2024 ZiPS Projections: New York Mets

For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the first team up is the New York Mets.

Batters

At the very least, there’s a good sense of clarity when looking at the Mets depth chart. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are plug-and-play options — just stick them in, and if they’re your biggest problem, you’re doomed anyway. Pete Alonso qualifies as that as well, though the Mets are not long from having to make a decision on whether it’s better to offer him a potentially ludicrous contract extension or find a new polar bear (they’re endangered after all!). Jeff McNeil will likely have a season somewhere in between his 2022 and 2023. Francisco Alvarez has a hold on the starting catching job now that he’s outlasted his predecessor (Tomás Nido) and the guy who really, really liked playing said predecessor (Buck Showalter). It’s also obvious that this is a crucial season for Mark Vientos and Brett Baty; the Mets don’t have infinite patience. There likely need to be better solutions in left field, and it’s time to start thinking about a post-Starling Marte right field.

While people are looking for the Mets to make big, splashy signings, it’s also a team that could use an extra bat or two in reserve. With questions at third and in left and right, it’s really hard from a roster standpoint to keep a platoon DH with no defensive value hanging around unless he absolutely crushes his side of the platoon (and Daniel Vogelbach really doesn’t). Eduardo Escobar was traded for good reasons, but he was handy to have around. The fixes to the offense might be low-key because of the need in the next section of this article. There aren’t any young phenoms really threatening to seize a roster spot from any of the offensive stragglers; the Mets have four offensive prospects in our Top 100 who are about a year away from making a real impact in the majors. The fifth, Ronny Mauricio, certainly has upside at second, but then the question becomes how much value McNeil really has as a corner outfielder.

Pitchers

There’s a lot of work to be done here. Kodai Senga is written in with permanent marker, and while ZiPS is very lukewarm — to be nice — about José Quintana, he’s certainly going to be in the rotation as well. After that, the Mets have a deep stable of just-a-guy types; the rotation is probably the biggest hurdle preventing the team from having a nice little bounce-back season. Not to pick on Mike Vasil, who I think will be a serviceable fourth/fifth starter for a while, but if Mike Vasil is this high in the projections, you’ve got some slots to fill. The Mets may have been relieved of the worry of Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander’s inevitable aging curve cliffs, but even if their time with the team didn’t go exactly to plan, without them, the rotation looks like a smoking crater. The good news is that while the free agent market has a real lack of impact bats, starting pitching is well-stocked, even before you consider the availability of Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Shōta Imanaga.

A healthy Edwin Díaz is a boon for the bullpen, though he’s not enough to single-armedly make this a plus unit. The relief corps is less of a smoking crater than the rotation, and ZiPS is more or less is cool with the rest of the group in Brooks Raley, Drew Smith, Trevor Gott, and Phil Bickford. ZiPS sees Josh Walker as a pretty decent swingman option, if a very low-ceiling one. Still, there’s room to improve. I don’t think the starters who fail to make the rotation next spring have electric enough stuff to be overly enthused about their bullpen chances, so the Mets will likely need to find an arm or two here. It doesn’t have to be a Díaz-like arm — good luck finding that — but a couple of mid-tier relievers might keep the wheels from coming off this apple cart.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Francisco Lindor B 30 SS 646 568 95 146 27 3 27 91 62 123 20 4
Brandon Nimmo L 31 CF 615 530 84 144 27 5 19 66 70 124 3 3
Pete Alonso R 29 1B 646 559 88 141 26 1 40 115 66 140 4 1
Jeff McNeil L 32 2B 575 519 66 147 30 2 10 57 38 63 6 1
Francisco Alvarez R 22 C 483 422 61 97 18 0 23 73 51 131 2 1
Mark Vientos R 24 3B 486 441 55 107 20 2 22 69 37 144 1 1
Brett Baty L 24 3B 509 457 67 113 18 0 19 66 44 139 2 2
Ronny Mauricio B 23 2B 600 565 69 138 25 3 20 74 29 145 18 7
Rafael Ortega L 33 CF 415 361 49 85 18 1 9 37 48 91 12 6
Omar Narváez L 32 C 306 268 31 67 13 1 6 27 31 61 0 1
Danny Mendick R 30 2B 421 382 49 92 15 1 8 43 34 83 7 2
Starling Marte R 35 RF 403 368 55 99 17 2 10 45 23 81 22 5
Daniel Vogelbach L 31 DH 364 306 39 71 12 1 14 48 56 93 0 1
Luisangel Acuña R 22 SS 560 514 73 122 21 2 8 52 42 134 31 7
Jett Williams R 20 SS 547 462 64 99 19 6 11 58 68 156 21 4
Jeremiah Jackson R 24 3B 455 413 47 88 19 1 14 54 34 145 11 5
Zack Short R 29 2B 412 351 46 69 16 0 11 48 53 125 5 2
Rhylan Thomas L 24 LF 344 308 32 81 12 1 2 28 28 37 4 7
Wyatt Young L 24 SS 542 486 58 110 18 2 4 42 50 128 8 2
Luis Guillorme L 29 2B 269 234 25 58 10 1 2 19 31 48 1 1
Drew Gilbert L 23 CF 522 467 65 107 20 2 14 58 44 119 7 4
Matt Rudick L 25 LF 311 268 43 62 12 1 5 33 34 60 7 1
Lorenzo Cedrola R 26 CF 411 375 51 93 14 4 5 44 19 65 11 5
Tim Locastro R 31 LF 203 178 29 39 8 1 4 19 10 51 8 2
Luke Ritter R 27 2B 442 387 47 76 12 1 15 53 43 162 3 1
Tomás Nido R 30 C 251 233 26 53 8 0 5 21 12 64 0 1
Khalil Lee L 26 RF 397 339 46 69 19 1 9 50 43 144 9 5
Nick Meyer R 27 C 282 249 31 54 7 0 4 24 25 69 5 2
Abraham Almonte B 35 RF 290 249 39 53 11 0 10 32 39 84 3 1
Jose Peraza R 30 1B 228 212 24 49 11 1 3 23 8 42 2 1
Carlos Cortes L 27 LF 438 391 48 83 21 1 10 46 40 117 1 1
Jonathan Araúz B 25 SS 439 392 48 85 13 2 10 42 40 106 2 1
Brandon McIlwain R 26 CF 483 428 47 95 19 2 8 53 38 142 10 5
Jaylin Davis R 29 RF 349 307 41 60 12 2 10 38 34 126 2 2
DJ Stewart L 30 RF 378 339 39 75 13 1 13 45 30 104 3 1
Kevin Parada R 22 C 456 415 43 90 19 3 12 52 29 148 0 1
Hayden Senger R 27 C 302 272 28 54 13 1 4 30 21 112 1 1
Mikey Perez R 24 2B 243 216 24 39 7 0 8 27 21 77 6 2
William Lugo R 22 3B 470 428 44 94 19 2 10 49 33 129 3 2
Stanley Consuegra R 23 RF 455 423 50 88 19 3 15 55 25 152 4 3
Daniel Palka L 32 1B 403 364 48 79 14 1 14 45 37 116 2 1
Matt O’Neill R 26 C 254 223 22 37 6 1 4 19 28 111 0 1
Joe Suozzi R 26 1B 348 313 37 66 9 2 6 37 24 120 6 2
Rowdey Jordan B 25 2B 468 414 49 87 18 2 7 44 44 126 13 4
D’Andre Smith R 23 2B 249 228 27 44 11 1 3 24 15 89 4 1
JT Schwartz L 24 1B 347 314 33 72 14 2 3 34 27 75 2 1
Branden Fryman R 26 SS 223 209 19 41 7 1 2 16 8 65 4 2
Jose Mena R 27 C 228 219 14 45 8 0 2 17 7 67 0 1
Alex Ramirez R 21 CF 555 510 58 111 22 2 8 49 39 149 11 6
Mateo Gil R 23 3B 404 375 42 76 17 2 8 39 24 124 3 2
Ryan Clifford L 20 1B 506 441 52 89 15 0 16 59 48 175 2 1
Agustin Ruiz L 24 RF 440 396 46 77 15 1 13 50 31 151 1 1
Jaylen Palmer R 23 LF 463 408 54 67 11 2 10 42 45 212 15 4

