumming it with the Nationals and Pirates. It’s a testament to the quality and upside of the rotation that they still have a rotation somewhere around the top five even after losing Sandy Alcantara for 2024 to Tommy John surgery and trading Pablo López before last season. Jesús Luzardo is a legitimate ace-type starter, and Eury Pérez doesn’t need to make a big step forward to join him. Edward Cabrera retains that kind of upside if he can iron out some of those remaining command issues. Braxton Garrett is rapidly building up his Crafty Southpaw© sizzle reel, and Trevor Rogers remains interesting if he can, by some off-chance, stay healthy. And there’s depth, too: Max Meyer is returning from Tommy John surgery, and ZiPS already sees Dax Fulton and Patrick Monteverde as viable emergency fill-ins. (I wouldn’t oversell the chances of Sixto Sánchez starting another game in the majors given that he’s basically lost three years of development time, but I can’t not mention his continual existence, even if it’s more likely he stays in relief.)

ZiPS projects the bullpen to be in the top third of the league, possibly in the top five. Tanner Scott was on my breakouts list last year, so I’m not going to sour on him after he pitches very well, cutting out half his walk rate. ZiPS sees A.J. Puk’s strikeout bump as real given his 15% swinging-strike-against rate and a contact rate falling under 70% (meaning he turns the average hitter into Javier Báez). That gives the Marlins two of the league’s hardest throwing elite lefty relievers, and Andrew Nardi projects nearly as well as them. I’d hate to be facing Miami in the late innings without some right-handed power coming up. Add in Steven Okert, and ZiPS thinks the top four Marlins relievers are all lefties.

The computer isn’t as excited about the righties, but it does like Anthony Maldonado and Anthony Bender and has an unhealthy fixation on Luarbert Arias. The projections are more bearish on relievers like Calvin Faucher and George Soriano. Another righty in the pen might be profitable for the Marlins, but if there’s only so much money available — or, at least, the team is going to pretend that’s the case — I’d much prefer they spend on offense rather than worrying about who their third or fourth righty in the seventh inning is.

So where are the Marlins right now? Probably somewhere around .500, but with a precarious lineup that could use some attention.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Luis Arraez L 27 2B 602 550 74 174 27 4 7 59 45 39 3 2
Jazz Chisholm Jr. L 26 CF 439 397 62 99 17 3 19 61 35 122 21 6
Jake Burger R 28 3B 529 484 65 122 27 2 27 74 31 140 1 1
Xavier Edwards B 24 2B 491 440 63 125 17 3 4 42 39 59 18 5
Jacob Amaya R 25 SS 552 494 69 118 22 3 11 48 50 120 4 1
Jesús Sánchez L 26 RF 457 413 53 104 19 3 18 61 39 116 3 1
Jorge Soler R 32 RF 530 460 65 110 23 0 27 71 60 137 1 0
Josh Bell B 31 1B 576 507 59 132 26 1 19 68 62 116 0 1
Nick Fortes R 27 C 351 316 40 77 13 1 9 37 24 62 4 2
Christian Bethancourt R 32 C 322 303 43 77 16 0 11 36 15 81 2 1
Jacob Thompson L 26 RF 384 343 49 85 17 2 12 51 31 87 3 1
Jacob Stallings R 34 C 312 276 26 64 14 0 5 27 29 73 0 1
Josh Zamora R 25 SS 379 352 39 88 17 0 5 36 16 62 1 1
Bryan De La Cruz R 27 LF 555 511 61 137 27 1 17 68 38 125 4 2
Jon Berti R 34 SS 371 332 45 84 15 2 6 31 33 78 16 5
Vidal Bruján B 26 2B 427 387 58 97 19 3 7 41 33 80 21 12
Troy Johnston L 27 1B 541 487 59 123 26 2 13 68 40 116 8 1
Peyton Burdick R 27 RF 504 443 62 90 20 3 17 62 48 182 8 2
Jordan Groshans R 24 3B 500 451 53 112 21 0 5 39 46 96 0 1
C.J. Hinojosa R 29 2B 414 387 44 101 23 1 7 41 21 77 3 2
Tristan Gray L 28 SS 475 436 52 93 19 2 17 53 30 156 1 2
Austin Allen L 30 C 326 301 35 70 15 0 12 42 20 84 0 1
Dane Myers R 28 CF 469 427 57 109 16 2 12 62 30 115 11 3
Yuli Gurriel R 40 1B 413 375 45 104 24 1 7 38 29 53 4 1
Jose Devers L 24 SS 384 355 47 88 17 5 3 37 20 69 3 1
Marty Costes R 28 LF 299 261 34 66 13 2 3 29 27 60 6 2
Jonathan Davis R 32 CF 278 241 41 53 10 2 4 25 26 73 8 3
Victor Mesa Jr. L 22 CF 549 508 57 115 24 2 9 54 32 134 9 3
Jorge Alfaro R 31 C 317 297 26 71 15 1 7 35 12 94 4 1
Avisaíl García R 33 RF 363 331 35 77 13 1 11 41 24 104 4 1
Brian Miller L 28 LF 392 358 43 89 15 4 3 36 25 83 16 5
Jerar Encarnación R 26 RF 487 439 51 94 17 1 17 60 43 189 4 2
Jacob Berry B 23 3B 453 422 46 99 21 6 7 46 18 108 5 1
Jose Estrada R 24 C 92 86 8 19 7 0 1 7 4 22 0 1
Will Banfield R 24 C 443 418 43 90 19 2 10 47 16 124 1 1
Griffin Conine L 26 RF 459 409 43 79 13 2 16 55 42 191 1 1
Santiago Chávez R 28 C 198 182 18 33 6 0 1 14 12 64 0 1
Cobie Fletcher-Vance R 26 3B 368 337 32 76 16 1 2 32 23 80 2 1
Zach Zubia R 26 DH 336 290 31 60 10 0 8 34 41 114 0 1
Sean Roby R 25 1B 342 317 37 66 11 1 13 40 21 135 0 1
Osiris Johnson R 23 CF 333 310 35 66 11 0 7 32 17 105 4 1
Norel González L 30 RF 332 303 29 71 15 1 7 35 24 83 1 2
Victor Victor Mesa R 27 LF 339 313 32 72 10 1 2 27 17 62 11 3
Davis Bradshaw L 26 LF 345 316 35 81 10 3 2 34 16 69 3 4
Paul McIntosh R 26 C 335 296 39 64 13 1 9 39 31 91 2 2
Angeudis Santos B 22 LF 220 196 28 40 5 2 3 18 21 69 3 1
Joe Mack L 21 C 475 436 40 94 11 0 7 41 31 133 0 1
Kyler Castillo R 26 LF 229 205 18 51 8 1 1 20 19 51 1 2
Cody Morissette L 24 2B 453 418 49 87 17 1 9 44 25 124 2 2
J.D. Orr L 27 LF 278 245 33 54 8 2 0 21 27 65 13 5
Ynmanol Mariñez R 23 3B 372 351 36 71 14 2 5 32 17 124 1 1
Cameron Barstad L 23 C 246 225 19 44 13 1 4 24 17 104 0 1
Jan Mercado R 24 C 200 184 16 32 5 1 3 18 12 96 1 1
Bennett Hostetler R 26 1B 341 306 38 68 13 0 8 40 22 96 3 1
Tanner Allen L 26 LF 363 337 36 77 9 4 5 32 20 69 3 1
Dalvy Rosario R 23 CF 446 413 48 89 13 2 5 38 21 139 12 5