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA
Francisco Lindor 646 .257 .336 .458 117 .201 .285 8 4.7 .341
Brandon Nimmo 615 .272 .367 .449 124 .177 .323 2 3.9 .356
Pete Alonso 646 .252 .345 .517 134 .265 .266 0 3.1 .363
Jeff McNeil 575 .283 .347 .407 108 .123 .307 0 2.5 .330
Francisco Alvarez 483 .230 .321 .436 107 .206 .276 0 2.4 .327
Mark Vientos 486 .243 .307 .447 105 .204 .309 0 1.7 .323
Brett Baty 509 .247 .321 .411 101 .164 .314 0 1.6 .320
Ronny Mauricio 600 .244 .285 .405 88 .161 .295 4 1.4 .297
Rafael Ortega 415 .235 .327 .366 91 .130 .291 3 1.2 .307
Omar Narváez 306 .250 .331 .373 95 .123 .303 1 1.2 .310
Danny Mendick 421 .241 .309 .348 82 .107 .289 6 1.1 .292
Starling Marte 403 .269 .328 .408 102 .139 .321 1 1.1 .321
Daniel Vogelbach 364 .232 .352 .415 111 .183 .286 0 0.9 .337
Luisangel Acuña 560 .237 .295 .333 73 .095 .306 2 0.9 .278
Jett Williams 547 .214 .329 .353 89 .139 .298 -10 0.8 .306
Jeremiah Jackson 455 .213 .277 .366 76 .153 .291 7 0.6 .280
Zack Short 412 .197 .304 .336 77 .140 .270 3 0.6 .286
Rhylan Thomas 344 .263 .326 .328 82 .065 .294 9 0.5 .293
Wyatt Young 542 .226 .299 .296 66 .070 .299 5 0.5 .269
Luis Guillorme 269 .248 .337 .325 85 .077 .304 0 0.4 .297
Drew Gilbert 522 .229 .305 .370 86 .141 .278 -3 0.3 .296
Matt Rudick 311 .231 .334 .340 87 .108 .281 1 0.3 .305
Lorenzo Cedrola 411 .248 .302 .347 79 .099 .289 0 0.3 .287
Tim Locastro 203 .219 .308 .343 80 .124 .285 2 0.2 .293
Luke Ritter 442 .196 .290 .349 76 .152 .290 -1 0.1 .283
Tomás Nido 251 .227 .267 .326 63 .099 .293 2 0.1 .261
Khalil Lee 397 .204 .317 .345 83 .142 .323 -1 -0.2 .299
Nick Meyer 282 .217 .297 .293 65 .076 .284 -2 -0.2 .269
Abraham Almonte 290 .213 .321 .378 92 .165 .277 -5 -0.2 .310
Jose Peraza 228 .231 .278 .335 68 .104 .275 4 -0.2 .270
Carlos Cortes 438 .212 .288 .348 75 .136 .277 5 -0.2 .280
Jonathan Araúz 439 .217 .288 .337 72 .120 .272 -5 -0.2 .277
Brandon McIlwain 483 .222 .304 .332 76 .110 .313 -4 -0.2 .285
Jaylin Davis 349 .195 .287 .345 74 .150 .292 3 -0.3 .281
DJ Stewart 378 .221 .296 .381 85 .159 .279 -4 -0.4 .296
Kevin Parada 456 .217 .283 .364 77 .147 .306 -11 -0.5 .284
Hayden Senger 302 .199 .275 .298 59 .099 .321 -3 -0.5 .258
Mikey Perez 243 .181 .264 .324 62 .144 .237 -4 -0.7 .262
William Lugo 470 .220 .283 .343 72 .124 .291 -5 -0.7 .276
Stanley Consuegra 455 .208 .259 .374 72 .165 .285 3 -0.7 .274
Daniel Palka 403 .217 .290 .376 83 .159 .278 -2 -0.7 .291
Matt O’Neill 254 .166 .264 .256 45 .090 .306 0 -0.7 .238
Joe Suozzi 348 .211 .287 .310 65 .099 .321 3 -0.7 .269
Rowdey Jordan 468 .210 .293 .314 68 .104 .285 -6 -0.7 .273
D’Andre Smith 249 .193 .261 .289 52 .096 .301 -1 -0.7 .248
JT Schwartz 347 .229 .300 .315 71 .086 .292 1 -0.7 .275
Branden Fryman 223 .196 .232 .268 38 .072 .275 1 -0.8 .221
Jose Mena 228 .205 .237 .269 40 .064 .287 -2 -1.0 .225
Alex Ramirez 555 .218 .277 .316 64 .098 .292 -3 -1.0 .264
Mateo Gil 404 .203 .253 .323 58 .120 .280 -1 -1.1 .252
Ryan Clifford 506 .202 .296 .345 77 .143 .292 -6 -1.3 .286
Agustin Ruiz 440 .194 .266 .336 65 .141 .276 -2 -1.5 .264
Jaylen Palmer 463 .164 .258 .275 48 .110 .306 5 -1.5 .243

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Francisco Lindor Marcus Semien Ryne Sandberg Ian Kinsler
Brandon Nimmo Earle Combs Robin Yount Phil Cavarretta
Pete Alonso Glenn Davis Justin Morneau Tino Martinez
Jeff McNeil Placido Polanco Fernando Vina Jim Gantner
Francisco Alvarez Gary Carter Stan Holmes Ozzie Virgil
Mark Vientos Austin Riley Juan Guerrero Jeff Hamilton
Brett Baty Chad McDonald Edwin Encarnación Jedd Gyorko
Ronny Mauricio Jordany Valdespin Mike Edwards Paul Dade
Rafael Ortega Nemo Leibold Len Johnston Nick Capra
Omar Narváez Robert Fick Jacob Stallings Michael LaValliere
Danny Mendick Marty Malloy Rod Booker Corey Jones
Starling Marte Howie Bedell Carl Crawford Skeeter Barnes
Daniel Vogelbach John Wockenfuss Erubiel Durazo Pete Ward
Luisangel Acuña Elvis Andrus Rafael Furcal Mike Sharperson
Jett Williams Zeke DeVoss Tommy Harper Sean Rodriguez
Jeremiah Jackson Duncan Campbell Gene Davis Gene Freese
Zack Short Steve Curry Eddie Joost Kelly Heath
Rhylan Thomas Brent Keys Ron McNeely Richard Giallella
Wyatt Young Mark Raynor Nate Mondou Tyler Smith
Luis Guillorme Jerry Browne Ed Giovanola Tim Flannery
Drew Gilbert Everett Graham Brian Kowitz Joe Gaines
Matt Rudick Gerald Bosch Josh Alley Mark Marquess
Lorenzo Cedrola Joe Orsulak Shooty Babitt Alex Diaz
Tim Locastro Juan Ciriaco Brian Hunter Adron Chambers
Luke Ritter Ryan Roberts James Russin Emerito Lopez
Tomás Nido Humberto Quintero Ronnie Freeman Bob Barton
Khalil Lee Al Chambers Nick Plummer Willie Argo
Nick Meyer Jeff Farnham Phil Avlas Darren Niethammer
Abraham Almonte Dwayne Murphy Jose Cruz Jason Bay
Jose Peraza Brent Butler John Wathan Derrick Pyles
Carlos Cortes Caleb Gindl Trey Dyson Gary Borg
Jonathan Araúz Kevin Polcovich Ronnie Merrill Mike Reynolds
Brandon McIlwain Ryan LaMarre Darnell McDonald Brian Turang
Jaylin Davis George Kopacz Mike Berger William Thomas
DJ Stewart Keith Brachold Jay Gainer Sam Vico
Kevin Parada Ryan Luzinski Creighton Gubanich Dennis Paepke
Hayden Senger John Nester Casey Snow Doug Davis
Mikey Perez J.E. Cruz Donald Kinzel Heinie Scheer
William Lugo Rob Sperring Craig Seegmiller Ty Waller
Stanley Consuegra Collin DeLome Bobby DeLoach Edwin Neal
Daniel Palka Brad Nelson Pat Putnam Mike Jacobs
Matt O’Neill Dan Plante Paul Bradley Buddy Pryor
Joe Suozzi Cameron Monger Juan Rodriguez Taylor Kohlwey
Rowdey Jordan Harry Chappas Mike Myers Andy Fox
D’Andre Smith Justino Cuevas Glenn Osinski Jason Stidham
JT Schwartz Mark Manering Dan Arendas Derek Nicholson
Branden Fryman Niko Gallego Kenny Krey Kyle Padgett
Jose Mena Jayson Hernandez Tony Gilmore Carlos Dominguez
Alex Ramirez Ted Parks Gorkys Hernandez Mickey Stanley
Mateo Gil Alex Valdez Joseph Monty Greg Sinatro
Ryan Clifford Brant Colamarino Brad Pounders Joey Votto
Agustin Ruiz Joe De Berry Chad Townsend David Mowry
Jaylen Palmer John Cotton Angelo Dagres Tom Johnson

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Francisco Lindor .278 .358 .514 135 6.3 .233 .311 .411 99 3.3
Brandon Nimmo .294 .390 .504 142 5.2 .246 .340 .405 106 2.6
Pete Alonso .276 .372 .580 156 4.8 .229 .321 .461 113 1.4
Jeff McNeil .308 .373 .445 124 3.6 .257 .325 .365 92 1.4
Francisco Alvarez .256 .348 .496 130 3.7 .200 .292 .379 87 1.3
Mark Vientos .270 .332 .515 130 3.1 .216 .277 .383 83 0.4
Brett Baty .273 .348 .465 123 2.9 .223 .296 .361 82 0.3
Ronny Mauricio .267 .309 .464 108 2.9 .222 .261 .360 72 0.0
Rafael Ortega .262 .357 .414 109 2.1 .208 .297 .316 71 0.2
Omar Narváez .277 .357 .422 113 1.9 .222 .305 .325 73 0.4
Danny Mendick .270 .334 .389 100 2.1 .216 .282 .306 66 0.3
Starling Marte .297 .355 .457 120 2.1 .244 .303 .368 86 0.3
Daniel Vogelbach .258 .379 .472 129 1.8 .203 .325 .367 91 0.1
Luisangel Acuña .265 .321 .374 91 2.1 .212 .269 .295 57 -0.2
Jett Williams .242 .358 .409 109 2.1 .191 .305 .306 70 -0.5
Jeremiah Jackson .240 .301 .416 94 1.7 .190 .254 .318 57 -0.4
Zack Short .225 .330 .390 95 1.6 .170 .274 .296 57 -0.4
Rhylan Thomas .294 .354 .369 99 1.3 .236 .300 .297 66 -0.2
Wyatt Young .248 .321 .329 80 1.4 .200 .276 .265 53 -0.4
Luis Guillorme .275 .362 .369 102 0.9 .218 .304 .286 67 -0.2
Drew Gilbert .254 .330 .421 104 1.6 .205 .280 .325 68 -0.8
Matt Rudick .256 .361 .383 106 1.0 .209 .310 .300 74 -0.3
Lorenzo Cedrola .279 .328 .392 98 1.2 .225 .278 .309 62 -0.6
Tim Locastro .247 .336 .388 99 0.7 .191 .283 .290 61 -0.3
Luke Ritter .226 .318 .404 97 1.2 .169 .265 .297 56 -0.9
Tomás Nido .261 .302 .378 85 0.7 .199 .239 .286 46 -0.5
Khalil Lee .228 .339 .390 100 0.6 .174 .289 .294 65 -1.0
Nick Meyer .250 .332 .334 85 0.6 .188 .267 .257 47 -0.8
Abraham Almonte .236 .350 .427 111 0.5 .187 .290 .322 72 -0.9
Jose Peraza .262 .308 .383 87 0.3 .206 .253 .294 51 -0.7
Carlos Cortes .237 .313 .393 94 0.8 .188 .260 .302 56 -1.2
Jonathan Araúz .245 .314 .385 90 0.7 .188 .261 .292 52 -1.3
Brandon McIlwain .244 .328 .368 90 0.6 .199 .279 .291 59 -1.3
Jaylin Davis .221 .317 .400 94 0.5 .170 .256 .298 55 -1.2
DJ Stewart .250 .329 .440 109 0.6 .194 .269 .328 67 -1.3
Kevin Parada .245 .307 .413 99 0.7 .191 .256 .318 60 -1.5
Hayden Senger .229 .307 .343 79 0.3 .171 .247 .252 40 -1.2
Mikey Perez .209 .292 .401 88 0.2 .155 .242 .274 46 -1.2
William Lugo .247 .311 .382 89 0.4 .196 .258 .298 56 -1.6
Stanley Consuegra .236 .285 .423 91 0.4 .185 .235 .329 55 -1.6
Daniel Palka .242 .317 .436 107 0.5 .187 .261 .324 62 -1.7
Matt O’Neill .195 .292 .308 64 -0.1 .137 .229 .217 27 -1.3
Joe Suozzi .234 .309 .354 82 0.0 .184 .260 .271 48 -1.4
Rowdey Jordan .235 .320 .356 86 0.4 .186 .271 .277 53 -1.6
D’Andre Smith .220 .285 .334 70 -0.2 .170 .234 .245 34 -1.3
JT Schwartz .253 .327 .358 88 0.0 .206 .279 .284 57 -1.3
Branden Fryman .222 .259 .309 55 -0.2 .168 .204 .228 20 -1.3
Jose Mena .241 .268 .311 60 -0.4 .178 .206 .234 23 -1.5
Alex Ramirez .242 .300 .354 79 0.1 .192 .252 .275 46 -2.2
Mateo Gil .226 .278 .370 75 -0.1 .176 .229 .285 41 -1.9
Ryan Clifford .224 .323 .391 94 -0.3 .173 .272 .305 59 -2.5
Agustin Ruiz .223 .295 .382 84 -0.5 .170 .242 .288 47 -2.5
Jaylen Palmer .190 .284 .322 64 -0.6 .139 .231 .232 28 -2.6