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA RC
Luis Arraez 602 .316 .369 .418 116 .102 .331 -7 2.5 .341 86
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 439 .249 .313 .451 107 .202 .313 4 2.4 .328 63
Jake Burger 529 .252 .308 .483 113 .231 .300 -3 2.2 .336 73
Xavier Edwards 491 .284 .343 .364 95 .080 .321 4 2.0 .313 61
Jacob Amaya 552 .239 .310 .362 85 .123 .295 4 1.7 .296 57
Jesús Sánchez 457 .252 .322 .443 108 .191 .308 3 1.6 .330 60
Jorge Soler 530 .239 .332 .465 116 .226 .280 -5 1.5 .342 71
Josh Bell 576 .260 .342 .428 111 .168 .304 -1 1.4 .334 75
Nick Fortes 351 .244 .311 .377 89 .133 .278 3 1.4 .303 39
Christian Bethancourt 322 .254 .290 .416 91 .162 .313 3 1.3 .303 37
Jacob Thompson 384 .248 .326 .414 102 .166 .299 4 1.3 .323 47
Jacob Stallings 312 .232 .310 .337 78 .105 .298 5 1.1 .289 29
Josh Zamora 379 .250 .297 .341 75 .091 .291 6 1.0 .282 36
Bryan De La Cruz 555 .268 .319 .425 103 .157 .325 -1 1.0 .321 71
Jon Berti 371 .253 .324 .364 90 .111 .315 -2 1.0 .304 45
Vidal Bruján 427 .251 .315 .370 88 .119 .300 2 1.0 .301 54
Troy Johnston 541 .253 .320 .394 96 .142 .307 4 1.0 .312 64
Peyton Burdick 504 .203 .296 .377 84 .174 .299 8 0.9 .296 52
Jordan Groshans 500 .248 .318 .328 79 .080 .306 4 0.9 .290 47
C.J. Hinojosa 414 .261 .300 .380 86 .119 .310 2 0.8 .295 46
Tristan Gray 475 .213 .272 .383 78 .170 .289 2 0.8 .284 46
Austin Allen 326 .233 .288 .402 87 .169 .283 -2 0.7 .299 35
Dane Myers 469 .255 .314 .386 92 .131 .323 -5 0.7 .307 55
Yuli Gurriel 413 .277 .329 .403 100 .125 .308 0 0.5 .316 51
Jose Devers 384 .248 .298 .349 78 .101 .300 -1 0.4 .285 38
Marty Costes 299 .253 .341 .352 92 .100 .318 0 0.4 .311 33
Jonathan Davis 278 .220 .312 .328 77 .108 .299 0 0.3 .288 27
Victor Mesa Jr. 549 .226 .276 .335 67 .108 .290 6 0.2 .268 50
Jorge Alfaro 317 .239 .281 .367 77 .128 .327 -3 0.2 .282 32
Avisaíl García 363 .233 .295 .378 84 .145 .306 2 0.1 .292 38
Brian Miller 392 .249 .299 .338 75 .089 .316 3 -0.1 .281 41
Jerar Encarnación 487 .214 .287 .374 80 .159 .330 2 -0.1 .289 49
Jacob Berry 453 .235 .278 .363 75 .128 .300 -2 -0.2 .278 44
Jose Estrada 92 .221 .261 .337 63 .116 .286 -1 -0.2 .260 8
Will Banfield 443 .215 .249 .342 61 .127 .282 1 -0.2 .256 36
Griffin Conine 459 .193 .277 .352 72 .159 .312 4 -0.3 .277 40
Santiago Chávez 198 .181 .244 .231 32 .049 .274 4 -0.4 .218 11
Cobie Fletcher-Vance 368 .226 .285 .297 61 .071 .290 1 -0.4 .261 29
Zach Zubia 336 .207 .310 .324 75 .117 .310 0 -0.5 .287 30
Sean Roby 342 .208 .263 .372 72 .164 .314 3 -0.5 .276 31
Osiris Johnson 333 .213 .257 .316 57 .103 .298 1 -0.5 .252 26
Norel González 332 .234 .298 .360 80 .125 .300 -3 -0.6 .289 34
Victor Victor Mesa 339 .230 .276 .288 56 .058 .281 6 -0.6 .252 28
Davis Bradshaw 345 .256 .310 .326 76 .070 .322 -1 -0.6 .283 34
Paul McIntosh 335 .216 .301 .358 81 .142 .281 -13 -0.6 .292 33
Angeudis Santos 220 .204 .283 .296 60 .092 .298 -1 -0.7 .261 17
Joe Mack 475 .216 .274 .289 56 .073 .294 -2 -0.7 .253 35
Kyler Castillo 229 .249 .319 .312 75 .063 .327 -4 -0.7 .284 21
Cody Morissette 453 .208 .259 .318 58 .110 .274 1 -0.7 .254 36
J.D. Orr 278 .220 .304 .269 60 .049 .300 0 -0.7 .264 25
Ynmanol Mariñez 372 .202 .245 .296 48 .094 .297 4 -0.8 .239 26
Cameron Barstad 246 .196 .260 .316 58 .120 .342 -6 -0.8 .255 19
Jan Mercado 200 .174 .240 .261 38 .087 .341 -2 -0.9 .227 12
Bennett Hostetler 341 .222 .295 .343 75 .121 .297 -4 -0.9 .284 32
Tanner Allen 363 .228 .279 .323 65 .095 .274 -4 -1.2 .266 31
Dalvy Rosario 446 .215 .260 .293 52 .077 .312 -4 -1.6 .245 36