Batters – Projected Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Francisco Lindor .262 .341 .470 .255 .334 .452
Brandon Nimmo .268 .356 .439 .273 .372 .453
Pete Alonso .247 .350 .505 .255 .343 .523
Jeff McNeil .275 .343 .383 .286 .348 .416
Francisco Alvarez .235 .338 .449 .226 .306 .425
Mark Vientos .251 .321 .462 .236 .294 .434
Brett Baty .239 .313 .390 .252 .325 .423
Ronny Mauricio .237 .280 .384 .249 .288 .419
Rafael Ortega .222 .315 .333 .239 .330 .375
Omar Narváez .241 .328 .328 .252 .332 .386
Danny Mendick .240 .315 .342 .242 .305 .352
Starling Marte .262 .321 .417 .272 .331 .404
Daniel Vogelbach .203 .321 .362 .241 .360 .430
Luisangel Acuña .238 .303 .333 .237 .290 .332
Jett Williams .213 .333 .362 .215 .326 .347
Jeremiah Jackson .219 .287 .385 .209 .270 .352
Zack Short .205 .323 .343 .189 .286 .330
Rhylan Thomas .256 .323 .291 .266 .328 .342
Wyatt Young .221 .296 .290 .229 .301 .299
Luis Guillorme .238 .324 .270 .251 .342 .345
Drew Gilbert .221 .299 .352 .232 .306 .377
Matt Rudick .224 .327 .294 .235 .338 .361
Lorenzo Cedrola .255 .309 .378 .241 .296 .316
Tim Locastro .221 .302 .377 .218 .313 .317
Luke Ritter .200 .304 .352 .194 .280 .347
Tomás Nido .230 .272 .333 .226 .265 .322
Khalil Lee .201 .318 .321 .205 .317 .361
Nick Meyer .214 .302 .295 .219 .294 .292
Abraham Almonte .207 .317 .356 .216 .323 .389
Jose Peraza .237 .275 .329 .228 .279 .338
Carlos Cortes .209 .277 .328 .214 .293 .358
Jonathan Araúz .212 .284 .322 .220 .291 .346
Brandon McIlwain .225 .313 .337 .220 .299 .328
Jaylin Davis .198 .298 .344 .193 .278 .347
DJ Stewart .218 .292 .356 .222 .298 .389
Kevin Parada .215 .282 .348 .218 .284 .374
Hayden Senger .204 .280 .327 .195 .271 .277
Mikey Perez .183 .269 .312 .179 .261 .333
William Lugo .223 .290 .349 .217 .278 .340
Stanley Consuegra .213 .269 .388 .204 .252 .363
Daniel Palka .209 .283 .348 .221 .293 .390
Matt O’Neill .165 .276 .275 .167 .255 .242
Joe Suozzi .217 .294 .333 .207 .283 .293
Rowdey Jordan .210 .296 .308 .210 .292 .317
D’Andre Smith .191 .265 .270 .194 .258 .302
JT Schwartz .212 .284 .303 .237 .307 .321
Branden Fryman .200 .244 .294 .194 .223 .250
Jose Mena .213 .245 .287 .200 .231 .256
Alex Ramirez .221 .283 .315 .215 .273 .316
Mateo Gil .203 .259 .320 .203 .249 .324
Ryan Clifford .191 .293 .322 .206 .298 .353
Agustin Ruiz .189 .262 .315 .197 .268 .346
Jaylen Palmer .166 .264 .278 .163 .253 .272

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Kodai Senga R 31 11 8 3.63 28 28 161.0 132 65 18 76 190
Edwin Díaz R 30 4 2 2.62 56 0 55.0 36 16 4 18 87
David Peterson L 28 6 7 4.49 29 24 126.3 120 63 15 58 138
Mike Vasil R 24 5 5 4.40 25 24 110.3 107 54 14 41 102
Coleman Crow R 23 4 6 4.47 19 19 100.7 100 50 12 33 87
Dominic Hamel R 25 6 7 4.65 25 24 110.3 107 57 14 50 107
Tylor Megill R 28 7 9 4.83 26 25 128.7 137 69 19 51 111
José Quintana L 35 5 5 4.61 22 19 99.7 108 51 12 39 86
José Butto R 26 6 7 4.86 25 23 116.7 118 63 16 51 100
Tyler Stuart R 24 4 5 4.83 21 21 100.7 107 54 13 36 75
Joey Lucchesi L 31 5 8 4.93 22 21 107.7 113 59 15 47 87
Denyi Reyes R 27 3 4 4.90 24 17 93.7 104 51 13 28 68
Peyton Battenfield R 26 5 6 5.02 21 20 100.3 108 56 15 40 69
Josh Walker L 29 4 3 4.40 25 8 59.3 60 29 7 23 55
Landon Marceaux R 24 5 7 4.97 19 19 83.3 95 46 11 28 49
Justin Jarvis R 24 6 10 5.13 23 23 108.7 112 62 16 58 98
Humberto Mejia R 27 4 6 4.92 16 15 71.3 78 39 10 25 54
Adam Ottavino R 38 4 3 3.98 57 0 52.0 46 23 5 25 55
Nate Lavender L 24 4 4 4.00 40 1 54.0 44 24 6 27 69
Robert Colina R 23 4 6 4.90 22 9 68.0 71 37 10 24 60
Dylan Bundy R 31 4 5 5.15 17 17 80.3 86 46 14 21 61
Dylan Tebrake R 24 2 2 4.02 25 1 40.3 37 18 4 21 44
Jose Chacin R 27 4 6 5.28 23 18 92.0 104 54 15 30 64
Junior Santos R 22 5 9 5.31 26 16 95.0 107 56 11 43 57
Phil Bickford R 28 4 4 4.22 59 0 64.0 55 30 8 26 71
Jordan Geber R 24 3 4 5.06 15 8 58.7 67 33 10 15 39
Connor Grey R 30 3 4 5.29 17 14 68.0 73 40 9 29 52
Blade Tidwell R 23 6 10 5.44 24 24 101.0 98 61 15 64 100
Joander Suarez R 24 5 9 5.46 21 19 87.3 89 53 13 47 80
Sean Reid-Foley R 28 2 2 4.76 26 6 45.3 39 24 7 29 61
Oscar Rojas R 25 4 6 5.35 17 13 67.3 75 40 10 27 48
Trevor Gott R 31 3 3 4.35 41 0 39.3 36 19 5 15 41
Drew Smith R 30 4 4 4.36 54 0 53.7 48 26 8 23 56
Brooks Raley L 36 1 2 4.40 56 0 45.0 41 22 5 20 50
Eric Orze R 26 3 4 4.55 36 1 55.3 50 28 7 31 59
Daniel Juarez L 23 3 3 4.82 36 2 52.3 50 28 6 25 48
Dennis Santana R 28 4 5 4.70 44 3 51.7 48 27 6 27 53
Carlos Carrasco R 37 4 7 5.62 18 18 81.7 96 51 14 32 68
Grant Hartwig R 26 5 7 4.58 46 0 59.0 55 30 6 29 59
Bryce Montes de Oca R 28 2 2 4.78 29 1 32.0 26 17 3 22 41
David Griffin R 27 3 6 5.52 20 14 73.3 82 45 11 35 51
Benito Garcia R 24 3 4 5.11 27 3 49.3 56 28 8 13 34
John Curtiss R 31 1 2 4.78 31 1 37.7 37 20 6 16 38
Josh Hejka R 27 2 3 4.89 27 1 46.0 49 25 5 16 32
Dedniel Núñez R 28 2 4 4.91 33 1 51.3 51 28 7 26 51
Bubby Rossman R 32 2 4 5.30 27 5 37.3 38 22 5 23 34
Nolan Clenney R 28 2 3 4.84 32 0 57.7 58 31 8 25 57
Tyler Thomas L 28 1 2 4.85 26 0 39.0 38 21 5 19 37
Sam Coonrod R 31 1 1 5.40 28 2 25.0 24 15 2 16 23
Trey McLoughlin R 25 3 4 4.89 31 0 46.0 48 25 8 16 41
Reed Garrett R 31 2 2 5.24 28 0 34.3 37 20 4 17 30
William Woods R 25 2 2 5.18 35 0 48.7 49 28 7 22 43
Tommy Hunter R 37 1 1 5.40 17 0 23.3 27 14 5 7 18
Jimmy Yacabonis R 32 2 4 5.45 30 1 36.3 38 22 5 19 33
Tony Dibrell R 28 2 4 6.20 11 9 40.7 46 28 7 25 32
Matt Minnick L 28 2 3 5.40 26 0 35.0 35 21 5 19 31
Eli Ankeney L 23 3 4 5.48 31 1 42.7 41 26 6 28 41
Brian Metoyer R 27 1 2 5.95 15 0 19.7 17 13 3 16 24
Hunter Parsons R 27 3 4 5.29 33 0 49.3 49 29 7 27 48
Tyler Jay L 30 1 1 5.71 21 1 34.7 38 22 6 16 33
Jeff Brigham R 32 2 3 5.40 42 0 45.0 41 27 8 24 48
Paul Gervase R 24 2 4 5.36 36 0 50.3 42 30 6 42 60
Justin Courtney R 27 2 3 5.61 23 0 33.7 38 21 6 16 27
Marcel Rentería R 29 1 1 5.96 18 0 25.7 27 17 4 16 21
Brendan Hardy R 24 1 2 6.11 24 0 28.0 24 19 4 24 34
Luis Moreno R 25 2 4 5.75 25 1 51.7 57 33 9 22 41
Wilkin Ramos R 23 2 5 5.58 34 0 50.0 48 31 6 38 45
Joey Lancellotti R 26 1 1 6.34 28 1 44.0 49 31 8 29 35
Troy Miller R 27 2 6 7.16 12 11 49.0 58 39 13 32 38
Quinn Brodey L 28 0 2 7.71 20 0 25.7 30 22 6 22 21