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Luis Arraez Billy Goodman Jeff Keppinger Cookie Rojas
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Glenallen Hill Wally Judnich Andre Dawson
Jake Burger Larry Parrish Jake Fox Adam Duvall
Xavier Edwards Joey Cora Tony Fernandez Tom Barrett
Jacob Amaya Dave Berg Ramón Vázquez Melvin Collins
Jesús Sánchez Butch Alberts Ryan Church John Bowker
Jorge Soler Ralph Kiner Matt Stairs Luke Scott 스캇
Josh Bell J.T. Snow Pete O’Brien Yonder Alonso
Nick Fortes Brad Dandridge Carlos Ruiz Josue Peley
Christian Bethancourt Charlie Berry Yan Gomes Dan Wilson
Jacob Thompson Nicky Delmonico Bubba Bell Len Matuszek
Jacob Stallings Jeff Reed Chris Gimenez Bob Swift
Josh Zamora Daniel Baier Michael Perri Sam Dexter
Bryan De La Cruz Wil Cordero Gordie Windhorn Carlos Martinez
Jon Berti Esteban German Jimmy Sexton Dick Smith
Vidal Bruján Derrel Thomas Nelson Liriano Pablo Reyes
Troy Johnston Charlie Beamon Mike Baxter Darin Erstad
Peyton Burdick Brad Komminsk Gene Dotson Byron Browne
Jordan Groshans Robert Powell Leroy Bradley Conor Gillaspie
C.J. Hinojosa Alay Lago Ed Alfonzo Glenn Redmon
Tristan Gray Leo Burke Don Eggert Roy Smalley
Austin Allen Chris Widger Nelson Santovenia Brian Dorsett
Dane Myers Lorenzo Cain Luis Matos Buster Mills
Yuli Gurriel Johnny Cooney Butch McCord Ted Simmons
Jose Devers Mike Phillips Kurt Stillwell Didi Gregorius
Marty Costes Steve Hovley Adam Olow Stan Javier
Jonathan Davis Oddibe McDowell Bob Brower Milt Cuyler
Victor Mesa Jr. Torii Hunter Blake Tekotte Kevin Bass
Jorge Alfaro Dave Cochrane Damian Miller José Molina
Avisaíl García Ray Sadler Roland LeBlanc Chad Mottola
Brian Miller Quincy Foster Rajai Davis Tyrell Godwin
Jerar Encarnación Billy Max Josh Bonifay Hensley Meulens 뮬렌
Jacob Berry Jimmy Maness Ray Knight Orlando Hudson
Jose Estrada Isaias Tejeda Rafelin Lorenzo Matt Ceriani
Will Banfield Doug Camilli Art Kusnyer Jack Fleming
Griffin Conine Nate Dishington Gary Martz Chito Martinez
Santiago Chávez Travis Tartamella Clay Gunn Brandon Rogers
Cobie Fletcher-Vance Anderson Hidalgo D.L. Smith Corey Jones
Zach Zubia Pat Garman Allan Dykstra Ian Rice
Sean Roby Steve McQuail Fred Cooley Tony Armas
Osiris Johnson Janelfry Zorrilla Danny Santiesteban Brian Costello
Norel González Boots Day Joe Charboneau Robert Broome
Victor Victor Mesa Dan Kaczrowski Joey Martinez Teodoro Martinez
Davis Bradshaw Alec Keller Corey Coles BJ Boyd
Paul McIntosh Charlie Lau Otto Gonzalez Griff Erickson
Angeudis Santos Terry Brown Richard D Oleo Erik Zammarchi
Joe Mack Thomas Brown Tony Castillo Bill Fahey
Kyler Castillo Joe Bonfe Van Sowards Hector Faberlle
Cody Morissette Randy Blood John Flannery Jim Spring
J.D. Orr Jordan Schafer Ender Chavez Juan Silva
Ynmanol Mariñez Jonathan Laureano Brant Ust Donn Seidholz
Cameron Barstad Dave Steed Mark Maher Alex Trezza
Jan Mercado Lindsey Johnson Cecil Strawn Brendon Ounjian
Bennett Hostetler Drew Biery Tristin English Josmar Cordero
Tanner Allen Pedro Cotto Dwayne White Melvin Falu
Dalvy Rosario Gary Collum Sandy McKinnon Charlie Fermaint

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Luis Arraez .346 .399 .460 137 4.1 .286 .339 .372 99 1.1
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .274 .340 .503 127 3.5 .221 .285 .399 87 1.2
Jake Burger .277 .334 .541 133 3.5 .226 .285 .427 93 0.8
Xavier Edwards .314 .373 .401 111 3.1 .258 .317 .328 79 1.0
Jacob Amaya .267 .336 .407 104 3.0 .214 .284 .320 66 0.4
Jesús Sánchez .277 .347 .501 126 2.6 .223 .295 .400 90 0.5
Jorge Soler .263 .356 .520 136 2.7 .214 .306 .411 99 0.4
Josh Bell .286 .366 .474 127 2.7 .232 .312 .383 91 0.0
Nick Fortes .283 .348 .431 112 2.4 .212 .281 .324 69 0.4
Christian Bethancourt .282 .319 .464 112 2.2 .224 .262 .360 71 0.5
Jacob Thompson .276 .355 .465 123 2.2 .218 .296 .361 83 0.3
Jacob Stallings .261 .341 .386 99 1.9 .200 .281 .295 61 0.4
Josh Zamora .275 .324 .386 95 2.0 .217 .268 .297 56 0.1
Bryan De La Cruz .297 .348 .473 122 2.4 .240 .293 .375 85 -0.2
Jon Berti .280 .351 .405 107 1.8 .223 .298 .319 72 0.2
Vidal Bruján .276 .341 .418 106 2.0 .224 .287 .335 71 0.1
Troy Johnston .280 .347 .436 114 2.3 .227 .293 .348 78 -0.3
Peyton Burdick .231 .322 .434 104 2.1 .179 .270 .322 65 -0.2
Jordan Groshans .273 .348 .363 95 1.9 .221 .292 .291 61 -0.2
C.J. Hinojosa .292 .328 .431 106 1.9 .232 .269 .333 66 -0.2
Tristan Gray .240 .295 .435 96 1.8 .189 .247 .336 61 -0.3
Austin Allen .260 .317 .463 108 1.5 .203 .263 .343 65 -0.2
Dane Myers .289 .344 .434 110 1.8 .231 .286 .340 73 -0.4
Yuli Gurriel .309 .358 .448 119 1.4 .245 .297 .358 80 -0.6
Jose Devers .280 .331 .398 98 1.4 .222 .273 .311 60 -0.4
Marty Costes .281 .366 .398 109 1.0 .229 .314 .311 74 -0.3
Jonathan Davis .250 .343 .381 99 1.0 .192 .281 .281 57 -0.4
Victor Mesa Jr. .254 .302 .372 85 1.4 .199 .248 .290 48 -1.1
Jorge Alfaro .268 .311 .417 97 1.0 .214 .256 .325 60 -0.5
Avisaíl García .263 .320 .437 104 1.1 .207 .265 .330 65 -0.8
Brian Miller .277 .324 .387 95 0.8 .221 .269 .301 59 -1.0
Jerar Encarnación .242 .314 .432 102 1.1 .184 .260 .320 59 -1.3
Jacob Berry .261 .307 .413 96 1.0 .206 .250 .317 57 -1.2
Jose Estrada .254 .290 .398 86 0.1 .188 .225 .294 41 -0.4
Will Banfield .249 .283 .392 82 0.9 .189 .223 .297 41 -1.3
Griffin Conine .223 .305 .409 92 0.8 .164 .252 .296 50 -1.5
Santiago Chávez .214 .277 .271 53 0.2 .151 .213 .195 14 -0.8
Cobie Fletcher-Vance .252 .312 .337 78 0.3 .199 .262 .259 45 -1.2
Zach Zubia .232 .338 .374 94 0.4 .176 .275 .281 54 -1.4
Sean Roby .235 .289 .418 91 0.3 .181 .236 .321 53 -1.3
Osiris Johnson .243 .285 .369 77 0.3 .188 .230 .272 38 -1.3
Norel González .264 .330 .412 102 0.3 .206 .272 .316 63 -1.3
Victor Victor Mesa .257 .303 .322 74 0.2 .209 .255 .260 43 -1.2
Davis Bradshaw .286 .338 .366 93 0.2 .229 .280 .291 59 -1.3
Paul McIntosh .244 .330 .412 102 0.2 .188 .271 .307 59 -1.5
Angeudis Santos .237 .314 .347 81 -0.1 .173 .258 .254 42 -1.2
Joe Mack .246 .307 .341 79 0.6 .183 .245 .255 38 -1.8
Kyler Castillo .280 .348 .353 93 -0.2 .220 .286 .274 55 -1.3
Cody Morissette .238 .286 .365 80 0.4 .181 .230 .277 41 -1.8
J.D. Orr .246 .334 .309 77 -0.1 .195 .278 .237 44 -1.3
Ynmanol Mariñez .231 .273 .346 68 0.0 .175 .217 .256 30 -1.6
Cameron Barstad .230 .293 .368 79 -0.2 .167 .231 .276 40 -1.4
Jan Mercado .205 .272 .317 60 -0.3 .140 .206 .210 16 -1.4
Bennett Hostetler .253 .323 .395 97 0.0 .198 .266 .301 58 -1.6
Tanner Allen .255 .308 .366 84 -0.4 .201 .254 .277 48 -2.0
Dalvy Rosario .242 .284 .332 68 -0.6 .188 .234 .256 36 -2.5