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Kodai Senga 161.0 10.6 4.2 1.0 10.9% 27.3% .287 122 3.86 82 3.4
Edwin Díaz 55.0 14.2 2.9 0.7 8.2% 39.7% .299 169 2.29 59 1.6
David Peterson 126.3 9.8 4.1 1.1 10.4% 24.8% .311 98 4.16 102 1.6
Mike Vasil 110.3 8.3 3.3 1.1 8.6% 21.3% .296 100 4.25 100 1.4
Coleman Crow 100.7 7.8 3.0 1.1 7.6% 20.1% .297 99 4.24 101 1.3
Dominic Hamel 110.3 8.7 4.1 1.1 10.2% 21.9% .301 95 4.46 105 1.2
Tylor Megill 128.7 7.8 3.6 1.3 9.0% 19.5% .307 92 4.76 109 1.2
José Quintana 99.7 7.8 3.5 1.1 8.8% 19.4% .318 96 4.33 104 1.1
José Butto 116.7 7.7 3.9 1.2 9.9% 19.4% .297 91 4.84 110 1.0
Tyler Stuart 100.7 6.7 3.2 1.2 8.1% 16.9% .300 91 4.67 109 0.9
Joey Lucchesi 107.7 7.3 3.9 1.3 9.8% 18.2% .301 90 4.84 112 0.9
Denyi Reyes 93.7 6.5 2.7 1.2 6.9% 16.7% .306 90 4.63 111 0.8
Peyton Battenfield 100.3 6.2 3.6 1.3 9.0% 15.5% .293 88 5.08 114 0.7
Josh Walker 59.3 8.3 3.5 1.1 8.9% 21.2% .308 100 4.15 100 0.7
Landon Marceaux 83.3 5.3 3.0 1.2 7.5% 13.1% .302 89 4.91 112 0.7
Justin Jarvis 108.7 8.1 4.8 1.3 11.7% 19.8% .304 86 5.02 116 0.6
Humberto Mejia 71.3 6.8 3.2 1.3 8.0% 17.3% .305 90 4.74 111 0.6
Adam Ottavino 52.0 9.5 4.3 0.9 11.0% 24.1% .295 111 4.12 90 0.5
Nate Lavender 54.0 11.5 4.5 1.0 11.6% 29.7% .297 110 3.92 91 0.5
Robert Colina 68.0 7.9 3.2 1.3 8.0% 20.0% .305 90 4.68 111 0.5
Dylan Bundy 80.3 6.8 2.4 1.6 6.1% 17.7% .293 86 4.90 117 0.5
Dylan Tebrake 40.3 9.8 4.7 0.9 11.7% 24.4% .308 110 3.92 91 0.4
Jose Chacin 92.0 6.3 2.9 1.5 7.4% 15.7% .303 84 5.09 120 0.4
Junior Santos 95.0 5.4 4.1 1.0 10.0% 13.3% .304 83 5.01 120 0.4
Phil Bickford 64.0 10.0 3.7 1.1 9.6% 26.3% .287 105 4.02 96 0.4
Jordan Geber 58.7 6.0 2.3 1.5 5.8% 15.1% .302 87 4.96 115 0.3
Connor Grey 68.0 6.9 3.8 1.2 9.5% 17.1% .303 83 4.99 120 0.3
Blade Tidwell 101.0 8.9 5.7 1.3 13.8% 21.5% .297 81 5.31 123 0.3
Joander Suarez 87.3 8.2 4.8 1.3 11.8% 20.0% .302 81 5.21 124 0.3
Sean Reid-Foley 45.3 12.1 5.8 1.4 14.3% 30.0% .308 93 4.62 108 0.3
Oscar Rojas 67.3 6.4 3.6 1.3 8.9% 15.9% .304 83 5.14 121 0.2
Trevor Gott 39.3 9.4 3.4 1.1 9.0% 24.7% .295 102 4.12 98 0.2
Drew Smith 53.7 9.4 3.9 1.3 10.0% 24.5% .284 101 4.56 99 0.2
Brooks Raley 45.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 10.3% 25.8% .305 100 4.08 100 0.2
Eric Orze 55.3 9.6 5.0 1.1 12.6% 23.9% .295 97 4.61 103 0.2
Daniel Juarez 52.3 8.3 4.3 1.0 10.8% 20.7% .295 92 4.52 109 0.2
Dennis Santana 51.7 9.2 4.7 1.0 11.7% 22.9% .298 94 4.46 106 0.2
Carlos Carrasco 81.7 7.5 3.5 1.5 8.6% 18.4% .324 79 5.14 127 0.1
Grant Hartwig 59.0 9.0 4.4 0.9 11.2% 22.7% .301 97 4.36 104 0.1
Bryce Montes de Oca 32.0 11.5 6.2 0.8 14.9% 27.7% .303 92 4.44 108 0.1
David Griffin 73.3 6.3 4.3 1.4 10.5% 15.3% .303 80 5.45 125 0.1
Benito Garcia 49.3 6.2 2.4 1.5 6.0% 15.7% .304 86 4.96 116 0.1
John Curtiss 37.7 9.1 3.8 1.4 9.8% 23.2% .301 92 4.66 108 0.0
Josh Hejka 46.0 6.3 3.1 1.0 8.0% 15.9% .301 90 4.71 111 0.0
Dedniel Núñez 51.3 8.9 4.6 1.2 11.3% 22.1% .308 90 4.62 111 0.0
Bubby Rossman 37.3 8.2 5.5 1.2 13.3% 19.7% .306 83 5.10 120 0.0
Nolan Clenney 57.7 8.9 3.9 1.2 9.8% 22.3% .309 91 4.54 110 0.0
Tyler Thomas 39.0 8.5 4.4 1.2 11.0% 21.4% .300 91 4.79 110 0.0
Sam Coonrod 25.0 8.3 5.8 0.7 13.9% 20.0% .306 82 4.74 122 0.0
Trey McLoughlin 46.0 8.0 3.1 1.6 7.9% 20.3% .299 90 4.78 111 -0.1
Reed Garrett 34.3 7.9 4.5 1.0 10.8% 19.1% .317 84 4.59 119 -0.1
William Woods 48.7 8.0 4.1 1.3 10.2% 20.0% .298 85 4.84 117 -0.2
Tommy Hunter 23.3 6.9 2.7 1.9 6.8% 17.5% .306 82 5.53 122 -0.2
Jimmy Yacabonis 36.3 8.2 4.7 1.2 11.5% 20.0% .311 81 5.04 123 -0.2
Tony Dibrell 40.7 7.1 5.5 1.5 13.0% 16.6% .310 71 5.91 140 -0.2
Matt Minnick 35.0 8.0 4.9 1.3 12.0% 19.6% .297 82 5.23 122 -0.2
Eli Ankeney 42.7 8.6 5.9 1.3 14.4% 21.0% .294 81 5.27 124 -0.2
Brian Metoyer 19.7 11.0 7.3 1.4 16.5% 24.7% .292 74 5.54 135 -0.2
Hunter Parsons 49.3 8.8 4.9 1.3 11.9% 21.2% .302 83 5.04 120 -0.2
Tyler Jay 34.7 8.6 4.2 1.6 10.2% 21.0% .317 77 5.25 129 -0.2
Jeff Brigham 45.0 9.6 4.8 1.6 12.0% 24.0% .282 82 5.30 122 -0.3
Paul Gervase 50.3 10.7 7.5 1.1 17.7% 25.3% .290 82 5.22 121 -0.3
Justin Courtney 33.7 7.2 4.3 1.6 10.3% 17.3% .311 79 5.48 127 -0.3
Marcel Rentería 25.7 7.4 5.6 1.4 13.1% 17.2% .299 74 5.98 135 -0.4
Brendan Hardy 28.0 10.9 7.7 1.3 17.6% 25.0% .294 72 5.68 138 -0.4
Luis Moreno 51.7 7.1 3.8 1.6 9.3% 17.4% .304 77 5.44 130 -0.5
Wilkin Ramos 50.0 8.1 6.8 1.1 16.2% 19.1% .294 79 5.60 126 -0.5
Joey Lancellotti 44.0 7.2 5.9 1.6 13.6% 16.4% .304 70 6.14 144 -0.7
Troy Miller 49.0 7.0 5.9 2.4 13.6% 16.2% .300 62 7.17 162 -0.7
Quinn Brodey 25.7 7.4 7.7 2.1 16.9% 16.2% .308 57 7.70 175 -0.9