Batters – Projected Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Luis Arraez .297 .355 .399 .323 .373 .425
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .234 .291 .402 .255 .321 .469
Jake Burger .258 .318 .495 .248 .302 .476
Xavier Edwards .282 .344 .351 .286 .342 .372
Jacob Amaya .242 .324 .377 .236 .298 .351
Jesús Sánchez .239 .301 .398 .257 .329 .460
Jorge Soler .245 .350 .489 .237 .324 .455
Josh Bell .258 .343 .424 .261 .342 .430
Nick Fortes .254 .329 .392 .237 .299 .366
Christian Bethancourt .263 .309 .421 .249 .278 .413
Jacob Thompson .237 .317 .398 .252 .329 .420
Jacob Stallings .234 .318 .351 .231 .305 .330
Josh Zamora .254 .301 .351 .248 .295 .335
Bryan De La Cruz .271 .327 .420 .266 .314 .427
Jon Berti .248 .326 .368 .256 .324 .363
Vidal Bruján .250 .321 .381 .251 .310 .361
Troy Johnston .238 .311 .378 .262 .326 .404
Peyton Burdick .208 .308 .381 .199 .285 .374
Jordan Groshans .251 .327 .335 .246 .311 .323
C.J. Hinojosa .269 .313 .396 .254 .289 .366
Tristan Gray .206 .267 .364 .218 .276 .395
Austin Allen .237 .297 .376 .231 .284 .413
Dane Myers .258 .318 .393 .253 .311 .382
Yuli Gurriel .278 .336 .413 .277 .326 .398
Jose Devers .239 .291 .349 .252 .302 .350
Marty Costes .256 .347 .352 .250 .335 .353
Jonathan Davis .219 .315 .344 .221 .309 .317
Victor Mesa Jr. .225 .273 .325 .227 .278 .341
Jorge Alfaro .240 .280 .380 .239 .281 .360
Avisaíl García .245 .310 .382 .227 .288 .376
Brian Miller .242 .294 .333 .252 .302 .341
Jerar Encarnación .218 .302 .383 .211 .276 .367
Jacob Berry .236 .285 .379 .234 .275 .355
Jose Estrada .229 .270 .314 .216 .255 .353
Will Banfield .217 .251 .344 .214 .247 .340
Griffin Conine .181 .264 .335 .201 .284 .362
Santiago Chávez .179 .247 .218 .183 .241 .240
Cobie Fletcher-Vance .229 .291 .307 .222 .280 .287
Zach Zubia .213 .331 .328 .202 .293 .321
Sean Roby .210 .271 .385 .207 .257 .362
Osiris Johnson .217 .271 .326 .210 .246 .309
Norel González .220 .286 .321 .242 .305 .381
Victor Victor Mesa .242 .291 .300 .211 .252 .268
Davis Bradshaw .250 .314 .333 .259 .308 .323
Paul McIntosh .216 .308 .376 .216 .297 .345
Angeudis Santos .200 .281 .288 .207 .285 .302
Joe Mack .203 .264 .280 .220 .278 .292
Kyler Castillo .258 .333 .323 .241 .306 .304
Cody Morissette .199 .250 .298 .213 .264 .329
J.D. Orr .215 .298 .269 .224 .308 .270
Ynmanol Mariñez .208 .256 .299 .198 .236 .294
Cameron Barstad .182 .250 .273 .201 .264 .333
Jan Mercado .173 .239 .259 .175 .241 .262
Bennett Hostetler .222 .295 .333 .222 .295 .351
Tanner Allen .216 .273 .284 .234 .282 .340
Dalvy Rosario .215 .262 .293 .216 .258 .293