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Kodai Senga David Cone Bob Lemon Bob Gibson
Edwin Díaz Robb Nen Duane Ward Tom Henke
David Peterson David Purcey Roenis Elías 엘리아스 Francisco Liriano
Mike Vasil Enrique Gonzalez Kris Benson Ben Sheets
Coleman Crow Buddy Harris Pat Cristelli Jackson Todd
Dominic Hamel Jeff Hoffman Dave Freisleben Brian Holman
Tylor Megill Wily Peralta Pete Hernandez Jose Urena
José Quintana Tommy John Chet Johnson Danny Jackson
José Butto A.J. Cole Eddie Butler 버틀러 Wade Davis
Tyler Stuart Henderson Alvarez III Leslie Bass Bryse Wilson
Joey Lucchesi Paul Splittorff Tom Zachary Shane Rawley
Denyi Reyes Mark Ciardi Tyler Wilson윌슨 Jason Stephens
Peyton Battenfield Doyle Lade Keith Couch Steve Comer
Josh Walker Jose Alvarez Jon Switzer Tyler Olson
Landon Marceaux Erskine Thomason Shawn Purdy Jonathan Johnson
Justin Jarvis Nathan Bumstead Brett Marshall Chris Reed
Humberto Mejia Ismael Ramirez Jim Melton Mark Johnson
Adam Ottavino Al Worthington Stu Miller Salomon Torres 토레스
Nate Lavender Tim Collins Bill Wilkinson Chasen Shreve
Robert Colina Victor Arano Mickey Sinks Tom Johnson
Dylan Bundy Chad Ogea Ismael Valdez Glenn Abbott
Dylan Tebrake Rick Carriger Miguel Valdez Kurt Mattson
Jose Chacin Walker Lockett Reggie McClain Greg Beck
Junior Santos Dick Calmus Steve Anderson Nick Struck
Phil Bickford Pat Dobson Jim Brosnan Ryan Tepera
Jordan Geber Gonzalo Sanudo Brad Tippitt Ricky Bennett
Connor Grey Jorge De Paula Logan Bawcom Oswaldo Verdugo
Blade Tidwell Connor Graham Dan Cortes Chuck Murray
Joander Suarez Steve Watkins Eddie Watt Mike Anderson
Sean Reid-Foley Spencer Patton Mark Corey Fernando Cabrera
Oscar Rojas Eric Boudreaux Dale Spier Travis Risser
Trevor Gott Mike Schooler Johnny Murphy Tim Scott
Drew Smith Ryan Tepera Dave Tobik Pedro Baez
Brooks Raley Rheal Cormier Neal Cotts Mike Stanton
Eric Orze Roger Weaver Dayan Diaz Yoervis Medina
Daniel Juarez Doug Stockam Dennis DeBarr Oscar Alvarez
Dennis Santana Scott Medvin Kevin Campbell Yoervis Medina
Carlos Carrasco Joe Orrell T.J. Mathews General Crowder
Grant Hartwig Ryan Pressly Tim Drummond Dave Klenda
Bryce Montes de Oca Horacio Pina Bill Wilson Todd Schmitt
David Griffin James Avery Gary Goldsmith Hansel Izquierdo
Benito Garcia Ricky Bennett Gonzalo Sanudo Brandon Berl
John Curtiss Don Cooper Jack Aker Claude Raymond
Josh Hejka Ron Rightnowar Ivan Zavala Dave Smith
Dedniel Núñez Justin Huisman Chad Paronto Tim Lavigne
Bubby Rossman Mike Buddie Jay Powell George Culver
Nolan Clenney Scott McGough Mark Serrano Dave Gil
Tyler Thomas Bob Buchanan Frank Gailey Dick Luebke
Sam Coonrod Jack Berly Luis Peraza Juan Cerros
Trey McLoughlin Keith Cantwell Kevin Ponder Chris Niesel
Reed Garrett Blaine Boyer Bob Trowbridge Casey Daigle
William Woods Cam Hill Matty Ott Ken Kendrena
Tommy Hunter Clint Brown Dennis Eckersley Dick Hall
Jimmy Yacabonis Chris Resop Chris Bodishbaugh Terry Pearson
Tony Dibrell Aaron Wilson Jeff Letourneau Sean Black
Matt Minnick Joe Harris Mike Santiago Sean Runyan
Eli Ankeney Adam Bright Carlos Cabassa Jamie Eppeneder
Brian Metoyer Johnny Humphries Dick Drott George Smith
Hunter Parsons Matt Peterson R.J. Seidel Steve Cline
Tyler Jay Zach Baldwin Rommie Lewis Dallas Mahan
Jeff Brigham Wes Stock Ron Schueler Vicente Romo
Paul Gervase Tommy Kahnle Zac Houston Matt Anderson
Justin Courtney Ernie Baker Joe Maskivish William Drummond
Marcel Rentería Mike Heinen Daryl Patterson Bradley Meyring
Brendan Hardy Steven Lovins Mike Barba Lon Morton
Luis Moreno Bob Davidson Zac Reininger Tom Kibbee
Wilkin Ramos Don O’Riley Ben Ford Vic Martin
Joey Lancellotti John Thompson Justin Ferrell Wander Alvino
Troy Miller Noah Piard Brad Purcell Mickey Reichenbach
Quinn Brodey Jaime Escamilla Ben Griset Eric White

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Kodai Senga .220 .321 .361 .217 .297 .353 4.6 2.2 2.99 4.37
Edwin Díaz .157 .257 .281 .202 .273 .294 2.3 0.6 1.69 4.37
David Peterson .234 .308 .375 .248 .338 .399 2.6 0.5 3.81 5.19
Mike Vasil .243 .309 .421 .254 .323 .395 2.2 0.6 3.82 5.13
Coleman Crow .258 .330 .429 .249 .308 .385 2.0 0.5 3.89 5.24
Dominic Hamel .251 .336 .402 .247 .328 .411 1.9 0.4 4.20 5.29
Tylor Megill .284 .363 .486 .249 .309 .401 2.0 0.3 4.29 5.41
José Quintana .250 .311 .365 .276 .343 .444 1.7 0.4 3.88 5.52
José Butto .270 .365 .435 .246 .317 .412 1.7 0.1 4.31 5.57
Tyler Stuart .286 .354 .438 .247 .311 .419 1.6 0.3 4.26 5.45
Joey Lucchesi .243 .333 .346 .271 .341 .461 1.5 0.0 4.34 5.87
Denyi Reyes .277 .338 .463 .274 .321 .428 1.3 0.2 4.38 5.51
Peyton Battenfield .267 .338 .445 .271 .335 .448 1.2 0.1 4.59 5.61
Josh Walker .219 .284 .370 .273 .341 .422 1.2 0.1 3.70 5.36
Landon Marceaux .261 .333 .416 .299 .344 .480 1.0 0.2 4.55 5.54
Justin Jarvis .257 .346 .432 .264 .351 .438 1.2 -0.1 4.70 5.79
Humberto Mejia .286 .356 .474 .260 .315 .422 1.1 0.1 4.35 5.64
Adam Ottavino .273 .385 .429 .205 .295 .320 1.1 -0.2 3.10 5.25
Nate Lavender .221 .321 .324 .215 .323 .378 1.1 -0.1 3.27 4.97
Robert Colina .277 .336 .423 .250 .329 .450 1.0 0.0 4.20 5.75
Dylan Bundy .284 .329 .471 .253 .304 .464 0.9 -0.1 4.61 5.81
Dylan Tebrake .247 .341 .390 .231 .315 .359 0.8 0.0 3.35 4.80
Jose Chacin .263 .332 .468 .292 .341 .470 1.0 -0.1 4.72 5.88
Junior Santos .292 .374 .456 .268 .336 .413 0.8 -0.2 4.90 5.91
Phil Bickford .233 .322 .369 .221 .295 .386 0.9 -0.3 3.52 5.17
Jordan Geber .281 .325 .491 .282 .323 .460 0.8 -0.1 4.41 5.87
Connor Grey .270 .366 .443 .267 .335 .433 0.7 -0.2 4.74 6.00
Blade Tidwell .253 .376 .411 .245 .347 .436 0.9 -0.6 4.91 6.21
Joander Suarez .278 .382 .489 .237 .328 .385 1.0 -0.3 4.80 6.07
Sean Reid-Foley .224 .353 .412 .230 .333 .402 0.7 -0.2 3.89 5.88
Oscar Rojas .280 .363 .432 .273 .335 .481 0.6 -0.2 4.84 5.99
Trevor Gott .258 .338 .424 .224 .295 .376 0.6 -0.2 3.51 5.40
Drew Smith .231 .327 .374 .237 .313 .439 0.8 -0.4 3.61 5.30
Brooks Raley .193 .281 .281 .259 .351 .431 0.8 -0.5 3.17 6.53
Eric Orze .226 .360 .387 .244 .321 .395 0.7 -0.4 3.81 5.45
Daniel Juarez .227 .307 .333 .255 .348 .423 0.6 -0.3 4.20 5.70
Dennis Santana .241 .347 .414 .239 .331 .372 0.5 -0.4 4.12 5.69
Carlos Carrasco .285 .363 .487 .288 .344 .480 0.6 -0.6 4.99 6.53
Grant Hartwig .240 .360 .365 .242 .321 .387 0.6 -0.4 3.91 5.39
Bryce Montes de Oca .218 .368 .364 .215 .350 .338 0.4 -0.3 4.01 5.94
David Griffin .275 .353 .478 .278 .368 .443 0.5 -0.5 5.03 6.28
Benito Garcia .289 .340 .495 .272 .321 .447 0.5 -0.3 4.34 5.81
John Curtiss .250 .320 .397 .253 .333 .481 0.3 -0.3 4.06 5.75
Josh Hejka .275 .359 .438 .262 .330 .398 0.3 -0.3 4.33 5.52
Dedniel Núñez .268 .360 .464 .240 .322 .385 0.5 -0.5 4.11 5.81
Bubby Rossman .250 .349 .375 .267 .371 .480 0.3 -0.4 4.58 6.29
Nolan Clenney .260 .359 .450 .252 .314 .402 0.5 -0.5 4.11 5.74
Tyler Thomas .250 .328 .442 .250 .356 .400 0.4 -0.4 4.03 5.71
Sam Coonrod .267 .400 .422 .231 .339 .346 0.2 -0.2 4.64 6.12
Trey McLoughlin .247 .312 .424 .276 .327 .490 0.4 -0.5 4.11 5.88
Reed Garrett .262 .357 .443 .273 .345 .416 0.2 -0.4 4.42 6.30
William Woods .272 .362 .424 .242 .315 .434 0.2 -0.5 4.44 5.81
Tommy Hunter .298 .353 .596 .271 .321 .458 0.0 -0.4 4.44 6.59
Jimmy Yacabonis .266 .382 .453 .263 .341 .425 0.2 -0.5 4.57 6.38
Tony Dibrell .263 .378 .434 .292 .379 .517 0.1 -0.6 5.51 6.96
Matt Minnick .256 .360 .419 .255 .355 .436 0.1 -0.6 4.72 6.31
Eli Ankeney .241 .359 .389 .250 .361 .438 0.2 -0.6 4.69 6.35
Brian Metoyer .216 .383 .351 .237 .362 .447 0.0 -0.5 4.80 7.40
Hunter Parsons .279 .386 .453 .231 .328 .398 0.1 -0.7 4.65 6.25
Tyler Jay .262 .354 .452 .276 .357 .480 0.1 -0.6 4.93 6.78
Jeff Brigham .235 .354 .457 .239 .330 .413 0.1 -0.8 4.65 6.56
Paul Gervase .223 .392 .415 .219 .356 .333 0.2 -0.9 4.54 6.54
Justin Courtney .279 .362 .459 .280 .353 .507 -0.1 -0.7 4.96 6.51
Marcel Rentería .265 .400 .490 .264 .365 .434 -0.2 -0.6 5.28 6.81
Brendan Hardy .250 .400 .462 .204 .371 .352 -0.1 -0.7 5.21 7.33
Luis Moreno .308 .373 .549 .248 .336 .410 -0.1 -0.8 5.09 6.45
Wilkin Ramos .241 .394 .434 .252 .373 .378 -0.1 -0.9 4.93 6.35
Joey Lancellotti .287 .398 .483 .264 .364 .473 -0.4 -1.1 5.65 7.25
Troy Miller .296 .402 .561 .282 .370 .544 -0.3 -1.1 6.40 8.05
Quinn Brodey .265 .419 .382 .296 .427 .606 -0.6 -1.2 6.89 9.35

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

68 Comments
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Cam78
5 months ago

The Mets could sign Yamamoto and Nola and still end up third in the division.

sadtrombonemember
5 months ago
Reply to  Cam78

They could, but they could also finish first. The Mets with two more front end starters would be very competitive with the Braves for the top spot.

MikeDmember
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

The spotiness of both Scherzer and Verlander early on last year, and the loss of Diaz definitely impacted the Mets. I can see them competing for the division next year with some pitching help and a little better luck.

sadtrombonemember
5 months ago
Reply to  MikeD

This team–especially if it spends big on free agent pitching–will be top heavy again. So it will be vulnerable to underperformance if the wrong players get injured. But Lindor, Nimmo, and Alonso is such a fantastic base to start from that it’s plausible they will add enough players to move back up to about the Phillies’ level, and potentially higher.

The more I look at it, the more the Phillies and Mets look similar to me right now. They’re both top-heavy teams based around a trio of big-name position players. The big separator right now is Wheeler, because the Mets don’t have anyone of that caliber.

MikeDmember
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Yes. The team across town was another example of what happens to a top-heavy team with some key injuries, or key players suddenly aging out.

lacslyer
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

While I agree, I think the Phillies have an edge with their lineup because of younger guys already contributing whereas the Mets are expecting younger guys to eventually contribute. Marsh, Rojas, Stott and Bohm are far better than any of the young players from the Mets aside from maybe Alvarez.

Granted, they’re far better primarily because those young players for the Mets are so drastically under performing, but still.

Last edited 5 months ago by lacslyer
Dmjn53
5 months ago
Reply to  lacslyer

Are we sure Philly’s young guys are actually good though?

Stott definitely is, as his defense gives him a high floor.

Bohm just is what he is at this point. A replacement level corner bat.

Marsh outperformed his xSLG by 66 points, Rojas by a nearly impossible 128. I’m not buying that stock

frankmember
5 months ago
Reply to  lacslyer

Not sure Marsh, Rojas, Stott and Bohm are far better than Mauricio.