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Sandy Alcantara R 28 11 9 3.53 29 29 191.3 174 75 19 45 172
Jesús Luzardo L 26 8 9 3.88 28 27 153.0 136 66 20 53 173
Eury Pérez R 21 7 7 3.63 27 27 124.0 106 50 15 41 137
Braxton Garrett L 26 7 7 4.02 27 26 136.7 138 61 17 39 125
Trevor Rogers L 26 6 7 4.06 21 21 102.0 99 46 12 34 103
Edward Cabrera R 26 7 9 4.41 24 23 112.3 98 55 15 53 116
Tanner Scott L 29 7 5 3.38 68 0 66.7 52 25 7 28 93
Luis Palacios L 23 7 11 4.69 24 22 128.7 146 67 18 26 75
Max Meyer R 25 4 4 4.24 17 17 76.3 74 36 9 33 73
Dax Fulton L 22 5 7 4.55 20 19 93.0 94 47 11 40 83
Ryan Weathers L 24 5 9 4.76 28 23 117.3 126 62 15 47 94
Patrick Monteverde L 26 6 8 4.70 21 21 103.3 111 54 14 39 77
Johnny Cueto R 38 4 7 4.86 21 19 107.3 128 58 16 28 64
A.J. Puk L 29 5 5 3.72 54 1 58.0 52 24 8 18 76
Kyle Tyler R 27 5 9 4.95 23 20 111.0 124 61 15 44 78
Bryan Hoeing R 27 4 5 4.70 31 14 97.7 107 51 13 28 70
Sixto Sánchez R 25 4 4 4.43 11 11 63.0 67 31 8 20 52
Devin Smeltzer L 28 5 8 4.87 26 19 101.7 113 55 15 34 66
Jonathan Bermúdez L 28 3 6 4.88 19 16 83.0 88 45 11 35 69
Steven Okert L 32 3 3 3.97 58 1 56.7 47 25 7 22 67
Matt Moore L 35 3 3 4.32 40 4 58.3 58 28 8 23 55
Andrew Nardi L 25 4 5 3.90 57 0 57.7 51 25 7 23 67
Daniel Castano L 29 3 4 4.81 19 10 67.3 75 36 10 22 48
Enmanuel De Jesus L 27 3 6 5.08 22 17 88.7 97 50 10 40 61
George Soriano R 25 2 3 4.70 35 9 76.7 75 40 10 36 73
Anthony Maldonado R 26 5 4 3.78 37 0 47.7 43 20 6 16 54
Matt Andriese R 34 4 6 4.99 19 13 70.3 86 39 11 17 47
Jeff Lindgren R 27 4 7 5.16 23 18 90.7 101 52 12 39 54
Anthony Bender R 29 2 3 4.22 44 1 42.7 38 20 5 16 45
David Robertson R 39 4 5 4.13 51 0 52.3 48 24 7 22 58
Zach McCambley R 25 4 6 4.95 23 12 67.3 69 37 9 31 58
Jackson Rose R 28 2 2 4.43 20 3 42.7 45 21 6 14 37
Luarbert Arias R 23 3 3 4.15 38 0 56.3 55 26 7 19 51
M.D. Johnson R 26 4 6 5.30 21 21 93.3 101 55 14 46 66
Paul Campbell R 28 4 6 5.08 16 9 62.0 68 35 10 25 49
Huascar Brazoban R 34 3 3 4.31 46 0 56.3 53 27 7 28 62
Sean Nolin L 34 2 4 5.07 15 11 55.0 66 31 9 18 38
Tyler Eckberg R 26 2 3 4.42 36 0 59.0 68 29 8 12 41
Chi Chi González R 32 4 7 5.40 22 19 98.3 121 59 15 28 50
Josh Simpson L 26 2 2 4.43 31 1 44.7 39 22 6 24 54
JT Chargois R 33 1 2 4.53 54 3 49.7 47 25 7 22 44
Calvin Faucher R 28 2 3 4.78 33 4 43.3 46 23 6 22 43
Evan Fitterer R 24 5 9 5.47 22 22 102.0 113 62 14 56 67
Ryan Jensen R 26 3 6 5.28 31 9 59.7 62 35 8 35 51
Austin Roberts R 25 3 4 4.78 40 1 64.0 68 34 8 25 52
Ignacio Feliz R 24 2 5 5.33 24 5 54.0 54 32 7 32 49
Breidy Encarnación R 23 1 2 4.64 37 0 64.0 65 33 8 29 53
Cristian Charle R 24 4 6 4.75 35 0 55.0 59 29 7 20 42
Josan Méndez R 23 3 3 4.70 37 0 53.7 60 28 6 15 29
Kaleb Ort R 32 2 3 4.93 40 1 42.0 43 23 6 20 41
Matt Barnes R 34 2 3 5.05 40 2 35.7 36 20 5 17 35
Archie Bradley R 31 1 3 5.11 28 1 37.0 41 21 5 12 25
Chandler Jozwiak L 25 2 2 4.83 42 0 54.0 60 29 7 17 35
Zach King L 26 4 9 5.64 20 16 75.0 85 47 11 42 53
Andrew McInvale R 27 1 3 5.28 22 1 30.7 30 18 4 18 30
Matt Pushard R 26 1 3 4.89 37 0 46.0 49 25 6 18 32
Richard Rodríguez R 34 1 3 4.88 36 0 51.7 58 28 8 14 30
Dylan Bice R 26 2 4 5.03 36 1 48.3 52 27 7 24 36
Jake Walters R 28 2 3 5.69 20 9 61.7 69 39 9 33 41
Ronald Bolaños R 27 3 7 5.77 19 13 64.0 72 41 9 36 40
Jefry Yan L 27 2 4 5.22 41 1 50.0 45 29 7 37 60
Adam Laskey L 26 2 3 5.32 30 1 44.0 49 26 6 24 35
Zack Leban R 28 1 1 5.45 26 1 36.3 37 22 5 22 31
Will Stewart L 26 3 7 5.81 22 9 66.7 74 43 9 37 43
Eli Villalobos R 27 1 3 5.17 41 0 54.0 57 31 8 30 48
Zach Willeman R 28 1 3 5.72 28 1 39.3 43 25 6 25 30
Johan Quezada R 29 1 4 5.53 28 0 40.7 44 25 6 26 34
Caleb Wurster L 25 3 6 5.44 36 0 49.7 50 30 7 31 44
Justin Evans R 27 2 3 5.68 28 0 38.0 39 24 5 24 34
Brady Puckett R 28 1 3 5.97 29 0 37.7 43 25 6 25 26

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Sandy Alcantara 191.3 8.1 2.1 0.9 5.7% 22.0% .285 120 3.56 83 4.1
Jesús Luzardo 153.0 10.2 3.1 1.2 8.2% 26.8% .296 109 3.85 92 2.6
Eury Pérez 124.0 9.9 3.0 1.1 7.9% 26.4% .286 117 3.71 86 2.5
Braxton Garrett 136.7 8.2 2.6 1.1 6.7% 21.5% .306 105 4.10 95 2.1
Trevor Rogers 102.0 9.1 3.0 1.1 7.8% 23.7% .307 104 3.91 96 1.6
Edward Cabrera 112.3 9.3 4.2 1.2 10.9% 23.8% .280 96 4.53 104 1.4
Tanner Scott 66.7 12.6 3.8 0.9 10.0% 33.1% .304 125 3.32 80 1.2
Luis Palacios 128.7 5.2 1.8 1.3 4.7% 13.7% .299 90 4.65 111 1.2
Max Meyer 76.3 8.6 3.9 1.1 9.8% 21.7% .301 100 4.25 100 1.0
Dax Fulton 93.0 8.0 3.9 1.1 9.8% 20.2% .305 93 4.49 107 1.0
Ryan Weathers 117.3 7.2 3.6 1.2 9.1% 18.1% .308 89 4.62 112 1.0
Patrick Monteverde 103.3 6.7 3.4 1.2 8.6% 16.9% .301 90 4.80 111 1.0
Johnny Cueto 107.3 5.4 2.3 1.3 6.0% 13.6% .310 87 4.92 115 0.8
A.J. Puk 58.0 11.8 2.8 1.2 7.3% 31.0% .317 114 3.57 88 0.8
Kyle Tyler 111.0 6.3 3.6 1.2 8.8% 15.6% .307 86 4.90 117 0.7
Bryan Hoeing 97.7 6.5 2.6 1.2 6.6% 16.5% .304 90 4.57 111 0.7
Sixto Sánchez 63.0 7.4 2.9 1.1 7.4% 19.2% .309 96 4.30 105 0.7
Devin Smeltzer 101.7 5.8 3.0 1.3 7.6% 14.8% .298 87 5.03 115 0.7
Jonathan Bermúdez 83.0 7.5 3.8 1.2 9.5% 18.6% .307 87 4.76 115 0.6
Steven Okert 56.7 10.6 3.5 1.1 9.2% 28.2% .288 107 3.93 94 0.5
Matt Moore 58.3 8.5 3.5 1.2 9.0% 21.6% .301 98 4.44 102 0.5
Andrew Nardi 57.7 10.5 3.6 1.1 9.4% 27.3% .301 109 3.91 92 0.5
Daniel Castano 67.3 6.4 2.9 1.3 7.4% 16.2% .304 88 4.87 114 0.5
Enmanuel De Jesus 88.7 6.2 4.1 1.0 10.0% 15.3% .305 83 4.97 120 0.5
George Soriano 76.7 8.6 4.2 1.2 10.6% 21.5% .300 90 4.77 111 0.5
Anthony Maldonado 47.7 10.2 3.0 1.1 7.9% 26.6% .301 112 3.82 89 0.4
Matt Andriese 70.3 6.0 2.2 1.4 5.5% 15.2% .322 85 4.80 118 0.4
Jeff Lindgren 90.7 5.4 3.9 1.2 9.6% 13.2% .297 82 5.27 122 0.4
Anthony Bender 42.7 9.5 3.4 1.1 8.8% 24.7% .292 100 4.08 100 0.4
David Robertson 52.3 10.0 3.8 1.2 9.6% 25.4% .299 103 4.21 97 0.4
Zach McCambley 67.3 7.8 4.1 1.2 10.2% 19.0% .302 86 4.96 117 0.4
Jackson Rose 42.7 7.8 3.0 1.3 7.6% 20.0% .307 96 4.40 105 0.3
Luarbert Arias 56.3 8.1 3.0 1.1 7.9% 21.3% .296 102 4.18 98 0.3
M.D. Johnson 93.3 6.4 4.4 1.4 10.8% 15.5% .296 80 5.53 125 0.3
Paul Campbell 62.0 7.1 3.6 1.5 9.0% 17.7% .305 83 5.13 120 0.2
Huascar Brazoban 56.3 9.9 4.5 1.1 11.1% 24.5% .309 98 4.32 102 0.2
Sean Nolin 55.0 6.2 2.9 1.5 7.3% 15.4% .317 83 5.09 120 0.2
Tyler Eckberg 59.0 6.3 1.8 1.2 4.7% 16.1% .314 96 4.34 104 0.2
Chi Chi González 98.3 4.6 2.6 1.4 6.4% 11.4% .309 78 5.20 128 0.2
Josh Simpson 44.7 10.9 4.8 1.2 12.0% 27.0% .300 96 4.46 105 0.2
JT Chargois 49.7 8.0 4.0 1.3 10.2% 20.5% .284 93 4.89 107 0.2
Calvin Faucher 43.3 8.9 4.6 1.2 11.0% 21.5% .323 89 4.66 113 0.1
Evan Fitterer 102.0 5.9 4.9 1.2 11.7% 14.0% .300 77 5.67 129 0.1
Ryan Jensen 59.7 7.7 5.3 1.2 12.6% 18.4% .303 80 5.30 125 0.0
Austin Roberts 64.0 7.3 3.5 1.1 8.7% 18.2% .308 89 4.66 113 0.0
Ignacio Feliz 54.0 8.2 5.3 1.2 12.9% 19.7% .301 79 5.29 126 0.0
Breidy Encarnación 64.0 7.5 4.1 1.1 10.2% 18.6% .298 91 4.68 110 0.0
Cristian Charle 55.0 6.9 3.3 1.1 8.2% 17.2% .304 89 4.64 112 0.0
Josan Méndez 53.7 4.9 2.5 1.0 6.4% 12.4% .297 90 4.63 111 0.0
Kaleb Ort 42.0 8.8 4.3 1.3 10.6% 21.8% .311 86 4.80 116 -0.1
Matt Barnes 35.7 8.8 4.3 1.3 10.5% 21.6% .307 84 4.71 119 -0.1
Archie Bradley 37.0 6.1 2.9 1.2 7.4% 15.4% .303 83 4.88 121 -0.1
Chandler Jozwiak 54.0 5.8 2.8 1.2 7.1% 14.7% .301 88 4.81 114 -0.1
Zach King 75.0 6.4 5.0 1.3 12.0% 15.2% .308 75 5.71 133 -0.1
Andrew McInvale 30.7 8.8 5.3 1.2 12.7% 21.1% .302 80 4.95 125 -0.1
Matt Pushard 46.0 6.3 3.5 1.2 8.8% 15.6% .297 87 4.86 116 -0.1
Richard Rodríguez 51.7 5.2 2.4 1.4 6.2% 13.2% .292 87 5.09 115 -0.1
Dylan Bice 48.3 6.7 4.5 1.3 10.9% 16.4% .300 84 5.26 119 -0.2
Jake Walters 61.7 6.0 4.8 1.3 11.5% 14.3% .302 74 5.77 134 -0.2
Ronald Bolaños 64.0 5.6 5.1 1.3 11.9% 13.2% .300 73 5.85 136 -0.2
Jefry Yan 50.0 10.8 6.7 1.3 15.5% 25.1% .304 81 5.20 123 -0.2
Adam Laskey 44.0 7.2 4.9 1.2 11.6% 16.9% .314 80 5.21 126 -0.2
Zack Leban 36.3 7.7 5.4 1.2 13.2% 18.6% .299 78 5.57 129 -0.3
Will Stewart 66.7 5.8 5.0 1.2 12.0% 13.9% .300 73 5.88 137 -0.3
Eli Villalobos 54.0 8.0 5.0 1.3 12.0% 19.2% .308 82 5.24 122 -0.3
Zach Willeman 39.3 6.9 5.7 1.4 13.4% 16.1% .303 74 5.85 135 -0.4
Johan Quezada 40.7 7.5 5.8 1.3 13.4% 17.5% .309 77 5.57 131 -0.4
Caleb Wurster 49.7 8.0 5.6 1.3 13.4% 19.0% .299 78 5.55 128 -0.4
Justin Evans 38.0 8.1 5.7 1.2 13.4% 19.0% .306 74 5.47 134 -0.4
Brady Puckett 37.7 6.2 6.0 1.4 13.7% 14.2% .306 71 6.26 141 -0.6

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Sandy Alcantara Jordan Zimmermann Johnny Cueto Marcus Stroman
Jesús Luzardo David Price Vida Blue Steve Carlton
Eury Pérez Denny McLain Dennis Eckersley José Fernández
Braxton Garrett Jose Quintana Ryan Carpenter 카펜터 Randy Tomlin
Trevor Rogers John O’Donoghue Brad Woodall Rich Rodas
Edward Cabrera Chuck Estrada Dustin Hermanson Les Tietje
Tanner Scott Mark Davis Randy Myers Joe Page
Luis Palacios Ryan Merritt Jack Wynkoop Tyler Alexander
Max Meyer George Uhaze Andy McGaffigan Corey Thurman
Dax Fulton Pat Underwood Bob Hendley Sheldon Burnside
Ryan Weathers Travis Miller Robert Mehrmann James Gillheeney
Patrick Monteverde Dave Fleming Brian Tallet Chris Peters
Johnny Cueto Doug Linton 린튼 Jack Quinn Rick Mahler
A.J. Puk Aaron Fultz Jakie May Rigo Beltran
Kyle Tyler Eddie Butler 버틀러 Parker Bridwell Dylan Covey
Bryan Hoeing Seth Lugo Francisco Oliveras Kevin Herget
Sixto Sánchez J.D. Martin 마틴 Jason Kummerfeldt Sheldon Dent
Devin Smeltzer Brett Oberholtzer Michael Roth David Holmberg
Jonathan Bermúdez Jim Campbell Shawn Morimando Daniel Scarpetta
Steven Okert Ron Mahay Tug McGraw Al Holland
Matt Moore Joe Hesketh Rick Honeycutt Valerio De Los Santos
Andrew Nardi Dave Maurer Steven Okert Cody Ege
Daniel Castano Mike Rochford Corey Hamman Virgil Conley
Enmanuel De Jesus Kirt Ojala Jerry Don Gleaton Dick Estelle
George Soriano Bob Ayrault Bubba Nelson Jake Faria
Anthony Maldonado Rich Thompson Fernando Salas Mike Adams
Matt Andriese Bob Bruce Bryan Rekar Josh Towers
Jeff Lindgren Michael Peoples Kent Bottenfield Kyle Drabek
Anthony Bender Danny Frisella Pedro Baez Vicente Romo
David Robertson Dave Veres Joel Peralta Tim Worrell
Zach McCambley Adrian Alaniz Anastacio Martinez Jim Pittsley
Jackson Rose Stan Jones Pete Parise Kurt Archer
Luarbert Arias Edgmer Escalona Willy Collado Loyd Colson
M.D. Johnson Justin Haley 헤일리 William Cuevas 쿠에바스 Mark Holliman
Paul Campbell Chandler Barnard Sonny Garcia Kevin Beirne
Huascar Brazoban Juan Berenguer Tim Stoddard Diego Segui
Sean Nolin Curt Young Horacio Ramirez 라미레즈 Charlie Gassaway
Tyler Eckberg Dwayne Pollok Jeremy Halpin Brian Allen
Chi Chi González Alex Cobb Justin De Fratus Tyler Herron
Josh Simpson John Miglio Kevin Siegrist Scott Maine
JT Chargois Santiago Casilla Ryan Tepera Shane Greene
Calvin Faucher Kevin Comer Clay Eason R.J. Rodriguez
Evan Fitterer Calvin Maduro Justin Haley Daniel Corcino
Ryan Jensen John Dillinger Daniel Corcino Gil Downs
Austin Roberts Duaner Sanchez Matt Murray Troy James
Ignacio Feliz Mike Hermanson Myles Smith Chris Sinacori
Breidy Encarnación Vladimir Perez Orlando Lind Andrew Bellatti
Cristian Charle Scott McKenzie Bryan Price Mike Proly
Josan Méndez Elio Serrano Randy Henry Bryan Corey 코리
Kaleb Ort Jeff Robinson David Carpenter Chad Harville
Matt Barnes Jim Lindsey Gregg Olson Don Aase
Archie Bradley Rich Carlucci Bob Miller Ryan Mattheus
Chandler Jozwiak Justin Sturge Kenny Roberts David Speer
Zach King Michael Mader Tim Berry Kyle Kessel
Andrew McInvale Dar Smith Darren Hall David Wong
Matt Pushard Logan Easley Pedro Beato Elvys Quezada
Richard Rodríguez Alex Wilson Mike Maddux Jim Konstanty
Dylan Bice Patrick Mincey Frank Batista Jacob Lemoine
Jake Walters Chase Johnson Brian Dupra Tommy Shimp
Ronald Bolaños Rick Behenna Jordan Tata Paul Menhart
Jefry Yan Sam Selman Nick Hagadone Ray Searage
Adam Laskey Gerardo Concepcion Jose Jimenez Joe Miller
Zack Leban Bill Moran Joe Kerrigan Rafael Carmona
Will Stewart Austin Kirk Brian Flores Rick Borchers
Eli Villalobos Brandon Backe A.J. Morris C.J. Fick
Zach Willeman Kris Harvey Jon Searles Loek van Mil
Johan Quezada Jon Searles Joey Donofrio Nefi Ogando
Caleb Wurster Andrew Faulkner Ryne Slack Gary Hart
Justin Evans Kevin Meistickle Kris Harvey Chris Squires
Brady Puckett Oscar Verdugo Loek van Mil Richard Ordway

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Sandy Alcantara .240 .289 .380 .234 .281 .357 5.1 2.9 3.06 4.12
Jesús Luzardo .209 .269 .320 .241 .312 .417 3.7 1.6 3.38 4.40
Eury Pérez .224 .304 .395 .227 .280 .356 3.5 1.4 3.06 4.45
Braxton Garrett .240 .293 .351 .263 .324 .440 2.9 1.2 3.54 4.60
Trevor Rogers .234 .314 .318 .254 .313 .430 2.2 0.8 3.54 4.71
Edward Cabrera .245 .336 .399 .215 .310 .384 2.2 0.5 3.85 5.08
Tanner Scott .186 .283 .291 .222 .310 .370 2.2 0.1 2.51 4.48
Luis Palacios .294 .333 .441 .275 .314 .458 1.9 0.6 4.18 5.16
Max Meyer .234 .329 .366 .261 .321 .438 1.5 0.5 3.76 4.91
Dax Fulton .245 .330 .347 .261 .340 .433 1.6 0.3 4.02 5.30
Ryan Weathers .250 .321 .386 .277 .345 .453 1.6 0.1 4.27 5.41
Patrick Monteverde .279 .343 .434 .264 .334 .437 1.5 0.2 4.22 5.35
Johnny Cueto .289 .342 .469 .291 .332 .474 1.3 0.2 4.38 5.56
A.J. Puk .203 .272 .311 .248 .315 .436 1.5 -0.1 2.81 5.00
Kyle Tyler .277 .343 .432 .277 .344 .463 1.4 0.1 4.48 5.51
Bryan Hoeing .277 .340 .441 .269 .315 .437 1.3 0.1 4.20 5.28
Sixto Sánchez .268 .331 .439 .266 .317 .414 1.0 0.2 3.93 5.12
Devin Smeltzer .268 .336 .393 .279 .336 .473 1.2 -0.1 4.43 5.54
Jonathan Bermúdez .250 .313 .365 .273 .355 .463 1.1 0.0 4.39 5.62
Steven Okert .228 .299 .342 .216 .312 .388 1.2 -0.2 3.13 5.09
Matt Moore .271 .338 .424 .247 .319 .418 1.1 -0.2 3.57 5.54
Andrew Nardi .224 .294 .342 .236 .323 .403 1.0 -0.1 3.22 4.77
Daniel Castano .270 .320 .449 .279 .342 .459 0.8 0.0 4.31 5.50
Enmanuel De Jesus .252 .331 .364 .281 .367 .450 0.9 -0.1 4.60 5.67
George Soriano .273 .370 .460 .230 .321 .373 0.9 0.0 4.18 5.33
Anthony Maldonado .256 .340 .430 .216 .274 .351 0.9 -0.1 3.05 4.87
Matt Andriese .289 .333 .484 .301 .343 .485 0.9 -0.1 4.39 5.73
Jeff Lindgren .291 .379 .469 .262 .327 .417 0.8 -0.2 4.74 5.71
Anthony Bender .253 .333 .387 .216 .300 .386 0.8 -0.2 3.46 5.29
David Robertson .224 .309 .357 .250 .331 .442 1.1 -0.5 3.17 5.47
Zach McCambley .279 .365 .441 .238 .333 .400 0.8 -0.1 4.48 5.54
Jackson Rose .266 .326 .456 .264 .320 .418 0.7 0.0 3.80 5.22
Luarbert Arias .257 .321 .416 .244 .305 .395 0.8 -0.2 3.49 4.96
M.D. Johnson .294 .394 .486 .249 .327 .416 0.7 -0.3 4.89 5.88
Paul Campbell .279 .355 .475 .268 .333 .441 0.7 -0.2 4.53 5.75
Huascar Brazoban .248 .342 .436 .239 .328 .368 0.9 -0.4 3.45 5.42
Sean Nolin .294 .347 .441 .289 .345 .497 0.6 -0.1 4.50 5.79
Tyler Eckberg .293 .338 .488 .274 .301 .410 0.6 -0.2 3.81 5.08
Chi Chi González .300 .351 .458 .293 .338 .507 0.7 -0.4 4.95 5.98
Josh Simpson .200 .324 .283 .245 .344 .455 0.7 -0.3 3.56 5.29
JT Chargois .243 .364 .419 .246 .313 .415 0.7 -0.4 3.65 5.77
Calvin Faucher .286 .375 .494 .250 .330 .385 0.4 -0.3 4.15 5.74
Evan Fitterer .251 .366 .387 .295 .379 .495 0.5 -0.6 5.12 6.09
Ryan Jensen .269 .380 .472 .256 .353 .388 0.4 -0.4 4.70 5.99
Austin Roberts .277 .356 .445 .257 .329 .404 0.4 -0.4 4.26 5.38
Ignacio Feliz .271 .393 .427 .241 .346 .405 0.3 -0.5 4.77 6.05
Breidy Encarnación .294 .375 .444 .222 .298 .381 0.4 -0.5 4.13 5.30
Cristian Charle .262 .336 .417 .274 .333 .436 0.4 -0.4 4.13 5.37
Josan Méndez .284 .339 .422 .270 .320 .426 0.3 -0.4 4.12 5.23
Kaleb Ort .263 .356 .513 .256 .340 .367 0.3 -0.4 4.24 5.82
Matt Barnes .241 .353 .431 .265 .333 .422 0.3 -0.5 4.21 6.39
Archie Bradley .275 .359 .435 .275 .322 .463 0.2 -0.3 4.47 5.90
Chandler Jozwiak .254 .316 .338 .286 .346 .483 0.2 -0.4 4.27 5.47
Zach King .274 .375 .432 .282 .377 .474 0.3 -0.7 5.17 6.33
Andrew McInvale .263 .382 .421 .238 .329 .413 0.1 -0.4 4.64 6.27
Matt Pushard .264 .337 .414 .271 .336 .448 0.2 -0.4 4.36 5.46
Richard Rodríguez .268 .321 .474 .286 .336 .446 0.2 -0.5 4.27 5.68
Dylan Bice .269 .361 .452 .270 .345 .440 0.1 -0.6 4.57 5.76
Jake Walters .289 .387 .471 .266 .362 .453 0.2 -0.6 5.15 6.34
Ronald Bolaños .288 .393 .466 .270 .366 .447 0.2 -0.7 5.26 6.49
Jefry Yan .200 .342 .323 .252 .385 .441 0.3 -0.7 4.32 6.18
Adam Laskey .273 .365 .382 .276 .366 .472 0.1 -0.6 4.57 6.04
Zack Leban .261 .386 .478 .257 .364 .392 0.0 -0.7 4.86 6.44
Will Stewart .255 .366 .362 .286 .391 .497 0.1 -0.7 5.29 6.49
Eli Villalobos .265 .371 .408 .265 .351 .470 0.1 -0.8 4.55 6.10
Zach Willeman .284 .384 .473 .262 .376 .440 -0.1 -0.8 5.09 6.79
Johan Quezada .296 .405 .521 .250 .352 .391 0.0 -0.8 4.83 6.42
Caleb Wurster .246 .359 .369 .262 .378 .454 -0.1 -0.9 4.78 6.33
Justin Evans .239 .379 .380 .278 .376 .468 -0.1 -0.8 5.01 6.51
Brady Puckett .314 .422 .529 .253 .370 .422 -0.3 -1.0 5.29 6.95

Here are how the ZiPS percentiles worked out in 2023 for pitchers and hitters in in 2023.

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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Cave Dameron
11 months ago

Thank you Florida Dan, very cool!

GreggMember since 2020
11 months ago
Reply to  Cave Dameron

If you really want to thank him then you can buy a membership. I know you use the site a lot.